| 141.354 | What will the highest score of any ML model that is un-augmented with domain knowledge on Atari 2600 Montezuma's Revenge be on 2023-02-14? | Continuous |
| 99.297 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 98.371 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 96.136 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 95.260 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 92.712 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 92.533 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 92.432 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 91.357 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Russia) | Binary |
| 90.612 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 88.959 | Will any top ten meat global processor/producer go bankrupt by 2023? | Binary |
| 87.909 | Will a meat or dairy consumption tax go into effect in the US or any EU member state by 2023? | Binary |
| 87.811 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 87.662 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 86.533 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 86.283 | Will Apple announce Apple Glasses before 2025? | Binary |
| 86.090 | Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU? | Binary |
| 85.698 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 84.798 | Will the United States Senate vote to expel a Senator before January 3, 2023? | Binary |
| 84.702 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 84.498 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 84.297 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 84.297 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 83.733 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 83.037 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 82.202 | How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period? | Continuous |
| 81.658 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 81.342 | How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 78.239 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 76.935 | Will a cultivated meat company be profitable by April 2023? | Binary |
| 75.364 | When will US office workplace occupancy reach >50% of pre-pandemic levels? | Continuous |
| 73.151 | How much will a pound of fresh beef cost in cents in January 2023? | Continuous |
| 72.502 | How many active United Nations peacekeeping missions will there be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 72.085 | Will Israel and Palestine hold peace talks in 2022? | Binary |
| 71.820 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 71.284 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 71.284 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 71.284 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 70.984 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 70.947 | What will the estimated number of people (in millions) in severe food insecurity be in 2022, according to the 2023 FAO “State of food security and nutrition in the world” annual report? | Continuous |
| 69.344 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Thailand) | Binary |
| 69.265 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 69.046 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 67.090 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
| 65.246 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 65.149 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 65.149 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 65.149 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 65.149 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 65.149 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 64.164 | How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period? | Continuous |
| 62.082 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 61.687 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 60.983 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 60.946 | Will the Omicron variant be more lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 60.477 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 60.469 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 60.271 | How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period? | Continuous |
| 60.195 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 59.970 | What will be the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU on the following dates? (Feb-2023) | Continuous |
| 59.589 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 59.413 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 59.369 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the US on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 59.259 | What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates? (November 2022) | Continuous |
| 58.766 | How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period? | Continuous |
| 58.658 | What will be the total box office gross in the US & Canada in 2022? | Continuous |
| 58.504 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 58.191 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 57.844 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 57.204 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 55.262 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
| 55.147 | What will be the best accuracy score on the MATH dataset by 2025? | Continuous |
| 54.979 | What will be the price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana in 2025? | Continuous |
| 53.737 | What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be on 2023-02-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%), amongst models not trained on extra data? | Continuous |
| 53.727 | What retail market share will plant-based milk make up of the total milk category in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| 52.979 | How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024? | Continuous |
| 52.910 | How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions from December 2020 to the following dates? (February 2023) | Continuous |
| 51.665 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 51.211 | What will the population-weighted average life expectancy at birth be in the G7 countries in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 50.117 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 48.453 | Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022? | Binary |
| 48.052 | What will the price of oil be for December 2022? | Continuous |
| 47.578 | How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period? | Continuous |
| 46.216 | How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered in the US by Dec 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 44.820 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 43.989 | What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on One Billion Word be on 2023-02-14, in perplexity, amongst models not trained on extra data? | Continuous |
| 42.458 | How many Japanese Air Force responses to Chinese military threats there will be by 2024? | Continuous |
| 42.370 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 42.370 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 42.370 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 41.742 | How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 41.711 | Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023? | Binary |
| 41.401 | Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly? | Binary |
| 41.147 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 41.147 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 41.128 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 41.128 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 41.121 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 41.113 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 41.104 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 40.278 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 39.976 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 39.513 | By what percentage will the total US yearly retail sales of plant-based meat in 2022 grow compared to 2020? | Continuous |
| 39.124 | Will at least one cultivated meat product be for sale in the US by 2023? | Binary |
| 39.117 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 39.117 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 38.792 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 38.734 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
| 37.660 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 37.105 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 34.007 | How many deployed nuclear weapons will there be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 33.982 | What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their November 2022 list? | Continuous |
| 33.945 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 33.928 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Combined) | Continuous |
| 33.379 | Will these countries approve a cultivated meat product for consumption before April 2023? (European Union) | Binary |
| 33.357 | Will the Omicron variant be less lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 33.263 | How many weeks will Virginia experience “widespread” influenza activity during the 2021-2022 flu season? | Continuous |
| 33.002 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 32.602 | What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2023-02-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data? | Continuous |
| 32.057 | What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be on 2023-02-14 in perplexity, amongst models not trained on extra data? | Continuous |
| 31.756 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 31.577 | How many commercial flights will be in operation globally on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
| 31.480 | What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 30.065 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 29.380 | How many pigs will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023? | Continuous |
| 29.007 | Will these countries approve a cultivated meat product for consumption before April 2023? (United States) | Binary |
| 28.773 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 28.304 | What will be the R0 of the Omicron variant according to the mean estimate of the first relevant systematic review? | Continuous |
| 28.152 | How many Executive Orders per week will President Biden issue? | Continuous |
| 27.550 | What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be based in the United States in the November 2022 publication of TOP500 list? | Continuous |
| 27.314 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 26.752 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 25.365 | What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2022? | Continuous |
| 25.177 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 22.814 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 22.814 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 22.814 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 22.814 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 22.775 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 22.723 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 22.475 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 22.475 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 22.130 | What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2023-02-14? | Continuous |
| 21.986 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 21.450 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based eggs be in the U.S. in 2022? | Continuous |
| 21.396 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 21.191 | Will the 117th United States Senate change the filibuster rules during its session? | Binary |
| 20.726 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 19.766 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 19.017 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026? | Binary |
| 18.795 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 17.795 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 17.272 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 17.153 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 16.626 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 16.320 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 16.293 | When will Australia reopen for quarantine-free international travel? | Continuous |
| 16.134 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 16.027 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 15.464 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 15.054 | How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based food companies in 2022? | Continuous |
| 15.047 | How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 14.714 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 14.260 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 14.013 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (RSV) | Continuous |
| 13.929 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 11.997 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 11.996 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 10.053 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 9.837 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 9.420 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.577 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| 8.493 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 8.469 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| 7.848 | What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates? (Feb-2023) | Continuous |
| 7.832 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| 6.624 | Will there be a Frontier AI Lab outside the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 6.267 | Will Amazon accept Bitcoin before 2024? | Binary |
| 5.800 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 5.245 | Will these countries approve a cultivated meat product for consumption before April 2023? (Israel) | Binary |
| 5.177 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 4.151 | What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2023-02-15? | Continuous |
| 4.116 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 3.835 | Will Rep. Matt Gaetz leave the US House of Representatives before 2023? | Binary |
| 3.729 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in a non-Democracy before 2026? | Binary |
| 3.274 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 3.166 | When will Omicron become the predominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the U.S.? | Continuous |
| 2.896 | Will Substack cancel anyone before 2023? | Binary |
| 2.695 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Ko Wen-je (TPP)) | Binary |
| 2.694 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou (Independent)) | Binary |
| 2.497 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.381 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
| 1.903 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Lai Ching-te (DPP)) | Binary |
| 1.854 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Hou Yu-ih (Kuomintang)) | Binary |
| 1.310 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 1.021 | If Donald J. Trump is indicted on criminal charges before 2030, when will the first such indictment happen? | Continuous |
| 0.688 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 0.462 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 0.239 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Brazil) | Binary |
| 0.231 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (United States) | Binary |
| 0.209 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
| 0.187 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| 0.186 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Vietnam) | Binary |
| 0.168 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (China) | Binary |
| 0.032 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Sinn Féin) | Continuous |
| 0.006 | When will the FDA authorize an oral antiviral treatment for SARS-CoV-2? | Continuous |
| 0.004 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| 0.004 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| 0.004 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| 0.001 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| - | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| - | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| -2.877 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| -4.261 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| -5.418 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -5.513 | Will these countries approve a cultivated meat product for consumption before April 2023? (China) | Binary |
| -7.795 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Flu) | Continuous |
| -7.929 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -10.666 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases globally on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| -13.104 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based meats be in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -16.070 | What will the the market cap of FAAMG on December 31, 2022 as a percentage of the S&P500? | Continuous |
| -16.763 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -18.296 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based foods in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -20.095 | What will the price of IGM be, on 2023-02-14, in 2019 USD? | Continuous |
| -21.660 | How much total capital will be invested in plant-based foods companies through exits (IPOs, direct listings, mergers and acquisitions) in 2022? | Continuous |
| -23.221 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -27.935 | Will the U.S. CDC classify Omicron as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before 2023? | Binary |
| -28.613 | What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be on 2023-02-14? | Continuous |
| -28.895 | Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? | Binary |
| -36.752 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -44.660 | What will be the largest cultivated meat production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single facility by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| -55.173 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| -59.837 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| -72.666 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| -73.353 | What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2023-02-14? | Continuous |
| -73.361 | How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in cultivated meat companies in 2022? | Continuous |
| -76.191 | What will the state-of-the-art object detection performance on COCO be, on 2023-02-14 in box average precision (box AP) amongst all models? | Continuous |
| -85.286 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -128.635 | What will the USD price of Bitcoin be on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| -143.295 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -145.745 | How many countries will approve the commercial sale of cultivated meat by 2023? | Continuous |
| -175.348 | When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 100? | Continuous |
| -195.037 | What will the state-of-the-art language text-to-SQL performance on WikiSQL be on 2023-02-14 in logical form test accuracy? | Continuous |
| -196.464 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -197.192 | What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation of PASCAL-Context be on 2023-02-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%), amongst models not trained on extra data? | Continuous |
| -218.488 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |