98.442 | What will be the maximum price reached for Ethereum by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
95.262 | Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023? | Binary |
95.262 | Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023? | Binary |
93.007 | [Short fuse]: Will Russia assume responsibility and apologize for the Przewodów strike before December? | Binary |
90.926 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Dominic Raab) | Binary |
90.477 | Will Éric Zemmour win the French presidential election in 2022? | Binary |
89.661 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Steve Baker) | Binary |
86.304 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
84.407 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
84.162 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Morocco) | Binary |
84.093 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Croatia) | Binary |
83.804 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Sajid Javid) | Binary |
83.803 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Grant Shapps) | Binary |
83.463 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (66) | Binary |
83.375 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
82.089 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Nadhim Zahawi) | Binary |
82.046 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Poland) | Binary |
81.839 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Portugal) | Binary |
81.724 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Australia) | Binary |
81.634 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Switzerland) | Binary |
81.409 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cleveland Guardians) | Binary |
81.287 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (South Korea) | Binary |
81.169 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Japan) | Binary |
81.077 | Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
80.993 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Seattle Mariners) | Binary |
80.928 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Senegal) | Binary |
80.728 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Kemi Badenoch) | Binary |
80.382 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
80.371 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Tunisia) | Binary |
80.350 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Mexico) | Binary |
80.163 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Netherlands) | Binary |
80.100 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Philadelphia Phillies) | Binary |
80.078 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (65) | Binary |
80.029 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Diego Padres) | Binary |
80.025 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ecuador) | Binary |
80.006 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Wales) | Binary |
79.998 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Cameroon) | Binary |
79.995 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Iran) | Binary |
79.964 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Serbia) | Binary |
79.945 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ghana) | Binary |
79.553 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Costa Rica) | Binary |
79.497 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 30) | Continuous |
79.445 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Belgium) | Binary |
79.302 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (United States of America) | Binary |
79.033 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Denmark) | Binary |
78.708 | Will Sumy be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
78.685 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (France) | Binary |
78.548 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay) | Binary |
78.466 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (61) | Binary |
78.235 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Atlanta Braves) | Binary |
78.214 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 27, 2022? | Continuous |
77.954 | How much crude oil will the US hold in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as of December 2022? | Continuous |
77.766 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Canada) | Binary |
77.435 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Tampa Bay Rays) | Binary |
77.413 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Spain) | Binary |
77.113 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
76.927 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Qatar) | Binary |
76.742 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cincinnati Reds) | Binary |
76.738 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Washington Nationals) | Binary |
76.672 | Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
76.593 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Miami Marlins) | Binary |
76.531 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (St. Louis Cardinals) | Binary |
76.531 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Toronto Blue Jays) | Binary |
76.330 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (May 14) | Continuous |
76.251 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (England) | Binary |
76.200 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Mets) | Binary |
76.078 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Detroit Tigers) | Binary |
75.861 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Kansas City Royals) | Binary |
75.817 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Colorado Rockies) | Binary |
75.715 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Texas Rangers) | Binary |
75.715 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Pittsburgh Pirates) | Binary |
75.715 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago Cubs) | Binary |
75.715 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Arizona Diamondbacks) | Binary |
75.714 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Francisco Giants) | Binary |
75.514 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Baltimore Orioles) | Binary |
75.414 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Oakland Athletics) | Binary |
75.411 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Boston Red Sox) | Binary |
75.262 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Angels) | Binary |
74.798 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Minnesota Twins) | Binary |
74.798 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago White Sox) | Binary |
74.797 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Milwaukee Brewers) | Binary |
74.260 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Brazil) | Binary |
74.056 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Germany) | Binary |
73.884 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (May 14) | Continuous |
73.435 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 30) | Continuous |
73.109 | Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
72.890 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
72.729 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
71.745 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Teimour Radjabov) | Binary |
71.547 | Will Elizabeth Kim win the Democratic primary for New York's 10th congressional district in 2022? | Binary |
70.540 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (July 2) | Continuous |
70.537 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Richárd Rapport) | Binary |
70.518 | Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023? | Binary |
70.377 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
68.181 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
68.071 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Ding Liren) | Binary |
67.692 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 16) | Continuous |
67.561 | Will Carrick Flynn win the general election for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
67.239 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Michael Gove) | Binary |
67.012 | Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
66.944 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
66.636 | On how many days in 2022 will U.S. hospital admissions (for COVID) exceed the pre-2022 peak? | Continuous |
66.214 | Will Leondra Kruger be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023? | Binary |
66.144 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 19) | Continuous |
66.104 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
65.888 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before May 20, 2022? | Binary |
65.205 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Priti Patel) | Binary |
65.119 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (64) | Binary |
64.811 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
64.726 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022? | Binary |
64.699 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (63) | Binary |
64.676 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Yankees) | Binary |
64.401 | Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022? | Binary |
64.005 | Will EA Global London 2022 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again? | Binary |
63.625 | Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus? | Binary |
63.429 | Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
63.272 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 18) | Continuous |
63.155 | What will be the market capitalization of Netflix on December 1, 2022? | Continuous |
63.053 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
62.984 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Lewis Hamilton) | Binary |
62.984 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (George Russell) | Binary |
62.750 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Tom Tugendhat) | Binary |
62.716 | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
62.577 | By December 31, 2022, will at least 10,000 US troops move into Ukraine? | Binary |
62.542 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Sergio Perez) | Binary |
62.017 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Carlos Sainz) | Binary |
60.968 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 16) | Continuous |
60.635 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Dodgers) | Binary |
60.084 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 27, 2022? | Continuous |
59.693 | Will a Republican be elected governor of Maryland in 2022? | Binary |
59.475 | Will Twitter's board accept an acquisition offer from someone other than Elon Musk before 2023? | Binary |
58.807 | What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 2nd, 2022? | Continuous |
58.163 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Penny Mordaunt) | Binary |
57.763 | Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
57.206 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Max Verstappen) | Binary |
56.980 | How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
56.484 | Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023? | Binary |
56.209 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Charles Leclerc) | Binary |
56.108 | Will Boris Johnson be charged with any criminal offence before 2023? | Binary |
55.884 | What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 May 2022? | Continuous |
55.361 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022? | Binary |
55.229 | Will Xi Jinping be re-elected paramount leader in 2022? | Binary |
55.210 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,500 before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
54.556 | Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022? | Binary |
54.150 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023? | Binary |
53.684 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 16) | Continuous |
53.337 | Will Ron DeSantis be re-elected as Governor of Florida in 2022? | Binary |
52.964 | Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022? | Binary |
51.768 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
51.633 | Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
51.065 | Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
50.847 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 25) | Continuous |
50.818 | Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024? | Binary |
50.756 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 16) | Continuous |
50.518 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
50.283 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before May 20, 2022? | Binary |
49.893 | Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
49.496 | Will Beto O'Rourke win the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election? | Binary |
49.290 | What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022? | Continuous |
48.939 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
48.788 | Will there be a Tau variant of COVID by Tau Day (June 28, 2022)? | Binary |
48.482 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Saudi Riyal SAR) | Binary |
47.654 | Will Tether collapse before 2023? | Binary |
47.215 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
46.593 | Will CAIDA measure a major disruption of the Ukrainian internet for 24 hours before August 2022? | Binary |
45.882 | By February 6, 2022, will the James Webb Space Telescope successfully see First Light? | Binary |
45.837 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 11) | Continuous |
45.729 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 30) | Continuous |
45.417 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Matthias Blübaum) | Binary |
44.889 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
44.161 | Will Kassym-Jomart Tokayev exit the Presidency of Kazakhstan in 2022? | Binary |
44.046 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 25th of March, 2022? | Continuous |
43.960 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 750 before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
43.845 | Will a cyber action or series of cyber actions trigger NATO’s Article 5 in 2022? | Binary |
43.644 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Hjörvar Steinn Grétarsson) | Binary |
43.031 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
42.956 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022) | Continuous |
42.906 | Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023? | Binary |
41.899 | Will the New York Times place Wordle (or any currently existing part of Wordle) behind a paywall during 2022? | Binary |
41.602 | Will China abandon their zero-covid strategy before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
41.560 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 1, 2022) | Continuous |
41.318 | Will Stacey Abrams be elected Governor of Georgia in 2022? | Binary |
41.014 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 13, 2022? | Continuous |
40.757 | Will Liverpool win the 2021-2022 Premier League? | Binary |
40.496 | Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
40.314 | If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto? | Binary |
40.203 | Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut the Kerch Strait Cable before 2023? | Binary |
39.837 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 6th of May, 2022? | Continuous |
39.747 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
39.452 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before June 10, 2022? | Binary |
39.170 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Wesley So) | Binary |
38.810 | Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023? | Binary |
38.503 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 2,000 before July 22, 2022? | Binary |
38.307 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 13, 2022? | Continuous |
37.872 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Sierra Leone) | Binary |
37.817 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Binary |
37.785 | Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
37.712 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 15h of April, 2022? | Continuous |
37.640 | Will Éric Zemmour be in the 2nd round of the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
37.622 | Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
37.524 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before July 22, 2022? | Binary |
37.439 | How many Virginia counties will have their COVID-19 Community Level classified as 'High' as of April 14th update? | Continuous |
37.317 | Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
37.188 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
37.109 | Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut an undersea internet cable before 2023? | Binary |
37.025 | How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
37.015 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023? | Binary |
36.959 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 4) | Continuous |
36.937 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Senegal) | Binary |
36.899 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Mauritania) | Binary |
36.899 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Liberia) | Binary |
36.897 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Indian Rupee ₹) | Binary |
36.858 | Will Facebook decide to make the weights of the 175B parameter model publicly available before 2023? | Binary |
36.333 | How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
36.010 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guinea) | Binary |
35.654 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Morocco) | Binary |
35.177 | Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
34.703 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 6, 2022? | Continuous |
34.594 | Will the weights of the 175B parameter model be made publicly available via a leak or hack by 2023? | Binary |
34.524 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Canada as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
34.507 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Iranian Rial IRR) | Binary |
34.313 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 4th, 2022? | Continuous |
34.203 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
34.034 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Mexican Peso $) | Binary |
33.951 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 16) | Continuous |
33.472 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (European Union Euro €) | Binary |
33.121 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Chinese Yuan Renminbi ¥) | Binary |
33.085 | Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
33.068 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023? | Binary |
32.708 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Pierre Poilievre) | Binary |
32.624 | Will Russia invade Ukraine before February 1, 2022? | Binary |
32.459 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Côte d'Ivoire) | Binary |
32.286 | How many Japanese Encephalitis deaths will there be in Australia before July 2022? | Continuous |
32.189 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Bangladeshi Taka ৳) | Binary |
31.892 | How many seats will Democrats hold in the US Senate after 2022 midterm elections? | Continuous |
31.748 | Will any Fields Medal winner boycott ICM 2022 for political reasons? | Binary |
31.603 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Leslyn Lewis) | Binary |
31.563 | Will Russian or Belarusian troops cross the land border between Belarus and either the Volyn or Rivne oblasts before 2023? | Binary |
31.552 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Togo) | Binary |
31.524 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 4th of March, 2022? | Continuous |
31.211 | What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 16th, 2022? | Continuous |
30.796 | How many seats will Democrats win in the US House of Representatives in 2022? | Continuous |
30.467 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Bolivia) | Binary |
30.445 | Will Russia officially declare war on Ukraine or announce its intent to do so by May 9, 2022? | Binary |
30.413 | [Short Fuse] Will Raphael Warnock defeat Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff on Tuesday? | Binary |
30.255 | Will Doug Mastriano be elected Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022? | Binary |
30.041 | Will the Buffalo Bills win their NFL football game on Thanksgiving? | Binary |
29.941 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
29.463 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on April 1, 2022? | Continuous |
29.440 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
29.185 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Jean Charest) | Binary |
29.034 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Alex Jones) | Binary |
28.927 | Will Princeton cancel in person classes in January 2022? | Binary |
28.886 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Mar 4, 2022? | Continuous |
28.838 | Will at least four REvil gang members be in prison on May 15, 2022? | Binary |
28.595 | Will any single cyberattack in 2022 result in damages over $10 billion? | Binary |
28.514 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022? | Continuous |
28.495 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022? | Continuous |
27.606 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (July 2) | Continuous |
27.570 | Will Mehmet Oz win the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? | Binary |
27.528 | Will China make a successful, major cyberattack on Taiwanese critical infrastructure before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
27.437 | Will there be a successful cyberattack on the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | Binary |
27.343 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Polish złoty ł) | Binary |
27.147 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
27.009 | Will the Senate Commerce committee reach an agreement on preemption for a federal data security and data privacy law in 2022? | Binary |
26.589 | Will James Charles have more than 25 million Youtube subscribers by January 1, 2023? | Binary |
26.269 | Will Niger experience a coup before 2023? | Binary |
26.191 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
25.978 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 5) | Continuous |
25.971 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (El Salvador) | Binary |
25.853 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Nicaragua) | Binary |
25.684 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Roman Baber) | Binary |
25.375 | Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
24.777 | In 2022, how many people will be charged by US DOJ with seditious conspiracy in connection with the Jan 6 Capitol attack? | Continuous |
24.646 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Scott Aitchison) | Binary |
24.305 | What will be the 7-day average of % people wearing masks most or all of the time in public in Virginia on April 15th, 2022? | Continuous |
24.136 | Will Ontario's Conservative Party (PC) win the a majority in the election on 2022-06-02? | Binary |
24.052 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (May 14) | Continuous |
23.929 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Honduras) | Binary |
23.811 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Indonesian Rupiah Rp) | Binary |
23.615 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Benin) | Binary |
23.250 | How many countries will confirm at least one case of monkeypox by July 31, 2022? | Continuous |
23.102 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guatemala) | Binary |
23.080 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 18th of February, 2022? | Continuous |
23.013 | Will the British pound trade below $1 before 2023? | Binary |
22.980 | Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022? | Binary |
22.768 | Will Queen Elizabeth II abdicate in 2022? | Binary |
22.379 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022? | Binary |
22.213 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
22.070 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guinea-Bissau) | Binary |
22.042 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 11th, 2022? | Continuous |
21.580 | Will Blake Masters win the 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona? | Binary |
21.450 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 25) | Continuous |
21.339 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
21.331 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (October 2022) | Continuous |
21.304 | Will a new zero day vulnerability be exploited against and result in the compromise of 100 million Americans’ personal information by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
21.230 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Brazillian Real R$) | Binary |
21.114 | Will a cyberattack directly cause one or more deaths in 2022? | Binary |
21.099 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
21.005 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in California as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
20.717 | Will the DART asteroid mission successfully impact in 2022? | Binary |
20.643 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Brandon Bay) | Binary |
20.643 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Bob Chiarelli) | Binary |
20.336 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Graham MacDonald) | Binary |
20.328 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Nepal) | Binary |
20.249 | Will it become public that the United States launched a cyber attack between Jan 1, 2022 and April 30, 2022 against infrastructure associated with Russian cyber operators or proxies? | Binary |
20.193 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
20.098 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Feb 18, 2022? | Continuous |
20.068 | Will a cyberattack using the Log4J exploit cause $20 million in damage to a single target before September 1, 2022? | Binary |
20.026 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Zed Chebib) | Binary |
19.979 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Thai Baht ฿) | Binary |
19.713 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Bernard Couchman) | Binary |
19.713 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Celine Debassige) | Binary |
19.713 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Mike Maguire) | Binary |
19.713 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Ade Olumide) | Binary |
19.508 | Will there be a Pi variant of COVID by Pi Day (March 14, 2022)? | Binary |
19.276 | Will Ron Johnson win the 2022 Wisconsin US Senate election? | Binary |
19.225 | Will Omicron XE be the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the US before June 19, 2022? | Binary |
19.077 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Nour Kadri) | Binary |
18.753 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Gregory Jreg Guevara) | Binary |
18.753 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Jacob Solomon) | Binary |
18.641 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Marine Le Pen) | Binary |
18.595 | Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023? | Binary |
18.301 | What percentage of the vote share will Carrick Flynn receive in the OR-6 Democratic primary? | Continuous |
18.179 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Nigerian Naira ₦) | Binary |
18.148 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Lao PDR) | Binary |
18.096 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Param Singh) | Binary |
17.912 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Papua New Guinea) | Binary |
17.791 | Will Raphael Warnock be re-elected in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia? | Binary |
17.776 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 1, 2022) | Continuous |
17.762 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Other) | Binary |
17.536 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on February 11th, 2022? | Continuous |
17.458 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Élisabeth Borne) | Binary |
17.324 | Will Carrick Flynn win the Democratic primary for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
17.317 | Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023? | Binary |
16.956 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Feb, 11 2022? | Continuous |
16.730 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Mar 19) | Continuous |
16.675 | Will North Korea have internet failures on 4 or more days between March 8, 2022 and August 1, 2022? | Binary |
16.459 | Will Ukraine acknowledge having fired the missile that killed two people in Przewodów, Poland, before 2023? | Binary |
16.255 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Tajikistan) | Binary |
16.069 | Will Pakistan default on its debt in 2022? | Binary |
15.955 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Jean-Luc Mélenchon) | Binary |
15.628 | How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
15.624 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 18) | Continuous |
15.602 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (George Wajackoyah) | Binary |
15.341 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Mar 5) | Continuous |
15.337 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Liz Truss) | Binary |
15.236 | Will PredictIt default on its obligation to allow its users to withdraw funds before 2023? | Binary |
15.156 | Will Rick Caruso be elected Mayor of Los Angeles in 2022? | Binary |
15.153 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Feb 19) | Continuous |
15.099 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (India) | Binary |
14.962 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of February, 2022? | Continuous |
14.745 | Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
14.691 | In the next round of FITARA (Federal Information Technology Acquisition Reform Act) scoring, will the median cyber grade for the covered federal departments and agencies come out as a “B-” or higher? | Binary |
14.564 | What will be the US unemployment rate in October 2022? | Continuous |
14.514 | Will Viktor Orbán win the 2022 Hungarian Parliamentary Election? | Binary |
14.465 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Feb 19) | Continuous |
14.269 | What percent of voters will vote in favor of the Swiss 2022 Bio Suisse Animal Welfare referendum question? | Continuous |
14.229 | Will David Segal win the RI-2 Democratic primary? | Binary |
14.136 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Tanzania) | Binary |
14.136 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Rwanda) | Binary |
14.098 | Will a cyberattack target a major system's data integrity before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
14.078 | How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
14.066 | What will be the approval rating of Vladimir Putin in December 2022? | Continuous |
13.980 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Burundi) | Binary |
13.742 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Jan 28, 2022? | Continuous |
13.670 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Korea DPR) | Binary |
13.670 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Cambodia) | Binary |
13.661 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Djibouti) | Binary |
13.587 | Will Environment and Climate Change Canada register a white Christmas – snow on the ground on December 25th – for Toronto? | Binary |
13.499 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Kenya) | Binary |
12.954 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Milo Yiannopoulos) | Binary |
12.845 | Before 2023, will the US CDC recommend the general use of the monkeypox vaccine for all men who have sex with men in the US? | Binary |
12.760 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 28th of January, 2022? | Continuous |
12.466 | Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
12.387 | Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022? | Binary |
12.379 | Will the European Central Bank raise interest rates in 2022? | Binary |
11.472 | Will the Buffalo Bills play in Super Bowl LVI? | Binary |
11.457 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Mar 5) | Continuous |
11.365 | Will the US claim that a Russian disinformation campaign attempted to influence the 2022 midterm elections? | Binary |
11.359 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 1st, 2022? | Continuous |
11.171 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (David Waihiga Mwaure) | Binary |
11.112 | Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
11.038 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Pakistan) | Binary |
10.701 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Bangladesh) | Binary |
10.550 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)) | Binary |
10.465 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy's image appear on the cover of Time's 2022 Person of the Year issue, more prominently than any other person's image? | Binary |
10.409 | Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
10.265 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 22nd of April, 2022? | Continuous |
10.195 | Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022? | Binary |
9.741 | Will more than 20,000 people die within 28 days of a positive Covid test in the UK in 2022? | Binary |
9.636 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Jared Taylor) | Binary |
9.533 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 11) | Continuous |
9.448 | Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? | Binary |
9.309 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Mar 5) | Continuous |
9.058 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (June 25) | Continuous |
9.035 | Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
8.916 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (July 2) | Continuous |
8.658 | Will Brandy Bottone, the pregnant woman pulled over in Texas for an HOV lane violation, be found guilty in court? | Binary |
8.575 | Will the US Government designate Russia a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" by 2023? | Binary |
8.463 | How many civilian casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian War will there be before May 2022? | Continuous |
8.355 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Eritrea) | Binary |
8.355 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Uganda) | Binary |
8.355 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Angola) | Binary |
8.355 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Zimbabwe) | Binary |
8.355 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Democratic Republic of Congo) | Binary |
8.355 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Gabon) | Binary |
8.355 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Eswatini (Swaziland)) | Binary |
8.355 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Equatorial Guinea) | Binary |
8.355 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Lesotho) | Binary |
8.181 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (June 18) | Continuous |
8.157 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (June 4) | Continuous |
8.012 | What will be Putin's approval rating value 3 months after the potential invasion of Ukraine? | Continuous |
7.868 | Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
7.237 | Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa no longer be the President of Sri Lanka before 2023? | Binary |
7.088 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 19) | Continuous |
7.047 | Will Sarah Palin be elected as US Representative for Alaska in 2022? | Binary |
6.822 | Will Russia default on its debt in 2022? | Binary |
6.631 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Russian Ruble ₽) | Binary |
6.623 | Will the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest be won by a country that is, at the time, also a member of the European Union? | Binary |
6.473 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Tila Tequila) | Binary |
6.391 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (Raila Odinga) | Binary |
6.075 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 2) | Continuous |
6.049 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022) | Continuous |
5.981 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (June 11) | Continuous |
5.748 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Argentine Peso $) | Binary |
5.448 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 4) | Continuous |
4.933 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 5) | Continuous |
4.256 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
4.141 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 25th, 2022? | Continuous |
4.024 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 19) | Continuous |
3.973 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Feb 5) | Continuous |
3.728 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Mar 19) | Continuous |
3.708 | Will the US executive branch attempt to ban or otherwise further limit ransomware payments in 2022? | Binary |
3.696 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 22nd, 2022? | Continuous |
3.456 | Will the U.S. Congress pass legislation authorizing at least $50 billion to the semiconductor industry before May 1, 2022? | Binary |
3.313 | Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022? | Binary |
3.210 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on March 25, 2022? | Continuous |
2.966 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Mar 5) | Continuous |
2.889 | How many cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure will be conducted by Russian-based hackers between March 1, 2022 and June 1, 2022? | Continuous |
2.887 | Will an Eliciting Latent Knowledge prize of $50,000 be awarded? | Binary |
2.793 | [short-fuse] Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2022 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
2.535 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Feb 19) | Continuous |
2.342 | Will the US make any new commitment of over $1M for the prevention of biological weapons deployment at the 2022 BWC Review Conference? | Binary |
2.233 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 2) | Continuous |
2.146 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before June 10, 2022? | Binary |
2.015 | Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022? | Binary |
1.839 | Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022? | Binary |
1.806 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Feb 5) | Continuous |
1.711 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Mar 5) | Continuous |
1.706 | If Russia invades Ukraine in 2022, when will the invasion be acknowledged by Russia or the UN? | Continuous |
1.645 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will the United States cut Russian banks off from the SWIFT system by 2023? | Binary |
1.536 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 5) | Continuous |
1.146 | Before 2023, will FTX.US default or suspend payment to at least one FTX.US user? | Binary |
0.988 | Will the US sanction Russian oil or gas before 2023? | Binary |
0.838 | Will Jaedon Whyte qualify for the USA IMO team before 2023? | Binary |
0.511 | Will the Israeli Labor Party run alone? | Binary |
0.461 | Will the ceasefire in Yemen hold for its intended duration? | Binary |
0.393 | Will the Kenyan Supreme court nullify the results of the 2022 Presidential Election? | Binary |
0.133 | Will the Metaculus question about Russian troops in Kyiv in 2022 resolve ambiguously? | Binary |
- | Will a popular online identity verification service be breached in 2022? | Binary |
-0.611 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Catherine McKenney) | Binary |
-0.708 | By December 31, 2022, will Twitter agree to be taken private by Elon Musk? | Binary |
-0.863 | Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022? | Binary |
-0.974 | Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Mark Sutcliffe) | Binary |
-1.361 | Will the number of Chinese military aircraft entering Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) exceed 60 on any single day in 2022? | Binary |
-1.402 | Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022? | Binary |
-2.395 | Before 2022-04-01, will martial law be on in any five federal subjects of Russia excluding all the territories annexed after 2013? | Binary |
-2.405 | Will Wales score a goal against England on Tuesday? | Binary |
-3.866 | Will Catherine Cortez Masto be re-elected in the 2022 US Senate election in Nevada? | Binary |
-4.189 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Pakistani Rupee ₨) | Binary |
-4.281 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Mar 19) | Continuous |
-4.415 | Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023? | Binary |
-4.881 | Will there be a bilateral ceasefire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2023? | Binary |
-5.227 | Will Seattle's Approval Voting ballot initiative (Initiative 134) pass? | Binary |
-5.981 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (William Ruto) | Binary |
-6.972 | Will there be a female Fields Medalist in 2022? | Binary |
-7.656 | Will an impactful penetration of a software supply chain be discovered by a party other than themselves in 2022? | Binary |
-8.833 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
-10.347 | Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-11.567 | [short fuse] Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in 2022? | Binary |
-11.757 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 2) | Continuous |
-11.853 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Laura Loomer) | Binary |
-11.941 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Mar 19) | Continuous |
-12.281 | Will a DDoS attack of greater than 3.5TPS occur in 2022? | Binary |
-12.446 | Will the study “Knowledge about others reduces one’s own sense of anonymity” (Nature, 2022) replicate? | Binary |
-14.725 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
-16.254 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Turkish Lira ₺) | Binary |
-18.752 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Egyptian Pound £E) | Binary |
-21.746 | Will Solana be in the top-10 cryptocurrencies by market cap on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-22.337 | Will Rafael Nadal make it to the semifinals of every Grand Slam in 2022? | Binary |
-30.743 | Will 2022 venture capital investment in cybersecurity companies surpass 2021? | Binary |
-30.897 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 2) | Continuous |
-36.234 | [Short Fuse] Will Top Gun: Maverick win Favorite Movie at the 2022 People's Choice Awards? | Binary |
-37.090 | Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022? | Binary |
-39.788 | What will total NATO defense spending be in 2022? | Continuous |
-47.897 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Mar 19) | Continuous |
-54.974 | Will the UK authorise fourth doses of Covid vaccines for healthy adults in 2022? | Binary |
-61.179 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 2) | Continuous |
-62.176 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 30) | Continuous |
-63.351 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 2) | Continuous |
-80.677 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 30) | Continuous |
-89.875 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
-100.802 | [short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (62) | Binary |
-108.896 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 16) | Continuous |
-112.986 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 30) | Continuous |
-120.134 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (May 14) | Continuous |
-158.647 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (May 14) | Continuous |
-164.846 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
-197.559 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (May 14) | Continuous |
-232.941 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Argentina) | Binary |
-250.264 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Houston Astros) | Binary |