| 98.034 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 97.303 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
| 97.085 | Will Texas vote to secede from the United States before 2024? | Binary |
| 96.832 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
| 96.614 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
| 96.073 | Will there be a large-scale radioactive contamination of a German territory by 2024? | Binary |
| 95.657 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
| 95.378 | Depending on Ukraine gaining territory in Crimea, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (< 50 km^2) | Binary |
| 95.276 | Will pediatric cases of hepatitis with unknown origin be conclusively linked to COVID vaccination? | Binary |
| 94.650 | Depending on Ukraine re-taking control of Kherson, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (Ukrainian Control) | Binary |
| 94.635 | Will Tweets be inaccessible on Twitter.com for any seven days starting before 2024? | Binary |
| 94.456 | Will Ukraine join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 94.031 | Depending on US/NATO conducting military operations in Ukraine, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (No US/NATO Ops in UA) | Binary |
| 92.930 | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 92.591 | Depending on the US giving Ukraine fighter aircraft, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (No US aircraft) | Binary |
| 92.454 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 92.302 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
| 92.153 | Depending on the US supplying Ukraine with an ATACMS, Will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (ATACMS provided) | Binary |
| 90.882 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 90.878 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be used in war (ie not a test or accident) and kill at least 10 people? | Binary |
| 90.061 | Will Kim Jong-un remain the de facto leader of North Korea until (at least) January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 90.003 | Will a radiological "dirty bomb" be detonated in Ukraine or Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 89.968 | In 2023 will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan? | Binary |
| 89.747 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
| 89.002 | Will North Korea send 100 or more troops to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 88.668 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Brighton & Hove Albion) | Binary |
| 88.289 | Depending on Ukraine striking targets in Russian territory, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (Ukraine strikes) | Binary |
| 87.864 | Will China reverse its ban on bitcoin mining and trading before 2024? | Binary |
| 87.536 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 87.150 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 86.640 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 84.993 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Ghana) | Binary |
| 84.926 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Gavin Newsom is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 84.416 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New York Giants) | Binary |
| 83.915 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| 83.712 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol? | Binary |
| 83.604 | In 2023 will someone release "DALL-E, but for videos"? | Binary |
| 83.199 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Binary |
| 82.318 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
| 82.293 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Brentford) | Binary |
| 82.263 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
| 82.094 | Will China reverse its decision to ban financial institutions from trading and engaging in cryptocurrency transactions before 2024? | Binary |
| 82.012 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| 81.473 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| 81.321 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Fulham) | Binary |
| 81.221 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Aston Villa) | Binary |
| 81.025 | In 2023 will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine? | Binary |
| 80.908 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 80.331 | In 2023 will the UK hold a general election? | Binary |
| 80.165 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 79.946 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 79.413 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Meretz) | Binary |
| 79.373 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| 79.256 | Will a state actor successfully use an ASAT weapon against a foreign satellite before 2024? | Binary |
| 79.212 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
| 78.834 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (UTJ) | Binary |
| 78.810 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2023) | Binary |
| 78.424 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Joint List) | Binary |
| 78.419 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Religious Zionist) | Binary |
| 78.310 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Shas) | Binary |
| 78.279 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 78.226 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| 77.959 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 77.569 | Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 77.281 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Luhansk? | Binary |
| 76.993 | Will Ukraine regain control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant before March 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 76.963 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| 76.853 | Will cost of living riots happen in the UK before March 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 76.677 | On January 1, 2024, will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia? | Binary |
| 76.675 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| 76.620 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 76.453 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Yisrael Beiteinu) | Binary |
| 76.313 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Chelsea) | Binary |
| 75.951 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| 75.785 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 75.691 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection before 2024? | Binary |
| 75.621 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Wolverhampton Wanderers) | Binary |
| 75.546 | On January 1, 2024, will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK? | Binary |
| 75.409 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Crystal Palace) | Binary |
| 75.366 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 75.202 | On January 1, 2024, will Joe Biden have a positive (approval minus disapproval) rating? | Binary |
| 75.176 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 75.150 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Nottingham Forest) | Binary |
| 75.061 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 74.879 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 74.674 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Leicester City) | Binary |
| 74.384 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Labor) | Binary |
| 74.284 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 74.173 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 74.170 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| 73.960 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (New Hope) | Binary |
| 73.952 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| 73.932 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Bournemouth) | Binary |
| 73.882 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Leeds United) | Binary |
| 73.781 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Southampton) | Binary |
| 73.762 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Everton) | Binary |
| 73.741 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 73.717 | On January 1, 2024, will Elon Musk remain owner of Twitter? | Binary |
| 73.498 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| 73.420 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (West Ham United) | Binary |
| 73.375 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 73.242 | Will the US “Rewards for Justice” program pay the $10M reward offered for information on the interference in the 2020 presidential election? | Binary |
| 73.241 | Which of these US infrastructure sectors will be hit by a ransomware attack by May 30, 2023? (Nuclear Energy) | Binary |
| 72.905 | Will the US Supplemental Poverty Measure be higher in 2022 than 2021? | Binary |
| 72.860 | On January 1, 2024, will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war? | Binary |
| 72.626 | Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 72.459 | In 2023 will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran? | Binary |
| 72.325 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 72.194 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 71.974 | Will the US ban TikTok before 2024? | Binary |
| 71.800 | In 2023 will there be any change in the composition of the Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 71.682 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 71.518 | On January 1, 2024, will an ordinary person be able to take a self-driving taxi from Oakland → SF during rush hour? | Binary |
| 71.516 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Haiti) | Binary |
| 71.498 | Will Joe Rogan leave Spotify before February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 71.351 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Zaporizhzhia? | Binary |
| 71.186 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 71.092 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| 70.840 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 70.767 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Jared Kushner) | Binary |
| 70.766 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (John Legere) | Binary |
| 70.763 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Blake Masters) | Binary |
| 70.761 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Sheryl Sandberg) | Binary |
| 70.659 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Peter Thiel) | Binary |
| 70.407 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Mike Schroepfer) | Binary |
| 70.158 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Lex Fridman) | Binary |
| 70.051 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Steve Davis) | Binary |
| 69.990 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 69.843 | Will a member of the Chinese Politburo be expelled or arrested in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 69.827 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Zionist Spirit) | Binary |
| 69.729 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 69.674 | Will the UN open an investigation or otherwise intervene on the issue of the Xinjiang internment camps before 2024? | Binary |
| 69.650 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 69.020 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Sriram Krishnan) | Binary |
| 68.946 | In 2023 will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area? | Binary |
| 68.837 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 68.668 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Jason Calacanis) | Binary |
| 68.403 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 68.385 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 67.469 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 66.854 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (David Sacks) | Binary |
| 66.724 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Liverpool) | Binary |
| 66.289 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| 65.444 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE < 3%) | Binary |
| 65.362 | Will the Kakhovka dam be breached before May 2023? | Binary |
| 65.194 | Will personal ID authentication be obligatory for new Twitter accounts on July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 64.704 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 64.263 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2024? | Binary |
| 63.875 | Which of these US infrastructure sectors will be hit by a ransomware attack by May 30, 2023? (Meatpacking) | Binary |
| 63.710 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 63.507 | Will Shanghai continue to subsidize up to 30% of investment in semiconductor materials and equipment projects within the city until 2024? | Binary |
| 62.779 | Will there be a publicly reported cyberattack against the global navigation satellite systems between April 1, 2022 and May 31, 2023? | Binary |
| 62.529 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 61.970 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| 61.810 | Does Omicron have a shorter generation interval than Delta? | Binary |
| 61.716 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%) | Binary |
| 61.591 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 61.315 | Will Turkey declare sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 60.886 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| 60.511 | On January 1, 2024, will any FAANG or Musk company accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| 59.664 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%) | Binary |
| 59.638 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 59.594 | Will Bitcoin go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 59.457 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| 59.314 | Will any US state re-implement a general indoor mask mandate before February 1st 2023? | Binary |
| 59.308 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 59.123 | In 2023, will Tether de-peg? | Binary |
| 58.748 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| 57.409 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
| 57.034 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| 56.858 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be available for free public use on Jan 31, 2023? | Binary |
| 56.857 | In 2023 will WHO declare a new Global Health Emergency? | Binary |
| 56.796 | On January 1, 2024, will the Kerch Bridge be destroyed, such that no vehicle can pass over it? | Binary |
| 56.612 | Will certain marble statues removed from Greece in the early 19th century be moved back before 2024? | Binary |
| 55.649 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| 55.298 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 55.126 | Which of these US infrastructure sectors will be hit by a ransomware attack by May 30, 2023? (Water Treatment) | Binary |
| 54.935 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| 54.083 | Will a new Office of Pandemic Preparedness and Response Policy be created if the PREVENT Pandemics Act is made law? | Binary |
| 54.065 | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 51.804 | What percentage of people in low-income countries will have recieved at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 51.026 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Elon Musk) | Binary |
| 50.106 | Will Iran disempower its Guidance Patrol "modesty police" before 2024? | Binary |
| 50.004 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.258 | What will be the price of 1 ETH on the following dates? (December 31, 2023) | Continuous |
| 49.079 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
| 48.886 | Will Binance or a subsidiary file for bankruptcy or be sold "under duress" before 2024? | Binary |
| 47.716 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Blue and White) | Binary |
| 46.132 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Yesh Atid) | Binary |
| 45.950 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 45.621 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 42.987 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 42.961 | Will Israel impose sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 42.480 | Will COVID kill at least 50% as many people in 2023 as it did in 2022? | Binary |
| 41.058 | In 2023 will AI win a programming competition? | Binary |
| 39.709 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 39.558 | Will Donald Trump post a new tweet before March 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 39.234 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 38.526 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents)? | Binary |
| 38.344 | Will pediatric cases of hepatitis with unknown origin be conclusively linked to adenovirus infection? | Binary |
| 38.260 | Will Twitter have a corporate credit rating in the "C"s or worse before July 2023? | Binary |
| 36.276 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 35.122 | In 2023, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell? | Continuous |
| 34.656 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2024? | Binary |
| 34.057 | Will a grant recipient of the FTX Foundation have their grant funds frozen, seized, or demanded back? (January 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 33.222 | Which of these US infrastructure sectors will be hit by a ransomware attack by May 30, 2023? (Aviation) | Binary |
| 33.173 | Will a grant recipient of the FTX Foundation have their grant funds frozen, seized, or demanded back? (March 1, 2023) | Binary |
| 32.683 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| 32.071 | In 2023 will a successful deepfake attempt causing real damage make the front page of a major news source? | Binary |
| 32.036 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 32.008 | Will Peter Daszak be the president of EcoHealth Alliance on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 31.759 | How many satellites will be deployed in 2022? | Continuous |
| 31.502 | Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning? | Binary |
| 31.315 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 30.874 | Will Microsoft integrate Large Language Model responses directly into Bing Search before September 30, 2023? | Binary |
| 28.768 | What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022? | Continuous |
| 28.147 | Will it become public that the FBI sought a warrant to launch an operation to disrupt web shells on private computers in 2022? | Binary |
| 27.978 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
| 27.566 | Will Sam Bankman-Fried return to US soil before February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 27.219 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
| 27.083 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 27.020 | Will Twitter make verification generally available before July 2023? | Binary |
| 26.805 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 26.613 | In 2023 will the Supreme Court rule against affirmative action? | Binary |
| 26.183 | Will the Social Democrats hold a position in government after the next Danish general election? | Binary |
| 25.405 | Will Tsinghua University bar some students from returning to the dorms for the 2023 Spring Semester? | Binary |
| 24.834 | Will OpenAI release a public API for programmatically querying ChatGPT before April 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 24.678 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| 23.051 | Will Twitter's net income be higher in 2023 than in 2022? | Binary |
| 22.868 | By December 31, 2023, will the courts block any part of the Biden Administration's plan to broadly cancel student debt? | Binary |
| 22.741 | In 2023 will Google, Meta, Amazon, or Apple release an AR headset? | Binary |
| 21.769 | When will Boris Johnson no longer hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? | Continuous |
| 21.552 | How many FLOPS will be used to train GPT-4 (if it is released)? | Continuous |
| 20.815 | Will Philip Davis cease to be Prime Minister of the Bahamas before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 20.323 | Will a decision be made to start and fund a dedicated and systematic science and technology review process at the 2022 BWC Review Conference? | Binary |
| 19.539 | Which of these US infrastructure sectors will be hit by a ransomware attack by May 30, 2023? (Gas/Oil Pipeline) | Binary |
| 18.749 | In 2023 will there be more than 25 million confirmed COVID cases in China? | Binary |
| 17.966 | In 2023, will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high? | Binary |
| 17.854 | In 2023 will Donald Trump make at least one tweet? | Binary |
| 17.453 | In 2023 will any new country join NATO? | Binary |
| 16.879 | Will Google or DeepMind release an API for a Large Language Model before April 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 16.797 | Will US CPI inflation for 2023 average above 4%? | Binary |
| 15.999 | Will China have approved cultivated meat for human consumption by 2024? | Binary |
| 15.879 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| 15.755 | In 2023 will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines? | Binary |
| 15.550 | In 2023 will a cultured meat product be available in at least one US store or restaurant for less than $30? | Binary |
| 14.478 | Will the city of Redondo Beach, CA pass a ballot initiative to adopt STAR voting in March 2023? | Binary |
| 13.895 | Will Israel arm Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 12.621 | In 2023 will OpenAI release GPT-4? | Binary |
| 12.369 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 12.131 | Will Google or DeepMind release a public interface for a Large Language Model before April 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 12.048 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| 10.814 | Will Chase Bank send a notice to customers about updates to its security protocols, referencing the threat of social engineering attacks that can be attributed to LLMs, before 2024? | Binary |
| 9.834 | Will Ukraine use American rocket systems against targets on Russian soil before July 2023? | Binary |
| 9.095 | Will the Peoples Democratic Party win the 2023 Nigerian Presidential election? | Binary |
| 8.391 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023? | Binary |
| 8.328 | When will the next major bridge collapse occur in the USA? | Continuous |
| 8.099 | Will Andrej Babiš win the next Czech Republic presidental election? | Binary |
| 8.068 | Will there be 36 or more private fusion-energy companies in 2022? | Binary |
| 7.624 | Will Russia start another wave of mobilization before the following dates? (March 1, 2023) | Binary |
| 7.527 | When will airplane travelers be free from mask mandates in the USA? | Continuous |
| 4.936 | In 2023 will Donald Trump get indicted on criminal charges? | Binary |
| 4.892 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
| 3.922 | What will be the Levelized Cost of Energy Storage in 2022? | Continuous |
| 2.308 | Will Anthropic launch a Large Language Model at the following levels of access before Sept 30, 2023? (Public) | Binary |
| 0.467 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Theresa May) | Binary |
| 0.467 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Grant Shapps) | Binary |
| 0.467 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
| 0.465 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
| 0.465 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
| 0.411 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Penny Mourdant) | Binary |
| 0.296 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
| 0.254 | Will Holden's Bet with Zvi about Omicron resolve ambiguously? | Binary |
| 0.038 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
| -0.599 | Will OpenAI offer a ChatGPT subscription for less than $25/month before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| -0.830 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Likud) | Binary |
| -5.155 | If the Australian "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" Referendum is held before 2026, what percent of voters will vote in favor? | Continuous |
| -5.179 | Will Bitcoin end 2023 above $30,000? | Binary |
| -5.622 | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2023? | Binary |
| -6.271 | If the Australian "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" Referendum is held before 2026, will it pass? | Binary |
| -7.564 | Will Russia start another wave of mobilization before the following dates? (July 1, 2023) | Binary |
| -7.780 | Will the US PREVENT Pandemics Act be made into law before February 2023? | Binary |
| -7.898 | Will OPEC raise its forecast for 2023 global oil demand in its January 2023 report? | Binary |
| -8.570 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| -8.857 | Will the Supreme Court overturn California's Proposition 12 in National Pork Producers Council v. Ross before 2024? | Binary |
| -8.925 | Will China adopt any legislation or regulations to prevent contamination of the environment with antimicrobials by 2024? | Binary |
| -9.704 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2024? | Binary |
| -10.303 | Will the TSA extend or reimpose a mask mandate on public transportation before 2024? | Binary |
| -11.340 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| -13.299 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
| -13.325 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| -15.640 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
| -21.577 | Will Twitter's average monetizable daily users be higher in 2023 than in 2022? | Binary |
| -22.725 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| -25.783 | Will a mainstream voice assistant use freeform dialog based on a large language model before end of 2023? | Binary |
| -31.138 | Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -35.709 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| -36.626 | In 2023, will an image model win Scott Alexander’s bet on compositionality, to Edwin Chen’s satisfaction? | Binary |
| -46.841 | Will Saudi Arabia and Iran restore diplomatic relations by 2024? | Binary |
| -50.263 | Will the Shanghai index of Chinese stocks go up over 2023? | Binary |
| -52.519 | When will the CMMC (Cybersecurity Maturity Model Certification) 2.0 rule-making process conclude? | Continuous |
| -58.177 | Will there be a collision or ramming incident between a military vessel or military aircraft of Russia or Belarus, and one of a NATO country, before 2024? | Binary |
| -67.252 | In 2023, will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit? | Binary |
| -70.422 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| -72.045 | Will PredictIt be open for trading in the US on March 16, 2023? | Binary |
| -77.198 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| -78.121 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%) | Binary |
| -83.792 | Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard by June 30, 2023? | Binary |
| -84.536 | Will Brendan Fraser win an Oscar in 2023? | Binary |
| -84.744 | When will Zelenskyy next be pictured in a suit on his Instagram? | Continuous |
| -87.447 | What will be the number of unmanned aircraft sightings (UAS) in 2022? | Continuous |
| -103.431 | Will Johnny Depp receive a film contract from a major film studio by January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -111.609 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -163.430 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| -168.891 | Will the 3.47 second Rubik's Cube world record be broken by July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| -214.789 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| -291.074 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| -325.533 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (New York Giants) | Binary |