| 169.690 | What will be the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 142.674 | How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 97.863 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mark Cuban) | Binary |
| 97.686 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 97.649 | Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023? | Binary |
| 97.559 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 96.409 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dwayne Johnson) | Binary |
| 96.409 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mitt Romney) | Binary |
| 96.125 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 94.903 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Manchin) | Binary |
| 93.748 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 93.424 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 92.257 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 91.558 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 91.500 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 88.638 | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
| 86.528 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 83.380 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 83.015 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 82.462 | What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 81.794 | Will a cultivated meat company be profitable by April 2023? | Binary |
| 77.938 | Will the Omicron variant be more lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 77.102 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 76.826 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 76.021 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 74.253 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 74.184 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 73.325 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 73.270 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 71.419 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 71.110 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| 69.746 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 69.240 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 68.757 | When will be the UK’s peak 7-day moving average of COVID hospital admissions for the winter of 2021-2022? | Continuous |
| 68.636 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 65.485 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 64.694 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 64.675 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 63.718 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 61.431 | Will a federal tax on unrealized capital gains in the United States be passed before February 1st 2023? | Binary |
| 60.538 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 60.502 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 60.160 | How many active United Nations peacekeeping missions will there be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 59.681 | Will the U.S. CDC classify Omicron as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 59.010 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 58.916 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 58.404 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 58.336 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 57.793 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 56.349 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 56.349 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 56.213 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 55.605 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 54.455 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 54.455 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 54.455 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 54.423 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 53.299 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 52.224 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 51.752 | Will Rep. Matt Gaetz leave the US House of Representatives before 2023? | Binary |
| 51.730 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 51.551 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 51.329 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| 50.880 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 50.270 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 50.202 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 48.456 | Will the U.S. CDC classify a SARS-CoV-2 variant as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) by 1 March 2022? | Binary |
| 46.759 | Will the Pandemic and All Hazards Preparedness Act (PAHPA) be reauthorized for more than 4 years before April 1st, 2024, and December 31st, 2024? (2024 April 1) | Binary |
| 45.009 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
| 42.658 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 41.811 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 41.811 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 41.811 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 41.346 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 41.216 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 41.174 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 38.843 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
| 36.155 | Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023? | Binary |
| 35.766 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 35.556 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 34.981 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 34.823 | Will at least one fire produce smoke plumes that reach into the stratosphere, before 2023? | Binary |
| 31.412 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 31.172 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 29.520 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 28.868 | Will the Omicron variant be less lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 28.213 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 27.620 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 26.828 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 25.337 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 25.273 | Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models? | Binary |
| 24.783 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 24.623 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 24.593 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 24.568 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based eggs be in the U.S. in 2022? | Continuous |
| 24.413 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 24.413 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 23.103 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 23.009 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 22.708 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
| 22.160 | Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 21.794 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 21.748 | Will these countries approve a cultivated meat product for consumption before April 2023? (China) | Binary |
| 21.175 | Will copyright of at least one of the depictions of Mickey Mouse be extended beyond the current deadline of January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 20.757 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 20.332 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
| 20.313 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Bankman-Fried) | Binary |
| 20.047 | What will be the UK's annual inflation rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 19.687 | What will be the largest cultivated meat production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single facility by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 19.158 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 16.925 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 13.759 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 13.401 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
| 12.723 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
| 11.354 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
| 11.312 | Will at least one cultivated meat product be for sale in the US by 2023? | Binary |
| 10.300 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 9.427 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| 8.335 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| 8.310 | Will a donor other than Carnegie or MacArthur make >$10m of nuclear risk related grants in 2022? | Binary |
| 7.732 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 7.639 | What will the estimated number of people (in millions) in severe food insecurity be in 2022, according to the 2023 FAO “State of food security and nutrition in the world” annual report? | Continuous |
| 6.829 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 6.113 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Mira Murati) | Binary |
| 6.113 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Eric Schmidt) | Binary |
| 6.113 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
| 6.113 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Andrej Karpathy) | Binary |
| 6.022 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Ilya Sutskever) | Binary |
| 4.225 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 4.206 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Emmett Shear) | Binary |
| 2.687 | Will the United States Senate vote to expel a Senator before January 3, 2023? | Binary |
| 2.286 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 1.382 | How many scheduled airline passengers in 2021 will verify their COVID-19 health statuses with IATA Travel Passes? | Continuous |
| 0.808 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
| 0.740 | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 0.700 | Will the Australian Census of 2021 show at least 50% not religious? | Binary |
| 0.219 | What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 0.213 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
| 0.110 | Will Djokovic win 21 Tennis Grand Slams? | Binary |
| 0.075 | Will Tesla reveal a prototype of the Tesla Bot before 2023? | Binary |
| - | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| -0.081 | When will the UK Labour Party next maintain a 10-point polling lead for a month? | Continuous |
| -0.282 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| -1.583 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| -1.997 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
| -6.592 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -9.155 | Will FTX default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022? | Binary |
| -10.486 | Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? | Binary |
| -11.763 | What percent of the world population will use the internet in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -13.946 | What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -14.980 | Will the Pandemic and All Hazards Preparedness Act (PAHPA) be reauthorized for more than 4 years before April 1st, 2024, and December 31st, 2024? (2024 Dec 31) | Binary |
| -17.153 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| -18.394 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| -21.030 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| -23.522 | What will be the ratio of 2022 to 2021 average global interest in vertical farming? | Continuous |
| -26.098 | When will Omicron become the predominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the U.S.? | Continuous |
| -26.399 | Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| -29.989 | When will San Francisco County lift their mask mandate? | Continuous |
| -42.266 | Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission before November 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -75.722 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| -78.991 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| -84.989 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| -92.609 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -111.378 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -180.354 | Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| -182.974 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |