98.651 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
97.755 | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
95.683 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
94.992 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
94.470 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
94.454 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
94.209 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
92.050 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
91.493 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
89.585 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
89.585 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
88.741 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
88.158 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
87.951 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
87.711 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
86.043 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
85.437 | Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025? | Binary |
84.577 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
84.149 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Dallas Mavericks) | Binary |
83.946 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
83.911 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Indiana Pacers) | Binary |
83.392 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
83.035 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
81.952 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
80.717 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
80.162 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
80.121 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New York Knicks) | Binary |
79.487 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
79.361 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
78.479 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Cleveland Cavaliers) | Binary |
77.900 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Minnesota Timberwolves) | Binary |
77.070 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
75.873 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Oklahoma City Thunder) | Binary |
75.122 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Orlando Magic) | Binary |
73.486 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New Orleans Pelicans) | Binary |
73.248 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Clippers) | Binary |
72.326 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
71.462 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
71.351 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
71.033 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
70.348 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Chicago Bulls) | Binary |
70.311 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Miami Heat) | Binary |
69.882 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
69.736 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Lakers) | Binary |
69.405 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Philadelphia 76ers) | Binary |
69.233 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Atlanta Hawks) | Binary |
69.022 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
68.806 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
67.745 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
67.535 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
67.492 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Sacremento Kings) | Binary |
67.481 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
66.237 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Phoenix Suns) | Binary |
65.843 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Houston Rockets) | Binary |
65.486 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Brooklyn Nets) | Binary |
65.328 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Golden State Warriors) | Binary |
65.244 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
65.005 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
63.728 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
63.704 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 1) | Binary |
63.409 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
63.327 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
62.594 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Denver Nuggets) | Binary |
62.487 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
62.195 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
61.596 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
61.327 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Utah Jazz) | Binary |
61.215 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Toronto Raptors) | Binary |
59.838 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Charlotte Hornets) | Binary |
58.752 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Memphis Grizzlies) | Binary |
58.447 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
58.292 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
57.461 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
57.418 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Portland Trail Blazers) | Binary |
55.026 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Milwaukee Bucks) | Binary |
54.527 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Washington Wizards) | Binary |
54.173 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Detroit Pistons) | Binary |
54.003 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
53.709 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (San Antonio Spurs) | Binary |
53.279 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
52.774 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
51.939 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
51.919 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
51.505 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
51.437 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
51.382 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
51.318 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
51.160 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
51.014 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
50.910 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
50.307 | When will Tigrayan forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa? | Continuous |
49.282 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
49.251 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
47.855 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
44.986 | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
41.740 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
39.883 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
38.970 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
38.641 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
36.287 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
35.911 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
34.440 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
33.831 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
33.572 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
32.944 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
32.035 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
31.608 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
31.333 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
31.270 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
31.114 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
30.917 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
30.116 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
30.075 | Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023? | Binary |
29.854 | Will a New or Joint "Worst 82-Game Regular Season Record" in NBA History be set in 2024? | Binary |
28.542 | How many Electoral College votes will the Republican Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
28.540 | How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024? | Continuous |
28.531 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
26.498 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
26.061 | What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election? | Continuous |
25.217 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
25.037 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
24.536 | Will the Sacramento Kings advance to the second round of the NBA playoffs in 2024? | Binary |
24.064 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
22.566 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
21.576 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
21.207 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
20.215 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
18.793 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
18.778 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
17.150 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
16.436 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
16.062 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
14.777 | Will Tigrayan-aligned forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa by military assault before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
14.293 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
13.119 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
12.522 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
12.166 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
11.222 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
10.545 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
10.153 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
10.089 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
8.543 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
7.937 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |
7.760 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
6.062 | Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022? | Binary |
5.698 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
5.463 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
4.545 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
4.039 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
4.010 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
4.008 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
3.979 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
3.797 | What percentage of US children under 5-years-old will have at least one dose of any COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
3.610 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
2.787 | Will a federal law imposing disbursement requirements on donor-advised fund accounts pass in the United States before 2023? | Binary |
2.363 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
1.810 | What will the number of active volcanos be in 2022? | Continuous |
1.395 | What will the total worldwide box office gross be for Avatar 2? | Continuous |
1.389 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
1.286 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
1.264 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
1.114 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
1.101 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
1.071 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
0.987 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
0.692 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
0.656 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
0.150 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
0.149 | Will a Navy ship be captured, scuttled, sunk, or critically damaged in the Black Sea before 2025? | Binary |
0.122 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
0.082 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
0.075 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
0.008 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
- | Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? (No) → 2024 US election considered fraudulent? | Binary |
-0.781 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
-0.781 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
-1.506 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
-2.146 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
-2.943 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
-4.325 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
-6.955 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
-12.512 | Will Dianne Feinstein resign from the Senate before the end of her term in early 2025? | Binary |
-14.330 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
-18.041 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
-20.883 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
-39.973 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
-41.593 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
-45.129 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
-58.879 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
-88.106 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
-88.593 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
-93.072 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
-110.349 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
-142.832 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Boston Celtics) | Binary |