172.104 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
166.612 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
154.371 | What will be the maximum price reached for Ethereum by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
151.922 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
132.796 | On how many days in 2022 will U.S. hospital admissions (for COVID) exceed the pre-2022 peak? | Continuous |
131.189 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 4th, 2022? | Continuous |
129.652 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
128.828 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
127.367 | How many Virginia counties will have their COVID-19 Community Level classified as 'High' as of April 14th update? | Continuous |
125.702 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 19) | Continuous |
120.680 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 15h of April, 2022? | Continuous |
120.278 | How many subscribers will the Effective Altruism subreddit have on January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
119.789 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (July 2) | Continuous |
119.113 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 18) | Continuous |
118.580 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 25th of March, 2022? | Continuous |
116.942 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Feb 18, 2022? | Continuous |
116.270 | What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 2nd, 2022? | Continuous |
115.259 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 25) | Continuous |
114.846 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 25th, 2022? | Continuous |
114.352 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 1st of April, 2022? | Continuous |
111.739 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022? | Continuous |
111.730 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on April 1, 2022? | Continuous |
108.856 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of March, 2022? | Continuous |
107.455 | What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 16th, 2022? | Continuous |
106.861 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 11) | Continuous |
106.301 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 22nd, 2022? | Continuous |
105.029 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
104.606 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 13, 2022? | Continuous |
101.628 | What will be the reported number of 7-day average new Covid-19 cases in Mainland China on 2022-02-28? | Continuous |
101.579 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 18th of February, 2022? | Continuous |
99.611 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Mar 4, 2022? | Continuous |
98.503 | When will Paxlovid be given FDA authorization or approval for patients who are not high-risk? | Continuous |
97.911 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
97.644 | What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2022) | Continuous |
97.561 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 30) | Continuous |
97.440 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (May 14) | Continuous |
97.324 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 4th of March, 2022? | Continuous |
97.086 | Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023? | Binary |
96.827 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 16) | Continuous |
96.768 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Priti Patel) | Binary |
96.318 | Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023? | Binary |
96.204 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Michael Gove) | Binary |
95.881 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
95.606 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Philadelphia Phillies) | Binary |
94.796 | Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
94.789 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Steve Baker) | Binary |
94.656 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
94.382 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Dominic Raab) | Binary |
94.084 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
94.038 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Nadhim Zahawi) | Binary |
93.358 | Will Éric Zemmour win the French presidential election in 2022? | Binary |
93.026 | Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023? | Binary |
92.925 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Feb 19) | Continuous |
92.878 | Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
92.294 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
92.217 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Tom Tugendhat) | Binary |
92.179 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
92.027 | Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
91.838 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
91.780 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 22nd of April, 2022? | Continuous |
91.293 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
91.253 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on March 25, 2022? | Continuous |
90.987 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
90.802 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022? | Binary |
90.378 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 30) | Continuous |
90.339 | Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022? | Binary |
89.462 | Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
89.063 | Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023? | Binary |
88.890 | How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
87.818 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 9, 2022 and July 2, 2022? | Continuous |
87.676 | Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
87.323 | By February 6, 2022, will the James Webb Space Telescope successfully see First Light? | Binary |
86.954 | Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022? | Binary |
86.726 | Will Leondra Kruger be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023? | Binary |
86.632 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cleveland Guardians) | Binary |
86.543 | [Short fuse]: Will Russia assume responsibility and apologize for the Przewodów strike before December? | Binary |
86.212 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022? | Binary |
85.442 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
85.215 | What percentage of monkeypox cases in California will be among cisgender men who are gay/same-gender loving or bisexual? | Continuous |
85.162 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (May 14) | Continuous |
85.142 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 1st, 2022? | Continuous |
85.078 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on February 11th, 2022? | Continuous |
85.023 | Will Twitter's board accept an acquisition offer from someone other than Elon Musk before 2023? | Binary |
84.812 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Seattle Mariners) | Binary |
84.598 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
84.513 | Will Sumy be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
84.344 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Atlanta Braves) | Binary |
84.117 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
83.985 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Diego Padres) | Binary |
83.894 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 27, 2022? | Continuous |
83.586 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 6th of May, 2022? | Continuous |
82.962 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Feb 5) | Continuous |
82.795 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Kemi Badenoch) | Binary |
82.618 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Grant Shapps) | Binary |
82.618 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Sajid Javid) | Binary |
82.539 | Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
81.970 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 4) | Continuous |
81.182 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Yankees) | Binary |
80.822 | Will Elizabeth Kim win the Democratic primary for New York's 10th congressional district in 2022? | Binary |
80.518 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (St. Louis Cardinals) | Binary |
80.420 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
79.079 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
78.971 | Will Ron DeSantis be re-elected as Governor of Florida in 2022? | Binary |
78.617 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 30) | Continuous |
77.986 | What will be the 7-day average of % people wearing masks most or all of the time in public in Virginia on April 15th, 2022? | Continuous |
77.864 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on March 11, 2022? | Continuous |
77.806 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Miami Marlins) | Binary |
77.804 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago Cubs) | Binary |
77.804 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cincinnati Reds) | Binary |
77.804 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Pittsburgh Pirates) | Binary |
77.804 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Washington Nationals) | Binary |
77.804 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Arizona Diamondbacks) | Binary |
77.804 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Colorado Rockies) | Binary |
77.803 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Oakland Athletics) | Binary |
77.803 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Texas Rangers) | Binary |
77.803 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Baltimore Orioles) | Binary |
77.803 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Boston Red Sox) | Binary |
77.803 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Angels) | Binary |
77.803 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Detroit Tigers) | Binary |
77.803 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Kansas City Royals) | Binary |
77.601 | Will Boris Johnson be charged with any criminal offence before 2023? | Binary |
76.936 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Tampa Bay Rays) | Binary |
76.350 | How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023? | Continuous |
75.742 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
75.639 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 6, 2022? | Continuous |
75.478 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Minnesota Twins) | Binary |
75.215 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 5) | Continuous |
74.982 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Mets) | Binary |
74.298 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Francisco Giants) | Binary |
74.298 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago White Sox) | Binary |
73.930 | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
73.588 | Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022? | Binary |
73.340 | Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
71.916 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Toronto Blue Jays) | Binary |
71.715 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 13, 2022? | Continuous |
71.260 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022? | Continuous |
70.683 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Milwaukee Brewers) | Binary |
70.388 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
69.278 | Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024? | Binary |
68.953 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Dodgers) | Binary |
68.630 | How many seats will Democrats hold in the US Senate after 2022 midterm elections? | Continuous |
68.288 | What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in New York as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
67.682 | What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in California as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
67.229 | Will CAIDA measure a major disruption of the Ukrainian internet for 24 hours before August 2022? | Binary |
67.100 | Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023? | Binary |
66.513 | Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
66.304 | Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
64.710 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 2,000 before July 22, 2022? | Binary |
64.330 | How many countries will confirm at least one case of monkeypox by July 31, 2022? | Continuous |
64.241 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Jan 28, 2022? | Continuous |
63.957 | What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 May 2022? | Continuous |
63.451 | Will Liverpool win the 2021-2022 Premier League? | Binary |
63.318 | Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus? | Binary |
63.007 | How much crude oil will the US import from Russia in 2022? | Continuous |
62.745 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
62.653 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023? | Binary |
62.236 | What will be the price of 1 ETH on the following dates? (December 31, 2022) | Continuous |
62.215 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (George Wajackoyah) | Binary |
62.187 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
61.636 | Will any Fields Medal winner boycott ICM 2022 for political reasons? | Binary |
61.630 | Will there be a Tau variant of COVID by Tau Day (June 28, 2022)? | Binary |
60.954 | What will be the US unemployment rate in October 2022? | Continuous |
60.746 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 28th of January, 2022? | Continuous |
60.304 | Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
60.107 | Will Tether collapse before 2023? | Binary |
60.088 | Will EA Global London 2022 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again? | Binary |
60.033 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023? | Binary |
59.905 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
59.819 | Will a Republican be elected governor of Maryland in 2022? | Binary |
59.619 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (David Waihiga Mwaure) | Binary |
58.958 | Will Russian or Belarusian troops cross the land border between Belarus and either the Volyn or Rivne oblasts before 2023? | Binary |
58.286 | Will Russia invade Ukraine before February 1, 2022? | Binary |
57.607 | How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
57.212 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of February, 2022? | Continuous |
57.179 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Feb 19) | Continuous |
56.855 | Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
56.798 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 27, 2022? | Continuous |
56.224 | Will the New York Times place Wordle (or any currently existing part of Wordle) behind a paywall during 2022? | Binary |
56.060 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Feb, 11 2022? | Continuous |
55.425 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2022) | Binary |
55.418 | Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022? | Binary |
55.263 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
54.751 | Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
54.069 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
53.978 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before May 20, 2022? | Binary |
53.947 | If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto? | Binary |
53.037 | In 2022, how many people will be charged by US DOJ with seditious conspiracy in connection with the Jan 6 Capitol attack? | Continuous |
52.937 | Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
52.762 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
52.706 | Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
51.650 | Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023? | Binary |
51.521 | How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
51.467 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
49.693 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (May 14) | Continuous |
49.576 | Will the Buffalo Bills win their NFL football game on Thanksgiving? | Binary |
49.531 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 19) | Continuous |
48.705 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
48.217 | Will PredictIt default on its obligation to allow its users to withdraw funds before 2023? | Binary |
47.853 | What will be the market capitalization of Netflix on December 1, 2022? | Continuous |
47.769 | Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
47.188 | Will Carrick Flynn win the general election for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
46.910 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 5) | Continuous |
46.260 | Will Doug Mastriano be elected Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022? | Binary |
45.196 | Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
44.996 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Canada as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
44.765 | How many acres will burn in wildfires in California in 2022? | Continuous |
43.990 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Penny Mordaunt) | Binary |
42.447 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (July 2) | Continuous |
42.389 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022) | Continuous |
42.045 | [Short Fuse] How much money will be awarded to Johnny Depp in his defamation suit against his ex-wife Amber Heard? | Continuous |
41.944 | Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
41.737 | Will Éric Zemmour be in the 2nd round of the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
41.693 | How many seats will Democrats win in the US House of Representatives in 2022? | Continuous |
41.080 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Morocco) | Binary |
40.720 | Will Blake Masters win the 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona? | Binary |
39.658 | Will Stacey Abrams be elected Governor of Georgia in 2022? | Binary |
39.356 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Croatia) | Binary |
38.889 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 2) | Continuous |
38.769 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Mar 5) | Continuous |
38.752 | How many cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure will be conducted by Russian-based hackers between March 1, 2022 and June 1, 2022? | Continuous |
38.470 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Feb 19) | Continuous |
38.408 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Mar 19) | Continuous |
37.554 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 16) | Continuous |
37.515 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Binary |
37.359 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
37.337 | How many civilian casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian War will there be before May 2022? | Continuous |
37.099 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (South Korea) | Binary |
37.074 | What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022? | Continuous |
37.034 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Japan) | Binary |
37.003 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Switzerland) | Binary |
36.974 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
36.920 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 11th, 2022? | Continuous |
36.630 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Senegal) | Binary |
36.571 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Poland) | Binary |
36.479 | Will Princeton cancel in person classes in January 2022? | Binary |
36.180 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Portugal) | Binary |
36.174 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Australia) | Binary |
35.720 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Cameroon) | Binary |
35.719 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Serbia) | Binary |
35.647 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ghana) | Binary |
35.574 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
35.549 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (United States of America) | Binary |
35.538 | Will Ron Johnson win the 2022 Wisconsin US Senate election? | Binary |
35.481 | Will Mehmet Oz win the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? | Binary |
35.246 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Costa Rica) | Binary |
34.783 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Netherlands) | Binary |
34.696 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
34.695 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Tunisia) | Binary |
34.581 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay) | Binary |
34.569 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in New York as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
34.318 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ecuador) | Binary |
34.318 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Iran) | Binary |
34.317 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Wales) | Binary |
34.215 | Will Queen Elizabeth II abdicate in 2022? | Binary |
34.180 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Mexico) | Binary |
33.742 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before June 10, 2022? | Binary |
33.504 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (France) | Binary |
33.342 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Canada) | Binary |
33.262 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022? | Binary |
33.173 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (England) | Binary |
32.665 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Denmark) | Binary |
32.637 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Mar 19) | Continuous |
32.462 | In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults answered “Yes” to the statement, “Do you think it could ever be possible for robots/AIs to be sentient?” | Continuous |
32.358 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Qatar) | Binary |
32.027 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Mar 5) | Continuous |
31.966 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Belgium) | Binary |
31.791 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before June 10, 2022? | Binary |
31.644 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Spain) | Binary |
31.277 | Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
30.898 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Germany) | Binary |
30.317 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
29.967 | What will be the approval rating of Vladimir Putin in December 2022? | Continuous |
29.127 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023? | Binary |
28.530 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Brazil) | Binary |
28.034 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 18) | Continuous |
27.976 | Will China abandon their zero-covid strategy before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
26.477 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,500 before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
25.887 | What percent of voters will vote in favor of the Swiss 2022 Bio Suisse Animal Welfare referendum question? | Continuous |
25.843 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 19) | Continuous |
24.147 | Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023? | Binary |
24.031 | Will Raphael Warnock be re-elected in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia? | Binary |
23.733 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Feb 5) | Continuous |
23.720 | Will Carrick Flynn win the Democratic primary for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
23.088 | Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022? | Binary |
22.282 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 25) | Continuous |
22.264 | How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
21.975 | When will the Apple Watch Series 8 be available for pre-order? | Continuous |
21.740 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 29 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
20.867 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy's image appear on the cover of Time's 2022 Person of the Year issue, more prominently than any other person's image? | Binary |
20.653 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Feb 5) | Continuous |
20.614 | Will Viktor Orbán win the 2022 Hungarian Parliamentary Election? | Binary |
20.295 | Will Omicron XE be the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the US before June 19, 2022? | Binary |
19.278 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
18.488 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in California as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
18.415 | Will more than 20,000 people die within 28 days of a positive Covid test in the UK in 2022? | Binary |
17.917 | Before 2023, will the US CDC recommend the general use of the monkeypox vaccine for all men who have sex with men in the US? | Binary |
17.717 | Will the US Government designate Russia a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" by 2023? | Binary |
17.693 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 11) | Continuous |
17.257 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Jan 22) | Continuous |
17.222 | Will the US claim that a Russian disinformation campaign attempted to influence the 2022 midterm elections? | Binary |
17.193 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 8th and July 1st 2022? | Continuous |
16.353 | Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022? | Binary |
15.168 | How many scheduled airline flights within, into, or out of the United States will be canceled on Wednesday, November 23rd (the day before Thanksgiving), as reported by FlightAware? | Continuous |
15.160 | How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
14.657 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Alex Jones) | Binary |
14.613 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Jan 22) | Continuous |
14.387 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (Raila Odinga) | Binary |
13.695 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
13.463 | How many new Pokemon will Pokemon Scarlet and Violet introduce? | Continuous |
13.200 | Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022? | Binary |
13.135 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Mar 5) | Continuous |
12.346 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 1, 2022) | Continuous |
12.027 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (61) | Binary |
11.780 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Mar 5) | Continuous |
11.661 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (66) | Binary |
11.482 | What percentage of the vote share will Carrick Flynn receive in the OR-6 Democratic primary? | Continuous |
10.920 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (65) | Binary |
10.670 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Jan 22) | Continuous |
10.326 | Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
10.052 | Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
9.985 | In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, "Robots/AIs may be harmful to future generations of people."? | Continuous |
9.464 | Will there be a Pi variant of COVID by Pi Day (March 14, 2022)? | Binary |
9.194 | Keynesian Groupy Contest: interquartile range (KBCs are the best) | Binary |
8.675 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before May 20, 2022? | Binary |
8.593 | If Russia invades Ukraine in 2022, when will the invasion be acknowledged by Russia or the UN? | Continuous |
8.569 | Will North Korea have internet failures on 4 or more days between March 8, 2022 and August 1, 2022? | Binary |
8.540 | Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022? | Binary |
8.359 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Feb 19) | Continuous |
7.824 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (64) | Binary |
7.217 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Mar 5) | Continuous |
7.203 | Will Russia default on its debt in 2022? | Binary |
6.513 | Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa no longer be the President of Sri Lanka before 2023? | Binary |
6.430 | Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022? | Binary |
5.922 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 4) | Continuous |
5.337 | Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022? | Binary |
5.284 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Jan 22) | Continuous |
5.216 | What will the price of ETH be on Dec 2, 2022 at noon EST? | Continuous |
5.102 | When will China end Covid Zero? | Continuous |
4.885 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (63) | Binary |
4.253 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
3.497 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Tila Tequila) | Binary |
3.439 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Jan 22) | Continuous |
3.333 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will the United States cut Russian banks off from the SWIFT system by 2023? | Binary |
3.018 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before July 22, 2022? | Binary |
2.669 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)) | Binary |
2.606 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Mar 19) | Continuous |
2.202 | How many Japanese Encephalitis deaths will there be in Australia before July 2022? | Continuous |
1.697 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Jared Taylor) | Binary |
1.654 | Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022? | Binary |
1.632 | [short-fuse] Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2022 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
1.514 | Will at least four REvil gang members be in prison on May 15, 2022? | Binary |
1.356 | Will Catherine Cortez Masto be re-elected in the 2022 US Senate election in Nevada? | Binary |
1.294 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Marine Le Pen) | Binary |
1.218 | Will Russia officially declare war on Ukraine or announce its intent to do so by May 9, 2022? | Binary |
1.091 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Jean-Luc Mélenchon) | Binary |
1.084 | Will the Kenyan Supreme court nullify the results of the 2022 Presidential Election? | Binary |
1.049 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Élisabeth Borne) | Binary |
0.960 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Milo Yiannopoulos) | Binary |
0.954 | Will the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest be won by a country that is, at the time, also a member of the European Union? | Binary |
0.786 | Will Sarah Palin be elected as US Representative for Alaska in 2022? | Binary |
0.585 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Jan 22) | Continuous |
0.488 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Laura Loomer) | Binary |
0.364 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (June 25) | Continuous |
0.237 | Will the U.S. Congress pass legislation authorizing at least $50 billion to the semiconductor industry before May 1, 2022? | Binary |
0.124 | Will there be a female Fields Medalist in 2022? | Binary |
-0.191 | Will the Metaculus question about Russian troops in Kyiv in 2022 resolve ambiguously? | Binary |
-0.281 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 5) | Continuous |
-0.365 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (62) | Binary |
-1.046 | Keynesian Groupy Contest: interquartile range (KBCs are the best) | Binary |
-1.207 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Feb 5) | Continuous |
-2.212 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
-2.929 | Will Wales score a goal against England on Tuesday? | Binary |
-3.381 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
-4.940 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
-6.462 | [short fuse] Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in 2022? | Binary |
-7.654 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022) | Continuous |
-10.175 | Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-10.352 | Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
-11.089 | Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023? | Binary |
-18.001 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 750 before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
-24.144 | In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, “I support a global ban on the development of sentience in robots/AIs.”? | Continuous |
-25.320 | Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
-25.382 | Will Solana be in the top-10 cryptocurrencies by market cap on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-26.601 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (William Ruto) | Binary |
-26.895 | How far ahead or behind of Labour will the UK's Conservative Party be in the polls on October 6, 2022? | Continuous |
-30.965 | Will there be a bilateral ceasefire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2023? | Binary |
-32.922 | Before 2022-04-01, will martial law be on in any five federal subjects of Russia excluding all the territories annexed after 2013? | Binary |
-34.304 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Mar 19) | Continuous |
-43.518 | Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022? | Binary |
-47.046 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 2) | Continuous |
-47.346 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (May 14) | Continuous |
-49.315 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Mar 19) | Continuous |
-53.761 | What will total NATO defense spending be in 2022? | Continuous |
-54.470 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 2) | Continuous |
-58.174 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 2) | Continuous |
-59.748 | How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022? | Continuous |
-81.271 | How many additional Eliciting Latent Knowledge prizes will be awarded? | Continuous |
-90.488 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 16) | Continuous |
-90.701 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 2) | Continuous |
-98.206 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Argentina) | Binary |
-120.104 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Liz Truss) | Binary |
-128.332 | Will the UK authorise fourth doses of Covid vaccines for healthy adults in 2022? | Binary |
-130.786 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 16) | Continuous |
-135.606 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (May 14) | Continuous |
-142.597 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (May 14) | Continuous |
-144.223 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 2) | Continuous |
-167.469 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 30) | Continuous |
-170.324 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 16) | Continuous |
-173.689 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 16) | Continuous |
-186.559 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 30) | Continuous |
-207.091 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 30) | Continuous |
-225.486 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Houston Astros) | Binary |