109.990 | What will be the maximum price reached for Ethereum by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
98.515 | Will a cyber action or series of cyber actions trigger NATO’s Article 5 in 2022? | Binary |
97.685 | Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
97.684 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
97.440 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
97.402 | Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
95.293 | Will Sumy be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
95.009 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022? | Binary |
94.600 | Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023? | Binary |
91.508 | Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023? | Binary |
91.273 | Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
91.052 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
90.417 | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
90.203 | Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
90.020 | Will Twitter's board accept an acquisition offer from someone other than Elon Musk before 2023? | Binary |
89.999 | Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
86.394 | Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022? | Binary |
84.729 | Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
82.986 | Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022? | Binary |
80.704 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022? | Binary |
80.053 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Morocco) | Binary |
79.543 | Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023? | Binary |
78.182 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Croatia) | Binary |
76.724 | Will CAIDA measure a major disruption of the Ukrainian internet for 24 hours before August 2022? | Binary |
76.563 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Switzerland) | Binary |
76.268 | How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
76.100 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (South Korea) | Binary |
76.035 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Japan) | Binary |
75.879 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Portugal) | Binary |
75.632 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Senegal) | Binary |
75.573 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Poland) | Binary |
75.175 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Australia) | Binary |
74.751 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (England) | Binary |
74.721 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Cameroon) | Binary |
74.721 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Serbia) | Binary |
74.648 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ghana) | Binary |
74.247 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Costa Rica) | Binary |
73.971 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (United States of America) | Binary |
73.697 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
73.697 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Denmark) | Binary |
73.697 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Tunisia) | Binary |
73.499 | Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022? | Binary |
73.320 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ecuador) | Binary |
73.319 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Iran) | Binary |
73.319 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Wales) | Binary |
72.602 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Mexico) | Binary |
72.418 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay) | Binary |
72.344 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Canada) | Binary |
72.042 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Netherlands) | Binary |
71.805 | Will Facebook decide to make the weights of the 175B parameter model publicly available before 2023? | Binary |
71.359 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Qatar) | Binary |
69.424 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (France) | Binary |
69.309 | Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
68.278 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Spain) | Binary |
67.176 | How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023? | Continuous |
67.065 | Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
66.710 | Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
66.223 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Belgium) | Binary |
64.589 | Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
63.493 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023? | Binary |
62.673 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Germany) | Binary |
62.161 | Will Stacey Abrams be elected Governor of Georgia in 2022? | Binary |
61.553 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023? | Binary |
61.326 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
60.617 | Will Carrick Flynn win the general election for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
59.755 | Will Tether collapse before 2023? | Binary |
58.587 | Will a Republican be elected governor of Maryland in 2022? | Binary |
58.049 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
57.733 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Brazil) | Binary |
56.844 | Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
54.852 | What will be the price of 1 ETH on the following dates? (December 31, 2022) | Continuous |
53.173 | How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
51.416 | Will the New York Times place Wordle (or any currently existing part of Wordle) behind a paywall during 2022? | Binary |
49.541 | Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
48.876 | Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023? | Binary |
48.470 | Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
47.634 | Will China abandon their zero-covid strategy before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
46.794 | Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
44.118 | Will Queen Elizabeth II abdicate in 2022? | Binary |
43.431 | What will be the market capitalization of Netflix on December 1, 2022? | Continuous |
41.359 | Will Doug Mastriano be elected Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022? | Binary |
38.835 | Will the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest be won by a country that is, at the time, also a member of the European Union? | Binary |
38.707 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Binary |
36.167 | What will the estimated cybersecurity workforce gap for the United States be on October 15, 2022? | Continuous |
34.409 | Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? | Binary |
33.985 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
32.422 | Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022? | Binary |
32.158 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023? | Binary |
30.797 | How many civilian casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian War will there be before May 2022? | Continuous |
30.759 | Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022? | Binary |
29.467 | Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
29.166 | Will there be a Tau variant of COVID by Tau Day (June 28, 2022)? | Binary |
28.966 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022? | Binary |
26.760 | Will any Fields Medal winner boycott ICM 2022 for political reasons? | Binary |
24.834 | Will Éric Zemmour be in the 2nd round of the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
23.947 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
23.207 | Will North Korea have internet failures on 4 or more days between March 8, 2022 and August 1, 2022? | Binary |
22.540 | Will Omicron XE be the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the US before June 19, 2022? | Binary |
21.777 | What will be the approval rating of Vladimir Putin in December 2022? | Continuous |
19.159 | How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
19.092 | Will Mehmet Oz win the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? | Binary |
15.749 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
14.610 | Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
12.378 | Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022? | Binary |
11.177 | What percent of global organizations will experience a successful email-based phishing attack in 2022? | Continuous |
10.198 | Will Sarah Palin be elected as US Representative for Alaska in 2022? | Binary |
9.814 | In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults answered “Yes” to the statement, “Do you think it could ever be possible for robots/AIs to be sentient?” | Continuous |
8.885 | Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
7.754 | Will the European Central Bank raise interest rates in 2022? | Binary |
7.628 | Will Viktor Orbán win the 2022 Hungarian Parliamentary Election? | Binary |
2.207 | Will Carrick Flynn win the Democratic primary for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
1.739 | Will Éric Zemmour win the French presidential election in 2022? | Binary |
1.302 | Will the US sanction Russian oil or gas before 2023? | Binary |
0.737 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
-0.704 | By December 31, 2022, will Twitter agree to be taken private by Elon Musk? | Binary |
-1.410 | Will the Metaculus question about Russian troops in Kyiv in 2022 resolve ambiguously? | Binary |
-2.973 | Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022? | Binary |
-11.382 | Will the number of Chinese military aircraft entering Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) exceed 60 on any single day in 2022? | Binary |
-14.284 | Will Russia default on its debt in 2022? | Binary |
-16.078 | How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
-21.448 | Will at least four REvil gang members be in prison on May 15, 2022? | Binary |
-25.899 | Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022? | Binary |
-28.683 | Will the ceasefire in Yemen hold for its intended duration? | Binary |
-30.827 | Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-38.137 | Will Solana be in the top-10 cryptocurrencies by market cap on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-39.021 | What percent of ransomware victims whose data was encrypted will report paying a ransom in 2022? | Continuous |
-47.120 | Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022? | Binary |
-51.621 | Will a DDoS attack of greater than 3.5TPS occur in 2022? | Binary |
-87.374 | How many ransomware attacks against U.S. educational institutions will be reported in 2022? | Continuous |
-89.883 | What will total NATO defense spending be in 2022? | Continuous |
-221.219 | Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022? | Binary |
-226.963 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Argentina) | Binary |