98.059 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
97.475 | Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
97.118 | Will Éric Zemmour win the French presidential election in 2022? | Binary |
96.893 | Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
96.416 | Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023? | Binary |
96.302 | Will Sumy be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
95.970 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
95.450 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Dominic Raab) | Binary |
95.229 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Nadhim Zahawi) | Binary |
95.056 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Steve Baker) | Binary |
94.691 | Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023? | Binary |
94.166 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
92.090 | Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
91.643 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
91.407 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
91.114 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Kemi Badenoch) | Binary |
89.542 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022? | Binary |
89.186 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022? | Binary |
88.552 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Sajid Javid) | Binary |
88.551 | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
86.502 | Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
84.120 | Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022? | Binary |
83.614 | Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
83.253 | How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
83.235 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023? | Binary |
82.618 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Morocco) | Binary |
80.924 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Croatia) | Binary |
80.218 | Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022? | Binary |
80.130 | Will EA Global London 2022 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again? | Binary |
79.127 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Switzerland) | Binary |
79.015 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Teimour Radjabov) | Binary |
78.666 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (South Korea) | Binary |
78.600 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Japan) | Binary |
78.196 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Senegal) | Binary |
78.137 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Poland) | Binary |
77.740 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Australia) | Binary |
77.651 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (United States of America) | Binary |
77.438 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
77.286 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Cameroon) | Binary |
77.286 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Serbia) | Binary |
77.256 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Richárd Rapport) | Binary |
77.213 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ghana) | Binary |
76.812 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Costa Rica) | Binary |
76.337 | Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
76.261 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
76.261 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Mexico) | Binary |
76.261 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Tunisia) | Binary |
76.076 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay) | Binary |
76.059 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
75.883 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ecuador) | Binary |
75.883 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Iran) | Binary |
75.883 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Wales) | Binary |
75.875 | Will CAIDA measure a major disruption of the Ukrainian internet for 24 hours before August 2022? | Binary |
74.908 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Canada) | Binary |
74.425 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Netherlands) | Binary |
73.983 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Denmark) | Binary |
73.929 | Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
73.923 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Qatar) | Binary |
73.865 | Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
73.449 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Portugal) | Binary |
72.496 | Will the New York Times place Wordle (or any currently existing part of Wordle) behind a paywall during 2022? | Binary |
71.283 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Priti Patel) | Binary |
71.240 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
71.232 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Michael Gove) | Binary |
70.946 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Belgium) | Binary |
70.851 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
70.580 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Tom Tugendhat) | Binary |
69.548 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
69.070 | Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
68.566 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Germany) | Binary |
68.499 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (England) | Binary |
67.955 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Spain) | Binary |
66.522 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023? | Binary |
63.645 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
63.418 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (France) | Binary |
63.327 | Will the British pound trade below $1 before 2023? | Binary |
63.275 | Will Carrick Flynn win the general election for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
62.558 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
62.153 | How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
61.902 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Penny Mordaunt) | Binary |
60.216 | Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
60.169 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
59.806 | Will Tether collapse before 2023? | Binary |
59.620 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Ding Liren) | Binary |
58.875 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Brazil) | Binary |
58.725 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
57.592 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022) | Continuous |
54.726 | Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
54.048 | Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
53.723 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023? | Binary |
53.661 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
53.159 | Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
53.025 | Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
51.963 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
51.532 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 1, 2022) | Continuous |
49.894 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
49.882 | Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023? | Binary |
49.310 | If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto? | Binary |
48.859 | Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
48.842 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
45.977 | Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
45.956 | Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
44.250 | Will Carrick Flynn win the Democratic primary for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
42.061 | Will Éric Zemmour be in the 2nd round of the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
40.935 | How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023? | Continuous |
39.390 | Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022? | Binary |
37.889 | Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
36.683 | What will be the approval rating of Vladimir Putin in December 2022? | Continuous |
34.597 | Will Russia officially declare war on Ukraine or announce its intent to do so by May 9, 2022? | Binary |
33.848 | Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022? | Binary |
32.670 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Carlos Sainz) | Binary |
32.670 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (George Russell) | Binary |
32.670 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Lewis Hamilton) | Binary |
32.595 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Sergio Perez) | Binary |
32.574 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
32.526 | Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022? | Binary |
32.444 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Charles Leclerc) | Binary |
32.023 | Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022? | Binary |
31.464 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Max Verstappen) | Binary |
31.446 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 1, 2022) | Continuous |
19.713 | Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
19.111 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Liz Truss) | Binary |
15.410 | How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
15.051 | How many civilian casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian War will there be before May 2022? | Continuous |
14.516 | Will Princeton cancel in person classes in January 2022? | Binary |
14.365 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
13.603 | Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022? | Binary |
9.655 | Will Raphael Warnock be re-elected in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia? | Binary |
8.425 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022) | Continuous |
6.263 | [Short Fuse] How much money will be awarded to Johnny Depp in his defamation suit against his ex-wife Amber Heard? | Continuous |
4.277 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will the United States cut Russian banks off from the SWIFT system by 2023? | Binary |
4.184 | Will Russia default on its debt in 2022? | Binary |
3.512 | Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022? | Binary |
2.918 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022? | Binary |
1.285 | Will the US sanction Russian oil or gas before 2023? | Binary |
0.514 | Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-0.021 | Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022? | Binary |
-9.788 | Will the Metaculus question about Russian troops in Kyiv in 2022 resolve ambiguously? | Binary |
-21.068 | Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-26.597 | Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023? | Binary |
-31.945 | Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022? | Binary |
-39.345 | Will more than 20,000 people die within 28 days of a positive Covid test in the UK in 2022? | Binary |
-67.020 | Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022? | Binary |
-70.021 | What will total NATO defense spending be in 2022? | Continuous |
-181.196 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Argentina) | Binary |
-185.394 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |