128.373 | What will the GDP of the UK be (in billions GBP), given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest? (2022) | Continuous |
106.989 | How many cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure will be conducted by Russian-based hackers between March 1, 2022 and June 1, 2022? | Continuous |
98.463 | Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023? | Binary |
98.460 | Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023? | Binary |
98.341 | Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
97.964 | Will a cyber action or series of cyber actions trigger NATO’s Article 5 in 2022? | Binary |
97.806 | Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023? | Binary |
97.743 | [Short fuse]: Will Russia assume responsibility and apologize for the Przewodów strike before December? | Binary |
97.291 | Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
97.286 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
96.596 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
96.387 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Leslyn Lewis) | Binary |
96.387 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Roman Baber) | Binary |
96.386 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Scott Aitchison) | Binary |
96.304 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
96.139 | Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023? | Binary |
95.817 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Rwanda) | Binary |
95.621 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Nadhim Zahawi) | Binary |
95.424 | Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
95.353 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Mauritania) | Binary |
95.353 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Sierra Leone) | Binary |
95.311 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
95.246 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Senegal) | Binary |
95.246 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Liberia) | Binary |
95.109 | Will Sumy be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
94.790 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Dominic Raab) | Binary |
94.765 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Steve Baker) | Binary |
94.602 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Gabon) | Binary |
94.578 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
94.317 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Lesotho) | Binary |
94.260 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2022) | Binary |
93.866 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Michael Gove) | Binary |
93.763 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guinea) | Binary |
93.578 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Priti Patel) | Binary |
93.559 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Bolivia) | Binary |
93.519 | Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022? | Binary |
93.404 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Tom Tugendhat) | Binary |
93.383 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Cambodia) | Binary |
93.121 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guinea-Bissau) | Binary |
93.108 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guatemala) | Binary |
93.075 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Eswatini (Swaziland)) | Binary |
92.976 | What will be the maximum price reached for Ethereum by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
92.449 | Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
92.381 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Morocco) | Binary |
92.379 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Equatorial Guinea) | Binary |
92.231 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
92.230 | Will Twitter's board accept an acquisition offer from someone other than Elon Musk before 2023? | Binary |
91.985 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Korea DPR) | Binary |
91.836 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Philadelphia Phillies) | Binary |
91.749 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Jean Charest) | Binary |
91.748 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Nicaragua) | Binary |
91.593 | Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022? | Binary |
91.363 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Kemi Badenoch) | Binary |
91.042 | Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022? | Binary |
91.030 | What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2022) | Continuous |
90.598 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Tajikistan) | Binary |
90.544 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Morocco) | Binary |
90.477 | Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
90.324 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Djibouti) | Binary |
89.777 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
89.295 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Pierre Poilievre) | Binary |
89.263 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Croatia) | Binary |
89.059 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Switzerland) | Binary |
88.896 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022? | Binary |
88.895 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Eritrea) | Binary |
88.861 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Honduras) | Binary |
88.833 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Tanzania) | Binary |
88.760 | Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut the Kerch Strait Cable before 2023? | Binary |
88.732 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Zimbabwe) | Binary |
88.694 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Grant Shapps) | Binary |
88.647 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Sajid Javid) | Binary |
88.598 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (South Korea) | Binary |
88.532 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Japan) | Binary |
88.144 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Saudi Riyal SAR) | Binary |
88.126 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Senegal) | Binary |
88.068 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Poland) | Binary |
87.979 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Burundi) | Binary |
87.973 | Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
87.671 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Australia) | Binary |
87.618 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (El Salvador) | Binary |
87.581 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (United States of America) | Binary |
87.265 | Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022? | Binary |
87.218 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Serbia) | Binary |
87.217 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Cameroon) | Binary |
87.145 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ghana) | Binary |
86.997 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (George Wajackoyah) | Binary |
86.744 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Costa Rica) | Binary |
86.402 | Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut an undersea internet cable before 2023? | Binary |
86.193 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Tunisia) | Binary |
86.192 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Mexico) | Binary |
86.192 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
86.017 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cleveland Guardians) | Binary |
86.004 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Angola) | Binary |
85.824 | Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
85.816 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ecuador) | Binary |
85.814 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Iran) | Binary |
85.814 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Wales) | Binary |
85.708 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Denmark) | Binary |
85.279 | Will Beto O'Rourke win the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election? | Binary |
85.257 | Will Elizabeth Kim win the Democratic primary for New York's 10th congressional district in 2022? | Binary |
85.028 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Seattle Mariners) | Binary |
84.841 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Canada) | Binary |
84.517 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Côte d'Ivoire) | Binary |
84.493 | Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
84.345 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022? | Binary |
84.208 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay) | Binary |
83.855 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Qatar) | Binary |
83.629 | Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
83.625 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Indian Rupee ₹) | Binary |
83.624 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Kenya) | Binary |
83.484 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Diego Padres) | Binary |
83.353 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Penny Mordaunt) | Binary |
83.265 | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
83.049 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Portugal) | Binary |
82.995 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Togo) | Binary |
82.818 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Iranian Rial IRR) | Binary |
82.658 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 30) | Continuous |
82.162 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Mexican Peso $) | Binary |
81.550 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Alex Jones) | Binary |
80.755 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Netherlands) | Binary |
80.604 | How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023? | Continuous |
80.311 | Will CAIDA measure a major disruption of the Ukrainian internet for 24 hours before August 2022? | Binary |
80.163 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Nepal) | Binary |
79.363 | By December 31, 2022, will at least 10,000 US troops move into Ukraine? | Binary |
79.206 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (66) | Binary |
78.616 | Will Leondra Kruger be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023? | Binary |
78.566 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Tampa Bay Rays) | Binary |
78.469 | Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
78.453 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
78.453 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Teimour Radjabov) | Binary |
78.363 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Atlanta Braves) | Binary |
78.255 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Texas Rangers) | Binary |
78.254 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Kansas City Royals) | Binary |
78.254 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Detroit Tigers) | Binary |
78.253 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Boston Red Sox) | Binary |
78.253 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Colorado Rockies) | Binary |
78.253 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Arizona Diamondbacks) | Binary |
78.252 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cincinnati Reds) | Binary |
78.252 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago Cubs) | Binary |
78.251 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Washington Nationals) | Binary |
78.071 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (St. Louis Cardinals) | Binary |
78.020 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Miami Marlins) | Binary |
77.464 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Belgium) | Binary |
77.463 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Baltimore Orioles) | Binary |
77.462 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Pittsburgh Pirates) | Binary |
77.272 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Chinese Yuan Renminbi ¥) | Binary |
77.105 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Angels) | Binary |
76.787 | Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024? | Binary |
76.771 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Oakland Athletics) | Binary |
76.569 | Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
76.462 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (European Union Euro €) | Binary |
76.420 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Francisco Giants) | Binary |
76.370 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Milo Yiannopoulos) | Binary |
76.281 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Minnesota Twins) | Binary |
76.234 | Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus? | Binary |
76.178 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
75.942 | Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023? | Binary |
75.567 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Richárd Rapport) | Binary |
75.301 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago White Sox) | Binary |
75.002 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
74.713 | Will the DART asteroid mission successfully impact in 2022? | Binary |
74.633 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Graham MacDonald) | Binary |
74.629 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Nour Kadri) | Binary |
74.624 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Jacob Solomon) | Binary |
74.623 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Mike Maguire) | Binary |
74.621 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Celine Debassige) | Binary |
74.618 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Bernard Couchman) | Binary |
74.617 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Ade Olumide) | Binary |
74.591 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Zed Chebib) | Binary |
74.588 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Brandon Bay) | Binary |
74.559 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Lao PDR) | Binary |
74.161 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Germany) | Binary |
74.080 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
74.064 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Toronto Blue Jays) | Binary |
74.059 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Milwaukee Brewers) | Binary |
74.026 | Will Boris Johnson be charged with any criminal offence before 2023? | Binary |
73.385 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (England) | Binary |
73.293 | Will a Republican be elected governor of Maryland in 2022? | Binary |
73.083 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Marine Le Pen) | Binary |
73.057 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Spain) | Binary |
73.011 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
72.842 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
72.547 | Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023? | Binary |
72.309 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Gregory Jreg Guevara) | Binary |
72.182 | Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
71.809 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (David Waihiga Mwaure) | Binary |
71.750 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
71.642 | Will at least four REvil gang members be in prison on May 15, 2022? | Binary |
71.552 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Other) | Binary |
71.326 | Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
71.304 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Param Singh) | Binary |
71.211 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Bob Chiarelli) | Binary |
71.210 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Jared Taylor) | Binary |
71.054 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Bangladeshi Taka ৳) | Binary |
70.913 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022) | Continuous |
70.735 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Indonesian Rupiah Rp) | Binary |
70.437 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Benin) | Binary |
70.408 | Will a new zero day vulnerability be exploited against and result in the compromise of 100 million Americans’ personal information by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
70.076 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Jean-Luc Mélenchon) | Binary |
69.972 | How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
69.854 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Mets) | Binary |
69.806 | Will Tether collapse before 2023? | Binary |
69.752 | Will Carrick Flynn win the general election for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
69.412 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023? | Binary |
69.368 | Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022? | Binary |
69.191 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023? | Binary |
69.114 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (65) | Binary |
69.035 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
68.996 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (France) | Binary |
68.804 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Ding Liren) | Binary |
68.311 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (64) | Binary |
68.019 | Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
67.473 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Tila Tequila) | Binary |
67.012 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
66.538 | Will Russian or Belarusian troops cross the land border between Belarus and either the Volyn or Rivne oblasts before 2023? | Binary |
66.184 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
66.176 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Carlos Sainz) | Binary |
66.146 | Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
66.112 | Will Niger experience a coup before 2023? | Binary |
66.095 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Sergio Perez) | Binary |
66.029 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Lewis Hamilton) | Binary |
65.874 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (George Russell) | Binary |
65.603 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
65.580 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023? | Binary |
65.443 | What percentage of monkeypox cases in California will be among cisgender men who are gay/same-gender loving or bisexual? | Continuous |
65.344 | Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
65.049 | How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
64.484 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
64.339 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Matthias Blübaum) | Binary |
64.112 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 1, 2022) | Continuous |
64.047 | Will Ron DeSantis be re-elected as Governor of Florida in 2022? | Binary |
63.776 | Will China make a successful, major cyberattack on Taiwanese critical infrastructure before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
63.699 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
63.533 | Will Stacey Abrams be elected Governor of Georgia in 2022? | Binary |
63.357 | What will the US effective fed funds rate be in the following years? (2022) | Continuous |
63.314 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Brazil) | Binary |
63.016 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
62.987 | On how many days in 2022 will U.S. hospital admissions (for COVID) exceed the pre-2022 peak? | Continuous |
62.967 | In 2022, how many people will be charged by US DOJ with seditious conspiracy in connection with the Jan 6 Capitol attack? | Continuous |
62.920 | Will Kassym-Jomart Tokayev exit the Presidency of Kazakhstan in 2022? | Binary |
62.806 | Will Facebook decide to make the weights of the 175B parameter model publicly available before 2023? | Binary |
62.664 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Hjörvar Steinn Grétarsson) | Binary |
62.606 | Will the weights of the 175B parameter model be made publicly available via a leak or hack by 2023? | Binary |
62.299 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)) | Binary |
61.239 | If Republicans win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 election, who will be the next Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives? (Rep. Drew Ferguson) | Binary |
61.127 | Will any single cyberattack in 2022 result in damages over $10 billion? | Binary |
61.045 | Will it become public that the United States launched a cyber attack between Jan 1, 2022 and April 30, 2022 against infrastructure associated with Russian cyber operators or proxies? | Binary |
61.032 | Will the New York Times place Wordle (or any currently existing part of Wordle) behind a paywall during 2022? | Binary |
60.997 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
60.770 | Will there be a successful cyberattack on the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | Binary |
60.707 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
60.450 | What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 16th, 2022? | Continuous |
60.120 | How much will China spend on importing diodes and semiconductors in 2022? | Continuous |
59.788 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Polish złoty ł) | Binary |
59.582 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Yankees) | Binary |
59.509 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
59.257 | Will PredictIt default on its obligation to allow its users to withdraw funds before 2023? | Binary |
59.248 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
58.931 | Will Doug Mastriano be elected Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022? | Binary |
58.909 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Brazillian Real R$) | Binary |
58.778 | Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
58.691 | Will the Buffalo Bills win their NFL football game on Thanksgiving? | Binary |
58.545 | Will the Senate Commerce committee reach an agreement on preemption for a federal data security and data privacy law in 2022? | Binary |
58.353 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Charles Leclerc) | Binary |
58.225 | Will the British pound trade below $1 before 2023? | Binary |
58.213 | How many seats will Democrats win in the US House of Representatives in 2022? | Continuous |
57.568 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Binary |
57.186 | Will James Charles have more than 25 million Youtube subscribers by January 1, 2023? | Binary |
57.049 | Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
56.921 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
56.656 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
56.522 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
56.050 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Thai Baht ฿) | Binary |
55.942 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
55.373 | What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (September 1, 2022) | Continuous |
55.189 | Will a cyberattack using the Log4J exploit cause $20 million in damage to a single target before September 1, 2022? | Binary |
55.184 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Élisabeth Borne) | Binary |
55.010 | Will any Fields Medal winner boycott ICM 2022 for political reasons? | Binary |
54.987 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
54.372 | Will there be a Tau variant of COVID by Tau Day (June 28, 2022)? | Binary |
54.304 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (61) | Binary |
54.048 | How many seats will Democrats hold in the US Senate after 2022 midterm elections? | Continuous |
53.847 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
53.775 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Max Verstappen) | Binary |
53.559 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (India) | Binary |
53.396 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (November 19) | Continuous |
52.654 | How many countries will confirm at least one case of monkeypox by July 31, 2022? | Continuous |
52.534 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Dodgers) | Binary |
52.336 | Will Ukraine acknowledge having fired the missile that killed two people in Przewodów, Poland, before 2023? | Binary |
52.318 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 16) | Continuous |
51.885 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Papua New Guinea) | Binary |
51.532 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
51.345 | If Republicans win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 election, who will be the next Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives? (Rep. Jim Banks) | Binary |
51.218 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 30) | Continuous |
51.115 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
50.489 | How many subscribers will the Effective Altruism subreddit have on January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
50.115 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Nigerian Naira ₦) | Binary |
49.479 | Will Xi Jinping be re-elected paramount leader in 2022? | Binary |
48.568 | What will be the US unemployment rate in October 2022? | Continuous |
48.081 | Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
47.649 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 16) | Continuous |
47.340 | Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
47.238 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
47.204 | What percentage "yes" will Elon Musk's Twitter poll have for reinstating Trump? | Continuous |
46.684 | How many Japanese Encephalitis deaths will there be in Australia before July 2022? | Continuous |
46.315 | Will Russia officially declare war on Ukraine or announce its intent to do so by May 9, 2022? | Binary |
46.258 | What will be the price of 1 ETH on the following dates? (December 31, 2022) | Continuous |
46.242 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
45.562 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
45.454 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Wesley So) | Binary |
45.274 | How many civilian casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian War will there be before May 2022? | Continuous |
44.992 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (63) | Binary |
44.863 | Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
44.449 | Will Ontario's Conservative Party (PC) win the a majority in the election on 2022-06-02? | Binary |
44.429 | How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
44.390 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
44.353 | What will be Turkey's inflation rate on the following dates? (October 2022) | Continuous |
44.298 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 1, 2022) | Continuous |
43.649 | Will UK initiate its rota load shedding plan during 2022-2023 winter? | Binary |
43.418 | What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in California as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
43.246 | Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023? | Binary |
43.174 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Democratic Republic of Congo) | Binary |
43.061 | What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in New York as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
41.791 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
41.398 | What will be the 7-day average of % people wearing masks most or all of the time in public in Virginia on April 15th, 2022? | Continuous |
40.973 | How much crude oil will the US import from Russia in 2022? | Continuous |
40.595 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy's image appear on the cover of Time's 2022 Person of the Year issue, more prominently than any other person's image? | Binary |
40.535 | What will state-of-the-art top-1 accuracy on the APPS Benchmark introductory problems be from 2022 to 2025? (2022) | Continuous |
39.910 | Will North Korea have internet failures on 4 or more days between March 8, 2022 and August 1, 2022? | Binary |
39.749 | What percentage of participants who adhere to the diet in the SMTM potato study and start with a BMI > 25 will lose 20 lbs or more over 4 weeks? | Continuous |
39.625 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 15h of April, 2022? | Continuous |
39.121 | Will the US claim that a Russian disinformation campaign attempted to influence the 2022 midterm elections? | Binary |
38.761 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
37.419 | Will the US Government designate Russia a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" by 2023? | Binary |
37.343 | Will Queen Elizabeth II abdicate in 2022? | Binary |
36.695 | How much crude oil will the US hold in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as of December 2022? | Continuous |
36.677 | What will be the approval rating of Vladimir Putin in December 2022? | Continuous |
36.391 | Will Mehmet Oz win the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? | Binary |
36.239 | Will Rick Caruso be elected Mayor of Los Angeles in 2022? | Binary |
36.112 | When will China end Covid Zero? | Continuous |
36.009 | [Short Fuse] How many attendees will be at the next Metaculus Meetup? (October 2022) | Continuous |
34.642 | Will Blake Masters win the 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona? | Binary |
33.987 | Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022? | Binary |
33.897 | Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022? | Binary |
33.840 | Will a cyberattack target a major system's data integrity before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
33.083 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
32.921 | Before 2023, will the US CDC recommend the general use of the monkeypox vaccine for all men who have sex with men in the US? | Binary |
32.859 | What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 May 2022? | Continuous |
32.584 | In the next round of FITARA (Federal Information Technology Acquisition Reform Act) scoring, will the median cyber grade for the covered federal departments and agencies come out as a “B-” or higher? | Binary |
32.232 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
32.151 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
31.815 | Will a cyberattack directly cause one or more deaths in 2022? | Binary |
31.703 | Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022? | Binary |
31.528 | What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (November 1, 2022) | Continuous |
30.942 | Will Hans Niemann and Magnus Carlsen play more than 1 move (2 ply) in one or more games against each other in the World Rapid and Blitz Chess Championship 2022? | Binary |
30.539 | How many Virginia counties will have their COVID-19 Community Level classified as 'High' as of April 14th update? | Continuous |
29.037 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
28.516 | If Republicans win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 election, who will be the next Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives? (Rep. Tom Emmer) | Binary |
27.969 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Canada as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
27.617 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
27.333 | What percent of voters will vote in favor of Sioux Falls' 2022 Slaughterhouse ballot question? | Continuous |
26.959 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Russian Ruble ₽) | Binary |
26.697 | How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
26.382 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Argentine Peso $) | Binary |
26.273 | What will be the total number of fish that Fish Welfare Initiative (FWI) claims to have helped by 2023? | Continuous |
26.124 | When will Paxlovid be given FDA authorization or approval for patients who are not high-risk? | Continuous |
25.289 | [Short Fuse] Will Raphael Warnock defeat Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff on Tuesday? | Binary |
25.164 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
25.098 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 19) | Continuous |
24.629 | Will Omicron XE be the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the US before June 19, 2022? | Binary |
24.465 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
24.281 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 25th of March, 2022? | Continuous |
24.026 | Will Ron Johnson win the 2022 Wisconsin US Senate election? | Binary |
23.085 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 25th, 2022? | Continuous |
22.774 | Will Environment and Climate Change Canada register a white Christmas – snow on the ground on December 25th – for Toronto? | Binary |
22.460 | Will Éric Zemmour win the French presidential election in 2022? | Binary |
22.339 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in New York as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
21.467 | Will the European Central Bank raise interest rates in 2022? | Binary |
21.421 | Will Éric Zemmour be in the 2nd round of the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
20.971 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 16) | Continuous |
20.840 | What percent of voters will vote in favor of the Swiss 2022 Bio Suisse Animal Welfare referendum question? | Continuous |
20.622 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on March 25, 2022? | Continuous |
20.619 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
19.988 | In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, "Robots/AIs may be harmful to future generations of people."? | Continuous |
19.596 | Will the U.S. Congress pass legislation authorizing at least $50 billion to the semiconductor industry before May 1, 2022? | Binary |
19.080 | Will Raphael Warnock be re-elected in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia? | Binary |
18.941 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 22nd, 2022? | Continuous |
18.911 | Will the US executive branch attempt to ban or otherwise further limit ransomware payments in 2022? | Binary |
18.847 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
18.198 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (Raila Odinga) | Binary |
18.070 | Will Brandy Bottone, the pregnant woman pulled over in Texas for an HOV lane violation, be found guilty in court? | Binary |
17.666 | In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults answered “Yes” to the statement, “Do you think it could ever be possible for robots/AIs to be sentient?” | Continuous |
17.626 | How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
17.532 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Pakistan) | Binary |
17.239 | What percentage of participants who adhere to the diet in the SMTM potato study and start with a BMI > 30 will lose 20 lbs or more over 4 weeks? | Continuous |
16.654 | Will David Segal win the RI-2 Democratic primary? | Binary |
16.187 | What will be the market capitalization of Netflix on December 1, 2022? | Continuous |
16.057 | Will Pakistan default on its debt in 2022? | Binary |
15.779 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Uganda) | Binary |
15.491 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
15.311 | What will be Putin's approval rating value 3 months after the potential invasion of Ukraine? | Continuous |
15.206 | How far ahead or behind of Labour will the UK's Conservative Party be in the polls on October 6, 2022? | Continuous |
15.142 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Bangladesh) | Binary |
13.658 | What will the estimated cybersecurity workforce gap for the United States be on October 15, 2022? | Continuous |
13.402 | Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022? | Binary |
12.792 | Will Sarah Palin be elected as US Representative for Alaska in 2022? | Binary |
12.213 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
12.210 | What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 2nd, 2022? | Continuous |
11.901 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (October 2022) | Continuous |
11.652 | When will desktop Intel Arc Alchemist GPUs launch? | Continuous |
11.129 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
10.994 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
10.789 | How many new Pokemon will Pokemon Scarlet and Violet introduce? | Continuous |
8.691 | How many smallsat launches will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
8.604 | Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa no longer be the President of Sri Lanka before 2023? | Binary |
8.571 | Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022? | Binary |
8.230 | Will Carrick Flynn win the Democratic primary for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
8.061 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 16) | Continuous |
7.471 | What percentage of people who try the diet in the SMTM potato study will report an increase in mood? | Continuous |
7.254 | Will Viktor Orbán win the 2022 Hungarian Parliamentary Election? | Binary |
6.238 | When will the Apple Watch Series 8 be available for pre-order? | Continuous |
6.187 | By December 31, 2022, will the US federal government announce an extension of the pause on federal student loan repayments? | Binary |
5.886 | Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023? | Binary |
5.838 | What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022? | Continuous |
5.672 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Catherine McKenney) | Binary |
5.520 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022) | Continuous |
4.977 | Will a popular online identity verification service be breached in 2022? | Binary |
4.968 | Will Russia default on its debt in 2022? | Binary |
4.842 | What percentage of people who sign up for the SMTM potato study will complete all 4 weeks of the diet? | Continuous |
4.445 | Before 2023, will FTX.US default or suspend payment to at least one FTX.US user? | Binary |
3.870 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will the United States cut Russian banks off from the SWIFT system by 2023? | Binary |
3.708 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022? | Binary |
3.563 | Will China abandon their zero-covid strategy before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
3.140 | Will Liverpool win the 2021-2022 Premier League? | Binary |
2.806 | Will more than 20,000 people die within 28 days of a positive Covid test in the UK in 2022? | Binary |
2.585 | Will the Kenyan Supreme court nullify the results of the 2022 Presidential Election? | Binary |
1.826 | If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto? | Binary |
1.752 | Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022? | Binary |
1.611 | Will Jaedon Whyte qualify for the USA IMO team before 2023? | Binary |
1.190 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 2) | Continuous |
0.845 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 2) | Continuous |
0.590 | Will the US make any new commitment of over $1M for the prevention of biological weapons deployment at the 2022 BWC Review Conference? | Binary |
0.387 | Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
0.303 | Will the US sanction Russian oil or gas before 2023? | Binary |
- | Keynesian Groupy Contest: interquartile range (KBCs are the best) | Binary |
- | Keynesian Groupy Contest: interquartile range (KBCs are the best) | Binary |
-0.082 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 2) | Continuous |
-0.127 | Will there be a female Fields Medalist in 2022? | Binary |
-0.294 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 2) | Continuous |
-0.703 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
-1.320 | Will an impactful penetration of a software supply chain be discovered by a party other than themselves in 2022? | Binary |
-2.438 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
-2.490 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
-3.543 | What percent of ransomware victims whose data was encrypted will report paying a ransom in 2022? | Continuous |
-3.906 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Liz Truss) | Binary |
-4.854 | Will the number of Chinese military aircraft entering Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) exceed 60 on any single day in 2022? | Binary |
-5.419 | Will Wales score a goal against England on Tuesday? | Binary |
-5.597 | Will the Israeli Labor Party run alone? | Binary |
-6.290 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 2) | Continuous |
-6.806 | Will there be a bilateral ceasefire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2023? | Binary |
-7.274 | Will Seattle's Approval Voting ballot initiative (Initiative 134) pass? | Binary |
-7.569 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
-7.990 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
-8.023 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 30) | Continuous |
-10.180 | Will Catherine Cortez Masto be re-elected in the 2022 US Senate election in Nevada? | Binary |
-10.749 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
-12.104 | How many scheduled airline flights within, into, or out of the United States will be canceled on Wednesday, November 23rd (the day before Thanksgiving), as reported by FlightAware? | Continuous |
-12.162 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
-12.347 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Pakistani Rupee ₨) | Binary |
-13.529 | Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023? | Binary |
-13.899 | Will "Counterfeit Diversity: How Strategically Misrepresenting Gender Diversity Dampens Organizations’ Perceived Sincerity and Elevates Women’s Identity Threat Concerns" (JPSP, 2022) replicate? | Continuous |
-14.717 | How many acres will burn in wildfires in California in 2022? | Continuous |
-15.565 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in California as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
-18.129 | Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-18.457 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 2) | Continuous |
-18.998 | What percent of global organizations will experience a successful email-based phishing attack in 2022? | Continuous |
-22.761 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
-23.448 | What will total NATO defense spending be in 2022? | Continuous |
-23.954 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 16) | Continuous |
-25.061 | Will a DDoS attack of greater than 3.5TPS occur in 2022? | Binary |
-25.849 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (William Ruto) | Binary |
-26.276 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
-26.372 | In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, “I support a global ban on the development of sentience in robots/AIs.”? | Continuous |
-28.282 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
-29.374 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
-29.415 | Will Solana be in the top-10 cryptocurrencies by market cap on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-29.580 | How many ransomware attacks against U.S. educational institutions will be reported in 2022? | Continuous |
-35.102 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Mark Sutcliffe) | Binary |
-35.121 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
-35.502 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
-37.169 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (62) | Binary |
-38.525 | Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022? | Binary |
-39.270 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
-43.759 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (November 19) | Continuous |
-43.985 | Will the study “Knowledge about others reduces one’s own sense of anonymity” (Nature, 2022) replicate? | Binary |
-45.739 | [Short Fuse] Will Top Gun: Maverick win Favorite Movie at the 2022 People's Choice Awards? | Binary |
-47.927 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (November 5) | Continuous |
-50.003 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
-52.629 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
-53.551 | Will Rafael Nadal make it to the semifinals of every Grand Slam in 2022? | Binary |
-60.061 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Turkish Lira ₺) | Binary |
-60.473 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (November 5) | Continuous |
-60.555 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
-63.729 | Will 2022 venture capital investment in cybersecurity companies surpass 2021? | Binary |
-65.713 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (November 5) | Continuous |
-68.988 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (November 19) | Continuous |
-77.149 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Egyptian Pound £E) | Binary |
-80.388 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
-81.540 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 16) | Continuous |
-86.544 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
-92.018 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
-93.248 | What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (January 1, 2023) | Continuous |
-111.176 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 30) | Continuous |
-121.353 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (November 5) | Continuous |
-125.191 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (November 5) | Continuous |
-125.207 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
-125.943 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (November 5) | Continuous |
-128.017 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Laura Loomer) | Binary |
-129.147 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (November 19) | Continuous |
-136.582 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
-142.262 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (November 19) | Continuous |
-145.295 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
-145.541 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (November 19) | Continuous |
-149.460 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 30) | Continuous |
-156.406 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 30) | Continuous |
-170.658 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
-175.942 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Houston Astros) | Binary |
-179.288 | How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022? | Continuous |
-182.669 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
-207.577 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Argentina) | Binary |