| 203.929 | What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 105.306 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Everton) | Continuous |
| 105.030 | How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 103.594 | What will the release date of the first song to be streamed 4 billion times on Spotify be? | Continuous |
| 99.507 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 99.065 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dwayne Johnson) | Binary |
| 98.264 | Will Cris Ericson win the 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont? | Binary |
| 98.258 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 98.183 | India Acts in Pakistan by 2024 Election? (No) → Fatality due to Nuclear Detonation by 2025? | Binary |
| 98.127 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.643 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 97.133 | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 96.879 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mitt Romney) | Binary |
| 96.489 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mark Cuban) | Binary |
| 96.001 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 95.693 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 95.580 | LLM passes ARA before 2025? (No) → LLM training paused for dangerous capability? (OpenAI) | Binary |
| 95.411 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 95.334 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 94.961 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 94.944 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 94.935 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 94.935 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 94.935 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 94.934 | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
| 94.842 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 94.797 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 94.392 | When will 100M doses of Moderna's Omicron-specific booster candidate or multi-valent booster candidates be distributed? | Continuous |
| 94.066 | Will US Attorney General Merrick Garland be impeached before the 2024 federal election? | Binary |
| 93.848 | Will Adobe acquire Figma by the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 93.599 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 93.540 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 93.131 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
| 93.033 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Massachusetts for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 92.643 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 92.436 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 92.403 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Manchin) | Binary |
| 91.960 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 91.953 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 91.816 | Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU? | Binary |
| 91.655 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 91.613 | Will Russia impose a total ban on Apple products before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 91.595 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 91.525 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
| 91.408 | Will OpenAI Inc. change its mission statement before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 91.272 | How many deployed nuclear weapons will there be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 91.128 | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 90.808 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 90.614 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 90.550 | When will a song have been streamed 4 billion times on Spotify? | Continuous |
| 90.099 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| 89.318 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
| 89.091 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 88.620 | Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? (No) → 2024 US election considered fraudulent? | Binary |
| 88.374 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 88.090 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 87.994 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 87.949 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 87.839 | Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly? | Binary |
| 87.717 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 87.646 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 87.597 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 87.597 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 87.361 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 87.215 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Continuous |
| 86.967 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Dallas Mavericks) | Binary |
| 86.880 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
| 86.874 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 86.874 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 86.816 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Sam Altman against OpenAI) | Binary |
| 86.726 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 86.681 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| 86.600 | Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 86.488 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Colorado for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 86.443 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Illinois for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 86.208 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Minnesota Lynx) | Binary |
| 86.070 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
California for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 86.021 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 85.957 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 85.629 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
New York for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 85.520 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Indiana Pacers) | Binary |
| 85.212 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 85.212 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 85.161 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 85.077 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 84.882 | By 2024, will China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 84.745 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Minnesota Timberwolves) | Binary |
| 84.506 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 84.493 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Florida for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 84.416 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Texas for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 84.378 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| 84.322 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
| 83.347 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 83.111 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Phoenix Mercury) | Binary |
| 83.095 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 83.095 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 83.084 | Which country will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 83.043 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Seattle Storm) | Binary |
| 82.102 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 82.059 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Pennsylvania for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 82.028 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Chicago Sky) | Binary |
| 81.993 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New York Knicks) | Binary |
| 81.893 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 81.815 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Atlanta Dream) | Binary |
| 81.805 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 81.689 | By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 81.659 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 81.197 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Oklahoma City Thunder) | Binary |
| 81.054 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Los Angeles Sparks) | Binary |
| 80.878 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Indiana Fever) | Binary |
| 80.648 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| 80.516 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Connecticut Sun) | Binary |
| 80.463 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Cleveland Cavaliers) | Binary |
| 80.276 | Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025? | Binary |
| 79.714 | Will Israel and Palestine hold peace talks in 2022? | Binary |
| 79.695 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 79.695 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 79.692 | Will the German value-added tax (VAT) of plant-based milks be reduced to be the same as cow's milk by end of 2024? | Binary |
| 79.615 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Burnley) | Continuous |
| 79.597 | Musk Chairman Of Twitter in 2024? (Yes) → Twitter Public Company in May 2024? | Binary |
| 79.587 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 79.436 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
| 79.436 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
| 79.432 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 79.356 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 78.920 | Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 78.775 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 78.646 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 78.520 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 78.508 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 78.439 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 78.439 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 78.333 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Washington Mystics) | Binary |
| 78.160 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 77.429 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 77.412 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 77.226 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 77.130 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 77.005 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 76.977 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Orlando Magic) | Binary |
| 76.733 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Dallas Wings) | Binary |
| 76.641 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
| 75.579 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 75.447 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Liverpool) | Continuous |
| 75.365 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Washington for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 75.280 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 74.965 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 74.957 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 74.906 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 74.906 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 74.871 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Miami Heat) | Binary |
| 74.740 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 74.475 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 74.149 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 73.962 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 73.584 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco) | Binary |
| 73.522 | What will the price of oil be for December 2022? | Continuous |
| 73.477 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 73.416 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Luton Town) | Continuous |
| 73.023 | By 2024, will a nuclear-armed state other than the US, Russia, or China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 72.973 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New Orleans Pelicans) | Binary |
| 72.855 | Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2023/24 Premier League season? | Binary |
| 72.569 | Will the Omicron variant be more lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 72.280 | Will Bongbong Marcos win the 2022 Philippine Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 72.208 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 72.111 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases globally on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 72.073 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Morocco) | Binary |
| 71.942 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Philadelphia 76ers) | Binary |
| 71.899 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 71.741 | Will a university other than Oxford or Cambridge be ranked first in the Times & Sunday Times Good University Guide 2023 again? | Binary |
| 71.731 | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 71.721 | Will a donor other than Carnegie or MacArthur make >$10m of nuclear risk related grants in 2022? | Binary |
| 71.645 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| 71.396 | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
| 71.253 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 71.253 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 71.253 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 71.213 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Wolverhampton Wanderers) | Continuous |
| 71.051 | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 70.846 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Lakers) | Binary |
| 70.718 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Chicago Bulls) | Binary |
| 70.675 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 70.485 | What will be the British male life expectancy at birth in 2021 according to the UK Office of National Statistics? | Continuous |
| 70.401 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 70.347 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 70.251 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Clippers) | Binary |
| 69.964 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Atlanta Hawks) | Binary |
| 69.949 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Pennsylvania) | Continuous |
| 69.388 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Sacremento Kings) | Binary |
| 69.387 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 69.271 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 69.190 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 69.013 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 68.897 | Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates? | Binary |
| 68.822 | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
| 68.781 | When will be the UK’s peak 7-day moving average of COVID hospital admissions for the winter of 2021-2022? | Continuous |
| 68.529 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (RSV) | Continuous |
| 68.495 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Phoenix Suns) | Binary |
| 68.491 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 68.352 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Combined) | Continuous |
| 68.182 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 68.077 | By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty? | Binary |
| 67.837 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 67.211 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Continuous |
| 66.645 | Will there be a US-Iran war by 2024? | Binary |
| 66.514 | When will the percentage of Virginians who have received a booster dose exceed 50%? | Continuous |
| 66.475 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Houston Rockets) | Binary |
| 66.363 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Athletico Madrid) | Binary |
| 66.123 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Brooklyn Nets) | Binary |
| 65.999 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 65.999 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
| 65.964 | What percent of US adults will report having received an updated COVID booster vaccine for the 2023-2024 season on the following dates? (March 30, 2024) | Continuous |
| 65.903 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
| 65.903 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Parham Maghsoodloo) | Binary |
| 65.903 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| 65.862 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Fulham) | Continuous |
| 65.815 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 65.806 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| 65.806 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
| 65.613 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
| 65.613 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 65.613 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 65.313 | When will Virginia’s weekly total of new confirmed and probable COVID-19 cases fall below 1015? | Continuous |
| 65.250 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 65.103 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (California) | Continuous |
| 65.084 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| 64.896 | Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025? | Binary |
| 64.705 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 64.557 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 63.573 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 63.494 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
| 63.494 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| 63.494 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
| 63.494 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
| 63.494 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
| 63.494 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| 63.494 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| 63.494 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Leinier Domínguez Pérez) | Binary |
| 63.434 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 63.405 | What will Virginia's percent unemployment rate be in April 2022? | Continuous |
| 63.328 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 62.436 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Newcastle United) | Continuous |
| 62.369 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 62.249 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Golden State Warriors) | Binary |
| 62.211 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (PSV) | Binary |
| 62.031 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 62.031 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 62.031 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 62.031 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 62.031 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 62.031 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 62.030 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 61.998 | Will the Sacramento Kings advance to the second round of the NBA playoffs in 2024? | Binary |
| 61.862 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 61.675 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Toronto Raptors) | Binary |
| 61.457 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Utah Jazz) | Binary |
| 61.392 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
| 60.893 | Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025? | Binary |
| 60.334 | Will these countries approve a cultivated meat product for consumption before April 2023? (European Union) | Binary |
| 60.318 | Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election? | Binary |
| 60.257 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Missouri for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 60.253 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Charlotte Hornets) | Binary |
| 60.041 | What will the total worldwide box office gross be for Avatar 2? | Continuous |
| 59.867 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (New York) | Continuous |
| 59.660 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
| 59.621 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Texas) | Continuous |
| 59.342 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou (Independent)) | Binary |
| 59.319 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Copenhagen) | Binary |
| 58.902 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Memphis Grizzlies) | Binary |
| 58.536 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
| 58.304 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Porto) | Binary |
| 57.859 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 57.851 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Flu) | Continuous |
| 57.813 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Portland Trail Blazers) | Binary |
| 57.774 | Will any OpenAI or Anthropic model be in the top-10 model with a non-proprietary license on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 57.612 | When will Julian Assange be extradited to the US? | Continuous |
| 57.532 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lazio) | Binary |
| 57.392 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 57.354 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Government antitrust against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 57.151 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 57.090 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 57.049 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 56.950 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 56.447 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 56.432 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI investors against OpenAI board) | Binary |
| 56.425 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
| 56.057 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Brazil) | Binary |
| 55.962 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Sociedad) | Binary |
| 55.725 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 55.633 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| 55.611 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Napoli) | Binary |
| 55.508 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 55.274 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Brighton And Hove Albion) | Continuous |
| 55.181 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 54.922 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Washington Wizards) | Binary |
| 54.818 | Will the maximum weekly rate of hospitalizations per 100,000 in the US occur within four weeks of the combined peak for each of COVID, influenza, and RSV in the 2023-24 season? | Binary |
| 54.556 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 54.487 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Detroit Pistons) | Binary |
| 54.197 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |
| 54.063 | When will Virginia’s pre-May 2022 peak weekly total of new confirmed and probable cases occur? | Continuous |
| 53.968 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (San Antonio Spurs) | Binary |
| 53.782 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Denver Nuggets) | Binary |
| 53.717 | Will Apple announce Apple Glasses before 2025? | Binary |
| 53.530 | Will Meta's Horizon Worlds report more than 500,000 active users for any month of 2023? | Binary |
| 53.516 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Manchester United) | Continuous |
| 53.137 | How many subscribers will the Youtube channel Rational Animations have on November 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 53.134 | Will the U.S. CDC classify Omicron as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 53.052 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
| 53.022 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 52.343 | Will Dutch supermarket Albert Heijn still sell crompouces by April 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 52.106 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 52.063 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Milwaukee Bucks) | Binary |
| 51.886 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Aston Villa) | Continuous |
| 51.776 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Sheffield United) | Continuous |
| 51.211 | How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered in the US by Dec 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 51.038 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| 50.510 | Will the stock price of NVIDIA trade below $250 (adjusted to pre-split value) for at least 1 full day before 2025? | Binary |
| 50.251 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 50.005 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.890 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Florida) | Continuous |
| 49.889 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2024) | Binary |
| 49.824 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Illinois) | Continuous |
| 49.807 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 49.780 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 49.647 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Colorado) | Continuous |
| 49.632 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| 49.378 | How many influenza-associated pediatric deaths will there be in Virginia during the 2021-2022 flu season? | Continuous |
| 49.269 | When will the CDC eliminate quarantine restrictions for close contacts of COVID-19 cases? | Continuous |
| 49.004 | Will the Republican Party retain California's 20th District in the 2024 special election? | Binary |
| 48.979 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 48.890 | What will the UK consumer price inflation rate for April 2024 be? | Continuous |
| 48.888 | How many weeks will Virginia experience “widespread” influenza activity during the 2021-2022 flu season? | Continuous |
| 48.857 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 48.760 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 48.751 | Will the Omicron variant be less lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 48.603 | How many of Virginia's 133 communities will be experiencing moderate or higher levels of community transmission as of 7 March 2022? | Continuous |
| 48.595 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 48.377 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 48.189 | When will VDH’s frequency of COVID-19 case reporting switch to weekly or less? | Continuous |
| 48.130 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 48.018 | Will the 2022 Winter Olympics be completed fully and as scheduled? | Binary |
| 47.327 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| 47.253 | Will Johnathan Davis be re-elected at the 2024 ACT election? | Binary |
| 47.213 | When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally? | Continuous |
| 47.126 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 46.950 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 46.781 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 46.694 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 46.607 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 46.248 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 46.033 | Will Belfast (2021) win the 2022 Best Picture Oscar? | Binary |
| 45.718 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Washington) | Continuous |
| 45.637 | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
| 45.502 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Massachusetts) | Continuous |
| 45.428 | Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023? | Binary |
| 45.179 | When will Virginia’s weekly total of new confirmed and probable COVID-19 hospitalizations fall below 49? | Continuous |
| 45.070 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Chelsea) | Continuous |
| 45.007 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 44.915 | In these months, what will be Biden's polling margin over Trump according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average? (Feb-2024) | Continuous |
| 44.890 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (West Ham United) | Continuous |
| 44.612 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 44.606 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| 44.053 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 43.638 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 21st of January, 2022? | Continuous |
| 43.622 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 43.390 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 42.571 | Will Libya hold a presidential election before 2025? | Binary |
| 42.341 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 42.160 | Will a meat or dairy consumption tax go into effect in the US or any EU member state by 2023? | Binary |
| 41.832 | Will any top ten meat global processor/producer go bankrupt by 2023? | Binary |
| 41.602 | What will Lebanon's Fragile States Index score be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 41.574 | Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023? | Binary |
| 40.376 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 40.325 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
| 40.176 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
| 40.176 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
| 40.176 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ID) | Binary |
| 39.999 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ECR) | Binary |
| 39.630 | What will be the percentage of the population vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on January 21st, 2022? | Continuous |
| 39.563 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Arsenal) | Continuous |
| 39.200 | Will India conduct a military intervention against Pakistan before the 2024 Indian general elections? | Binary |
| 38.984 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| 38.854 | What will the estimated number of people (in millions) in severe food insecurity be in 2022, according to the 2023 FAO “State of food security and nutrition in the world” annual report? | Continuous |
| 38.182 | What will the Womens winning 100m time in the 2024 Olympic Final be? | Continuous |
| 38.078 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 38.078 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 37.851 | Will copyright of at least one of the depictions of Mickey Mouse be extended beyond the current deadline of January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 37.598 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 37.580 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 37.580 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 37.298 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 37.157 | Will at least one fire produce smoke plumes that reach into the stratosphere, before 2023? | Binary |
| 36.603 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Crystal Palace) | Continuous |
| 36.152 | Will the UK and India have signed an FTA before the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 36.037 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2023? | Binary |
| 35.915 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 35.864 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ID) | Binary |
| 35.864 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
| 35.820 | What will be the maximum 7 day weekly average of COVID deaths in the US before 2022 April 1? | Continuous |
| 35.730 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 35.705 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Renew) | Binary |
| 35.705 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
| 35.705 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ECR) | Binary |
| 34.253 | Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025? | Binary |
| 34.069 | What will be the total expenditure on the military in the US, in billions USD, in 2022? | Continuous |
| 34.054 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New York Giants) | Binary |
| 34.046 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 33.699 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 33.189 | Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 per unit before 2025? | Binary |
| 33.024 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Nottingham Forest) | Continuous |
| 32.357 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the US on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 32.243 | Will a New or Joint "Worst 82-Game Regular Season Record" in NBA History be set in 2024? | Binary |
| 31.356 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 31.211 | What will be the UK’s peak 7-day moving average of COVID hospital admissions for the winter of 2021-2022? | Continuous |
| 31.061 | What will the Men's winning 100m time in the 2024 Olympic Final be? | Continuous |
| 31.050 | Will Linda Yaccarino be the CEO of Twitter on July 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 30.709 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| 30.663 | Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 29.863 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| 29.710 | Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2022 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
| 29.480 | When will Omicron become the predominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the U.S.? | Continuous |
| 28.075 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 27.975 | What will be the lowest US unemployment rate in 2022? | Continuous |
| 27.706 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 27.157 | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| 26.672 | Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered “brokers” by the IRS by 2025? | Binary |
| 26.631 | Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022? | Binary |
| 26.549 | What will China's total population be in these years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 26.456 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 26.445 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 26.402 | Will a new US Supreme Court justice be confirmed before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 26.292 | Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 26.270 | Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks? | Binary |
| 25.885 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
| 25.632 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 25.466 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 25.284 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Bournemouth) | Continuous |
| 24.668 | What percentage of Virginians will have received a booster dose as of 4 May 2022? | Continuous |
| 24.567 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (S&D) | Binary |
| 24.299 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Thailand) | Binary |
| 24.200 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 24.119 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| 23.817 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 23.789 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 23.447 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 23.174 | Will a cultivated meat company be profitable by April 2023? | Binary |
| 22.417 | What will be the maximum 7 day weekly average of COVID cases in the US between January 1, 2022 to April 1, 2022? | Continuous |
| 22.294 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 13, 2024) | Continuous |
| 22.205 | Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025? | Binary |
| 22.191 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 21.610 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (EPP) | Binary |
| 21.595 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 21.595 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 21.553 | What percentage of US children under 5-years-old will have at least one dose of any COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 21.446 | Will the US officially state the intention to re-ratify the INF Treaty by 2024? | Binary |
| 21.385 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| 21.378 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 21.088 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between December 24th, 2021 and March 18th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 20.775 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 20.519 | Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 20.489 | Will a stock exchange halt trading for >24 hours with a cause widely attributed to AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 20.436 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Donald Norcross (D)) | Binary |
| 20.436 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Josh Gottheimer (D)) | Binary |
| 20.436 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Frank Pallone (D)) | Binary |
| 20.436 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman (D)) | Binary |
| 20.436 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (State Senate Majority Leader Teresa Ruiz (D)) | Binary |
| 20.436 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Lt. Governor Tahesha Way (D)) | Binary |
| 20.436 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (NJ First Lady Tammy Murphy (D)) | Binary |
| 20.398 | Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 20.343 | Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models? | Binary |
| 20.264 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Mikie Sherrill (D)) | Binary |
| 20.264 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Andy Kim (D)) | Binary |
| 20.179 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Vacant) | Binary |
| 20.063 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Ariane 6) | Continuous |
| 19.994 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
| 19.891 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Senator Bob Menendez (D)) | Binary |
| 19.600 | What will be the wheat price on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 19.440 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
| 19.280 | When will Virginia's statewide mask mandate for K-12 schools be rescinded? | Continuous |
| 19.276 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Shakhtar Donetsk) | Binary |
| 19.117 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Brentford) | Continuous |
| 19.095 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| 18.951 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 18.856 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Galatasaray) | Binary |
| 18.846 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Braga) | Binary |
| 18.837 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 18.677 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 18.670 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Washington for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 18.348 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 18.333 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (March 31, 2024) | Continuous |
| 18.234 | How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 18.170 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan? | Binary |
| 18.119 | What will the number of active volcanos be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 17.886 | What will be the USA’s peak 7-day moving average of COVID hospital admissions for the winter of 2021-2022? | Continuous |
| 17.621 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 17.345 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
| 17.265 | When will Australia reopen for quarantine-free international travel? | Continuous |
| 17.233 | Will at least one cultivated meat product be for sale in the US by 2023? | Binary |
| 16.908 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (BJP) | Binary |
| 16.908 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (INC) | Binary |
| 16.656 | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| 16.586 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (AC Milan) | Binary |
| 16.557 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
California for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 16.480 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 16.230 | How many countries will approve the commercial sale of cultivated meat by 2023? | Continuous |
| 16.181 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Colorado for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 15.822 | Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections? | Binary |
| 15.789 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 15.606 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 15.593 | What will be the UK natural gas futures price (GBp/thm) for May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 15.374 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 15.052 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 14.962 | Meaningful commitments from UK AI Summit? (No) → ChatGPT available in Europe on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 14.957 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 14.847 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| 14.762 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 14.547 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 14.534 | How many active United Nations peacekeeping missions will there be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 14.530 | Will a NATO nuclear-sharing country sign the TPNW by the end of 2022? | Binary |
| 14.379 | Will additional COVID-19 booster doses be authorized by FDA for the U.S. adult population before 2023? | Binary |
| 14.093 | Will North Korea launch another intercontinental ballistic missile before 2024? | Binary |
| 14.034 | When will New Zealand reopen for quarantine-free international travel? | Continuous |
| 13.983 | What will South Africa's Fragile States Index score be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 13.900 | Will there be a large-scale power outage in the continental Europe synchronous grid before 2023? | Binary |
| 13.869 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 13.582 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| 13.522 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 13.477 | When will the next German government be formed? | Continuous |
| 13.127 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (New Glenn) | Continuous |
| 13.059 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| 12.865 | How many weeks will influenza-like illness (ILI) activity levels be at "high" or above in at least five states during the 2023-2024 season? | Continuous |
| 12.849 | Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? | Binary |
| 12.778 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Sevilla) | Binary |
| 12.614 | What will be the percentage of the 5-11 year olds vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on January 21st, 2022? | Continuous |
| 12.554 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Crvena Zvezda) | Binary |
| 12.553 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Celtic) | Binary |
| 12.513 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Asa Hutchinson) | Continuous |
| 11.912 | When will the FDA authorize an oral antiviral treatment for SARS-CoV-2? | Continuous |
| 11.431 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| 11.198 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay) | Binary |
| 11.198 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lens) | Binary |
| 10.688 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Feyenoord) | Binary |
| 10.625 | When will be the USA’s peak 7-day moving average of COVID hospital admissions for the winter of 2021-2022? | Continuous |
| 10.529 | What will be the percent SOL assessment pass rate in math for Virginian third graders in the 2021-2022? | Continuous |
| 10.247 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| 10.201 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 10.189 | Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023? | Binary |
| 10.169 | Will Trafalgar Group outperform the 538 polling average in the 2022 congressional and gubernatorial elections? | Binary |
| 10.163 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
| 10.048 | When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 100? | Continuous |
| 10.040 | How many staff will the Arms Control Association, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, and Ploughshares Fund have at the end of 2023? | Continuous |
| 9.971 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| 9.847 | Will the Hen Caging (Prohibition) bill become UK law in the 2021-22 Parliamentary session?? | Binary |
| 9.808 | What will be the largest cultivated meat production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single facility by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 9.356 | Will Hawaiian Electric Company file for bankruptcy before 2025? | Binary |
| 9.213 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.963 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 8.945 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Chris Christie) | Continuous |
| 8.944 | What will the world population be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 8.686 | How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 8.616 | Will the "Moon Cube" be shown to be non-natural before 2023? | Binary |
| 8.528 | Will the U.S. CDC classify a SARS-CoV-2 variant as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) by 1 March 2022? | Binary |
| 8.352 | When will the first Activision/Blizzard/King game be added to Xbox Game Pass? | Continuous |
| 8.102 | Will the Duke or Duchess of Sussex file for divorce before Mar 8, 2022? | Binary |
| 8.001 | Will Tigrayan-aligned forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa by military assault before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 7.964 | How many medals will the USA win at Paris 2024? | Continuous |
| 7.796 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 7.403 | How many nonstrategic nuclear weapons will be deployed at the end of 2023? | Continuous |
| 7.371 | What will the fed funds rate be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 6.758 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 6.646 | Will the 117th United States Senate change the filibuster rules during its session? | Binary |
| 6.387 | What will be the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 6.236 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| 6.230 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.206 | What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 6.072 | When will Australia reach its 80% (of 16+ population) Covid-19 vaccination target? | Continuous |
| 5.894 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| 5.831 | Will Amazon accept Bitcoin before 2024? | Binary |
| 5.767 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
| 5.701 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 5.695 | What will be the total box office gross in the US & Canada in 2022? | Continuous |
| 5.496 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (SDLP) | Continuous |
| 5.413 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Ilya Sutskever) | Binary |
| 5.413 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Eric Schmidt) | Binary |
| 5.413 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
| 5.413 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Andrej Karpathy) | Binary |
| 5.413 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Emmett Shear) | Binary |
| 5.411 | What will the unemployment rate be in the eurozone in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 5.313 | When will the next UK general election take place? | Continuous |
| 5.204 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Manchester City Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.201 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Futbol Club Barcelona) | Binary |
| 5.200 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Al-Hilal Saudi Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.186 | Will Gary Gensler be subpoenaed by Congress before 2025? | Binary |
| 5.181 | What will the population-weighted average life expectancy at birth be in the G7 countries in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 5.133 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Atlético Newell's Old Boys) | Binary |
| 5.132 | When will Skyroot Aerospace successfully launch their first satellite into space? | Continuous |
| 5.094 | What will Bitcoin's hash rate be in November 2022? | Continuous |
| 5.001 | What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 4.978 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 4.861 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami) | Binary |
| 4.717 | What percent of the world population will use the internet in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 4.677 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 4.576 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Alliance) | Continuous |
| 4.366 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 4.199 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 4.180 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 4.149 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Mira Murati) | Binary |
| 4.145 | What will China’s GDP be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 3.930 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Sinn Féin) | Continuous |
| 3.884 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 3.772 | What will be the total world military expenditure in 2021, as reported by SIPRI? | Continuous |
| 3.656 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Ko Wen-je (TPP)) | Binary |
| 3.535 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 3.426 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| 3.355 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (DUP) | Continuous |
| 3.138 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on January 21st, 2022? | Continuous |
| 3.079 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Union Berlin) | Binary |
| 3.079 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| 3.065 | What will be the UK's annual inflation rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 2.859 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 2.822 | What will Rivian's market cap be at the close of trading on 20 April 2022? | Continuous |
| 2.759 | When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between December 24th, 2021 and March 18th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 2.690 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Plaid Cymru) | Continuous |
| 2.681 | Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.676 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Antwerp) | Binary |
| 2.676 | Will these countries approve a cultivated meat product for consumption before April 2023? (China) | Binary |
| 2.647 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Young Boys) | Binary |
| 2.642 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 2.614 | When will Virginia’s pre-May 2022 peak weekly total of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations occur? | Continuous |
| 2.599 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
| 2.520 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 2.476 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Greens) | Continuous |
| 2.280 | Will the Fed decrease the size of its accumulated asset portfolio below $8 trillion by 2023? | Binary |
| 2.168 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Hou Yu-ih (Kuomintang)) | Binary |
| 2.126 | What will be The Economist's estimated global excess deaths due to COVID-19 on January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 2.123 | When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO? | Continuous |
| 2.075 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 2.036 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 2.013 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 1.892 | What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 1.784 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
| 1.770 | What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 1.765 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| 1.665 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Continuous |
| 1.448 | Will a new Derek Chauvin homicide trial be ordered on or before April 20, 2022? | Binary |
| 1.438 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Salzburg) | Binary |
| 1.382 | Will the US re-implement a ban on funding gain-of-function research in 2022? | Binary |
| 1.345 | Will Oil Exports account for less than 70% of Saudi Arabian exports in Q1 2024? | Binary |
| 1.181 | Will a federal law imposing disbursement requirements on donor-advised fund accounts pass in the United States before 2023? | Binary |
| 1.067 | Will the weekly rate of hospitalizations per 100,000 in the US for each of COVID, influenza, and RSV equal or exceed 3.0 in the same week in the 2023-24 season? | Binary |
| 0.959 | Will a federal tax on unrealized capital gains in the United States be passed before February 1st 2023? | Binary |
| 0.876 | Will Alphabet’s (GOOG) market capitalisation fall below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 0.633 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| 0.581 | Will the US claim that Russia has exceeded New START treaty limits on nuclear weapons before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.547 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.534 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| 0.440 | How many migrants will die in 2022 trying to cross the Mediterranean? | Continuous |
| 0.434 | How many emergency department overdose visits will there be in Q1 2022 in Virginia? | Continuous |
| 0.392 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Nikki Haley) | Continuous |
| 0.375 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Vulcan Centaur) | Continuous |
| 0.329 | Will any state hold a caucus instead of a primary for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2024? | Binary |
| 0.309 | Will an anti-5G attack take a life in 2021 or 2022? | Binary |
| 0.233 | When will total nonfarm employees in Virginia exceed 4 million? | Continuous |
| 0.225 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 0.225 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 0.209 | What will be the lowest monthly value for US total capacity utilization in 2023? | Continuous |
| 0.193 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 0.160 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (United States) | Binary |
| 0.159 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Missouri) | Continuous |
| 0.154 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 0.147 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| 0.122 | Will the gray wolf be relisted as Threatened or Endangered by the US before 2030? | Binary |
| 0.121 | What will the total amount of worldwide venture capital funding in quantum computing be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.088 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| 0.087 | How many Japanese Air Force responses to Chinese military threats there will be by 2024? | Continuous |
| 0.080 | When will a Nobel Prize be awarded for COVID19-related accomplishments? | Continuous |
| 0.080 | Will Matt Levine join substack before 2023? | Binary |
| 0.019 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| 0.019 | How many flights will the Mars Helicopter, Ingenuity, make in its lifetime? | Continuous |
| - | Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| - | Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election? | Binary |
| - | Will these countries approve a cultivated meat product for consumption before April 2023? (United States) | Binary |
| - | Will the ANC receive more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 South African general election? | Binary |
| - | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| - | Will at least 3 months of third party safety evaluations be conducted on Gemini before its deployment? | Binary |
| - | Will a major political party leave the I.N.D.I.A. alliance before the next Indian general election? | Binary |
| - | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| - | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| - | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| - | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -0.000 | What will the total deal value be of all the US PE deals in billions of US$, in 2021? | Continuous |
| -0.133 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based meats be in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -0.210 | Will Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Garibashvili experience a significant leadership disruption before the next scheduled election? | Binary |
| -0.252 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Lai Ching-te (DPP)) | Binary |
| -0.400 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| -0.572 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| -0.583 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
| -0.665 | How many confirmed deaths from COVID-19 will be reported globally in 2022? | Continuous |
| -0.669 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| -0.837 | By 2023, will the Effective Altruism Wiki be "alive"? | Binary |
| -1.801 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Pennsylvania for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -2.162 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
| -2.255 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| -2.887 | UN Troops In Gaza (No) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -3.030 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Florida for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -3.224 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Texas for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -4.145 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| -4.561 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| -5.092 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Illinois for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -5.441 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Vietnam) | Binary |
| -5.478 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |
| -6.557 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
| -7.877 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -8.341 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| -8.529 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| -9.057 | What will be the share of people living in countries where same-sex marriage is legal in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -9.111 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
New York for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -11.014 | How many gold medals will the United States win at the 2022 International Math Olympiad? | Continuous |
| -11.036 | When will the pre-August 2022 peak in weekly CLI visits (count) in Virginia occur? | Continuous |
| -12.126 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Missouri for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -13.338 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Las Vegas Aces) | Binary |
| -14.255 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| -14.422 | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
| -16.041 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -16.492 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Massachusetts for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -17.248 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| -17.376 | Will Tesla reveal a prototype of the Tesla Bot before 2023? | Binary |
| -17.423 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| -22.034 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
| -24.226 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| -26.564 | When will Japan reopen for quarantine-free international tourism? | Continuous |
| -29.880 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| -30.823 | Will an Alphabet company win the general category for protein structure prediction at CASP15 in 2022? | Binary |
| -31.228 | Will Apple Watch feature a blood pressure monitor before 2025? | Binary |
| -31.732 | Will the Georgia Power Co Vogtle nuclear power plant Unit 4 be operational in May, 2024? | Binary |
| -32.948 | What will the USD price of Bitcoin be on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| -34.496 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| -34.721 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| -37.947 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -38.803 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| -46.374 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| -55.189 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -56.927 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| -58.964 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -68.545 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| -68.872 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| -69.708 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| -70.312 | Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission before November 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -78.708 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -79.705 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| -90.342 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -94.612 | Will France place in the Top 5 at the 2024 Paris Olympics? | Binary |
| -94.913 | [short-fuse] Will Elon Musk sell more than 5% of his Tesla stock by July 1st 2022? | Binary |
| -97.270 | Will the right-wing incumbent BJP win the 2024 national election in India? | Binary |
| -98.315 | Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| -109.926 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| -113.116 | Will Google block third-party cookies on Chrome before 2024? | Binary |
| -114.381 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -127.294 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (New York Liberty) | Binary |
| -130.922 | What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 18th of February, 2022? | Continuous |
| -145.001 | Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022? | Binary |
| -150.157 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Boston Celtics) | Binary |
| -155.048 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Donald Trump) | Continuous |
| -163.304 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| -171.796 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| -173.974 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| -175.479 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| -190.376 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between December 24th, 2021 and March 18th, 2022? | Continuous |
| -197.824 | What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between December 24th, 2021 and March 18th, 2022? | Continuous |
| -203.591 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| -504.116 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| -511.339 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |