172.496 | What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
97.679 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
97.665 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
97.653 | Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
97.650 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
97.632 | Will any OpenAI or Anthropic model be in the top-10 model with a non-proprietary license on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
95.236 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
93.499 | Will the Georgia Power Co Vogtle nuclear power plant Unit 4 be operational in May, 2024? | Binary |
93.482 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
92.045 | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
82.298 | Will a Chinese firm market an ArFi photolithography machine before 2025? | Binary |
69.128 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
68.923 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
68.923 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
68.923 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
68.923 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
68.923 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
64.832 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
63.333 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
62.484 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
61.626 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
56.288 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
51.676 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
51.676 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
51.676 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
51.676 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
51.676 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
51.676 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
51.676 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |
51.676 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
51.676 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
51.676 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
51.676 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Parham Maghsoodloo) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Leinier Domínguez Pérez) | Binary |
51.577 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
46.953 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
46.953 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
46.953 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
46.953 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
46.953 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
46.953 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
46.953 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
46.953 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
46.953 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
46.953 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
46.792 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Combined) | Continuous |
46.389 | When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally? | Continuous |
46.255 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
44.059 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Flu) | Continuous |
43.391 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
43.060 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
41.909 | Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
39.494 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
39.494 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
39.494 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
39.494 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
39.494 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
39.494 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
37.447 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
36.646 | Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025? | Binary |
36.645 | Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 per unit before 2025? | Binary |
36.645 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Missouri) | Continuous |
36.510 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
34.484 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (RSV) | Continuous |
32.749 | What will be the total number of air incursions into the ADIZ between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
30.123 | How many OpenAI or Anthropic model versions will be released between December 1, 2023 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
25.798 | How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market? (Q3 (FY2025, ends Oct 2024)) | Continuous |
25.394 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
20.720 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
16.985 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
16.985 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
16.106 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Texas) | Continuous |
14.786 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
14.511 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Florida for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
13.965 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
California for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
13.674 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Colorado for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
10.227 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Dallas Mavericks) | Binary |
8.733 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Washington for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
8.427 | What will be the weekly rate of RSV-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 people for the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 10, 2024) | Continuous |
7.495 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Texas for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
7.253 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
7.053 | What will be the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 10, 2024) | Continuous |
6.551 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
4.296 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Boston Celtics) | Binary |
4.113 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
4.113 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
3.576 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Massachusetts) | Continuous |
2.710 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
2.582 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
2.393 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
2.362 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Indiana Pacers) | Binary |
-0.285 | How many medals will the USA win at Paris 2024? | Continuous |
-0.659 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Minnesota Timberwolves) | Binary |
-2.433 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Missouri for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
-5.968 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
-8.745 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (New York) | Continuous |
-8.818 | How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024? | Continuous |
-9.593 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
New York for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
-10.702 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Florida) | Continuous |
-12.115 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
-12.943 | What will be the US FY 2024 budget (in $ millions) for the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA)? | Continuous |
-15.836 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Pennsylvania for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
-16.069 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Pennsylvania) | Continuous |
-18.863 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
-20.494 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Massachusetts for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
-20.696 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
-20.910 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Illinois for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
-23.690 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
-23.690 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
-24.516 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
-33.707 | How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market? (Q2 (FY2025, ends Jul 2024)) | Continuous |
-43.735 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (California) | Continuous |
-55.775 | How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market? (Q1 (FY2025, ends Apr 2024)) | Continuous |
-56.916 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Illinois) | Continuous |
-57.042 | What will be the US Federal Funds Rate on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
-60.925 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
-67.072 | How many additional indictments will have been filed against Donald Trump on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
-70.223 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
-82.641 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Colorado) | Continuous |
-91.597 | What will be the total bilateral commitments of Ukraine support (in billions of EUR) on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
-92.744 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Washington) | Continuous |
-97.304 | What will be the US labor force participation rate for the May 2024? | Continuous |
-137.850 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
-164.775 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
-188.527 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
-219.073 | What will be the UK natural gas futures price (GBp/thm) for May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
-551.831 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |