| 98.599 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 98.130 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 94.059 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 92.602 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 90.950 | Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 88.969 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 88.768 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 87.903 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 87.710 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 87.418 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 87.180 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 87.156 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 86.586 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
| 86.430 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 85.408 | Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU? | Binary |
| 84.778 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 84.129 | Will the U.S. CDC classify Omicron as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 81.222 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 80.764 | Will Russia impose a total ban on Apple products before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 80.762 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 79.224 | Will a new highly-diamagnetic room-temperature material be found before 2025? | Binary |
| 78.809 | Will Israel and Palestine hold peace talks in 2022? | Binary |
| 78.311 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 78.204 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 76.454 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 76.315 | Will US Attorney General Merrick Garland be impeached before the 2024 federal election? | Binary |
| 76.223 | Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023? | Binary |
| 76.135 | Will the Omicron variant be more lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 74.143 | Will Apple announce Apple Glasses before 2025? | Binary |
| 72.375 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 71.902 | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
| 71.842 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 71.598 | Will Republicans control the United States Senate on 2022-10-31? | Binary |
| 71.470 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 70.265 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 69.906 | Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2023/24 Premier League season? | Binary |
| 68.828 | Will Bongbong Marcos win the 2022 Philippine Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 68.731 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 67.058 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 66.362 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 66.301 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 65.665 | Will the German value-added tax (VAT) of plant-based milks be reduced to be the same as cow's milk by end of 2024? | Binary |
| 65.594 | Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly? | Binary |
| 65.434 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 65.206 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 64.595 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 63.918 | Will Alphabet’s (GOOG) market capitalisation fall below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 63.508 | Will the Duke or Duchess of Sussex file for divorce before Mar 8, 2022? | Binary |
| 63.284 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 63.242 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 63.028 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 63.013 | Will average NAEP reading and math scores across 4th and 8th grades decline in 2024 compared to 2022? | Binary |
| 62.925 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 62.793 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 62.495 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 61.908 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 60.942 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 60.412 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
| 60.264 | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 59.371 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 59.200 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 58.011 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 57.663 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 56.631 | Will the stock price of NVIDIA trade below $250 (adjusted to pre-split value) for at least 1 full day before 2025? | Binary |
| 55.561 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 55.463 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 55.269 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 55.139 | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
| 55.055 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 54.487 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 53.050 | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| 52.995 | Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025? | Binary |
| 52.607 | Will an LLM pass an ARA evaluation before 2025? | Binary |
| 51.550 | Will the US CDC announce that they are tracking a SARS-CoV-2 variant that they classify as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before August 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 50.522 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 49.751 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 49.211 | Meaningful commitments from UK AI Summit? (No) → ChatGPT available in Europe on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 47.601 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 47.492 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 46.442 | Will a Chinese firm market an ArFi photolithography machine before 2025? | Binary |
| 45.707 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 45.602 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 45.599 | Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023? | Binary |
| 45.566 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 45.546 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 45.371 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 45.043 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 43.834 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 43.507 | Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 per unit before 2025? | Binary |
| 42.536 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 42.201 | Will Linda Yaccarino be the CEO of Twitter on July 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 42.191 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 41.711 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
| 41.160 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| 40.824 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 40.454 | Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 40.415 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 39.983 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| 39.806 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 39.762 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 39.497 | Will the Omicron variant be less lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 38.017 | Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025? | Binary |
| 37.783 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases globally on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 37.778 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 37.023 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 36.967 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 35.488 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 35.319 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 34.980 | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| 34.822 | Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 33.214 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| 31.847 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 31.550 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 31.536 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 31.528 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 31.512 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 31.487 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 31.376 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| 31.350 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
| 31.084 | Will there be a large-scale power outage in the continental Europe synchronous grid before 2023? | Binary |
| 30.799 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 30.707 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 29.931 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 29.645 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 29.619 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 29.585 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 29.524 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 29.524 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 29.523 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 28.563 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 28.562 | Will Elon Musk face US federal criminal charges or an SEC civil complaint before 2026? | Binary |
| 28.321 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 27.688 | Will Gary Gensler be subpoenaed by Congress before 2025? | Binary |
| 27.612 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 27.268 | What will the USD price of Bitcoin be on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 26.270 | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 26.004 | Will Belfast (2021) win the 2022 Best Picture Oscar? | Binary |
| 25.980 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| 24.994 | Will Hawaiian Electric Company file for bankruptcy before 2025? | Binary |
| 24.832 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |
| 24.672 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 23.557 | Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025? | Binary |
| 22.844 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026? | Binary |
| 22.798 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 21.634 | Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least as capable as original GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 21.537 | Will Dutch supermarket Albert Heijn still sell crompouces by April 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 20.786 | Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 18.940 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 18.391 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| 18.385 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2023? | Binary |
| 18.169 | Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections? | Binary |
| 18.143 | Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025? | Binary |
| 18.131 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 17.877 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 17.419 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 15.943 | In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election? | Binary |
| 15.700 | Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025? | Binary |
| 14.957 | What will Great Britain's maximum solar power capacity (MW) be for October 2024? | Continuous |
| 14.612 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 13.951 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| 13.937 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 13.276 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 12.905 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 12.283 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
| 12.099 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| 11.865 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
| 11.730 | Will the EPA grant a waiver for the entirety of California's proposed Advanced Clean Cars II before January 21, 2025? | Binary |
| 11.335 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 9.812 | Will the United States Senate vote to expel a Senator before January 3, 2023? | Binary |
| 9.515 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Clippers) | Binary |
| 9.196 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| 8.553 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Denver Nuggets) | Binary |
| 8.375 | Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022? | Binary |
| 8.346 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Lakers) | Binary |
| 8.154 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| 8.150 | Will the US claim that Russia has exceeded New START treaty limits on nuclear weapons before 2025? | Binary |
| 7.881 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Phoenix Suns) | Binary |
| 7.648 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Milwaukee Bucks) | Binary |
| 7.417 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 7.262 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.143 | Will Substack cancel anyone before 2023? | Binary |
| 7.104 | Will India conduct a military intervention against Pakistan before the 2024 Indian general elections? | Binary |
| 7.021 | Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022? | Binary |
| 6.088 | Will Johnathan Davis be re-elected at the 2024 ACT election? | Binary |
| 5.735 | Will an anti-5G attack take a life in 2021 or 2022? | Binary |
| 5.191 | Will the ANC receive more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 South African general election? | Binary |
| 5.012 | Will the Sacramento Kings advance to the second round of the NBA playoffs in 2024? | Binary |
| 3.096 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Dallas Mavericks) | Binary |
| 2.695 | Will someone agree to participate in a Rootclaim challenge before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.571 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
| 2.474 | Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.818 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.615 | Will the 117th United States Senate change the filibuster rules during its session? | Binary |
| 0.883 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Minnesota Timberwolves) | Binary |
| -0.387 | Will Tesla reveal a prototype of the Tesla Bot before 2023? | Binary |
| -0.501 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| -0.882 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
| -1.016 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -1.099 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -1.744 | Will Dianne Feinstein resign from the Senate before the end of her term in early 2025? | Binary |
| -2.714 | Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? | Binary |
| -3.349 | Will France place in the Top 5 at the 2024 Paris Olympics? | Binary |
| -4.511 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| -5.694 | Will the US require and verify reporting of large AI training runs before 2026? | Binary |
| -6.745 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Boston Celtics) | Binary |
| -9.872 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -13.345 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| -14.253 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -17.438 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| -21.499 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| -26.109 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -33.256 | Musk Chairman Of Twitter in 2024? (Yes) → Twitter Public Company in May 2024? | Binary |
| -33.899 | Will Rep. Matt Gaetz leave the US House of Representatives before 2023? | Binary |
| -43.101 | Will Apple Watch feature a blood pressure monitor before 2025? | Binary |
| -51.050 | Will Donald Trump be charged with witness tampering in Georgia before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -53.270 | Will at least 3 months of third party safety evaluations be conducted on Gemini before its deployment? | Binary |
| -55.993 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| -74.642 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -82.075 | Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission before November 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -95.874 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| -96.326 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -133.236 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -314.979 | Will the right-wing incumbent BJP win the 2024 national election in India? | Binary |