| 97.088 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 96.935 | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 96.007 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 88.458 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 87.358 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 83.941 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 68.843 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Brazil) | Binary |
| 62.952 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 62.857 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 61.387 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 61.271 | Will the maximum weekly rate of hospitalizations per 100,000 in the US occur within four weeks of the combined peak for each of COVID, influenza, and RSV in the 2023-24 season? | Binary |
| 61.163 | What will be the maximum CPI inflation measured in 2022? | Continuous |
| 60.138 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Vietnam) | Binary |
| 56.317 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 55.061 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 55.061 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 55.061 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 55.061 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 55.061 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 55.061 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 54.997 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 52.808 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 52.601 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 52.458 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 52.383 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 51.367 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 51.344 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 50.961 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 50.961 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 50.961 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 50.899 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 50.585 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 49.883 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.726 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 49.517 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 48.665 | Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 47.885 | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 47.719 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 47.552 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 47.508 | When will Neuralink first implant a brain-machine interface device in a living human? | Continuous |
| 47.139 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 46.978 | Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025? | Binary |
| 46.625 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 44.806 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 43.680 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 43.315 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 43.230 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 43.230 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 43.230 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 42.251 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 42.200 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 41.580 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 39.044 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 37.888 | How many commercial flights will be in operation globally on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
| 36.638 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 36.394 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 36.268 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 36.159 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 35.128 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 29.897 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 28.436 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 28.436 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 26.608 | Will any OpenAI or Anthropic model be in the top-10 model with a non-proprietary license on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 25.927 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 25.003 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 23.203 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 22.546 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 21.877 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 21.648 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
| 21.237 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 20.461 | How many flights will the Mars Helicopter, Ingenuity, make in its lifetime? | Continuous |
| 20.422 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 19.991 | Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models? | Binary |
| 18.240 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 18.240 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 18.125 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
| 17.302 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 16.570 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 16.268 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 15.423 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
| 15.267 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 14.340 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 14.108 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
| 14.049 | Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022? | Binary |
| 13.643 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| 13.284 | Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025? | Binary |
| 12.630 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 12.310 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 11.949 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.822 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| 11.362 | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.274 | Will France place in the Top 5 at the 2024 Paris Olympics? | Binary |
| 10.938 | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 8.805 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 8.723 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 8.326 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 8.045 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.219 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 7.172 | Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2023/24 Premier League season? | Binary |
| 7.046 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 6.872 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 6.728 | Will the Georgia Power Co Vogtle nuclear power plant Unit 4 be operational in May, 2024? | Binary |
| 6.716 | Will the Fed decrease the size of its accumulated asset portfolio below $8 trillion by 2023? | Binary |
| 6.101 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 6.020 | Will US Attorney General Merrick Garland be impeached before the 2024 federal election? | Binary |
| 5.585 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 5.585 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 5.403 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 5.379 | Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 5.334 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 5.323 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases globally on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 5.250 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 5.171 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
| 5.080 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 5.014 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| 4.980 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
| 4.648 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 4.529 | What will be the total box office gross in the US & Canada in 2022? | Continuous |
| 4.498 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 3.829 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 3.689 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the US on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 3.023 | What will be The Economist's estimated global excess deaths due to COVID-19 on January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 2.556 | Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.332 | Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks? | Binary |
| 2.332 | Will Johnathan Davis be re-elected at the 2024 ACT election? | Binary |
| 2.312 | Will Israel and Palestine hold peace talks in 2022? | Binary |
| 2.236 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 2.089 | How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 2.035 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Ko Wen-je (TPP)) | Binary |
| 2.035 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou (Independent)) | Binary |
| 2.002 | What will the USD price of Bitcoin be on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 1.986 | Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.792 | What will the price of oil be for December 2022? | Continuous |
| 1.582 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 1.581 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Lai Ching-te (DPP)) | Binary |
| 1.471 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| 1.401 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Hou Yu-ih (Kuomintang)) | Binary |
| 1.060 | What will be the ratio of Biden's to Trump's US Google search volumes in the third quarter of 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.735 | How many weeks will Virginia experience “widespread” influenza activity during the 2021-2022 flu season? | Continuous |
| 0.380 | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 0.072 | How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks from September 17, 2021 to September 17, 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.058 | What percentage of Virginians will have received a booster dose as of 4 May 2022? | Continuous |
| -0.582 | Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles in 2023? | Binary |
| -0.592 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| -3.470 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| -4.633 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
| -7.184 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -8.442 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -9.605 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| -12.957 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| -16.800 | Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| -19.918 | Will an Alphabet company win the general category for protein structure prediction at CASP15 in 2022? | Binary |
| -21.152 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
| -22.017 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -24.685 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -26.959 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| -64.431 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -155.844 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |