nextbigfuture

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2023

Baseline Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to chance. User scores are determined by summing their Baseline scores for all questions within a time period. This category rewards forecasters who are both accurate and forecast on many questions. Learn more here.

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7.19k	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
99.715	Will Western institutions determine Israel was responsible for the attack on the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital in Gaza City before 2024?	Binary
97.080	Will the US Housing Market crash in 2023?	Binary
96.646	Will a US warship enter the Black Sea before September 25, 2023?	Binary
94.774	Will there be a military conflict between Serbia and Kosovo before January 1, 2024?	Binary
94.634	Will Stepanakert / Khankendi be under de facto Azerbaijani control on September 30, 2023?	Binary
92.053	Will OpenAI have fewer than the following numbers of employees before January 1, 2024? (≤ 100)	Binary
89.207	Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (All Other Teams Not Listed)	Binary
88.914	Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker until 2024?	Binary
88.141	Who will be the de facto leader of Gabon on September 30, 2023? (Albert Ondo Ossa)	Binary
88.141	Who will be the de facto leader of Gabon on September 30, 2023? (President Ali Bongo Ondimba)	Binary
87.170	Will OpenAI report having ≥99% uptime for ChatGPT and the OpenAI API in December 2023?	Binary
84.515	Will there be a US military combat death in the Red Sea before 2024?	Binary
82.819	Who will be the de facto leader of Gabon on September 30, 2023? (General Brice Oligui Nguema)	Binary
82.448	Before October 1, 2023, will US Senator Bob Menendez announce that he is resigning?	Binary
80.708	Will a vote on a Republican-introduced resolution to vacate the Speaker of the House be held before October 1, 2023?	Binary
75.830	Will Ukraine be confirmed to have used chemical weapons against Russian forces by January 1, 2024?	Binary
74.631	What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023?	Continuous
74.574	Will Russian troops reach the center of Bakhmut, Ukraine before 0000 hrs local time on January 27th, 2023?	Binary
73.330	Will F-22 or F-35 fighter jets be pledged to Ukraine by January 1, 2024?	Binary
72.486	Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before July 1, 2023?	Binary
71.641	Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before 2024?	Binary
71.198	Will there be a US financial crisis before July 1, 2023?	Binary
70.822	Will the majority of OpenAI's Board of Directors leave the Board before December 1, 2023?	Binary
70.751	Will Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg engage in a cage fight at any point before 2024?	Binary
69.878	Who will win the 2023 Nigerian Presidential Election? (Rabiu Kwankwaso)	Binary
68.522	When will the second Starship test flight occur?	Continuous
67.146	Will NASA re-establish communications with Voyager 1 before 1 Jan 2024?	Binary
66.414	Will Ukraine have de facto control of the city council building in Melitopol on January 1, 2024?	Binary
64.181	Will Russia invade Kazakhstan before 2024?	Binary
64.092	Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023?	Binary
63.745	Will the WHO name BA.2.86 as a SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Interest before October 1, 2023?	Binary
63.179	Will the Federal Funds Rate be raised before December 18, 2023?	Binary
61.314	Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before April 15th, 2023?	Binary
60.666	Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024?	Binary
60.383	Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Boston Celtics)	Binary
60.379	[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Jim Banks (R))	Binary
60.373	[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Patrick McHenry (R))	Binary
60.369	[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Hakeem Jeffries (D))	Binary
60.368	[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Don Bacon (R))	Binary
60.367	[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Elise Stefanik (R))	Binary
60.362	[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Andy Biggs (R))	Binary
59.687	Will either the NBA Finals or the Stanley Cup Finals in 2023 go to a game 7?	Binary
59.412	Will an Elon Musk-funded AI lab release an LLM before 2024?	Binary
59.349	Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Los Angeles Lakers)	Binary
58.344	Will Donald Trump participate in the first Republican presidential debate?	Binary
58.320	Will the agreement between the Kremlin and the Wagner Group hold through the end of June?	Binary
56.954	US Government Shutdown Before 2024? (No) → Johnson Speaker until 2024?	Binary
56.838	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Australia)	Binary
56.689	Will Donald Trump participate in the 2nd Republican primary debate?	Binary
53.295	Who will win the 2023 Nigerian Presidential Election? (Atiku Abubakar)	Binary
52.235	Will a nationwide UPS strike be underway in the United States on August 4, 2023?	Binary
50.852	Will Donald Trump spend at least one hour confined in a jail cell before January 1, 2024?	Binary
50.524	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Hakeem Jeffries (D))	Binary
50.494	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Kevin McCarthy (R))	Binary
50.219	Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard in 2023?	Binary
50.033	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Andy Biggs (R))	Binary
50.006	Will a majority of voters approve Venezuela's referendum on incorporating Guayana Esequiba into Venezuela?	Binary
49.086	Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023?	Binary
49.083	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Fred Upton (R))	Binary
49.013	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Byron Donalds (R))	Binary
48.976	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Elise Stefanik (R))	Binary
48.975	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Don Bacon (R))	Binary
48.975	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Kevin Hern (R))	Binary
48.864	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Jim Banks (R))	Binary
48.768	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Sweden)	Binary
47.835	Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2024?	Binary
47.110	Who will win the 2023 Nigerian Presidential Election? (Peter Obi)	Binary
47.002	Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Florida Panthers)	Binary
46.868	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Colombia)	Binary
46.677	Will the U2 concert at The Sphere on September 29, 2023 take place?	Binary
46.272	Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023?	Binary
46.193	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (France)	Binary
46.151	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Tom Emmer (R))	Binary
46.043	Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (New York Knicks)	Binary
45.625	Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?	Binary
45.371	Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)	Binary
45.371	Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Sergio Massa)	Binary
45.168	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Nancy Mace (R))	Binary
44.371	Short Fuse: Will the 'Titan' submersible be recovered intact by noon ET on Thursday, June 22?	Binary
44.254	Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Philadelphia 76ers)	Binary
43.641	Will the Black Sea grain deal be revived before October 1, 2023?	Binary
42.667	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (England)	Binary
42.289	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Patrick McHenry (R))	Binary
42.239	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Netherlands)	Binary
41.371	Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Dallas Stars)	Binary
39.701	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Japan)	Binary
39.385	Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Phoenix Suns)	Binary
39.378	Will Putin attend the G20 summit in India?	Binary
38.897	[Short Fuse] How many Democrats will vote to retain Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House? (4)	Binary
38.832	Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Golden State Warriors)	Binary
38.776	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Donald Trump (R))	Binary
38.417	Will Ukraine have de facto control of the Tokmak railway station on January 1, 2024?	Binary
37.811	Will OpenAI have fewer than the following numbers of employees before January 1, 2024? (≤ 300)	Binary
37.811	Will OpenAI have fewer than the following numbers of employees before January 1, 2024? (≤ 600)	Binary
37.473	Before July 1, 2023, will an agentized-LLM system improve itself?	Binary
36.865	Before 2024, how many hostages will be freed who were captured in the October 7 Hamas attack? (Released by captor)	Continuous
36.316	[Short Fuse] How many Democrats will vote to retain Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House? (3)	Binary
34.929	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Morocco)	Binary
34.687	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Jamaica)	Binary
34.350	Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024?	Binary
34.258	In these months, what will be Biden's polling margin over Trump according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average? (Dec-2023)	Continuous
34.217	Will a non-proprietary LLM be in the top 5 of the chat.lmsys.org leaderboard on September 30, 2023?	Binary
33.329	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in January 2023?	Continuous
33.041	Will the Ukrainian parliamentary elections be held on schedule on or before 29 October, 2023?	Binary
32.665	Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Carolina Hurricanes)	Binary
32.541	Will General Sergei Surovikin be stripped of his command by July 11th?	Binary
31.988	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Denmark)	Binary
31.952	Will an additional country ban ChatGPT before July 1, 2023?	Binary
31.741	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Nigeria)	Binary
31.717	Will Ukraine regain control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant before January 1, 2024?	Binary
31.653	In these months, what will be Biden's polling margin over Trump according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average? (Jan-2024)	Continuous
30.980	Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution related to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia before October 1, 2023?	Binary
29.964	[Short Fuse] How many Democrats will vote to retain Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House? (5 or more)	Binary
29.918	Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Myriam Bregman)	Binary
29.918	Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Juan Schiaretti)	Binary
29.654	Will Mohamed Bazoum, Nigerien President, return to power before August 31, 2023?	Binary
29.527	Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Patricia Bullrich)	Binary
28.993	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Steve Scalise (R))	Binary
28.961	[Short Fuse] How many Democrats will vote to retain Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House? (1)	Binary
28.324	[Short Fuse] How many Democrats will vote to retain Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House? (2)	Binary
28.014	Will Meta launch a Threads web app before October 1, 2023?	Binary
27.959	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (South Africa)	Binary
26.743	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Israel before 2024?	Binary
26.588	Will Kevin McCarthy be Speaker of the House on January 1, 2024?	Binary
26.311	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Austin Scott (R))	Binary
26.191	Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Sacramento Kings)	Binary
26.073	Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Memphis Grizzlies)	Binary
25.817	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Norway)	Binary
25.771	What will be the closing price of Crude Oil (in USD per barrel) on December 30, 2023?	Continuous
25.565	Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (November 7, 2023)	Binary
25.370	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Switzerland)	Binary
25.188	[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Jim Jordan (R))	Binary
25.062	[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Kevin McCarthy (R))	Binary
24.124	Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Los Angeles Clippers)	Binary
23.650	Who will win the 2023 Nigerian Presidential Election? (Bola Tinubu)	Binary
23.557	Will a US spot Ethereum ETF be approved in 2023?	Binary
22.660	Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Cleveland Cavaliers)	Binary
21.930	Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (All other teams)	Binary
21.741	Will Israel launch a large-scale ground offensive into Gaza before November 1, 2023?	Binary
21.698	Before 2024, how many hostages will be freed who were captured in the October 7 Hamas attack? (Rescued or escaped)	Continuous
21.005	What will be the search engine market share of Bing in December of 2023?	Continuous
20.846	Will the WHO identify a new SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Concern before 2024?	Binary
20.735	[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Steve Scalise (R))	Binary
20.644	Will the writers' strike be active on May 12th, 2023?	Binary
19.781	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (South Korea)	Binary
18.957	Will year-on-year core inflation in the United States exceed 6% for the year ending in December 2022?	Binary
17.877	Will the second Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff before January 1, 2024?	Binary
17.794	Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Toronto Maple Leafs)	Binary
17.593	Before 2024, will it be announced that either of the Harvard or MIT presidents will vacate their positions?	Binary
17.402	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Germany)	Binary
17.179	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Italy)	Binary
17.105	Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Edmonton Oilers)	Binary
16.934	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Argentina)	Binary
16.911	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Brazil)	Binary
16.390	Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (New Jersey Devils)	Binary
16.042	How many people will die in the Sudan conflict in 2023?	Continuous
15.891	Will internationally recognized media outlets report that a significant Ukrainian military counteroffensive has begun before June 21, 2023?	Binary
15.763	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Jim Jordan (R))	Binary
15.244	Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Milwaukee Bucks)	Binary
14.791	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Tom Cole (R))	Binary
14.791	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Brian Fitzpatrick (R))	Binary
14.791	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Lee Zeldin (R))	Binary
14.653	Will the Palestinian Authority declare itself bankrupt before the end of 2023?	Binary
14.419	Will the United Auto Workers call a strike against any of the Big Three Detroit automakers before September 19, 2023?	Binary
14.286	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Haiti)	Binary
14.182	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (China)	Binary
13.823	Will the Israeli High Court issue a ruling on the "reasonableness" law before October 1, 2023?	Binary
13.711	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Portugal)	Binary
13.609	Will Google integrate Large Language Model responses directly into Search before August 1, 2023?	Binary
13.386	Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2024?	Binary
13.111	Will India request that another Canadian diplomat be recalled before 2024?	Binary
12.954	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (United States)	Binary
12.528	Will Ukraine have de facto control of the city council building in Mariupol on January 1, 2024?	Binary
12.372	Will Ukraine receive a modern main battle tank from a NATO country by 2024?	Binary
11.980	Will civil war break out in Israel before 2024?	Binary
11.731	Will Bitcoin reach $40,000 before January 1, 2024?	Binary
11.569	Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2024?	Binary
11.057	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Canada)	Binary
10.352	Will Ukraine have de facto control of Simferopol on January 1, 2024?	Binary
10.225	[Short Fuse] How many Democrats will vote to retain Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House? (0)	Binary
10.152	Will there be at least 10,000 confirmed deaths due to H5N1 before 2024?	Binary
9.448	Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (January 1, 2024)	Binary
9.163	Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2024)	Binary
9.121	Will copper prices reach an all-time-high in 2023?	Binary
8.149	Will a bill be introduced in the Indian Parliament to change the official name of the country to Bharat before September 23, 2023?	Binary
8.091	Will Kevin McCarthy visit Taiwan in 2023?	Binary
7.896	Will Delhi perform cloud seeding before December 1, 2023?	Binary
7.888	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Philippines)	Binary
7.797	Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin be confirmed to be dead before November 2023?	Binary
7.723	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (New Zealand)	Binary
7.392	Will Israel have a national election for Knesset in 2023?	Binary
7.104	Will a major shipping company announce that they are resuming shipments through the Red Sea before 2024?	Binary
7.007	Will OpenAI release a "product" after ChatGPT before 2024?	Binary
6.888	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu)	Binary
6.840	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)	Binary
6.730	Will the Nigerian Presidential Election on February 25th go to a run-off vote?	Binary
6.577	How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in the following years? (2023)	Continuous
5.692	Will ChatGPT have multiple tiers of capability before 2024?	Binary
5.510	[Short Fuse] How many ballots will it take to elect the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress?	Continuous
5.259	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Panama)	Binary
5.132	Will Adobe acquire Figma by the end of 2023?	Binary
5.034	Will the maiden flight of the H3 Launch Vehicle carrying ALOS-3 launch successfully and on time?	Binary
4.760	Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight?	Binary
4.454	Will Virgin Orbit file for bankruptcy protection before 2026?	Binary
4.213	Will the November 2023 Israel-Hamas humanitarian pause be extended?	Binary
4.029	Will countries commit at least 100 US/German-made modern main battle tanks to Ukraine before 2024?	Binary
3.026	What will be the official death count for the 2023 Hawai'i wildfires as of January 1, 2024?	Continuous
2.632	Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (NY Rangers)	Binary
2.494	Will Russia station at least one nuclear weapon in Belarus before 2024?	Binary
1.961	Will the Dow Jones close at or above 35,000 before August 1, 2023?	Binary
1.440	Will the Chandrayaan-3 lander soft-land on the moon?	Binary
1.296	Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Colorado Avalanche)	Binary
1.245	Will India's Chandrayaan-3 mission successfully land a rover on the moon?	Binary
0.832	Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Boston Bruins)	Binary
0.770	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Cem Uzan)	Binary
0.770	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Muharrem İnce)	Binary
0.770	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Sinan Oğan)	Binary
0.770	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Temel Karamollaoğlu)	Binary
0.769	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Gültekin Uysal)	Binary
0.769	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Pervin Buldan)	Binary
0.769	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Fatih Erbakan)	Binary
0.769	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Abdullah Gül)	Binary
0.769	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Süleyman Soylu)	Binary
0.769	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Doğu Perinçek)	Binary
0.769	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Tansu Çiller)	Binary
0.769	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Mustafa Sarıgül)	Binary
0.769	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Devlet Bahçeli)	Binary
0.769	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ekrem İmamoğlu)	Binary
0.769	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Mansur Yavaş)	Binary
0.769	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Meral Akşener)	Binary
0.768	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ahmet Davutoğlu)	Binary
0.768	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ali Babacan)	Binary
0.372	[Short Fuse] Will Credit Suisse experience any of the following scenarios before May 2023?	Binary
0.262	How far from the bow of the Titanic will the submersible 'Titan' be located?	Continuous
0.096	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Mayor London Breed (D))	Binary
0.095	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Holly Mitchell (D))	Binary
0.094	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Former Senator Barbara Boxer (D))	Binary
0.093	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Malia Cohen (D))	Binary
0.090	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Rep. Barbara Lee (D))	Binary
0.090	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Lateefah Simon (D))	Binary
0.089	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Justice Leondra Kruger (D))	Binary
0.089	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Rep. Maxine Waters (D))	Binary
0.089	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Rep. Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D))	Binary
0.089	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Angela Glover Blackwell (D))	Binary
0.088	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Rep. Katie Porter (D))	Binary
0.087	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Rep. Adam Schiff (D))	Binary
0.087	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Hunter Biden (D))	Binary
0.085	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Laphonza Butler (D))	Binary
0.085	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Mayor Karen Bass (D))	Binary
0.084	Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein? (Sec. of State Shirley Weber (D))	Binary
0.009	How many beginners will be in the top 20 of the Point Rankings for Questions Opened in the Last 30 Days on February 28?	Continuous
0.004	Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (LA Kings)	Binary
-0.850	Will an attempted replication of LK-99 superconductivity be published before August 4, 2023?	Binary
-1.012	Will Virgin Galactic have a successful commercial flight before July 1, 2023?	Binary
-1.134	Will First Republic Bank enter FDIC receivership or be sold "under duress" before January 1, 2024?	Binary
-3.905	Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024?	Binary
-11.887	Will the US FDA authorize a new vaccine targeting COVID-19 in 2023?	Binary
-17.714	Will Yahya Sinwar cease to act as Hamas Chief in the Gaza Strip before 2024?	Binary
-43.143	Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Spain)	Binary
-67.533	Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024?	Binary
-82.755	[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Mike Johnson (R))	Binary
-135.000	Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Vegas Golden Knights)	Binary
-198.574	Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Denver Nuggets)	Binary

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Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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