154.974 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
143.656 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
130.317 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
127.299 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 25th of March, 2022? | Continuous |
126.709 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 13, 2022? | Continuous |
119.648 | On how many days in 2022 will U.S. hospital admissions (for COVID) exceed the pre-2022 peak? | Continuous |
114.822 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
114.571 | What will be the maximum price reached for Ethereum by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
112.609 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 6, 2022? | Continuous |
110.586 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
106.372 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on March 25, 2022? | Continuous |
103.807 | What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2022) | Continuous |
99.200 | How many seats will Democrats hold in the US Senate after 2022 midterm elections? | Continuous |
97.912 | What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 2nd, 2022? | Continuous |
97.063 | Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023? | Binary |
97.048 | [Short fuse]: Will Russia assume responsibility and apologize for the Przewodów strike before December? | Binary |
96.467 | What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 16th, 2022? | Continuous |
96.377 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before May 20, 2022? | Binary |
95.830 | Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023? | Binary |
95.170 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Michael Gove) | Binary |
94.986 | Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
94.793 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Steve Baker) | Binary |
94.361 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
94.253 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 9, 2022 and July 2, 2022? | Continuous |
94.158 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Tajikistan) | Binary |
94.015 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
93.834 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 27, 2022? | Continuous |
93.048 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
92.932 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Dominic Raab) | Binary |
92.240 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 4th of March, 2022? | Continuous |
91.539 | Will Elizabeth Kim win the Democratic primary for New York's 10th congressional district in 2022? | Binary |
90.724 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Priti Patel) | Binary |
90.314 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of March, 2022? | Continuous |
90.303 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Nadhim Zahawi) | Binary |
89.794 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 15h of April, 2022? | Continuous |
89.777 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 13, 2022? | Continuous |
88.586 | Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
88.561 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Tom Tugendhat) | Binary |
88.556 | Will Éric Zemmour win the French presidential election in 2022? | Binary |
88.467 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (South Korea) | Binary |
88.134 | Will PredictIt default on its obligation to allow its users to withdraw funds before 2023? | Binary |
87.984 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
87.857 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Sajid Javid) | Binary |
87.771 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Grant Shapps) | Binary |
87.571 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022? | Binary |
87.452 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (United States of America) | Binary |
87.255 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Kemi Badenoch) | Binary |
87.163 | Will a Republican be elected governor of Maryland in 2022? | Binary |
86.815 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,500 before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
86.278 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on February 11th, 2022? | Continuous |
86.217 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Cameroon) | Binary |
86.050 | Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
85.685 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ecuador) | Binary |
85.181 | When will Paxlovid be given FDA authorization or approval for patients who are not high-risk? | Continuous |
84.163 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
83.971 | Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
83.893 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Senegal) | Binary |
83.567 | Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022? | Binary |
83.203 | Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024? | Binary |
83.125 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Korea DPR) | Binary |
83.095 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 6th of May, 2022? | Continuous |
82.991 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 2,000 before July 22, 2022? | Binary |
82.827 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Cambodia) | Binary |
82.181 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 25th, 2022? | Continuous |
81.368 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Iran) | Binary |
81.342 | Will EA Global London 2022 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again? | Binary |
81.318 | Will the US Government designate Russia a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" by 2023? | Binary |
81.313 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Nicaragua) | Binary |
81.121 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Qatar) | Binary |
81.043 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Wales) | Binary |
80.793 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
80.660 | Will Doug Mastriano be elected Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022? | Binary |
80.577 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
80.001 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Poland) | Binary |
79.623 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Australia) | Binary |
79.400 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 22nd of April, 2022? | Continuous |
79.342 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
79.017 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Serbia) | Binary |
78.395 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Scott Aitchison) | Binary |
78.223 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Japan) | Binary |
78.160 | Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022? | Binary |
78.049 | Will Mehmet Oz win the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? | Binary |
77.902 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (66) | Binary |
77.870 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
77.765 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Jan 28, 2022? | Continuous |
77.466 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ghana) | Binary |
77.201 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 22nd, 2022? | Continuous |
76.827 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023? | Binary |
76.027 | Will Ron DeSantis be re-elected as Governor of Florida in 2022? | Binary |
75.717 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
75.502 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Canada) | Binary |
74.468 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Leslyn Lewis) | Binary |
74.404 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Nepal) | Binary |
74.363 | By December 31, 2022, will at least 10,000 US troops move into Ukraine? | Binary |
74.148 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 4th, 2022? | Continuous |
74.089 | Will Leondra Kruger be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023? | Binary |
73.995 | Will Russia invade Ukraine before February 1, 2022? | Binary |
73.801 | By February 6, 2022, will the James Webb Space Telescope successfully see First Light? | Binary |
73.772 | Will James Charles have more than 25 million Youtube subscribers by January 1, 2023? | Binary |
73.703 | Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus? | Binary |
73.661 | Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
73.310 | Will Ukraine acknowledge having fired the missile that killed two people in Przewodów, Poland, before 2023? | Binary |
72.802 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Dec-22) | Continuous |
72.753 | Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023? | Binary |
72.637 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (El Salvador) | Binary |
72.181 | Will Russian or Belarusian troops cross the land border between Belarus and either the Volyn or Rivne oblasts before 2023? | Binary |
71.984 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before June 10, 2022? | Binary |
71.763 | Will Russia officially declare war on Ukraine or announce its intent to do so by May 9, 2022? | Binary |
71.726 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Costa Rica) | Binary |
71.383 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Alex Jones) | Binary |
71.218 | If Republicans win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 election, who will be the next Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives? (Rep. Drew Ferguson) | Binary |
71.195 | Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023? | Binary |
71.152 | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
70.892 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 1st, 2022? | Continuous |
70.734 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Pierre Poilievre) | Binary |
70.395 | Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut the Kerch Strait Cable before 2023? | Binary |
70.365 | What will be the US unemployment rate in October 2022? | Continuous |
70.308 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Croatia) | Binary |
70.296 | Will Sumy be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
70.217 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Lao PDR) | Binary |
69.755 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before May 20, 2022? | Binary |
69.697 | Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
68.770 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Roman Baber) | Binary |
68.620 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Tunisia) | Binary |
67.492 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Bolivia) | Binary |
67.335 | Will the British pound trade below $1 before 2023? | Binary |
66.759 | Will any single cyberattack in 2022 result in damages over $10 billion? | Binary |
66.666 | Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
66.374 | Will Carrick Flynn win the general election for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
66.132 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay) | Binary |
65.961 | What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in New York as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
65.761 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
65.424 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
65.172 | What will be the 7-day average of % people wearing masks most or all of the time in public in Virginia on April 15th, 2022? | Continuous |
65.028 | Will the Senate Commerce committee reach an agreement on preemption for a federal data security and data privacy law in 2022? | Binary |
64.998 | Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022? | Binary |
64.985 | Will the DART asteroid mission successfully impact in 2022? | Binary |
64.898 | Will China abandon their zero-covid strategy before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
64.827 | What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in California as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
64.803 | Will a cyber action or series of cyber actions trigger NATO’s Article 5 in 2022? | Binary |
64.442 | Will Blake Masters win the 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona? | Binary |
64.313 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Morocco) | Binary |
63.636 | [short-fuse] Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2022 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
63.276 | Will Boris Johnson be charged with any criminal offence before 2023? | Binary |
63.262 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Mexico) | Binary |
62.778 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022? | Continuous |
62.363 | Will China make a successful, major cyberattack on Taiwanese critical infrastructure before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
62.350 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
61.510 | What percentage "yes" will Elon Musk's Twitter poll have for reinstating Trump? | Continuous |
61.507 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023? | Binary |
61.405 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (65) | Binary |
61.109 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (October 2022) | Continuous |
61.071 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 750 before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
60.472 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Chinese Yuan Renminbi ¥) | Binary |
60.033 | What percent of voters will vote in favor of the Swiss 2022 Bio Suisse Animal Welfare referendum question? | Continuous |
60.024 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Saudi Riyal SAR) | Binary |
59.630 | Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023? | Binary |
59.507 | Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
59.238 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 18th of February, 2022? | Continuous |
58.896 | What will be the price of 1 ETH on the following dates? (December 31, 2022) | Continuous |
58.775 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022? | Continuous |
58.395 | Will Tether collapse before 2023? | Binary |
58.108 | Will Twitter's board accept an acquisition offer from someone other than Elon Musk before 2023? | Binary |
57.914 | How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
57.239 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Indian Rupee ₹) | Binary |
57.227 | If Republicans win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 election, who will be the next Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives? (Rep. Jim Banks) | Binary |
57.155 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Penny Mordaunt) | Binary |
57.095 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Washington Nationals) | Binary |
56.976 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Denmark) | Binary |
56.869 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Texas Rangers) | Binary |
56.788 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago Cubs) | Binary |
56.781 | How many subscribers will the Effective Altruism subreddit have on January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
56.749 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Arizona Diamondbacks) | Binary |
56.719 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Kansas City Royals) | Binary |
56.674 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Colorado Rockies) | Binary |
56.644 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Detroit Tigers) | Binary |
56.636 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cincinnati Reds) | Binary |
56.619 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Pittsburgh Pirates) | Binary |
56.218 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Angels) | Binary |
56.060 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Oakland Athletics) | Binary |
55.966 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Miami Marlins) | Binary |
55.957 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Mexican Peso $) | Binary |
55.298 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on March 11, 2022? | Continuous |
55.115 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023? | Binary |
54.640 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 1st of April, 2022? | Continuous |
54.398 | Will Omicron XE be the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the US before June 19, 2022? | Binary |
54.367 | Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
54.354 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (European Union Euro €) | Binary |
54.001 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Carlos Sainz) | Binary |
53.997 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Feb 18, 2022? | Continuous |
53.922 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Lewis Hamilton) | Binary |
53.889 | Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022? | Binary |
53.606 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (George Russell) | Binary |
53.229 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Sergio Perez) | Binary |
52.962 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Switzerland) | Binary |
52.659 | Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
52.638 | Will Princeton cancel in person classes in January 2022? | Binary |
52.604 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
52.029 | Will there be a Tau variant of COVID by Tau Day (June 28, 2022)? | Binary |
52.012 | In 2022, how many people will be charged by US DOJ with seditious conspiracy in connection with the Jan 6 Capitol attack? | Continuous |
51.384 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (64) | Binary |
51.118 | Before 2023, will the US CDC recommend the general use of the monkeypox vaccine for all men who have sex with men in the US? | Binary |
50.759 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Bangladeshi Taka ৳) | Binary |
50.512 | Will Stacey Abrams be elected Governor of Georgia in 2022? | Binary |
50.502 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guatemala) | Binary |
50.348 | Will David Segal win the RI-2 Democratic primary? | Binary |
50.123 | Will Facebook decide to make the weights of the 175B parameter model publicly available before 2023? | Binary |
49.639 | Will the weights of the 175B parameter model be made publicly available via a leak or hack by 2023? | Binary |
49.476 | How many Japanese Encephalitis deaths will there be in Australia before July 2022? | Continuous |
49.116 | Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
49.033 | How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
48.861 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Charles Leclerc) | Binary |
48.422 | Will Beto O'Rourke win the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election? | Binary |
48.311 | Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
47.908 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Max Verstappen) | Binary |
47.866 | Will Liverpool win the 2021-2022 Premier League? | Binary |
47.802 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 11th, 2022? | Continuous |
47.500 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Honduras) | Binary |
47.431 | How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
47.306 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Francisco Giants) | Binary |
46.428 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022? | Binary |
46.346 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Minnesota Twins) | Binary |
45.080 | Will Éric Zemmour be in the 2nd round of the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
44.820 | How many seats will Democrats win in the US House of Representatives in 2022? | Continuous |
44.592 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before July 22, 2022? | Binary |
43.984 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Canada as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
43.307 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
42.707 | Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
41.779 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Russian Ruble ₽) | Binary |
41.773 | Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
41.592 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
41.388 | Will Niger experience a coup before 2023? | Binary |
40.992 | Will the Israeli Labor Party run alone? | Binary |
40.988 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Feb, 11 2022? | Continuous |
40.157 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Brazillian Real R$) | Binary |
39.334 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Germany) | Binary |
39.137 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Milwaukee Brewers) | Binary |
38.492 | Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022? | Binary |
38.487 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Portugal) | Binary |
38.088 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (England) | Binary |
38.023 | What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters? (2022 Q4) | Continuous |
37.928 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
37.818 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Indonesian Rupiah Rp) | Binary |
37.818 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Diego Padres) | Binary |
37.567 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in New York as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
37.207 | How many cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure will be conducted by Russian-based hackers between March 1, 2022 and June 1, 2022? | Continuous |
37.049 | Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022? | Binary |
36.953 | Will Raphael Warnock be re-elected in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia? | Binary |
36.908 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on April 1, 2022? | Continuous |
36.271 | Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
35.928 | Will Kassym-Jomart Tokayev exit the Presidency of Kazakhstan in 2022? | Binary |
35.914 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Jean Charest) | Binary |
35.854 | How many countries will confirm at least one case of monkeypox by July 31, 2022? | Continuous |
35.704 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (George Wajackoyah) | Binary |
35.547 | Will CAIDA measure a major disruption of the Ukrainian internet for 24 hours before August 2022? | Binary |
34.764 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
33.718 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Polish złoty ł) | Binary |
33.522 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Belgium) | Binary |
33.430 | Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut an undersea internet cable before 2023? | Binary |
32.945 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Iranian Rial IRR) | Binary |
32.843 | Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023? | Binary |
32.354 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Netherlands) | Binary |
32.308 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (David Waihiga Mwaure) | Binary |
32.228 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Spain) | Binary |
31.822 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (France) | Binary |
31.133 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Teimour Radjabov) | Binary |
30.898 | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Dec-22) | Continuous |
30.896 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
30.770 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
30.464 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago White Sox) | Binary |
30.183 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in California as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
30.163 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Mar 4, 2022? | Continuous |
30.155 | How much crude oil will the US hold in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as of December 2022? | Continuous |
30.042 | How many Virginia counties will have their COVID-19 Community Level classified as 'High' as of April 14th update? | Continuous |
29.856 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Richárd Rapport) | Binary |
29.646 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
29.529 | Will there be a successful cyberattack on the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | Binary |
28.769 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
27.896 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Boston Red Sox) | Binary |
27.821 | Will Sarah Palin be elected as US Representative for Alaska in 2022? | Binary |
27.553 | Will a cyberattack directly cause one or more deaths in 2022? | Binary |
27.520 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 28th of January, 2022? | Continuous |
27.422 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Brazil) | Binary |
26.814 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Milo Yiannopoulos) | Binary |
26.594 | Will any Fields Medal winner boycott ICM 2022 for political reasons? | Binary |
25.812 | How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023? | Continuous |
25.742 | Will the US executive branch attempt to ban or otherwise further limit ransomware payments in 2022? | Binary |
24.960 | How many smallsat launches will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
24.931 | What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022? | Continuous |
24.189 | What will be the market capitalization of Netflix on December 1, 2022? | Continuous |
24.122 | What percentage of monkeypox cases in California will be among cisgender men who are gay/same-gender loving or bisexual? | Continuous |
23.307 | Will more than 20,000 people die within 28 days of a positive Covid test in the UK in 2022? | Binary |
23.282 | Will Rafael Nadal make it to the semifinals of every Grand Slam in 2022? | Binary |
22.885 | Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023? | Binary |
22.772 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
22.744 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Toronto Blue Jays) | Binary |
22.575 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
22.365 | Will a new zero day vulnerability be exploited against and result in the compromise of 100 million Americans’ personal information by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
22.282 | Will Queen Elizabeth II abdicate in 2022? | Binary |
22.161 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Thai Baht ฿) | Binary |
22.083 | Will Xi Jinping be re-elected paramount leader in 2022? | Binary |
21.745 | Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
21.542 | What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (September 1, 2022) | Continuous |
21.428 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Binary |
21.075 | How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
21.060 | Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
20.534 | Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
20.302 | If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto? | Binary |
20.204 | Will Viktor Orbán win the 2022 Hungarian Parliamentary Election? | Binary |
20.092 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Atlanta Braves) | Binary |
18.963 | Will UK initiate its rota load shedding plan during 2022-2023 winter? | Binary |
18.464 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)) | Binary |
17.876 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Nigerian Naira ₦) | Binary |
17.837 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Ding Liren) | Binary |
17.204 | How many civilian casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian War will there be before May 2022? | Continuous |
17.041 | Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022? | Binary |
16.985 | Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
16.806 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
16.788 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Liz Truss) | Binary |
16.750 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
16.712 | When will desktop Intel Arc Alchemist GPUs launch? | Continuous |
16.304 | Will the ceasefire in Yemen hold for its intended duration? | Binary |
16.200 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Pakistani Rupee ₨) | Binary |
16.037 | What percentage of the vote share will Carrick Flynn receive in the OR-6 Democratic primary? | Continuous |
16.012 | Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022? | Binary |
14.983 | Will a DDoS attack of greater than 3.5TPS occur in 2022? | Binary |
14.921 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (63) | Binary |
14.403 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Mets) | Binary |
14.349 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Hjörvar Steinn Grétarsson) | Binary |
14.348 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Matthias Blübaum) | Binary |
14.060 | Will Carrick Flynn win the Democratic primary for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
14.020 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
13.844 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
13.617 | Will the Buffalo Bills play in Super Bowl LVI? | Binary |
12.675 | What will be the approval rating of Vladimir Putin in December 2022? | Continuous |
11.916 | Will the European Central Bank raise interest rates in 2022? | Binary |
10.665 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Papua New Guinea) | Binary |
10.344 | Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
10.190 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guinea-Bissau) | Binary |
9.574 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Morocco) | Binary |
9.419 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Pakistan) | Binary |
9.416 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Senegal) | Binary |
9.416 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Liberia) | Binary |
9.416 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Mauritania) | Binary |
9.416 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Argentine Peso $) | Binary |
9.416 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Sierra Leone) | Binary |
9.416 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guinea) | Binary |
9.240 | Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022? | Binary |
9.098 | Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023? | Binary |
8.601 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Côte d'Ivoire) | Binary |
8.393 | Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
8.180 | Will North Korea have internet failures on 4 or more days between March 8, 2022 and August 1, 2022? | Binary |
7.915 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Togo) | Binary |
7.611 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cleveland Guardians) | Binary |
7.348 | If Russia invades Ukraine in 2022, when will the invasion be acknowledged by Russia or the UN? | Continuous |
7.180 | In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults answered “Yes” to the statement, “Do you think it could ever be possible for robots/AIs to be sentient?” | Continuous |
6.730 | Will a cyberattack target a major system's data integrity before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
6.375 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Jared Taylor) | Binary |
5.894 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
5.699 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
5.449 | Will there be a Pi variant of COVID by Pi Day (March 14, 2022)? | Binary |
4.964 | Will 2022 venture capital investment in cybersecurity companies surpass 2021? | Binary |
4.803 | Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa no longer be the President of Sri Lanka before 2023? | Binary |
4.606 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Yankees) | Binary |
4.588 | Will the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest be won by a country that is, at the time, also a member of the European Union? | Binary |
4.413 | Before 2022-04-01, will martial law be on in any five federal subjects of Russia excluding all the territories annexed after 2013? | Binary |
4.153 | How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
4.122 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will the United States cut Russian banks off from the SWIFT system by 2023? | Binary |
4.046 | Will a popular online identity verification service be breached in 2022? | Binary |
3.432 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022? | Binary |
3.431 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Baltimore Orioles) | Binary |
3.430 | What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (November 1, 2022) | Continuous |
3.412 | Before 2023, will FTX.US default or suspend payment to at least one FTX.US user? | Binary |
3.383 | Will an impactful penetration of a software supply chain be discovered by a party other than themselves in 2022? | Binary |
3.320 | What will be Turkey's inflation rate on the following dates? (October 2022) | Continuous |
3.209 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
2.989 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
2.978 | What will total NATO defense spending be in 2022? | Continuous |
2.966 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Benin) | Binary |
2.922 | Will Pakistan default on its debt in 2022? | Binary |
2.853 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (India) | Binary |
2.853 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Bangladesh) | Binary |
1.885 | Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022? | Binary |
1.199 | Will there be a female Fields Medalist in 2022? | Binary |
1.087 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Wesley So) | Binary |
0.917 | What percentage of people who sign up for the SMTM potato study will complete all 4 weeks of the diet? | Continuous |
0.548 | If Republicans win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 election, who will be the next Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives? (Rep. Tom Emmer) | Binary |
0.420 | Will Catherine Cortez Masto be re-elected in the 2022 US Senate election in Nevada? | Binary |
0.243 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
-0.192 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Tila Tequila) | Binary |
-0.475 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Dodgers) | Binary |
-1.286 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy's image appear on the cover of Time's 2022 Person of the Year issue, more prominently than any other person's image? | Binary |
-1.402 | When will the 30-days Google Trends interest for the term "China protests" peak? | Continuous |
-1.957 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
-2.357 | By December 31, 2022, will Twitter agree to be taken private by Elon Musk? | Binary |
-2.724 | How many acres will burn in wildfires in California in 2022? | Continuous |
-3.253 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
-3.331 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 27, 2022? | Continuous |
-3.374 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (61) | Binary |
-6.259 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (William Ruto) | Binary |
-6.341 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Philadelphia Phillies) | Binary |
-6.414 | What will be the total number of fish that Fish Welfare Initiative (FWI) claims to have helped by 2023? | Continuous |
-6.567 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before June 10, 2022? | Binary |
-8.123 | What percent of voters will vote in favor of Sioux Falls' 2022 Slaughterhouse ballot question? | Continuous |
-8.200 | Will Ron Johnson win the 2022 Wisconsin US Senate election? | Binary |
-9.806 | Will Rick Caruso be elected Mayor of Los Angeles in 2022? | Binary |
-9.974 | In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, “I support granting legal rights to sentient robots/AIs.”? | Continuous |
-10.211 | Will the US claim that a Russian disinformation campaign attempted to influence the 2022 midterm elections? | Binary |
-10.540 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 8th and July 1st 2022? | Continuous |
-11.232 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (62) | Binary |
-11.986 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
-13.710 | Will Russia default on its debt in 2022? | Binary |
-15.494 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
-16.808 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Turkish Lira ₺) | Binary |
-18.373 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Tampa Bay Rays) | Binary |
-23.588 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Houston Astros) | Binary |
-24.769 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
-25.572 | When will the Apple Watch Series 8 be available for pre-order? | Continuous |
-30.326 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
-31.405 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Seattle Mariners) | Binary |
-32.681 | Will the New York Times place Wordle (or any currently existing part of Wordle) behind a paywall during 2022? | Binary |
-34.752 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of February, 2022? | Continuous |
-35.566 | How far ahead or behind of Labour will the UK's Conservative Party be in the polls on October 6, 2022? | Continuous |
-36.285 | Will Solana be in the top-10 cryptocurrencies by market cap on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-36.992 | Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022? | Binary |
-42.110 | [short fuse] Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in 2022? | Binary |
-44.015 | Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
-44.719 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 29 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
-45.681 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (St. Louis Cardinals) | Binary |
-48.380 | Will there be a bilateral ceasefire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2023? | Binary |
-50.215 | In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, “The welfare of robots/AIs is one of the most important social issues in the world today.”? | Continuous |
-51.323 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Egyptian Pound £E) | Binary |
-53.816 | Will the UK authorise fourth doses of Covid vaccines for healthy adults in 2022? | Binary |
-57.473 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
-58.569 | What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 May 2022? | Continuous |
-63.037 | Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-73.951 | Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022? | Binary |
-75.278 | How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022? | Continuous |
-83.042 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Argentina) | Binary |
-84.540 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
-86.416 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
-88.697 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (Raila Odinga) | Binary |
-89.232 | What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (January 1, 2023) | Continuous |
-107.998 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
-109.218 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Laura Loomer) | Binary |
-134.674 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |