101.707 | What will the fed funds rate be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
98.654 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
95.555 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
95.327 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
95.323 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
94.084 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
93.377 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
93.312 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
92.405 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
89.735 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
89.525 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
87.318 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
86.955 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
86.614 | How much oil will Russia produce (in barrels per day) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
86.600 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
85.998 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
85.998 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
85.998 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
85.919 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
85.660 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
84.834 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
84.637 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
84.554 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
84.337 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
84.251 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
84.069 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
83.227 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
83.163 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
82.182 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
81.993 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
81.849 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou (Independent)) | Binary |
81.271 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
78.578 | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
78.185 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Ko Wen-je (TPP)) | Binary |
77.425 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
77.335 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
76.079 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
72.439 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
72.439 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
72.439 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
72.376 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
70.216 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (United States) | Binary |
68.251 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
67.184 | Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU? | Binary |
66.048 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
65.762 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Brazil) | Binary |
65.614 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
61.626 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
60.248 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
58.141 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
57.379 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
57.379 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
57.004 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
55.740 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
55.727 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
55.664 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
55.654 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
55.645 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
55.294 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
55.230 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
55.108 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
54.414 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
54.205 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
54.041 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
53.910 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
52.298 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
51.976 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
51.099 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
50.777 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
50.452 | What will the price of oil be for December 2022? | Continuous |
49.578 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
49.469 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
49.176 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
48.439 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
47.984 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
45.006 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
44.259 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
43.776 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
43.776 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
43.776 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
43.776 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
43.776 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
43.634 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
43.619 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
43.619 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
43.619 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
43.619 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
43.608 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
43.605 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
43.604 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
43.604 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
43.604 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
43.604 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
43.604 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
43.604 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
43.598 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
43.598 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
43.598 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
43.598 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
43.336 | What will be the lowest monthly value for US total capacity utilization in 2023? | Continuous |
43.067 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
42.911 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
42.120 | How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
41.718 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
41.548 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
40.712 | Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
38.503 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
38.192 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
37.339 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
36.915 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
36.155 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
36.131 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
35.548 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (December 31, 2024) | Continuous |
34.683 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
33.972 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan? | Binary |
33.423 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
33.213 | Will these countries approve a cultivated meat product for consumption before April 2023? (China) | Binary |
32.000 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
31.979 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
29.323 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
27.076 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
25.500 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
25.476 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
25.346 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
22.300 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
21.890 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
21.788 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
21.779 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
20.462 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
20.268 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Hou Yu-ih (Kuomintang)) | Binary |
18.029 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2023? | Binary |
17.025 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
16.961 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
15.681 | Will Bongbong Marcos win the 2022 Philippine Presidential Election? | Binary |
14.248 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026? | Binary |
12.654 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
8.961 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
7.175 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
5.784 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
4.132 | Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023? | Binary |
3.867 | Will the US re-implement a ban on funding gain-of-function research in 2022? | Binary |
3.327 | Will the Fed decrease the size of its accumulated asset portfolio below $8 trillion by 2023? | Binary |
2.316 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
2.141 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
0.519 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (China) | Binary |
0.478 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Vietnam) | Binary |
0.478 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Thailand) | Binary |
0.424 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Russia) | Binary |
0.295 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
-0.512 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
-1.363 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Lai Ching-te (DPP)) | Binary |
-2.348 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (March 31, 2024) | Continuous |
-3.245 | Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? | Binary |
-9.126 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (September 30, 2024) | Continuous |
-23.890 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
-24.019 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (June 30, 2024) | Continuous |
-26.211 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
-32.983 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
-33.357 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
-51.349 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
-74.866 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
-81.459 | When will US government 10-year bond yields next exceed 2-year bond yields? | Continuous |
-89.580 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |