| 99.753 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 99.662 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 99.316 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 99.033 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 98.305 | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 98.134 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 98.134 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 98.043 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.597 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.581 | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.526 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 97.190 | Will the United States Senate vote to expel a Senator before January 3, 2023? | Binary |
| 96.819 | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 96.632 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 96.601 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 96.186 | Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU? | Binary |
| 95.830 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 94.991 | Will Republicans control the United States Senate on 2022-10-31? | Binary |
| 93.212 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 92.698 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 92.698 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 92.698 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 92.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 92.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 92.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 92.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 92.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 92.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 92.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 92.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 92.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 92.349 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 91.139 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 91.100 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 90.539 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 90.434 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 89.346 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 88.186 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 86.350 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 86.195 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 85.366 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 85.366 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 84.434 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 84.434 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 82.713 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 79.658 | Will Alphabet’s (GOOG) market capitalisation fall below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 79.272 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 76.519 | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| 74.857 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 73.774 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 72.927 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 72.298 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 71.855 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 71.710 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 71.710 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 71.710 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 71.710 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 71.548 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 71.271 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 70.686 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 70.424 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 68.272 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 65.560 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 64.837 | Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly? | Binary |
| 61.974 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 61.220 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 60.787 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 60.201 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 60.019 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 59.759 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 58.546 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 58.546 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 58.546 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 57.864 | Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 57.838 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 55.615 | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
| 55.594 | Will the Omicron variant be less lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 55.474 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 54.757 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 54.757 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 53.746 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 52.720 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
| 52.508 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 52.255 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 52.255 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 52.255 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 51.876 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 51.440 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 51.311 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| 51.044 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 50.979 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 50.979 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 50.958 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 48.719 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 48.705 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 48.379 | Will the 117th United States Senate change the filibuster rules during its session? | Binary |
| 45.004 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 44.783 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 44.550 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 43.108 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 42.852 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 41.359 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 41.359 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 41.359 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 41.359 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 41.359 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 41.358 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 41.311 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 41.300 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 39.672 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 39.287 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 37.787 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 37.298 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 37.215 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 37.156 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 37.150 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 35.437 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 35.306 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 32.643 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 31.304 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 30.487 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 30.454 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 30.448 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 28.793 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 27.474 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 27.377 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 27.367 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 25.462 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 25.249 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 25.249 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 24.487 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 22.414 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 21.989 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| 20.377 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 19.347 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 18.690 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 18.059 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 17.851 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 17.468 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 16.338 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 16.037 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 14.466 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 14.224 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
| 13.852 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 13.374 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 13.138 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 12.603 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| 12.143 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 12.042 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Senator Bob Menendez (D)) | Binary |
| 11.522 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
| 11.226 | When will the next UK general election take place? | Continuous |
| 9.636 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 8.706 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 8.465 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Andrej Karpathy) | Binary |
| 8.454 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 7.783 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| 7.777 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
| 7.777 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Renew) | Binary |
| 7.777 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
| 7.777 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ECR) | Binary |
| 7.777 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ID) | Binary |
| 7.304 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Mira Murati) | Binary |
| 7.304 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Ilya Sutskever) | Binary |
| 7.156 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 7.120 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
| 7.008 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Conservative and Unionist Party) | Continuous |
| 6.604 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (EPP) | Binary |
| 6.604 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (S&D) | Binary |
| 6.253 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 5.879 | Will the UK and India have signed an FTA before the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 5.544 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Eric Schmidt) | Binary |
| 5.544 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
| 5.544 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Emmett Shear) | Binary |
| 5.410 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrats) | Continuous |
| 5.044 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| 4.013 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Greens) | Continuous |
| 3.317 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Alliance) | Continuous |
| 3.290 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Green Party of England and Wales) | Continuous |
| 3.259 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Bankman-Fried) | Binary |
| 3.201 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| 2.874 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (SDLP) | Continuous |
| 2.766 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
| 2.653 | Will a Chinese firm market an ArFi photolithography machine before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.571 | Will the German value-added tax (VAT) of plant-based milks be reduced to be the same as cow's milk by end of 2024? | Binary |
| 2.472 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 2.449 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
| 2.428 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| 2.423 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
| 2.329 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Plaid Cymru) | Continuous |
| 2.297 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (DUP) | Continuous |
| 2.221 | Will Gary Gensler be subpoenaed by Congress before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.207 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Sinn Féin) | Continuous |
| 2.153 | Will an LLM pass an ARA evaluation before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.128 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 2.126 | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.933 | Will Hawaiian Electric Company file for bankruptcy before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.863 | Will Libya hold a presidential election before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.719 | Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.685 | Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.685 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.529 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| 1.448 | Will the US claim that Russia has exceeded New START treaty limits on nuclear weapons before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.411 | Will Apple Watch feature a blood pressure monitor before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.384 | Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? | Binary |
| 1.371 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 1.364 | Will an act such as the JCPA significantly strengthen US news companies' bargaining position before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.302 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
| 1.246 | Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.213 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 1.176 | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 1.144 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.133 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.004 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| 0.985 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| 0.948 | Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025? | Binary |
| 0.917 | Will the U.S. phase out per-country caps on employment-based visas before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.853 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.765 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
| 0.622 | Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.618 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (BJP) | Binary |
| 0.618 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (INC) | Binary |
| 0.486 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 0.486 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 0.486 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 0.486 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 0.486 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 0.486 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 0.486 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 0.486 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 0.473 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| 0.437 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| 0.404 | Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024? (Anthropic) | Binary |
| 0.403 | Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024? (Google Deep Mind) | Binary |
| 0.403 | Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024? (Inflection) | Binary |
| 0.403 | Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024? (Meta) | Binary |
| 0.403 | Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024? (OpenAI) | Binary |
| 0.272 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
| 0.178 | Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election? | Binary |
| 0.084 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Reform UK) | Continuous |
| 0.055 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 0.027 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| - | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| -1.087 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| -1.178 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| -2.485 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Labour Party) | Continuous |
| -2.807 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
| -4.793 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| -6.476 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -10.824 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -18.384 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -21.023 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| -24.370 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -27.432 | Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| -51.338 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| -66.285 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -69.140 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -87.608 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| -92.452 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -154.043 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |