| 97.987 | Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.413 | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
| 95.608 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Donald Norcross (D)) | Binary |
| 95.608 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Frank Pallone (D)) | Binary |
| 95.608 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (NJ First Lady Tammy Murphy (D)) | Binary |
| 95.608 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman (D)) | Binary |
| 95.608 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Josh Gottheimer (D)) | Binary |
| 92.876 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| 92.731 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 92.731 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 91.868 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 91.868 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 91.868 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 91.868 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 91.868 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 91.735 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 91.634 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 91.634 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 91.634 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 91.634 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 91.380 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 91.379 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 91.379 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 91.218 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 91.123 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 91.123 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 91.123 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 91.123 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 91.068 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 91.066 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 90.667 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 90.667 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 90.667 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 90.667 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 89.836 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Lt. Governor Tahesha Way (D)) | Binary |
| 89.647 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 89.319 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 89.260 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 88.937 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 88.582 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 88.146 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 87.958 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 86.858 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (State Senate Majority Leader Teresa Ruiz (D)) | Binary |
| 86.857 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Vacant) | Binary |
| 85.195 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Indiana Pacers) | Binary |
| 85.193 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 85.193 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 84.899 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 84.372 | Will the GOP win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) (Yes) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 82.864 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 82.369 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 82.268 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Andy Kim (D)) | Binary |
| 80.303 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 79.875 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Minnesota Timberwolves) | Binary |
| 79.123 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Mikie Sherrill (D)) | Binary |
| 78.958 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 78.241 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New York Knicks) | Binary |
| 78.075 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Cleveland Cavaliers) | Binary |
| 76.429 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Orlando Magic) | Binary |
| 75.621 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Oklahoma City Thunder) | Binary |
| 75.401 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| 74.633 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 74.493 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Dallas Mavericks) | Binary |
| 74.012 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 71.203 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Clippers) | Binary |
| 71.119 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Chicago Bulls) | Binary |
| 70.831 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New Orleans Pelicans) | Binary |
| 70.784 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 70.674 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 70.420 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Miami Heat) | Binary |
| 69.255 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| 68.473 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Philadelphia 76ers) | Binary |
| 68.412 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Atlanta Hawks) | Binary |
| 68.132 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Sacremento Kings) | Binary |
| 68.054 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 67.172 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| 66.702 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 66.106 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Houston Rockets) | Binary |
| 65.906 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 65.816 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Phoenix Suns) | Binary |
| 65.622 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Brooklyn Nets) | Binary |
| 65.045 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Lakers) | Binary |
| 65.038 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 64.429 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 64.369 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| 63.601 | Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least as capable as original GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 61.824 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 61.824 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 61.780 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 61.132 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 61.125 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Toronto Raptors) | Binary |
| 61.124 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Utah Jazz) | Binary |
| 60.912 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 60.912 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 60.912 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 60.912 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 60.866 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 60.777 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 60.733 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New York Giants) | Binary |
| 60.537 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Golden State Warriors) | Binary |
| 60.007 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 59.541 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Charlotte Hornets) | Binary |
| 59.481 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 58.376 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 58.376 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 58.168 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 58.162 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| 58.056 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 58.032 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
| 57.828 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Portland Trail Blazers) | Binary |
| 57.531 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| 56.978 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Memphis Grizzlies) | Binary |
| 56.959 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 56.785 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 56.422 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 55.428 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 55.428 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 55.428 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 55.400 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 55.146 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Denver Nuggets) | Binary |
| 54.938 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Washington Wizards) | Binary |
| 54.703 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 54.506 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 54.373 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 54.320 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Detroit Pistons) | Binary |
| 54.088 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 54.088 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 53.444 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (San Antonio Spurs) | Binary |
| 50.459 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 50.272 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 49.992 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
| 49.334 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 48.933 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
| 47.707 | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 47.164 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 46.857 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 46.473 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 45.840 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 43.793 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 41.560 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| 41.261 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 41.190 | When will a Nobel Prize be awarded for COVID19-related accomplishments? | Continuous |
| 39.760 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Milwaukee Bucks) | Binary |
| 36.647 | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
| 35.305 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 34.603 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 34.034 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| 31.595 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 30.580 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 27.440 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 27.109 | Will Donald Trump be charged with witness tampering in Georgia before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 26.300 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 25.832 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
| 25.241 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 22.363 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| 19.915 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| 19.518 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
| 17.911 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
| 17.332 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 15.717 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| 13.003 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 12.714 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 10.585 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| 10.464 | When will the next UK general election take place? | Continuous |
| 10.405 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 9.939 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 8.538 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 8.338 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| 7.268 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 7.240 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 4.970 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 2.665 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 2.340 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| 1.803 | When will Kwasi Kwarteng no longer hold the office of UK chancellor of the Exchequer? | Continuous |
| 1.585 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.133 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| 0.550 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
| 0.083 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -0.025 | What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election? | Continuous |
| -1.166 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -1.892 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| -2.554 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| -2.734 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| -6.209 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
| -6.608 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
| -7.589 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| -14.055 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -20.121 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -24.404 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| -26.473 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| -27.593 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| -27.734 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| -27.734 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| -29.767 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -43.417 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -59.501 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| -68.142 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| -71.046 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
| -73.088 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| -100.828 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -105.888 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Boston Celtics) | Binary |
| -122.230 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| -122.230 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| -126.071 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
| -136.074 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -159.006 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| -195.601 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| -202.339 | How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"? | Continuous |
| -262.840 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| -284.408 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| -322.277 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Senator Bob Menendez (D)) | Binary |
| -361.083 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| -384.316 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| -398.139 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| -479.247 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| -486.205 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| -522.587 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |