150.968 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 4) | Continuous |
143.170 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
142.421 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 16) | Continuous |
132.107 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 18) | Continuous |
127.229 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 25) | Continuous |
120.951 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (May 14) | Continuous |
120.726 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (July 2) | Continuous |
118.037 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Jan 22) | Continuous |
115.530 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Feb 19) | Continuous |
115.171 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (June 11) | Continuous |
115.136 | What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2022) | Continuous |
113.620 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (May 14) | Continuous |
107.368 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Feb 5) | Continuous |
103.589 | What percentage of monkeypox cases in California will be among cisgender men who are gay/same-gender loving or bisexual? | Continuous |
102.309 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 30) | Continuous |
100.684 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 16) | Continuous |
98.045 | Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023? | Binary |
98.045 | Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023? | Binary |
97.992 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Equatorial Guinea) | Binary |
97.543 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
97.093 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Tajikistan) | Binary |
96.607 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guinea) | Binary |
96.606 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Mauritania) | Binary |
96.606 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Liberia) | Binary |
96.606 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guinea-Bissau) | Binary |
96.606 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Eritrea) | Binary |
96.606 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Zimbabwe) | Binary |
96.605 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Gabon) | Binary |
96.475 | How many subscribers will the Effective Altruism subreddit have on January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
96.369 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Saudi Riyal SAR) | Binary |
95.962 | Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
95.740 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Nepal) | Binary |
95.731 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Iranian Rial IRR) | Binary |
95.720 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Korea DPR) | Binary |
95.664 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Nicaragua) | Binary |
95.656 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Bolivia) | Binary |
95.523 | [Short fuse]: Will Russia assume responsibility and apologize for the Przewodów strike before December? | Binary |
95.482 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Senegal) | Binary |
95.378 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guatemala) | Binary |
95.343 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Indian Rupee ₹) | Binary |
95.342 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (El Salvador) | Binary |
95.319 | Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Honduras) | Binary |
95.206 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Sierra Leone) | Binary |
95.205 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Djibouti) | Binary |
95.205 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Burundi) | Binary |
95.205 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Angola) | Binary |
95.205 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Eswatini (Swaziland)) | Binary |
94.922 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Togo) | Binary |
94.561 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
94.352 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Mexican Peso $) | Binary |
94.293 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Cambodia) | Binary |
94.099 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Nadhim Zahawi) | Binary |
93.791 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Côte d'Ivoire) | Binary |
93.790 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Rwanda) | Binary |
93.790 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Uganda) | Binary |
93.789 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Lesotho) | Binary |
93.772 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Bangladeshi Taka ৳) | Binary |
93.428 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 4th, 2022? | Continuous |
93.329 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
93.069 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Lao PDR) | Binary |
92.760 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
92.625 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
92.599 | What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in New York as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
92.543 | Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023? | Binary |
92.370 | Will Éric Zemmour win the French presidential election in 2022? | Binary |
92.360 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Tanzania) | Binary |
92.359 | Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Democratic Republic of Congo) | Binary |
92.302 | Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
92.252 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Morocco) | Binary |
91.808 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Dominic Raab) | Binary |
91.808 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Steve Baker) | Binary |
91.594 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Morocco) | Binary |
91.449 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
91.335 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Kemi Badenoch) | Binary |
91.283 | Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023? | Binary |
90.914 | East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Kenya) | Binary |
90.873 | Will Twitter's board accept an acquisition offer from someone other than Elon Musk before 2023? | Binary |
90.633 | Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023? | Binary |
90.487 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Croatia) | Binary |
89.854 | Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
89.276 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (European Union Euro €) | Binary |
88.767 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Grant Shapps) | Binary |
88.767 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Sajid Javid) | Binary |
88.653 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Switzerland) | Binary |
88.545 | Will Sumy be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
88.410 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (South Korea) | Binary |
88.170 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Japan) | Binary |
87.932 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022? | Binary |
87.796 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Poland) | Binary |
87.722 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Senegal) | Binary |
87.266 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Australia) | Binary |
87.177 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (United States of America) | Binary |
87.146 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
86.811 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Cameroon) | Binary |
86.337 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Costa Rica) | Binary |
85.919 | Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
85.787 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
85.787 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Tunisia) | Binary |
85.758 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ecuador) | Binary |
85.736 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ghana) | Binary |
85.718 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Serbia) | Binary |
85.410 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Iran) | Binary |
85.409 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Wales) | Binary |
85.379 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 19) | Continuous |
85.273 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
84.947 | By December 31, 2022, will at least 10,000 US troops move into Ukraine? | Binary |
84.638 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Mexico) | Binary |
84.626 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
84.363 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Chinese Yuan Renminbi ¥) | Binary |
84.265 | Will Elizabeth Kim win the Democratic primary for New York's 10th congressional district in 2022? | Binary |
83.994 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Qatar) | Binary |
83.477 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Denmark) | Binary |
82.341 | Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022? | Binary |
82.303 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Canada) | Binary |
81.966 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
81.862 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022? | Binary |
81.793 | Will Leondra Kruger be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023? | Binary |
80.474 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Nigerian Naira ₦) | Binary |
80.332 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Teimour Radjabov) | Binary |
80.282 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Scott Aitchison) | Binary |
79.686 | Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022? | Binary |
79.658 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Leslyn Lewis) | Binary |
79.485 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (India) | Binary |
79.485 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay) | Binary |
79.401 | Will Kassym-Jomart Tokayev exit the Presidency of Kazakhstan in 2022? | Binary |
78.938 | By February 6, 2022, will the James Webb Space Telescope successfully see First Light? | Binary |
78.884 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Portugal) | Binary |
78.366 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Jean Charest) | Binary |
78.163 | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
77.990 | Will EA Global London 2022 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again? | Binary |
77.723 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Roman Baber) | Binary |
77.672 | Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus? | Binary |
77.646 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Brazillian Real R$) | Binary |
77.101 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Papua New Guinea) | Binary |
76.184 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Philadelphia Phillies) | Binary |
76.134 | Will Beto O'Rourke win the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election? | Binary |
75.652 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
75.292 | What will the US effective fed funds rate be in the following years? (2022) | Continuous |
74.317 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Richárd Rapport) | Binary |
74.299 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 1st, 2022? | Continuous |
74.054 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Ding Liren) | Binary |
74.015 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Belgium) | Binary |
73.706 | Will Carrick Flynn win the general election for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
73.223 | How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
73.166 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
72.672 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
72.516 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023? | Binary |
72.503 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
71.390 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in New York as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
71.255 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Indonesian Rupiah Rp) | Binary |
71.219 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
70.920 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Diego Padres) | Binary |
70.845 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Michael Gove) | Binary |
70.679 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Priti Patel) | Binary |
70.673 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Netherlands) | Binary |
70.346 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Tom Tugendhat) | Binary |
70.328 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
69.982 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cleveland Guardians) | Binary |
69.926 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 30) | Continuous |
68.917 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Seattle Mariners) | Binary |
68.494 | Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
68.243 | What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in California as of December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
68.203 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Thai Baht ฿) | Binary |
68.059 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
67.516 | Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut the Kerch Strait Cable before 2023? | Binary |
67.476 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Benin) | Binary |
67.312 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Polish złoty ł) | Binary |
67.241 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
66.798 | Will Stacey Abrams be elected Governor of Georgia in 2022? | Binary |
66.630 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Atlanta Braves) | Binary |
66.339 | Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
66.186 | Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
66.029 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (November 5) | Continuous |
66.004 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 5) | Continuous |
65.594 | Will a Republican be elected governor of Maryland in 2022? | Binary |
65.054 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before June 10, 2022? | Binary |
64.860 | Will Liverpool win the 2021-2022 Premier League? | Binary |
64.395 | Will Éric Zemmour be in the 2nd round of the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
64.280 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Spain) | Binary |
63.967 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
63.939 | Will Boris Johnson be charged with any criminal offence before 2023? | Binary |
63.617 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Tampa Bay Rays) | Binary |
63.616 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
63.330 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (St. Louis Cardinals) | Binary |
63.030 | Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
62.818 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Carlos Sainz) | Binary |
62.628 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (George Russell) | Binary |
62.543 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
62.497 | Will a cyber action or series of cyber actions trigger NATO’s Article 5 in 2022? | Binary |
62.436 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Lewis Hamilton) | Binary |
62.435 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (England) | Binary |
61.832 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Texas Rangers) | Binary |
61.832 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Oakland Athletics) | Binary |
61.832 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Angels) | Binary |
61.831 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Kansas City Royals) | Binary |
61.831 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Detroit Tigers) | Binary |
61.829 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Baltimore Orioles) | Binary |
61.829 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Colorado Rockies) | Binary |
61.829 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Arizona Diamondbacks) | Binary |
61.829 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Pittsburgh Pirates) | Binary |
61.828 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cincinnati Reds) | Binary |
61.828 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago Cubs) | Binary |
61.828 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Washington Nationals) | Binary |
61.827 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Miami Marlins) | Binary |
61.677 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Binary |
61.544 | Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
61.360 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Boston Red Sox) | Binary |
61.218 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Toronto Blue Jays) | Binary |
61.182 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Minnesota Twins) | Binary |
60.949 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Francisco Giants) | Binary |
60.750 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
60.526 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago White Sox) | Binary |
60.188 | Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
60.124 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
59.896 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Sergio Perez) | Binary |
59.779 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Germany) | Binary |
59.572 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
59.290 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Milwaukee Brewers) | Binary |
58.516 | Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022? | Binary |
58.409 | Will CAIDA measure a major disruption of the Ukrainian internet for 24 hours before August 2022? | Binary |
58.239 | Will Niger experience a coup before 2023? | Binary |
58.002 | [Short Fuse] How many attendees will be at the next Metaculus Meetup? (December 2022) | Continuous |
57.691 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023? | Binary |
57.559 | Before 2023, will the US CDC recommend the general use of the monkeypox vaccine for all men who have sex with men in the US? | Binary |
57.394 | Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023? | Binary |
57.292 | How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023? | Continuous |
57.266 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Alex Jones) | Binary |
56.922 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Charles Leclerc) | Binary |
56.914 | Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
56.886 | Will any Fields Medal winner boycott ICM 2022 for political reasons? | Binary |
56.802 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Penny Mordaunt) | Binary |
56.698 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 2,000 before July 22, 2022? | Binary |
56.592 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Mets) | Binary |
56.293 | Will Ontario's Conservative Party (PC) win the a majority in the election on 2022-06-02? | Binary |
55.381 | Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024? | Binary |
53.895 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
53.234 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
52.987 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Brazil) | Binary |
52.947 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
52.221 | [Short Fuse] Will Raphael Warnock defeat Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff on Tuesday? | Binary |
51.825 | Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut an undersea internet cable before 2023? | Binary |
51.803 | How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
51.561 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 25th, 2022? | Continuous |
51.295 | Will Princeton cancel in person classes in January 2022? | Binary |
51.009 | [Short Fuse] How much money will be awarded to Johnny Depp in his defamation suit against his ex-wife Amber Heard? | Continuous |
49.814 | Will Xi Jinping be re-elected paramount leader in 2022? | Binary |
49.464 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
49.448 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
49.323 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
49.288 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
48.957 | Will the Buffalo Bills win their NFL football game on Thanksgiving? | Binary |
48.933 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 25th of March, 2022? | Continuous |
48.793 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (George Wajackoyah) | Binary |
48.478 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
48.470 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
48.337 | How many countries will confirm at least one case of monkeypox by July 31, 2022? | Continuous |
48.185 | How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
48.048 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (May 14) | Continuous |
47.936 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
47.927 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
47.650 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (November 19) | Continuous |
47.639 | Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
47.609 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Max Verstappen) | Binary |
46.508 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023? | Binary |
46.426 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022? | Continuous |
46.032 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022? | Continuous |
46.007 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 4th of March, 2022? | Continuous |
45.854 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
45.786 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 18th of February, 2022? | Continuous |
45.718 | Will Doug Mastriano be elected Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022? | Binary |
45.690 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Marine Le Pen) | Binary |
45.336 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
44.883 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Mar 4, 2022? | Continuous |
44.425 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022? | Continuous |
44.390 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
44.319 | Will Russian or Belarusian troops cross the land border between Belarus and either the Volyn or Rivne oblasts before 2023? | Binary |
43.902 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Feb 18, 2022? | Continuous |
43.655 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (France) | Binary |
42.999 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
42.710 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Hjörvar Steinn Grétarsson) | Binary |
41.324 | Will Mehmet Oz win the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? | Binary |
41.305 | Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
41.272 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
41.170 | [Short Fuse] How many attendees will be at the next Metaculus Meetup? (October 2022) | Continuous |
41.169 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Wesley So) | Binary |
40.830 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Canada as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
40.756 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (July 2) | Continuous |
40.753 | Will Tether collapse before 2023? | Binary |
40.595 | If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto? | Binary |
40.437 | Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
40.370 | Will Russia invade Ukraine before February 1, 2022? | Binary |
40.176 | Will Russia officially declare war on Ukraine or announce its intent to do so by May 9, 2022? | Binary |
39.711 | How many seats will Democrats win in the US House of Representatives in 2022? | Continuous |
39.598 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Matthias Blübaum) | Binary |
39.438 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
39.228 | How much crude oil will the US hold in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as of December 2022? | Continuous |
39.028 | Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
38.798 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
38.457 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
38.204 | Will the US Government designate Russia a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" by 2023? | Binary |
38.042 | What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 16th, 2022? | Continuous |
37.538 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
36.794 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Élisabeth Borne) | Binary |
36.741 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022? | Binary |
36.442 | Will Blake Masters win the 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona? | Binary |
36.260 | How many Virginia counties will have their COVID-19 Community Level classified as 'High' as of April 14th update? | Continuous |
36.064 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 1st of April, 2022? | Continuous |
35.859 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (David Waihiga Mwaure) | Binary |
35.831 | Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Jean-Luc Mélenchon) | Binary |
35.474 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Russian Ruble ₽) | Binary |
35.193 | Will the DART asteroid mission successfully impact in 2022? | Binary |
35.133 | Will Viktor Orbán win the 2022 Hungarian Parliamentary Election? | Binary |
33.506 | Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022? | Binary |
33.171 | Will there be a Tau variant of COVID by Tau Day (June 28, 2022)? | Binary |
33.061 | Will Ron DeSantis be re-elected as Governor of Florida in 2022? | Binary |
32.221 | Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023? | Binary |
32.068 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Argentine Peso $) | Binary |
31.976 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
31.220 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 13, 2022? | Continuous |
31.194 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on April 1, 2022? | Continuous |
30.991 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022) | Continuous |
30.685 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Liz Truss) | Binary |
30.602 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on February 11th, 2022? | Continuous |
30.555 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 18) | Continuous |
30.400 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
30.346 | Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022? | Binary |
29.930 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
29.855 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 25) | Continuous |
29.345 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Pakistani Rupee ₨) | Binary |
28.671 | What will be the total number of fish that Fish Welfare Initiative (FWI) claims to have helped by 2023? | Continuous |
28.557 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
28.051 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (November 19) | Continuous |
27.778 | How many seats will Democrats hold in the US Senate after 2022 midterm elections? | Continuous |
27.546 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 16) | Continuous |
26.416 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
26.334 | Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
25.825 | Will Queen Elizabeth II abdicate in 2022? | Binary |
25.286 | How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
25.128 | Will more than 20,000 people die within 28 days of a positive Covid test in the UK in 2022? | Binary |
25.121 | Will at least four REvil gang members be in prison on May 15, 2022? | Binary |
25.027 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Yankees) | Binary |
24.955 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Dodgers) | Binary |
24.857 | Where will Sitong Bridge rank in FreeWeibo's trending topics on the following dates? (2022-12-08) | Continuous |
24.720 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
24.272 | What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Jan 28, 2022? | Continuous |
23.736 | Will Brandy Bottone, the pregnant woman pulled over in Texas for an HOV lane violation, be found guilty in court? | Binary |
23.670 | Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022? | Binary |
23.587 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 2) | Continuous |
23.465 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 15h of April, 2022? | Continuous |
23.395 | Will Omicron XE be the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the US before June 19, 2022? | Binary |
22.772 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)) | Binary |
22.744 | Will Sarah Palin be elected as US Representative for Alaska in 2022? | Binary |
21.502 | Will the European Central Bank raise interest rates in 2022? | Binary |
21.448 | Will Carrick Flynn win the Democratic primary for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
20.771 | Will a new zero day vulnerability be exploited against and result in the compromise of 100 million Americans’ personal information by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
20.286 | Will Ron Johnson win the 2022 Wisconsin US Senate election? | Binary |
19.621 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
18.912 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (Raila Odinga) | Binary |
18.853 | Keynesian Groupy Contest: interquartile range (KBCs are the best) | Binary |
18.684 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 30) | Continuous |
18.487 | Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023? | Binary |
18.415 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 11) | Continuous |
18.216 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Jared Taylor) | Binary |
16.957 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2022) | Binary |
16.903 | [short-fuse] Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2022 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
16.615 | Will Rafael Nadal make it to the semifinals of every Grand Slam in 2022? | Binary |
15.671 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
15.623 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in California as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
15.023 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 19) | Continuous |
14.842 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 2) | Continuous |
14.798 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Feb 19) | Continuous |
14.634 | Will UK initiate its rota load shedding plan during 2022-2023 winter? | Binary |
14.456 | Will Raphael Warnock be re-elected in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia? | Binary |
14.250 | Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022? | Binary |
13.164 | What will be the approval rating of Vladimir Putin in December 2022? | Continuous |
12.973 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (June 18) | Continuous |
12.799 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
12.592 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Mar 19) | Continuous |
12.538 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Mar 19) | Continuous |
12.531 | Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022? | Binary |
12.254 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Mar 5) | Continuous |
12.176 | How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
12.153 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Mar 5) | Continuous |
11.474 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
11.199 | How many scheduled airline flights within, into, or out of the United States will be canceled on Wednesday, November 23rd (the day before Thanksgiving), as reported by FlightAware? | Continuous |
10.308 | What will be the 7-day average of % people wearing masks most or all of the time in public in Virginia on April 15th, 2022? | Continuous |
9.965 | Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022? | Binary |
9.574 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Mar 5) | Continuous |
9.545 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
9.537 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (November 5) | Continuous |
9.415 | Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
8.472 | Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
7.941 | Will David Segal win the RI-2 Democratic primary? | Binary |
7.752 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022) | Continuous |
7.424 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022? | Continuous |
7.250 | Will Russia default on its debt in 2022? | Binary |
6.809 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (June 18) | Continuous |
6.347 | What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (September 1, 2022) | Continuous |
6.042 | Will Facebook decide to make the weights of the 175B parameter model publicly available before 2023? | Binary |
5.743 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (June 18) | Continuous |
5.736 | What percent of voters will vote in favor of Sioux Falls' 2022 Slaughterhouse ballot question? | Continuous |
5.240 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (June 11) | Continuous |
5.209 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Tila Tequila) | Binary |
5.190 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (November 19) | Continuous |
4.947 | Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa no longer be the President of Sri Lanka before 2023? | Binary |
4.937 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
4.681 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (June 25) | Continuous |
4.423 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (November 5) | Continuous |
4.309 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 16) | Continuous |
4.295 | Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
4.126 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 2) | Continuous |
4.111 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
4.106 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will the United States cut Russian banks off from the SWIFT system by 2023? | Binary |
3.934 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (June 11) | Continuous |
3.927 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
3.877 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Mar 5) | Continuous |
3.748 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Mar 19) | Continuous |
3.393 | Will the Buffalo Bills play in Super Bowl LVI? | Binary |
2.826 | Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
2.213 | Will the US sanction Russian oil or gas before 2023? | Binary |
2.108 | Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022? | Binary |
2.091 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 11th, 2022? | Continuous |
1.479 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
1.419 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
1.333 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Mar 19) | Continuous |
1.248 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
0.859 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 2) | Continuous |
0.547 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (June 25) | Continuous |
0.366 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (June 25) | Continuous |
0.199 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
0.147 | Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
0.134 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 5) | Continuous |
0.081 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 5) | Continuous |
-0.657 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
-1.249 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 16) | Continuous |
-1.906 | By December 31, 2022, will Twitter agree to be taken private by Elon Musk? | Binary |
-2.087 | Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022? | Binary |
-4.115 | Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
-5.792 | [Short Fuse] How many attendees will be at the next Metaculus Meetup? (November 2022) | Continuous |
-5.946 | What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (November 1, 2022) | Continuous |
-6.011 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
-6.225 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (June 4) | Continuous |
-6.492 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (June 4) | Continuous |
-6.823 | Will there be a female Fields Medalist in 2022? | Binary |
-8.071 | Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023? | Binary |
-11.083 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Bangladesh) | Binary |
-11.611 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (June 4) | Continuous |
-11.984 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (May 14) | Continuous |
-12.210 | Keynesian Groupy Contest: interquartile range (KBCs are the best) | Binary |
-13.518 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022? | Continuous |
-13.837 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (June 11) | Continuous |
-16.333 | Will there be a bilateral ceasefire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2023? | Binary |
-19.102 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (William Ruto) | Binary |
-20.929 | Before 2022-04-01, will martial law be on in any five federal subjects of Russia excluding all the territories annexed after 2013? | Binary |
-24.940 | Will there be a Pi variant of COVID by Pi Day (March 14, 2022)? | Binary |
-30.066 | What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 May 2022? | Continuous |
-30.791 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Milo Yiannopoulos) | Binary |
-31.769 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
-31.784 | Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-32.924 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Pierre Poilievre) | Binary |
-34.835 | Will the US make any new commitment of over $1M for the prevention of biological weapons deployment at the 2022 BWC Review Conference? | Binary |
-35.311 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 17) | Continuous |
-38.016 | Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before June 10, 2022? | Binary |
-40.299 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
-40.367 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
-40.584 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (November 5) | Continuous |
-40.958 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 30) | Continuous |
-42.330 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (November 5) | Continuous |
-42.845 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
-45.814 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
-46.347 | Will Solana be in the top-10 cryptocurrencies by market cap on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-47.469 | Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Pakistan) | Binary |
-48.886 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
-49.887 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (November 19) | Continuous |
-54.973 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 2) | Continuous |
-55.329 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 3) | Continuous |
-58.372 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 31) | Continuous |
-58.408 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
-59.160 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Laura Loomer) | Binary |
-63.011 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (November 19) | Continuous |
-67.163 | [short fuse] Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in 2022? | Binary |
-67.165 | Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022? | Binary |
-72.140 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (November 19) | Continuous |
-74.953 | What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022? | Continuous |
-78.590 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
-90.621 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Turkish Lira ₺) | Binary |
-100.703 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (November 5) | Continuous |
-104.786 | Will the UK authorise fourth doses of Covid vaccines for healthy adults in 2022? | Binary |
-108.012 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 30) | Continuous |
-122.464 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Argentina) | Binary |
-127.338 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 16) | Continuous |
-134.864 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (May 14) | Continuous |
-148.799 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 30) | Continuous |
-149.674 | Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Egyptian Pound £E) | Binary |
-151.441 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Houston Astros) | Binary |
-163.302 | Flu Hospitalizations for CA (May 14) | Continuous |