125.168 | How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
99.255 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
99.158 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
98.510 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
98.455 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
97.340 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
97.254 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
96.624 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
96.188 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
96.078 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
95.902 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
95.594 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
95.531 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
94.766 | Will the Duke or Duchess of Sussex file for divorce before Mar 8, 2022? | Binary |
94.655 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
94.548 | What will be the maximum CPI inflation measured in 2022? | Continuous |
94.323 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
91.564 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
91.388 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
90.784 | Will the United States Senate vote to expel a Senator before January 3, 2023? | Binary |
90.536 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
90.212 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
89.915 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
89.743 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
89.479 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
87.958 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
86.963 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
86.466 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
86.380 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
85.306 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
85.048 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
83.729 | Will the Omicron variant be more lethal than Delta? | Binary |
83.107 | How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024? | Continuous |
81.429 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
80.551 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
80.127 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
78.161 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
77.240 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
76.823 | Will there be a US-Iran war by 2024? | Binary |
76.471 | Will Republicans control the United States Senate on 2022-10-31? | Binary |
75.709 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
75.170 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
75.126 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
74.142 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
73.814 | What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election? | Continuous |
73.092 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
72.364 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2023? | Binary |
71.988 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
71.613 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
68.886 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
68.778 | Will a NATO nuclear-sharing country sign the TPNW by the end of 2022? | Binary |
67.442 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
66.722 | Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU? | Binary |
65.221 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
64.663 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
64.150 | Will the U.S. CDC classify Omicron as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before 2023? | Binary |
63.345 | Will the Omicron variant be less lethal than Delta? | Binary |
62.649 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
62.143 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
61.967 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
61.307 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
61.299 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
60.369 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
60.369 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
60.369 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
60.369 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
60.369 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
59.914 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
59.610 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
59.603 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
59.603 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
59.603 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
59.588 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
59.573 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
59.516 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
59.501 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
59.483 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
59.449 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
59.407 | When will Omicron become the predominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the U.S.? | Continuous |
59.291 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
59.237 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
58.996 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
58.157 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
57.962 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
57.067 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
56.394 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
55.897 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
53.458 | What will be the price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana in 2025? | Continuous |
50.082 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
48.168 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
47.909 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
44.258 | Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023? | Binary |
43.987 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
41.279 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
39.370 | Will the 2022 Winter Olympics be completed fully and as scheduled? | Binary |
36.753 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
36.171 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
34.112 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
33.622 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
33.048 | Will the 117th United States Senate change the filibuster rules during its session? | Binary |
29.943 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
29.750 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
29.302 | When will Virginia’s pre-May 2022 peak weekly total of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations occur? | Continuous |
28.646 | Will a federal tax on unrealized capital gains in the United States be passed before February 1st 2023? | Binary |
28.474 | Will additional COVID-19 booster doses be authorized by FDA for the U.S. adult population before 2023? | Binary |
28.294 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
28.064 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
27.547 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
27.547 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
26.724 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
25.888 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
25.884 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
25.862 | What will be the R0 of the Omicron variant according to the mean estimate of the first relevant systematic review? | Continuous |
25.531 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
24.598 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
23.709 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
22.826 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
22.797 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
22.102 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
20.408 | When will the percentage of Virginians who have received a booster dose exceed 50%? | Continuous |
20.352 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
20.139 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
19.599 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
19.577 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
19.160 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
18.970 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
18.954 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
18.446 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
16.777 | What percentage of Virginians will have received a booster dose as of 4 May 2022? | Continuous |
16.351 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
16.343 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
16.003 | Will a new US Supreme Court justice be confirmed before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
14.671 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
13.570 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
13.569 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
13.240 | Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022? | Binary |
13.037 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
12.753 | What will the estimated number of people (in millions) in severe food insecurity be in 2022, according to the 2023 FAO “State of food security and nutrition in the world” annual report? | Continuous |
11.776 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
10.744 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
9.214 | When will Virginia’s pre-May 2022 peak weekly total of new confirmed and probable cases occur? | Continuous |
8.352 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
7.969 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
7.394 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
7.066 | Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? | Binary |
6.634 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
4.119 | Will the U.S. CDC classify a SARS-CoV-2 variant as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) by 1 March 2022? | Binary |
3.287 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
3.061 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
0.450 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
0.077 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
0.077 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
0.052 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
0.049 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
0.034 | Hunter Biden Indicted by Nov 5, 2024? (Yes) → Joe Biden Impeached by House? | Binary |
- | Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2022 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
-0.533 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
-0.641 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
-1.618 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
-7.638 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-9.153 | What will be the USA’s peak 7-day moving average of COVID hospital admissions for the winter of 2021-2022? | Continuous |
-10.875 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Russia) | Binary |
-15.537 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
-16.133 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
-36.949 | Will Rep. Matt Gaetz leave the US House of Representatives before 2023? | Binary |
-44.743 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
-47.191 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
-49.439 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
-57.271 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
-88.560 | Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
-96.504 | Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022? | Binary |
-111.922 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
-117.838 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
-122.404 | When will the U.S. CDC recommend that all fully vaccinated Americans receive a booster dose? | Continuous |
-140.872 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |