| 99.838 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 99.540 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 99.539 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 99.530 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 99.452 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 99.378 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 99.358 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 99.242 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 98.955 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 98.917 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 98.853 | Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025? | Binary |
| 98.770 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 98.602 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 98.600 | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 98.544 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 97.933 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 97.685 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.453 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 96.887 | Will there be a US-Iran war by 2024? | Binary |
| 96.830 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 96.800 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 96.382 | Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023? | Binary |
| 96.331 | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
| 96.327 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 96.158 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 96.049 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 95.932 | Will the US officially state the intention to re-ratify the INF Treaty by 2024? | Binary |
| 95.882 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 95.624 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 95.328 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 94.914 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 94.674 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 93.874 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 93.612 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 93.011 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 92.530 | Will the stock price of NVIDIA trade below $250 (adjusted to pre-split value) for at least 1 full day before 2025? | Binary |
| 91.881 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 91.477 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 91.271 | Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 91.226 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 91.135 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 91.104 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 90.277 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 90.144 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 89.565 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| 88.770 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 88.586 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 88.561 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 88.532 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 88.523 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 88.386 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 88.171 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 88.091 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 88.082 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 87.737 | Will Elon Musk have double the wealth of the second richest person before 2023? | Binary |
| 87.195 | What will annual inflation be in the eurozone in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 86.928 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 86.793 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 85.108 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 84.411 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 84.324 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 82.777 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 82.749 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 82.389 | Will Alphabet’s (GOOG) market capitalisation fall below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 81.908 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 79.527 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 79.527 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 77.206 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 73.842 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 72.780 | Will the 117th United States Senate change the filibuster rules during its session? | Binary |
| 72.035 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 71.042 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 70.812 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 70.812 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 70.812 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 70.402 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 69.966 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 69.310 | What will be the maximum CPI inflation measured in 2022? | Continuous |
| 66.889 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 66.889 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 66.889 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 66.787 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 66.775 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 66.774 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 66.771 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 66.726 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 66.370 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 66.289 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 66.135 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 65.809 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 65.093 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 63.468 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 63.468 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 60.657 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 60.629 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| 60.117 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 59.175 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 58.860 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
| 58.174 | Will Republicans control the United States Senate on 2022-10-31? | Binary |
| 57.328 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 54.855 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 54.487 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 52.401 | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| 51.172 | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 50.276 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 49.906 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 46.832 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
| 45.302 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 44.957 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
| 43.755 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 43.755 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 41.956 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 41.315 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 39.899 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 37.220 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 36.554 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 35.710 | Will Rep. Matt Gaetz leave the US House of Representatives before 2023? | Binary |
| 33.708 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 32.304 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 31.885 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 30.381 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
| 28.370 | Will there be a large-scale power outage in the continental Europe synchronous grid before 2023? | Binary |
| 27.707 | What will the USD price of Bitcoin be on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 25.393 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 23.826 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| 23.676 | What will the the market cap of FAAMG on December 31, 2022 as a percentage of the S&P500? | Continuous |
| 22.646 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 22.631 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
| 22.291 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| 22.193 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 20.537 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 19.603 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 19.603 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 19.603 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 19.603 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 19.603 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 19.603 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 19.367 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 19.347 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 19.347 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 18.906 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 18.692 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 18.357 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 18.197 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 18.080 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 18.080 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 18.080 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 18.079 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 18.079 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 17.843 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 16.919 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2024) | Binary |
| 16.244 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |
| 10.743 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 8.834 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| 6.153 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
| 5.386 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 4.098 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 3.360 | Will Trafalgar Group outperform the 538 polling average in the 2022 congressional and gubernatorial elections? | Binary |
| 2.986 | Will the 12-Month U.S. Core Consumer Price Index rise above 3.0% by 2024? | Binary |
| 2.693 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 0.694 | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 0.525 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 0.328 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.002 | By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty? | Binary |
| 0.002 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 0.002 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 0.002 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 0.001 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| -0.288 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| -3.519 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| -15.023 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| -17.639 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -21.863 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| -29.962 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| -30.547 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
| -31.913 | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
| -32.003 | Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| -48.999 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| -56.355 | Will the year-over-year increase in U.S. Core CPI be above 4.0% for any 6 consecutive months before 2024? | Binary |
| -70.860 | Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? | Binary |
| -86.544 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| -87.239 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -91.281 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -98.908 | In 2022, for any month where US core CPI inflation is more than 3 percent, will inflation be at most 3 percentage points higher than the three-month commercial paper interest rate? | Binary |
| -138.326 | If Donald J. Trump is indicted on criminal charges before 2030, when will the first such indictment happen? | Continuous |
| -153.561 | What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -192.385 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -197.928 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -224.964 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -297.749 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |