JonathanShi

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2022

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6.507k	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
176.128	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
173.096	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
169.823	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
165.303	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
134.520	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of March, 2022?	Continuous
129.068	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 25th of March, 2022?	Continuous
123.113	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on March 11, 2022?	Continuous
115.763	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
113.732	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Feb 5)	Continuous
113.294	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 4th of March, 2022?	Continuous
112.520	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on March 25, 2022?	Continuous
104.500	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
104.158	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Feb 19)	Continuous
102.377	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Feb 18, 2022?	Continuous
101.280	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Mar 4, 2022?	Continuous
101.254	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Jan 22)	Continuous
97.646	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022?	Binary
96.722	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022?	Binary
96.523	What will be the reported number of 7-day average new Covid-19 cases in Mainland China on 2022-02-28?	Continuous
96.366	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022?	Binary
95.577	Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023?	Binary
95.473	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on February 11th, 2022?	Continuous
95.181	Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023?	Binary
94.963	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Feb 5)	Continuous
94.149	Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?	Binary
92.896	Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023?	Binary
92.229	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 18th of February, 2022?	Continuous
91.654	Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?	Binary
91.178	Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
90.729	Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
89.186	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Jan 22)	Continuous
88.331	Will any Fields Medal winner boycott ICM 2022 for political reasons?	Binary
87.662	By December 31, 2022, will at least 10,000 US troops move into Ukraine?	Binary
84.397	How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022?	Continuous
83.700	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Jan 22)	Continuous
83.025	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 11th, 2022?	Continuous
81.983	Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022?	Binary
80.619	Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus?	Binary
77.749	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 5)	Continuous
76.083	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Feb 19)	Continuous
75.000	Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023?	Binary
73.987	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Feb, 11 2022?	Continuous
72.587	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of February, 2022?	Continuous
72.493	When will Paxlovid be given FDA authorization or approval for patients who are not high-risk?	Continuous
69.784	What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 May 2022?	Continuous
69.354	Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
68.756	If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto?	Binary
68.737	Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
65.679	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023?	Binary
64.503	Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
62.975	How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022?	Continuous
62.361	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Jan 28, 2022?	Continuous
61.802	Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?	Binary
57.509	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 5)	Continuous
56.984	How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023?	Continuous
56.433	Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022?	Binary
55.967	Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023?	Binary
55.654	Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
54.842	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Feb 5)	Continuous
52.857	Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022?	Binary
51.942	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 19)	Continuous
50.766	Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022?	Binary
49.993	Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022?	Binary
48.752	Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
48.749	Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?	Binary
46.848	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 19)	Continuous
46.848	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Feb 19)	Continuous
46.630	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Mar 5)	Continuous
46.427	Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022?	Binary
46.258	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 28th of January, 2022?	Continuous
46.245	Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022?	Binary
43.933	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
40.885	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
39.210	Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022?	Binary
38.345	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022?	Binary
38.117	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Jan 22)	Continuous
35.471	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Mar 5)	Continuous
35.428	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Mar 5)	Continuous
34.832	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Feb 5)	Continuous
34.349	Will Princeton cancel in person classes in January 2022?	Binary
31.424	Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?	Binary
29.919	Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?	Binary
27.611	Will Russia invade Ukraine before February 1, 2022?	Binary
24.656	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
24.598	By February 6, 2022, will the James Webb Space Telescope successfully see First Light?	Binary
24.511	What will be the approval rating of Vladimir Putin in December 2022?	Continuous
22.904	What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022?	Continuous
22.682	In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, "Robots/AIs may be harmful to future generations of people."?	Continuous
22.402	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Mar 5)	Continuous
22.343	In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults answered “Yes” to the statement, “Do you think it could ever be possible for robots/AIs to be sentient?”	Continuous
20.323	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 5)	Continuous
18.677	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
18.124	In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, “I support granting legal rights to sentient robots/AIs.”?	Continuous
15.750	Will Tether collapse before 2023?	Binary
14.706	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Feb 19)	Continuous
12.197	How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022?	Continuous
11.592	What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
11.586	Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022?	Binary
10.897	How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
9.831	What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
9.189	What will be Putin's approval rating value 3 months after the potential invasion of Ukraine?	Continuous
8.329	Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022?	Binary
7.612	Will Russia default on its debt in 2022?	Binary
7.587	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Mar 5)	Continuous
7.438	Before 2022-04-01, will martial law be on in any five federal subjects of Russia excluding all the territories annexed after 2013?	Binary
7.129	Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by December 31, 2022?	Binary
4.412	Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022?	Binary
4.298	If Russia invades Ukraine, will the United States cut Russian banks off from the SWIFT system by 2023?	Binary
3.558	Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
1.770	Will the US sanction Russian oil or gas before 2023?	Binary
1.075	Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?	Binary
0.502	Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023?	Binary
0.163	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Jan 22)	Continuous
-0.147	In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, “I support a global ban on the development of sentience in robots/AIs.”?	Continuous
-2.950	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
-3.559	Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
-3.799	[short fuse] Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in 2022?	Binary
-17.056	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
-17.869	Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022?	Binary
-20.331	Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023?	Binary
-66.377	In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, “The welfare of robots/AIs is one of the most important social issues in the world today.”?	Continuous
-68.405	Will the UK authorise fourth doses of Covid vaccines for healthy adults in 2022?	Binary
-94.468	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Jan 22)	Continuous