| 102.029 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the US on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 96.904 | Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 96.254 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 93.534 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 92.930 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 92.712 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| 92.712 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
| 92.712 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
| 92.712 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| 92.059 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
| 91.949 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| 91.326 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 90.392 | Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU? | Binary |
| 90.161 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 89.169 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 87.458 | Will Israel and Palestine hold peace talks in 2022? | Binary |
| 87.320 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 83.855 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 80.706 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 80.583 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 79.110 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 78.202 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 77.417 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 77.379 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 76.350 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 76.253 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 75.290 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 74.526 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 72.767 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 71.516 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 70.130 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 70.130 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 70.130 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 70.130 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 68.778 | Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly? | Binary |
| 67.071 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 66.561 | Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 66.422 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 65.967 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 65.475 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 63.252 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 62.324 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 62.203 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
| 61.114 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 59.632 | Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 59.188 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 57.711 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 56.864 | Will the Omicron variant be less lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Parham Maghsoodloo) | Binary |
| 53.977 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Leinier Domínguez Pérez) | Binary |
| 53.954 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 53.833 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| 53.833 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| 53.788 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 53.788 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 53.585 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
| 53.585 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |
| 53.584 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| 53.297 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 52.644 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| 51.324 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 50.157 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 49.245 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 49.229 | Will Russia impose a total ban on Apple products before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 48.752 | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 47.362 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 47.190 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 46.821 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 46.559 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 45.589 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 45.313 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 45.004 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 44.609 | How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"? | Continuous |
| 43.640 | What will the the market cap of FAAMG on December 31, 2022 as a percentage of the S&P500? | Continuous |
| 41.969 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 41.044 | What will the price of oil be for December 2022? | Continuous |
| 40.747 | What place will the United States get at the 2022 International Mathematical Olympiad? | Continuous |
| 40.732 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 40.550 | Will Donald Trump be charged with witness tampering in Georgia before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 40.476 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 40.476 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 40.186 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 40.186 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 40.186 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 40.186 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 39.112 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 39.112 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 36.104 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 35.713 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 35.713 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 35.713 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 35.624 | Will the stock price of NVIDIA trade below $250 (adjusted to pre-split value) for at least 1 full day before 2025? | Binary |
| 35.360 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 34.556 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 34.321 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 33.313 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 31.674 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 31.313 | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
| 30.518 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 30.475 | What will be the total box office gross in the US & Canada in 2022? | Continuous |
| 29.833 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 26.384 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 25.592 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 23.272 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 23.224 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 22.061 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 22.031 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 20.148 | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 19.834 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| 18.668 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 18.647 | Will these AI labs launch a mechanism to enable users to understand if content is generated by their AIs before July 1, 2024? (Inflection) | Binary |
| 18.142 | Will these AI labs launch a mechanism to enable users to understand if content is generated by their AIs before July 1, 2024? (Meta) | Binary |
| 17.963 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 17.963 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 17.709 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 17.682 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 17.012 | Will these AI labs launch a mechanism to enable users to understand if content is generated by their AIs before July 1, 2024? (Anthropic) | Binary |
| 15.949 | Will these AI labs launch a mechanism to enable users to understand if content is generated by their AIs before July 1, 2024? (OpenAI) | Binary |
| 15.300 | Will these AI labs launch a mechanism to enable users to understand if content is generated by their AIs before July 1, 2024? (Google Deep Mind) | Binary |
| 14.998 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (September 30, 2024) | Continuous |
| 14.451 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 14.450 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| 14.003 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.922 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.822 | Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.821 | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 12.167 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.429 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (December 31, 2024) | Continuous |
| 11.352 | Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? | Binary |
| 8.995 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 8.676 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 8.454 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| 8.414 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 6.810 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 5.944 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 5.011 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 4.200 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 3.914 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 2.850 | What will be the number of conflicts with significant impacts on U.S. interests by 2023? | Continuous |
| 0.999 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 0.753 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 0.098 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| -1.095 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |
| -2.140 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| -4.515 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -6.680 | How many commercial flights will be in operation globally on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
| -16.311 | How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| -16.565 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| -21.683 | What will be the total bilateral commitments of Ukraine support (in billions of EUR) on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| -22.918 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -41.583 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| -58.820 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| -75.354 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -75.394 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -85.383 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| -87.134 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -93.411 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -130.571 | What will the USD price of Bitcoin be on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| -136.439 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -158.335 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| -287.775 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |