DaAdCh

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2022

Baseline Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to chance. User scores are determined by summing their Baseline scores for all questions within a time period. This category rewards forecasters who are both accurate and forecast on many questions. Learn more here.

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9.026k	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
130.305	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 1st of April, 2022?	Continuous
129.423	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
127.142	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
121.495	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
118.083	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 19)	Continuous
117.544	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
103.324	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 25th of March, 2022?	Continuous
100.869	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on February 11th, 2022?	Continuous
98.859	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on April 1, 2022?	Continuous
96.281	Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023?	Binary
96.279	Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023?	Binary
93.975	Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023?	Binary
93.660	Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023?	Binary
92.880	By December 31, 2022, will at least 10,000 US troops move into Ukraine?	Binary
92.842	Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
92.585	Will Elizabeth Kim win the Democratic primary for New York's 10th congressional district in 2022?	Binary
92.045	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 22nd of April, 2022?	Continuous
91.356	What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of December 31, 2022?	Continuous
91.116	Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
90.653	Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Bolivia)	Binary
90.653	Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Nicaragua)	Binary
90.653	Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (El Salvador)	Binary
90.653	Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Honduras)	Binary
90.417	Will Éric Zemmour win the French presidential election in 2022?	Binary
89.875	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022?	Binary
89.611	[Short fuse]: Will Russia assume responsibility and apologize for the Przewodów strike before December?	Binary
89.611	Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023?	Binary
89.399	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on May 13, 2022?	Continuous
89.306	Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guatemala)	Binary
89.224	Will Boris Johnson be charged with any criminal offence before 2023?	Binary
88.254	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Jacob Solomon)	Binary
88.249	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Param Singh)	Binary
88.184	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Brandon Bay)	Binary
88.172	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Zed Chebib)	Binary
88.160	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Bob Chiarelli)	Binary
87.768	Will Twitter's board accept an acquisition offer from someone other than Elon Musk before 2023?	Binary
87.117	What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in New York as of December 31, 2022?	Continuous
86.323	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Ade Olumide)	Binary
85.050	Will Sumy be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
84.420	Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022?	Binary
83.166	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Kemi Badenoch)	Binary
83.157	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Grant Shapps)	Binary
83.157	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Sajid Javid)	Binary
83.156	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Ben Wallace)	Binary
83.156	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Suella Braverman)	Binary
82.465	Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus?	Binary
81.213	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Dominic Raab)	Binary
81.212	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Steve Baker)	Binary
81.212	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Nadhim Zahawi)	Binary
80.993	Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023?	Binary
77.361	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 5)	Continuous
75.054	By February 6, 2022, will the James Webb Space Telescope successfully see First Light?	Binary
74.986	Will any single cyberattack in 2022 result in damages over $10 billion?	Binary
74.215	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 22nd, 2022?	Continuous
72.696	Will Beto O'Rourke win the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election?	Binary
71.352	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of March, 2022?	Continuous
71.322	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Gregory Jreg Guevara)	Binary
70.470	What will be the reported number of 7-day average new Covid-19 cases in Mainland China on 2022-02-28?	Continuous
69.931	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 30)	Continuous
69.644	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022?	Binary
69.570	Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023?	Binary
69.522	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 11th, 2022?	Continuous
68.674	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 4th, 2022?	Continuous
68.013	Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?	Binary
67.820	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
67.785	Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023?	Binary
67.075	Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022?	Binary
67.065	Will Liverpool win the 2021-2022 Premier League?	Binary
66.965	Will EA Global London 2022 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again?	Binary
65.588	Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022?	Binary
64.563	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (May 14)	Continuous
64.534	What percentage of monkeypox cases in California will be among cisgender men who are gay/same-gender loving or bisexual?	Continuous
64.179	Will a cyber action or series of cyber actions trigger NATO’s Article 5 in 2022?	Binary
63.935	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Jan 22)	Continuous
63.496	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (May 14)	Continuous
63.127	Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
63.096	Will Éric Zemmour be in the 2nd round of the 2022 French presidential election?	Binary
62.914	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022?	Binary
62.019	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Michael Gove)	Binary
62.018	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Tom Tugendhat)	Binary
62.012	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Jeremy Hunt)	Binary
62.012	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Priti Patel)	Binary
61.799	Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest?	Binary
61.550	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,000 before May 20, 2022?	Binary
61.320	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
60.970	What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 16th, 2022?	Continuous
60.757	Will Xi Jinping be re-elected paramount leader in 2022?	Binary
60.690	Will China abandon their zero-covid strategy before June 1, 2022?	Binary
60.561	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Boris Johnson)	Binary
60.028	Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022?	Binary
59.139	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
58.885	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Feb 19)	Continuous
58.284	Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?	Binary
57.953	Will Tether collapse before 2023?	Binary
57.841	Will Ron DeSantis be re-elected as Governor of Florida in 2022?	Binary
57.826	Will Carrick Flynn win the Democratic primary for Oregon's 6th congressional district?	Binary
57.330	Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Lesotho)	Binary
57.279	Will Russian or Belarusian troops cross the land border between Belarus and either the Volyn or Rivne oblasts before 2023?	Binary
56.851	Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022?	Binary
56.822	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 4th of March, 2022?	Continuous
56.524	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (May 14)	Continuous
55.032	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 25th, 2022?	Continuous
54.748	Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Angola)	Binary
53.787	Will the Buffalo Bills win their NFL football game on Thanksgiving?	Binary
53.696	East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Rwanda)	Binary
53.554	Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023?	Binary
53.035	What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in California as of December 31, 2022?	Continuous
52.948	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022?	Binary
52.814	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on March 11, 2022?	Continuous
52.045	Will the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest be won by a country that is, at the time, also a member of the European Union?	Binary
50.384	What will be the maximum price reached for Ethereum by January 1, 2023?	Continuous
50.292	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 27, 2022?	Continuous
49.028	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 16)	Continuous
48.883	Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on January 1, 2023?	Binary
48.824	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 13, 2022?	Continuous
48.454	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Mar 5)	Continuous
48.067	Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023?	Binary
48.056	Will Queen Elizabeth II abdicate in 2022?	Binary
47.546	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 18th of February, 2022?	Continuous
47.331	Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023?	Binary
46.845	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,500 before July 1, 2022?	Binary
46.495	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Feb 5)	Continuous
46.013	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 16)	Continuous
45.562	Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
44.829	What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Canada as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
44.549	How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023?	Continuous
44.536	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Feb, 11 2022?	Continuous
43.514	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 2,000 before July 22, 2022?	Binary
42.037	On how many days in 2022 will U.S. hospital admissions (for COVID) exceed the pre-2022 peak?	Continuous
41.886	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Jan 28, 2022?	Continuous
41.167	Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut the Kerch Strait Cable before 2023?	Binary
40.871	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
40.824	Will Stacey Abrams be elected Governor of Georgia in 2022?	Binary
40.693	Will Russia invade Ukraine before February 1, 2022?	Binary
40.524	Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut an undersea internet cable before 2023?	Binary
40.115	How many countries will confirm at least one case of monkeypox by July 31, 2022?	Continuous
39.768	Will Viktor Orbán win the 2022 Hungarian Parliamentary Election?	Binary
38.542	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
38.354	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 19)	Continuous
37.989	Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022?	Binary
37.769	Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
36.966	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
36.879	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Mar 19)	Continuous
36.463	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Feb 18, 2022?	Continuous
35.293	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Morocco)	Binary
34.836	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Croatia)	Binary
34.528	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Mar 19)	Continuous
34.125	How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in 2022?	Continuous
34.034	Will more than 20,000 people die within 28 days of a positive Covid test in the UK in 2022?	Binary
33.300	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Mike Maguire)	Binary
33.277	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Bernard Couchman)	Binary
33.273	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Celine Debassige)	Binary
33.269	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Nour Kadri)	Binary
33.262	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Graham MacDonald)	Binary
33.258	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Other)	Binary
33.252	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Mar 4, 2022?	Continuous
32.654	How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022?	Continuous
32.154	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
32.044	Will Blake Masters win the 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona?	Binary
31.876	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 5)	Continuous
31.557	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Switzerland)	Binary
31.331	Will a Republican be elected governor of Maryland in 2022?	Binary
31.285	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 30)	Continuous
31.116	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (South Korea)	Binary
31.029	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Japan)	Binary
30.703	Will James Charles have more than 25 million Youtube subscribers by January 1, 2023?	Binary
30.631	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
30.625	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Senegal)	Binary
30.567	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Poland)	Binary
30.169	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Australia)	Binary
30.081	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (United States of America)	Binary
29.829	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Penny Mordaunt)	Binary
29.736	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Serbia)	Binary
29.716	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Cameroon)	Binary
29.664	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ghana)	Binary
29.262	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Costa Rica)	Binary
29.017	Will Princeton cancel in person classes in January 2022?	Binary
29.011	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Mar 5)	Continuous
28.712	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Saudi Arabia)	Binary
28.691	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Tunisia)	Binary
28.691	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Denmark)	Binary
28.538	Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023?	Binary
28.454	Will Ontario's Conservative Party (PC) win the a majority in the election on 2022-06-02?	Binary
28.334	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Iran)	Binary
28.314	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ecuador)	Binary
28.313	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Wales)	Binary
27.860	Will Niger experience a coup before 2023?	Binary
27.772	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Jan 22)	Continuous
27.771	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Feb 5)	Continuous
27.358	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Canada)	Binary
27.162	Will there be a successful cyberattack on the 2022 FIFA World Cup?	Binary
26.790	Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024?	Binary
26.681	How many civilian casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian War will there be before May 2022?	Continuous
26.449	Will Kassym-Jomart Tokayev exit the Presidency of Kazakhstan in 2022?	Binary
26.391	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 30)	Continuous
26.353	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Qatar)	Binary
26.288	If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto?	Binary
26.253	Will Ron Johnson win the 2022 Wisconsin US Senate election?	Binary
25.668	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
25.512	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
25.510	Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
25.331	What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 2nd, 2022?	Continuous
24.922	Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?	Binary
24.718	Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?	Binary
24.043	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
23.135	Will there be a Tau variant of COVID by Tau Day (June 28, 2022)?	Binary
22.468	Will Doug Mastriano be elected Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022?	Binary
22.055	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on March 25, 2022?	Continuous
22.010	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Feb 19)	Continuous
21.918	[Short Fuse] Will Raphael Warnock defeat Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff on Tuesday?	Binary
21.778	Will Rick Caruso be elected Mayor of Los Angeles in 2022?	Binary
21.669	What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022?	Continuous
21.346	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 19)	Continuous
21.338	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guinea)	Binary
21.338	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Mauritania)	Binary
21.338	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Senegal)	Binary
21.089	Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023?	Binary
20.653	Will a cyberattack directly cause one or more deaths in 2022?	Binary
20.631	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Côte d'Ivoire)	Binary
20.630	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Liberia)	Binary
20.271	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Sierra Leone)	Binary
19.845	Will Leondra Kruger be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023?	Binary
19.797	Will CAIDA measure a major disruption of the Ukrainian internet for 24 hours before August 2022?	Binary
19.746	Will the British pound trade below $1 before 2023?	Binary
19.540	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Morocco)	Binary
19.497	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 1st, 2022?	Continuous
18.793	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guinea-Bissau)	Binary
18.411	Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before May 20, 2022?	Binary
18.140	Will China make a successful, major cyberattack on Taiwanese critical infrastructure before December 31, 2022?	Binary
18.096	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
18.048	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Philadelphia Phillies)	Binary
18.028	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Togo)	Binary
17.626	What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in New York as of August 31, 2022?	Continuous
17.607	Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?	Binary
17.230	How many Virginia counties will have their COVID-19 Community Level classified as 'High' as of April 14th update?	Continuous
14.834	What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
14.624	What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
14.483	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 28th of January, 2022?	Continuous
14.387	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Alex Jones)	Binary
14.310	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy's image appear on the cover of Time's 2022 Person of the Year issue, more prominently than any other person's image?	Binary
13.667	Will Carrick Flynn win the general election for Oregon's 6th congressional district?	Binary
13.481	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023?	Binary
13.136	Will the DART asteroid mission successfully impact in 2022?	Binary
12.808	Will PredictIt default on its obligation to allow its users to withdraw funds before 2023?	Binary
12.578	Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by December 31, 2022?	Binary
11.940	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
11.314	What will be the market capitalization of Netflix on December 1, 2022?	Continuous
11.258	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
11.081	What will be the 7-day average of % people wearing masks most or all of the time in public in Virginia on April 15th, 2022?	Continuous
10.868	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Diego Padres)	Binary
10.255	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Jan 22)	Continuous
10.107	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Seattle Mariners)	Binary
9.697	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Feb 19)	Continuous
9.639	Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
9.478	Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?	Binary
9.382	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
9.377	Will a new zero day vulnerability be exploited against and result in the compromise of 100 million Americans’ personal information by June 30, 2022?	Binary
8.686	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Portugal)	Binary
8.373	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Netherlands)	Binary
8.230	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Yankees)	Binary
8.176	Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022?	Binary
7.921	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
7.139	What will be the US unemployment rate in October 2022?	Continuous
7.119	Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (George Russell)	Binary
7.119	Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Sergio Perez)	Binary
7.119	Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Carlos Sainz)	Binary
7.119	Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Lewis Hamilton)	Binary
7.019	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Feb 19)	Continuous
6.908	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 15h of April, 2022?	Continuous
6.906	Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Charles Leclerc)	Binary
6.589	Will Ukraine acknowledge having fired the missile that killed two people in Przewodów, Poland, before 2023?	Binary
6.468	Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Max Verstappen)	Binary
6.467	[short-fuse] Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2022 Winter Olympics?	Binary
6.213	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay)	Binary
6.061	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Benin)	Binary
5.987	What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in California as of August 31, 2022?	Continuous
5.782	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Tampa Bay Rays)	Binary
5.636	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 16)	Continuous
5.391	Will Mehmet Oz win the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania?	Binary
5.289	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Mexico)	Binary
5.288	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cleveland Guardians)	Binary
5.118	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Belgium)	Binary
4.902	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 16)	Continuous
4.790	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (France)	Binary
4.777	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 16)	Continuous
4.630	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Mar 5)	Continuous
4.548	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Brazil)	Binary
4.546	Will David Segal win the RI-2 Democratic primary?	Binary
4.311	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (England)	Binary
4.028	Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023?	Binary
3.983	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Dodgers)	Binary
3.819	Will the Buffalo Bills play in Super Bowl LVI?	Binary
3.781	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Spain)	Binary
3.506	If Russia invades Ukraine, will the United States cut Russian banks off from the SWIFT system by 2023?	Binary
3.374	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Atlanta Braves)	Binary
3.295	Will Environment and Climate Change Canada register a white Christmas – snow on the ground on December 25th – for Toronto?	Binary
3.156	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Germany)	Binary
3.023	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Oakland Athletics)	Binary
3.022	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Kansas City Royals)	Binary
3.022	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Detroit Tigers)	Binary
3.022	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Texas Rangers)	Binary
3.020	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Arizona Diamondbacks)	Binary
3.020	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Francisco Giants)	Binary
3.020	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Boston Red Sox)	Binary
3.020	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Baltimore Orioles)	Binary
3.019	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Milwaukee Brewers)	Binary
2.990	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Angels)	Binary
2.990	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Minnesota Twins)	Binary
2.990	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago White Sox)	Binary
2.989	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Miami Marlins)	Binary
2.988	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Colorado Rockies)	Binary
2.988	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Pittsburgh Pirates)	Binary
2.987	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cincinnati Reds)	Binary
2.987	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago Cubs)	Binary
2.987	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Washington Nationals)	Binary
2.835	Will Sarah Palin be elected as US Representative for Alaska in 2022?	Binary
2.669	Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa no longer be the President of Sri Lanka before 2023?	Binary
2.513	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (European Union Euro €)	Binary
2.482	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
1.776	If Republicans win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 election, who will be the next Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives? (Rep. Jim Banks)	Binary
1.723	If Republicans win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 election, who will be the next Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives? (Rep. Drew Ferguson)	Binary
1.218	Will the number of Chinese military aircraft entering Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) exceed 60 on any single day in 2022?	Binary
1.141	Before 2023, will the US CDC recommend the general use of the monkeypox vaccine for all men who have sex with men in the US?	Binary
1.080	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Mar 5)	Continuous
0.845	Will Russia default on its debt in 2022?	Binary
0.807	How many subscribers will the Effective Altruism subreddit have on January 1, 2023?	Continuous
0.803	Will the US Government designate Russia a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" by 2023?	Binary
0.766	Will Facebook decide to make the weights of the 175B parameter model publicly available before 2023?	Binary
0.643	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
0.618	Will Pakistan default on its debt in 2022?	Binary
0.540	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Jared Taylor)	Binary
0.540	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Tila Tequila)	Binary
0.540	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny))	Binary
0.540	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Milo Yiannopoulos)	Binary
0.478	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
0.444	Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022?	Binary
0.384	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (June 25)	Continuous
0.313	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Mets)	Binary
0.312	Will the New York Times place Wordle (or any currently existing part of Wordle) behind a paywall during 2022?	Binary
0.232	How many seats will Democrats win in the US House of Representatives in 2022?	Continuous
0.164	How many seats will Democrats hold in the US Senate after 2022 midterm elections?	Continuous
0.101	Will UK initiate its rota load shedding plan during 2022-2023 winter?	Binary
0.089	Will the US sanction Russian oil or gas before 2023?	Binary
0.079	Will the Senate Commerce committee reach an agreement on preemption for a federal data security and data privacy law in 2022?	Binary
0.075	Will the US executive branch attempt to ban or otherwise further limit ransomware payments in 2022?	Binary
0.013	Will 2022 venture capital investment in cybersecurity companies surpass 2021?	Binary
0.007	Will a DDoS attack of greater than 3.5TPS occur in 2022?	Binary
0.002	Will a popular online identity verification service be breached in 2022?	Binary
0.001	How much crude oil will the US hold in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as of December 2022?	Continuous
-	Will there be a female Fields Medalist in 2022?	Binary
-	Will the European Central Bank raise interest rates in 2022?	Binary
-	Will there be a bilateral ceasefire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2023?	Binary
-	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Laura Loomer)	Binary
-	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Marjorie Taylor Greene)	Binary
-	Will Raphael Warnock be re-elected in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia?	Binary
-	Will the Kenyan Supreme court nullify the results of the 2022 Presidential Election?	Binary
-	If Republicans win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 election, who will be the next Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives? (Rep. Tom Emmer)	Binary
-	Will Catherine Cortez Masto be re-elected in the 2022 US Senate election in Nevada?	Binary
-0.517	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-0.587	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 5)	Continuous
-1.249	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-1.456	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Mar 5)	Continuous
-1.965	Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022?	Binary
-2.335	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Jan 22)	Continuous
-2.400	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-2.778	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Catherine McKenney)	Binary
-4.690	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Feb 5)	Continuous
-6.762	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Jan 22)	Continuous
-7.176	Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022?	Binary
-8.151	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
-8.533	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
-9.468	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-9.930	How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022?	Continuous
-11.742	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Feb 5)	Continuous
-14.488	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Mark Sutcliffe)	Binary
-14.613	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Houston Astros)	Binary
-14.742	Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022?	Binary
-17.826	Will Solana be in the top-10 cryptocurrencies by market cap on December 31, 2022?	Binary
-18.904	Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022?	Binary
-20.560	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-24.036	[short fuse] Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in 2022?	Binary
-24.592	[Short Fuse] Will Top Gun: Maverick win Favorite Movie at the 2022 People's Choice Awards?	Binary
-25.194	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 2)	Continuous
-25.806	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
-29.153	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 2)	Continuous
-29.538	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Argentina)	Binary
-29.730	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
-29.993	Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022?	Binary
-31.621	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Rishi Sunak)	Binary
-34.476	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 6th of May, 2022?	Continuous
-36.077	Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
-38.803	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of February, 2022?	Continuous
-43.863	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 30)	Continuous
-44.824	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump)	Binary
-45.354	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022?	Continuous
-47.834	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
-48.438	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 2)	Continuous
-49.853	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022?	Continuous
-51.315	Will the UK authorise fourth doses of Covid vaccines for healthy adults in 2022?	Binary
-51.596	Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
-52.913	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 2)	Continuous
-56.493	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 2)	Continuous
-59.042	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Mar 19)	Continuous
-59.481	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-73.049	Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?	Binary
-82.532	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 9, 2022 and July 2, 2022?	Continuous
-137.333	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Jan 22)	Continuous
-142.686	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Liz Truss)	Binary
-145.943	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
-151.182	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
-153.793	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 16)	Continuous
-161.056	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (May 14)	Continuous
-171.277	Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022?	Binary
-175.216	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Mar 19)	Continuous
-194.815	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Mar 19)	Continuous
-196.736	Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022?	Binary
-203.452	Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022?	Binary
-216.954	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between April 8th and July 1st 2022?	Continuous
-512.806	Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?	Binary