| 97.099 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Manchin) | Binary |
| 97.001 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 91.918 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mark Cuban) | Binary |
| 91.691 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 91.594 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 90.403 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mitt Romney) | Binary |
| 88.774 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 88.774 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 88.773 | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
| 86.221 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 85.790 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 84.243 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 83.711 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 83.468 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 81.147 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 80.271 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 77.523 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 76.100 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 75.990 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dwayne Johnson) | Binary |
| 75.457 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 75.086 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 73.352 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 69.665 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 67.776 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 67.657 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 67.533 | How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"? | Continuous |
| 67.047 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 66.564 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 66.321 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 65.764 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 65.764 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 65.764 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 65.764 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 65.764 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 65.125 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 64.924 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 63.686 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 63.634 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 62.639 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 62.351 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 62.351 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 62.205 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 61.887 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 61.187 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 60.300 | Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 58.826 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 58.773 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 56.078 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| 55.111 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 52.716 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 52.262 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 52.262 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 52.261 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 52.191 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 51.689 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 51.574 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 49.833 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.716 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 48.723 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 48.723 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 48.723 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 46.954 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 46.624 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| 45.370 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 42.866 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 42.047 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 41.203 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 40.855 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| 40.661 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 40.640 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 39.018 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 35.488 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 33.590 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 28.656 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 28.451 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 27.944 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 26.315 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 25.676 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 25.547 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 25.273 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 25.273 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 25.273 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 25.273 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 25.273 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 25.273 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 25.266 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 25.266 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 25.266 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 25.266 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 25.266 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 25.261 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 24.294 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 23.715 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 22.483 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 22.188 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| 21.926 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 21.926 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 21.926 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 21.926 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 21.926 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 21.926 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 21.926 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 21.590 | When will a song have been streamed 4 billion times on Spotify? | Continuous |
| 21.589 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 21.589 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 21.589 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 21.589 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 21.589 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 21.589 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 21.589 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 21.582 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 21.191 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 19.065 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 18.598 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 17.289 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 16.759 | Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least as capable as original GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 15.448 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| 14.575 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 12.739 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 11.625 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 10.241 | Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023? | Binary |
| 8.974 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 7.739 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 7.728 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 6.121 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| 6.020 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 5.623 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| 5.370 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 4.543 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 4.419 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 4.358 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in a non-Democracy before 2026? | Binary |
| 4.316 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 4.125 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 3.118 | Which country will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.759 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| 2.577 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 2.577 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 2.577 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 2.577 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 2.577 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 2.577 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 2.142 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
| 1.671 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| 1.273 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 1.273 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 1.161 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 0.953 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 0.367 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| 0.361 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| 0.226 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| - | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| -0.262 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| -0.862 | What will be the ratio of Biden's to Trump's US Google search volumes in the third quarter of 2022? | Continuous |
| -3.079 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| -3.844 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| -4.626 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -5.038 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| -6.646 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| -7.276 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -8.259 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -12.437 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -17.459 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| -21.050 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| -24.611 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| -26.998 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
| -29.412 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -33.217 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -42.757 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -48.233 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| -52.065 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -57.056 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -59.936 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| -89.605 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -90.176 | Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| -128.955 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| -155.343 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| -358.772 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |