bte

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2022

Baseline Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to chance. User scores are determined by summing their Baseline scores for all questions within a time period. This category rewards forecasters who are both accurate and forecast on many questions. Learn more here.

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6.305k	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
125.737	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 30)	Continuous
105.505	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 16)	Continuous
98.008	Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
98.007	Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
97.141	Will a cyber action or series of cyber actions trigger NATO’s Article 5 in 2022?	Binary
96.752	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022?	Binary
95.193	Will Twitter's board accept an acquisition offer from someone other than Elon Musk before 2023?	Binary
94.701	Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022?	Binary
94.629	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (May 14)	Continuous
94.416	Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023?	Binary
92.969	Will Sumy be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
92.448	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Morocco)	Binary
91.944	Will the weights of the 175B parameter model be made publicly available via a leak or hack by 2023?	Binary
90.955	Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023?	Binary
90.761	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Croatia)	Binary
90.544	Will a DDoS attack of greater than 3.5TPS occur in 2022?	Binary
89.601	Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022?	Binary
89.272	Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022?	Binary
88.722	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (South Korea)	Binary
88.251	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Senegal)	Binary
87.890	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Switzerland)	Binary
87.796	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Australia)	Binary
87.736	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Portugal)	Binary
87.342	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Cameroon)	Binary
87.339	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Japan)	Binary
86.900	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Poland)	Binary
86.868	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Costa Rica)	Binary
86.404	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (United States of America)	Binary
86.318	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Tunisia)	Binary
86.317	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Saudi Arabia)	Binary
86.049	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Serbia)	Binary
85.977	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay)	Binary
85.976	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ghana)	Binary
85.940	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Iran)	Binary
85.523	Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023?	Binary
85.034	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Denmark)	Binary
84.965	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Canada)	Binary
84.662	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ecuador)	Binary
84.215	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Belgium)	Binary
83.978	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Qatar)	Binary
82.429	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Mexico)	Binary
82.067	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Wales)	Binary
80.616	Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023?	Binary
80.304	Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023?	Binary
79.439	What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Canada as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
78.099	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Netherlands)	Binary
77.807	Will Blake Masters win the 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona?	Binary
77.757	Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?	Binary
77.673	Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
76.713	Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023?	Binary
76.644	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (May 14)	Continuous
75.159	Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?	Binary
73.461	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
73.168	Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
73.100	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023?	Binary
72.925	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022?	Binary
72.866	Will CAIDA measure a major disruption of the Ukrainian internet for 24 hours before August 2022?	Binary
72.343	Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut an undersea internet cable before 2023?	Binary
72.343	Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut the Kerch Strait Cable before 2023?	Binary
72.063	Will Leondra Kruger be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023?	Binary
71.761	Will Boris Johnson be charged with any criminal offence before 2023?	Binary
71.474	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022?	Binary
70.773	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (England)	Binary
69.397	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Brazil)	Binary
69.222	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Spain)	Binary
68.892	By December 31, 2022, will at least 10,000 US troops move into Ukraine?	Binary
68.054	How many seats will Democrats hold in the US Senate after 2022 midterm elections?	Continuous
67.937	Will Beto O'Rourke win the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election?	Binary
67.002	What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2022)	Continuous
64.711	Will Raphael Warnock be re-elected in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia?	Binary
63.185	Will there be a successful cyberattack on the 2022 FIFA World Cup?	Binary
62.971	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (France)	Binary
62.860	Will Carrick Flynn win the general election for Oregon's 6th congressional district?	Binary
61.803	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cleveland Guardians)	Binary
61.482	If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto?	Binary
61.141	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Philadelphia Phillies)	Binary
60.226	Will Mehmet Oz win the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania?	Binary
60.143	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022)	Continuous
59.957	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Seattle Mariners)	Binary
59.770	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Germany)	Binary
58.539	Will Xi Jinping be re-elected paramount leader in 2022?	Binary
58.002	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022)	Continuous
57.605	Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
56.895	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Diego Padres)	Binary
56.677	Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?	Binary
56.426	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before May 20, 2022?	Binary
56.097	Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023?	Binary
55.632	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Tampa Bay Rays)	Binary
55.408	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before May 20, 2022?	Binary
54.889	What will be the market capitalization of Netflix on December 1, 2022?	Continuous
54.806	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (St. Louis Cardinals)	Binary
54.130	Will China abandon their zero-covid strategy before June 1, 2022?	Binary
54.083	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022?	Binary
53.862	Will Doug Mastriano be elected Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022?	Binary
52.872	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Texas Rangers)	Binary
52.872	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Oakland Athletics)	Binary
52.871	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Angels)	Binary
52.871	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Detroit Tigers)	Binary
52.871	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Minnesota Twins)	Binary
52.871	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Baltimore Orioles)	Binary
52.870	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Kansas City Royals)	Binary
52.870	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Colorado Rockies)	Binary
52.870	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Boston Red Sox)	Binary
52.870	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago Cubs)	Binary
52.870	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Arizona Diamondbacks)	Binary
52.869	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Miami Marlins)	Binary
52.869	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Pittsburgh Pirates)	Binary
52.869	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Washington Nationals)	Binary
52.869	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cincinnati Reds)	Binary
52.274	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Toronto Blue Jays)	Binary
52.085	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Francisco Giants)	Binary
51.592	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Atlanta Braves)	Binary
51.570	Will Ron DeSantis be re-elected as Governor of Florida in 2022?	Binary
51.272	How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022?	Continuous
50.489	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Milwaukee Brewers)	Binary
49.678	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago White Sox)	Binary
48.945	Will PredictIt default on its obligation to allow its users to withdraw funds before 2023?	Binary
48.199	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 1, 2022)	Continuous
47.902	Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
46.030	Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022?	Binary
45.590	Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest?	Binary
44.882	Will the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest be won by a country that is, at the time, also a member of the European Union?	Binary
44.384	Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?	Binary
44.069	Will the US Government designate Russia a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" by 2023?	Binary
43.376	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 750 before July 1, 2022?	Binary
43.252	Will Tether collapse before 2023?	Binary
43.151	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 16)	Continuous
41.591	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 13, 2022?	Continuous
41.514	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 13, 2022?	Continuous
41.318	Will the Senate Commerce committee reach an agreement on preemption for a federal data security and data privacy law in 2022?	Binary
40.619	Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024?	Binary
40.326	Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?	Binary
39.967	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (June 25)	Continuous
39.056	How many seats will Democrats win in the US House of Representatives in 2022?	Continuous
38.724	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022)	Continuous
37.773	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Laura Loomer)	Binary
37.638	How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022?	Continuous
37.463	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022)	Continuous
36.995	Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023?	Binary
36.958	What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 May 2022?	Continuous
36.752	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Dodgers)	Binary
36.402	What will be the US unemployment rate in October 2022?	Continuous
36.352	Will a Republican be elected governor of Maryland in 2022?	Binary
36.227	Will Elizabeth Kim win the Democratic primary for New York's 10th congressional district in 2022?	Binary
35.887	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 16)	Continuous
35.449	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022)	Continuous
35.432	Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022?	Binary
34.696	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Yankees)	Binary
33.484	What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (October 2022)	Continuous
33.408	Will Rick Caruso be elected Mayor of Los Angeles in 2022?	Binary
33.389	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Mets)	Binary
32.669	Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022?	Binary
32.292	What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
31.947	Will the DART asteroid mission successfully impact in 2022?	Binary
31.858	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 6th of May, 2022?	Continuous
31.827	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,500 before July 1, 2022?	Binary
31.476	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump)	Binary
31.081	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 29, 2022)	Continuous
31.077	Will Stacey Abrams be elected Governor of Georgia in 2022?	Binary
31.045	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 9, 2022 and July 2, 2022?	Continuous
31.028	Will the US claim that a Russian disinformation campaign attempted to influence the 2022 midterm elections?	Binary
30.272	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (July 2)	Continuous
29.376	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Marjorie Taylor Greene)	Binary
27.403	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022?	Continuous
27.051	How many civilian casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian War will there be before May 2022?	Continuous
26.534	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 1, 2022)	Continuous
24.552	Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022?	Binary
23.684	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022?	Continuous
23.448	What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 2nd, 2022?	Continuous
23.057	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (June 18)	Continuous
21.965	How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023?	Continuous
21.807	Will a new zero day vulnerability be exploited against and result in the compromise of 100 million Americans’ personal information by June 30, 2022?	Binary
21.039	Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022?	Binary
19.769	[Short Fuse] Will Raphael Warnock defeat Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff on Tuesday?	Binary
19.226	Will a popular online identity verification service be breached in 2022?	Binary
19.225	Will an impactful penetration of a software supply chain be discovered by a party other than themselves in 2022?	Binary
18.878	Will the ceasefire in Yemen hold for its intended duration?	Binary
18.172	Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023?	Binary
17.884	Will a cyberattack target a major system's data integrity before July 1, 2022?	Binary
17.801	How much will China spend on importing diodes and semiconductors in 2022?	Continuous
16.709	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on April 1, 2022?	Continuous
16.186	Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023?	Binary
16.150	Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023?	Binary
15.618	Will Russia default on its debt in 2022?	Binary
15.458	What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in New York as of August 31, 2022?	Continuous
14.590	What will be the price of 1 ETH on the following dates? (December 31, 2022)	Continuous
14.065	Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on January 1, 2023?	Binary
13.617	Will Omicron XE be the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the US before June 19, 2022?	Binary
12.780	Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?	Binary
12.513	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (May 14)	Continuous
12.277	Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022?	Binary
12.023	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 8th and July 1st 2022?	Continuous
11.725	Will the European Central Bank raise interest rates in 2022?	Binary
11.180	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Liz Truss)	Binary
11.013	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Rishi Sunak)	Binary
10.836	What will the estimated cybersecurity workforce gap for the United States be on October 15, 2022?	Continuous
10.452	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022?	Continuous
10.374	Will there be a Tau variant of COVID by Tau Day (June 28, 2022)?	Binary
10.139	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (June 11)	Continuous
10.077	Will the U.S. Congress pass legislation authorizing at least $50 billion to the semiconductor industry before May 1, 2022?	Binary
9.946	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 30)	Continuous
9.647	Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?	Binary
9.629	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
9.378	Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022?	Binary
8.893	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
8.209	Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022?	Binary
7.977	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 27, 2022?	Continuous
7.780	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on March 25, 2022?	Continuous
6.837	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 25th, 2022?	Continuous
6.339	Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022?	Binary
6.005	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
5.469	How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022?	Continuous
5.370	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 29, 2022)	Continuous
5.008	Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022?	Binary
4.969	In the next round of FITARA (Federal Information Technology Acquisition Reform Act) scoring, will the median cyber grade for the covered federal departments and agencies come out as a “B-” or higher?	Binary
4.964	Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus?	Binary
4.549	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 22nd, 2022?	Continuous
4.519	Will Solana be in the top-10 cryptocurrencies by market cap on December 31, 2022?	Binary
3.617	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
3.266	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
2.963	Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022?	Binary
2.912	Will it become public that the United States launched a cyber attack between Jan 1, 2022 and April 30, 2022 against infrastructure associated with Russian cyber operators or proxies?	Binary
2.831	Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022?	Binary
2.197	Will the US sanction Russian oil or gas before 2023?	Binary
1.687	Will Catherine Cortez Masto be re-elected in the 2022 US Senate election in Nevada?	Binary
1.364	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy's image appear on the cover of Time's 2022 Person of the Year issue, more prominently than any other person's image?	Binary
1.098	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (June 4)	Continuous
0.151	What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022?	Continuous
0.146	Will the New York Times place Wordle (or any currently existing part of Wordle) behind a paywall during 2022?	Binary
-0.203	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
-0.929	Will North Korea have internet failures on 4 or more days between March 8, 2022 and August 1, 2022?	Binary
-1.341	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (June 4)	Continuous
-1.511	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 27, 2022?	Continuous
-1.593	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-3.456	What will be the approval rating of Vladimir Putin in December 2022?	Continuous
-3.746	Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022?	Binary
-3.918	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 1st of April, 2022?	Continuous
-4.234	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 2)	Continuous
-4.732	Will the US executive branch attempt to ban or otherwise further limit ransomware payments in 2022?	Binary
-7.789	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (June 11)	Continuous
-8.555	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 16)	Continuous
-9.891	Will Sarah Palin be elected as US Representative for Alaska in 2022?	Binary
-10.931	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (June 4)	Continuous
-13.692	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 2)	Continuous
-14.805	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-15.669	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (June 11)	Continuous
-16.078	In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults answered “Yes” to the statement, “Do you think it could ever be possible for robots/AIs to be sentient?”	Continuous
-16.529	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 29 and July 22, 2022?	Continuous
-17.240	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 16)	Continuous
-17.833	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (June 25)	Continuous
-19.689	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before June 10, 2022?	Binary
-20.564	Will any single cyberattack in 2022 result in damages over $10 billion?	Binary
-21.099	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (July 2)	Continuous
-21.666	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-21.780	Will Russia officially declare war on Ukraine or announce its intent to do so by May 9, 2022?	Binary
-21.947	How many countries will confirm at least one case of monkeypox by July 31, 2022?	Continuous
-23.223	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Alex Jones)	Binary
-23.467	Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?	Binary
-23.531	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 2)	Continuous
-25.538	How many ransomware attacks against U.S. educational institutions will be reported in 2022?	Continuous
-27.458	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (May 14)	Continuous
-27.684	What percent of global organizations will experience a successful email-based phishing attack in 2022?	Continuous
-28.199	Will Russian or Belarusian troops cross the land border between Belarus and either the Volyn or Rivne oblasts before 2023?	Binary
-29.002	Will Ron Johnson win the 2022 Wisconsin US Senate election?	Binary
-29.978	Will a cyberattack directly cause one or more deaths in 2022?	Binary
-30.219	Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?	Binary
-30.633	How many acres will burn in wildfires in California in 2022?	Continuous
-30.797	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (June 18)	Continuous
-30.994	What will be Putin's approval rating value 3 months after the potential invasion of Ukraine?	Continuous
-32.473	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
-34.444	Will China make a successful, major cyberattack on Taiwanese critical infrastructure before December 31, 2022?	Binary
-37.846	How many cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure will be conducted by Russian-based hackers between March 1, 2022 and June 1, 2022?	Continuous
-38.336	Will 2022 venture capital investment in cybersecurity companies surpass 2021?	Binary
-42.280	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 2,000 before July 22, 2022?	Binary
-45.975	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 15h of April, 2022?	Continuous
-51.142	What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
-60.800	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 2)	Continuous
-70.234	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Tila Tequila)	Binary
-72.000	Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023?	Binary
-73.229	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 2)	Continuous
-74.753	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022)	Continuous
-76.558	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Jared Taylor)	Binary
-83.571	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Milo Yiannopoulos)	Binary
-89.527	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Houston Astros)	Binary
-95.252	Will Rafael Nadal make it to the semifinals of every Grand Slam in 2022?	Binary
-97.691	Will Pakistan default on its debt in 2022?	Binary
-99.325	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny))	Binary
-105.719	Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
-123.299	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 30)	Continuous
-126.214	Will the number of Chinese military aircraft entering Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) exceed 60 on any single day in 2022?	Binary
-129.508	Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
-130.269	Will Facebook decide to make the weights of the 175B parameter model publicly available before 2023?	Binary
-142.576	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (May 14)	Continuous
-142.979	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 16)	Continuous
-143.064	How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
-148.516	What will total NATO defense spending be in 2022?	Continuous
-149.058	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (May 14)	Continuous
-165.139	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
-165.265	How many Virginia counties will have their COVID-19 Community Level classified as 'High' as of April 14th update?	Continuous
-165.562	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 30)	Continuous
-168.605	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 30)	Continuous
-213.819	When will China end Covid Zero?	Continuous
-214.271	What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 16th, 2022?	Continuous
-367.332	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Argentina)	Binary