119.449 | How many additional indictments will have been filed against Donald Trump on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
99.783 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
99.783 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
99.783 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
97.554 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
97.503 | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
97.344 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
97.031 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
96.280 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Vacant) | Binary |
94.937 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
94.916 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
94.852 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
94.784 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
94.742 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
94.654 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
94.644 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
94.484 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the US on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
94.297 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
94.157 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
94.146 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
94.107 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
93.378 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
93.378 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
93.335 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
93.233 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
93.058 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
93.000 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
92.845 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
92.143 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
91.943 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
91.647 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
91.511 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
89.862 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
87.390 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
85.085 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
84.089 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
83.681 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Continuous |
83.479 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
83.200 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
81.680 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
81.586 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
80.110 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
79.637 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
78.855 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
78.793 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
76.831 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
76.275 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
75.512 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
75.092 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
72.818 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Athletico Madrid) | Binary |
72.805 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Parham Maghsoodloo) | Binary |
72.784 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
72.312 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Morocco) | Binary |
71.793 | Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly? | Binary |
71.632 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
71.591 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
71.591 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
67.352 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Leinier Domínguez Pérez) | Binary |
67.286 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
67.251 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
66.376 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
66.220 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay) | Binary |
65.232 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
64.404 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
64.349 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
63.397 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
62.321 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
61.572 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (PSV) | Binary |
61.444 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
61.013 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Napoli) | Binary |
61.013 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Porto) | Binary |
60.346 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Manchester United) | Continuous |
59.659 | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
58.717 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Copenhagen) | Binary |
58.254 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
58.117 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
57.791 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Sociedad) | Binary |
57.791 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lazio) | Binary |
56.550 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
54.180 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
54.180 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
54.180 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
52.953 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
51.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
51.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
51.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
51.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
51.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
51.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
51.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
51.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
51.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
51.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
51.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
51.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
51.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
51.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
51.542 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
51.535 | Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election? | Binary |
50.445 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
50.417 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Arsenal) | Continuous |
50.137 | Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 per unit before 2025? | Binary |
50.112 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
49.465 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
47.248 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
46.277 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
46.210 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
43.320 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
42.756 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
42.556 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
42.085 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
41.841 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
40.034 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
39.120 | When will Julian Assange be extradited to the US? | Continuous |
39.096 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
38.658 | Meaningful commitments from UK AI Summit? (No) → ChatGPT available in Europe on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
37.055 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
37.049 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
36.183 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
35.638 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
32.925 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
32.572 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
32.005 | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
31.759 | Will the Omicron variant be less lethal than Delta? | Binary |
26.995 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
26.548 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
25.607 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
25.149 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
25.047 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
24.823 | Will the UK and India have signed an FTA before the next UK General Election? | Binary |
24.782 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
24.515 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
23.963 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Liverpool) | Continuous |
23.823 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Burnley) | Continuous |
22.860 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
22.363 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
22.318 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Sheffield United) | Continuous |
21.626 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |
21.070 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
20.342 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
19.703 | Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2023/24 Premier League season? | Binary |
19.541 | Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023? | Binary |
19.450 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Shakhtar Donetsk) | Binary |
19.450 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
19.449 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (AC Milan) | Binary |
19.187 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
19.187 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
19.187 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
19.187 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
18.987 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
18.987 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Galatasaray) | Binary |
18.978 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Braga) | Binary |
17.704 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
17.455 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
17.438 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
16.294 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
15.703 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026? | Binary |
15.211 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
15.129 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
15.091 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
15.091 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
14.801 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
14.801 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
14.801 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
14.801 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
14.801 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
14.801 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
14.373 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
13.662 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
13.189 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
13.026 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Sevilla) | Binary |
13.026 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lens) | Binary |
12.834 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
12.564 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Crvena Zvezda) | Binary |
12.563 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Feyenoord) | Binary |
12.563 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Celtic) | Binary |
11.822 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
11.039 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Continuous |
10.455 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
9.465 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
9.289 | Will the ANC receive more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 South African general election? | Binary |
7.876 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Dallas Mavericks) | Binary |
7.273 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
7.208 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
6.993 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Lai Ching-te (DPP)) | Binary |
6.988 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Mira Murati) | Binary |
6.988 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Ilya Sutskever) | Binary |
6.988 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Eric Schmidt) | Binary |
6.988 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
6.988 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Andrej Karpathy) | Binary |
6.271 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
6.232 | Will the Duke or Duchess of Sussex file for divorce before Mar 8, 2022? | Binary |
6.146 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (BJP) | Binary |
6.146 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (INC) | Binary |
6.011 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Boston Celtics) | Binary |
5.523 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Emmett Shear) | Binary |
5.098 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Aston Villa) | Continuous |
4.982 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
4.673 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
4.459 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
4.399 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
4.309 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
4.086 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
4.067 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
3.248 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Salzburg) | Binary |
3.213 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Union Berlin) | Binary |
3.213 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
2.920 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Indiana Pacers) | Binary |
2.815 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Antwerp) | Binary |
2.799 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Minnesota Timberwolves) | Binary |
2.793 | Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs before 2025? | Binary |
2.786 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Young Boys) | Binary |
2.545 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
2.545 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
2.545 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
2.545 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
2.273 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
1.553 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
1.451 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
1.143 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
0.894 | Will Australia hold a Federal Referendum on an "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
0.511 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
0.340 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
0.251 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
0.164 | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
0.043 | What will be the total world military expenditure in 2021, as reported by SIPRI? | Continuous |
0.014 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan? | Binary |
0.012 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
- | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
- | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
- | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Denver Nuggets) | Binary |
- | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
-0.011 | What will the total amount of worldwide venture capital funding in quantum computing be in 2022? | Continuous |
-0.056 | What will the total deal value be of all the US PE deals in billions of US$, in 2021? | Continuous |
-0.498 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
-1.126 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
-1.468 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
-2.865 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
-4.618 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
-4.730 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
-7.310 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
-7.768 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
-9.723 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Greens) | Continuous |
-11.806 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
-12.856 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
-14.325 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
-17.120 | Will a university other than Oxford or Cambridge be ranked first in the Times & Sunday Times Good University Guide 2023 again? | Binary |
-18.469 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
-20.715 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |
-22.146 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
-24.161 | When will the next UK general election take place? | Continuous |
-28.169 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
-54.754 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
-62.920 | What percentage of the popular vote will the African National Congress get in the 2024 South African general election? | Continuous |
-68.056 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
-68.384 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
-83.297 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Senator Bob Menendez (D)) | Binary |
-94.027 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
-116.058 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
-164.310 | Will the right-wing incumbent BJP win the 2024 national election in India? | Binary |
-173.647 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-277.935 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |