Sergio

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2022

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8.95k	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
143.802	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
141.881	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
134.346	What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 2nd, 2022?	Continuous
132.219	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
131.015	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 25th, 2022?	Continuous
127.942	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 13, 2022?	Continuous
121.815	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 4th, 2022?	Continuous
118.817	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of March, 2022?	Continuous
114.772	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on March 25, 2022?	Continuous
110.611	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
110.507	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on March 11, 2022?	Continuous
110.198	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022?	Continuous
108.516	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 27, 2022?	Continuous
108.497	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
108.067	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on April 1, 2022?	Continuous
104.788	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
104.493	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 6, 2022?	Continuous
98.230	Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023?	Binary
98.229	Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023?	Binary
98.225	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022?	Continuous
97.881	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 22nd, 2022?	Continuous
97.058	What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 May 2022?	Continuous
96.962	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 1st of April, 2022?	Continuous
95.940	What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 16th, 2022?	Continuous
95.887	Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023?	Binary
95.876	Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023?	Binary
94.785	Will a cyber action or series of cyber actions trigger NATO’s Article 5 in 2022?	Binary
92.644	Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023?	Binary
92.428	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 13, 2022?	Continuous
91.854	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Feb 18, 2022?	Continuous
91.311	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
91.208	Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?	Binary
90.942	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 18th of February, 2022?	Continuous
90.000	Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut the Kerch Strait Cable before 2023?	Binary
88.779	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022?	Binary
86.401	How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022?	Continuous
85.051	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022?	Continuous
84.354	Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?	Binary
79.717	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 22nd of April, 2022?	Continuous
79.129	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 2,000 before July 22, 2022?	Binary
78.980	Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022?	Binary
78.301	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 6th of May, 2022?	Continuous
78.121	Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023?	Binary
75.927	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
75.144	Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
74.746	How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023?	Continuous
73.726	Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023?	Binary
73.538	Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?	Binary
73.419	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Mar 4, 2022?	Continuous
73.184	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (European Union Euro €)	Binary
72.349	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 25th of March, 2022?	Continuous
71.996	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on February 11th, 2022?	Continuous
71.629	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,500 before July 1, 2022?	Binary
71.008	Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut an undersea internet cable before 2023?	Binary
70.695	Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
70.453	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 15h of April, 2022?	Continuous
69.545	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before June 10, 2022?	Binary
69.541	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 9, 2022 and July 2, 2022?	Continuous
69.469	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
69.371	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
69.285	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before May 20, 2022?	Binary
68.248	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 4th of March, 2022?	Continuous
67.952	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
67.827	Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023?	Binary
67.677	Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
66.815	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
66.567	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Jan 28, 2022?	Continuous
66.391	Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022?	Binary
63.415	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
62.747	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 28th of January, 2022?	Continuous
61.923	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
61.718	How many countries will confirm at least one case of monkeypox by July 31, 2022?	Continuous
61.466	What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022?	Continuous
61.391	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
61.241	Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022?	Binary
60.124	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
57.630	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
57.173	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
57.062	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before June 10, 2022?	Binary
56.078	Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022?	Binary
55.955	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022?	Continuous
55.809	Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
55.263	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Feb, 11 2022?	Continuous
55.021	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
55.012	Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?	Binary
54.984	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
54.962	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 1st, 2022?	Continuous
54.684	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
54.555	How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022?	Continuous
54.364	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of February, 2022?	Continuous
51.526	How many civilian casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian War will there be before May 2022?	Continuous
51.353	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
50.838	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Mauritania)	Binary
50.711	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Liberia)	Binary
50.556	What will be the 7-day average of % people wearing masks most or all of the time in public in Virginia on April 15th, 2022?	Continuous
50.410	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
50.379	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Sierra Leone)	Binary
50.112	Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?	Binary
50.011	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
49.915	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Senegal)	Binary
49.807	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Saudi Riyal SAR)	Binary
49.781	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
49.110	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guinea)	Binary
48.959	If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto?	Binary
48.703	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
48.699	Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
48.290	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Brazillian Real R$)	Binary
46.695	What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
46.648	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Indonesian Rupiah Rp)	Binary
45.756	What will the estimated cybersecurity workforce gap for the United States be on October 15, 2022?	Continuous
45.615	Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
45.346	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
44.955	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Côte d'Ivoire)	Binary
44.372	Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023?	Binary
43.912	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
43.710	Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?	Binary
43.451	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Thai Baht ฿)	Binary
43.354	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
43.346	Will the US claim that a Russian disinformation campaign attempted to influence the 2022 midterm elections?	Binary
43.058	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
41.383	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Argentine Peso $)	Binary
41.174	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 29 and July 22, 2022?	Continuous
40.687	Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022?	Binary
38.528	Will Ukraine acknowledge having fired the missile that killed two people in Przewodów, Poland, before 2023?	Binary
38.085	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
37.794	How many Virginia counties will have their COVID-19 Community Level classified as 'High' as of April 14th update?	Continuous
37.233	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
37.010	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Togo)	Binary
36.442	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 11th, 2022?	Continuous
36.249	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 27, 2022?	Continuous
35.457	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
33.259	Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Democratic Republic of Congo)	Binary
32.678	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
32.565	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
31.560	Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?	Binary
28.494	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Polish złoty ł)	Binary
27.103	Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
26.393	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
25.940	Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022?	Binary
23.096	Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022?	Binary
22.212	How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
20.649	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
18.532	Will a new zero day vulnerability be exploited against and result in the compromise of 100 million Americans’ personal information by June 30, 2022?	Binary
17.922	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
15.992	How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022?	Continuous
12.846	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
12.771	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
10.073	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022?	Binary
8.905	Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022?	Binary
8.646	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
7.952	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Mexican Peso $)	Binary
7.868	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Chinese Yuan Renminbi ¥)	Binary
7.842	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Russian Ruble ₽)	Binary
7.350	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
7.088	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
6.974	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 8th and July 1st 2022?	Continuous
4.880	Will China make a successful, major cyberattack on Taiwanese critical infrastructure before December 31, 2022?	Binary
4.615	What percent of global organizations will experience a successful email-based phishing attack in 2022?	Continuous
4.065	If Russia invades Ukraine, will the United States cut Russian banks off from the SWIFT system by 2023?	Binary
3.195	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
2.273	When will the 30-days Google Trends interest for the term "China protests" peak?	Continuous
1.693	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
1.022	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
-0.569	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-0.967	Will Russia default on its debt in 2022?	Binary
-0.978	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-1.728	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-2.043	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
-2.217	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-3.391	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022?	Continuous
-3.587	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
-3.816	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-5.346	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-7.532	Will 2022 venture capital investment in cybersecurity companies surpass 2021?	Binary
-7.945	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump)	Binary
-8.377	Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022?	Binary
-9.156	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Egyptian Pound £E)	Binary
-10.988	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before May 20, 2022?	Binary
-11.149	What will be the total number of fish that Fish Welfare Initiative (FWI) claims to have helped by 2023?	Continuous
-11.911	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
-13.539	Will the US make any new commitment of over $1M for the prevention of biological weapons deployment at the 2022 BWC Review Conference?	Binary
-16.585	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Benin)	Binary
-16.596	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
-17.649	Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?	Binary
-18.334	Will the study “Knowledge about others reduces one’s own sense of anonymity” (Nature, 2022) replicate?	Binary
-20.039	What percent of ransomware victims whose data was encrypted will report paying a ransom in 2022?	Continuous
-24.096	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
-26.724	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
-26.928	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Pakistani Rupee ₨)	Binary
-27.106	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
-28.417	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
-34.074	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Turkish Lira ₺)	Binary
-34.610	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-40.409	Will a DDoS attack of greater than 3.5TPS occur in 2022?	Binary
-43.319	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 750 before July 1, 2022?	Binary
-48.634	What will total NATO defense spending be in 2022?	Continuous
-53.842	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-71.139	[short fuse] Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in 2022?	Binary
-141.707	Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022?	Binary