| 98.507 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be used in war (ie not a test or accident) and kill at least 10 people? | Binary |
| 98.403 | How many estimated cases of Marburg virus (MARV) will occur globally in 2022? | Continuous |
| 98.181 | In 2023 will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan? | Binary |
| 98.025 | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 97.974 | Will there be a large-scale radioactive contamination of a German territory by 2024? | Binary |
| 95.633 | What will be the annual number of objects launched into space in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 95.607 | Will pediatric cases of hepatitis with unknown origin be conclusively linked to COVID vaccination? | Binary |
| 95.203 | In 2023 will someone release "DALL-E, but for videos"? | Binary |
| 93.922 | In 2023 will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran? | Binary |
| 93.294 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
| 92.738 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 90.765 | On January 1, 2024, will Elon Musk remain owner of Twitter? | Binary |
| 90.556 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 89.993 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol? | Binary |
| 89.901 | Will North Korea send 100 or more troops to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 89.598 | On January 1, 2024, will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia? | Binary |
| 89.401 | On January 1, 2024, will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK? | Binary |
| 89.226 | In 2023 will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area? | Binary |
| 88.618 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Brighton & Hove Albion) | Binary |
| 86.593 | Will COVID kill at least 50% as many people in 2023 as it did in 2022? | Binary |
| 86.551 | In 2023 will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine? | Binary |
| 85.771 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Gavin Newsom is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 85.686 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection before 2024? | Binary |
| 85.365 | In 2023 will the UK hold a general election? | Binary |
| 83.434 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 83.070 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Luhansk? | Binary |
| 82.832 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Binary |
| 82.799 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Brentford) | Binary |
| 82.221 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
| 82.034 | Will the US ban TikTok before 2024? | Binary |
| 81.819 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Fulham) | Binary |
| 81.695 | Will a state actor successfully use an ASAT weapon against a foreign satellite before 2024? | Binary |
| 81.195 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Aston Villa) | Binary |
| 80.445 | On January 1, 2024, will an ordinary person be able to take a self-driving taxi from Oakland → SF during rush hour? | Binary |
| 79.744 | In 2023 will there be any change in the composition of the Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 78.132 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 77.874 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 77.706 | On January 1, 2024, will Joe Biden have a positive (approval minus disapproval) rating? | Binary |
| 75.897 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Wolverhampton Wanderers) | Binary |
| 75.733 | What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2023) | Continuous |
| 75.590 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Nottingham Forest) | Binary |
| 75.391 | Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 75.272 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Crystal Palace) | Binary |
| 75.054 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Chelsea) | Binary |
| 74.455 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Leicester City) | Binary |
| 74.422 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 74.192 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Bournemouth) | Binary |
| 74.191 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Southampton) | Binary |
| 74.191 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Everton) | Binary |
| 74.191 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Leeds United) | Binary |
| 74.178 | Will Ukraine join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 72.795 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (West Ham United) | Binary |
| 72.433 | How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 72.324 | Will Bitcoin go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 70.925 | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 70.458 | On January 1, 2024, will any FAANG or Musk company accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| 70.123 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents)? | Binary |
| 69.822 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
| 69.523 | On January 1, 2024, will the Kerch Bridge be destroyed, such that no vehicle can pass over it? | Binary |
| 67.901 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 67.502 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 67.380 | In 2023 will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines? | Binary |
| 66.496 | In 2023 will WHO declare a new Global Health Emergency? | Binary |
| 66.324 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Liverpool) | Binary |
| 61.970 | How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024? | Continuous |
| 61.963 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
| 61.737 | In 2023, will Tether de-peg? | Binary |
| 61.394 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Crystal Palace) | Continuous |
| 60.786 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Manchester United) | Continuous |
| 60.705 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 60.398 | Will Texas vote to secede from the United States before 2024? | Binary |
| 59.542 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Nottingham Forest) | Continuous |
| 59.339 | On January 1, 2024, will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war? | Binary |
| 59.151 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Leicester City) | Continuous |
| 58.694 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Brighton and Hove Albion) | Continuous |
| 58.487 | Does Omicron have a shorter generation interval than Delta? | Binary |
| 57.938 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Continuous |
| 57.789 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Zaporizhzhia? | Binary |
| 57.574 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Fulham) | Continuous |
| 57.551 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 56.938 | What will Asana's market cap be on December 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 55.422 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (West Ham United) | Continuous |
| 54.403 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Liverpool) | Continuous |
| 54.079 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Newcastle United) | Continuous |
| 52.005 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Southampton) | Continuous |
| 50.498 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Leeds United) | Continuous |
| 49.893 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Bournemouth) | Continuous |
| 49.544 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Everton) | Continuous |
| 48.236 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
| 47.897 | In 2023 will a successful deepfake attempt causing real damage make the front page of a major news source? | Binary |
| 46.883 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 45.906 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Brentford) | Continuous |
| 45.903 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
| 45.662 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Arsenal) | Continuous |
| 45.534 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Wolverhampton Wanderers) | Continuous |
| 45.421 | In 2023 will there be more than 25 million confirmed COVID cases in China? | Binary |
| 44.751 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
| 43.926 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| 43.514 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| 42.284 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 42.008 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New York Giants) | Binary |
| 41.919 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| 38.732 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| 37.429 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| 37.424 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 37.209 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Continuous |
| 36.743 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| 35.865 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| 35.651 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 35.500 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| 35.237 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 34.872 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| 34.172 | How many goals will Erling Haaland score in the Premier League 2022/23 season? | Continuous |
| 34.056 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| 33.980 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 33.628 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 33.290 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| 32.599 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 30.964 | What will be the Council on Foreign Relations' count of conflicts with critical impact on U.S. interests on January 1st, 2024? | Continuous |
| 30.483 | In 2023, will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high? | Binary |
| 30.098 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Aston Villa) | Continuous |
| 29.821 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 29.820 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 29.743 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 29.580 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 29.383 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 29.280 | Depending on Ukraine gaining territory in Crimea, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (< 50 km^2) | Binary |
| 28.867 | Depending on US/NATO conducting military operations in Ukraine, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (No US/NATO Ops in UA) | Binary |
| 28.805 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 28.450 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 28.189 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 25.047 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 24.807 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| 24.515 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 23.832 | In 2023 will the Supreme Court rule against affirmative action? | Binary |
| 23.556 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 23.357 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 22.552 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 21.535 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 21.517 | In 2023 will any new country join NATO? | Binary |
| 21.350 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
| 20.990 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 20.675 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| 20.496 | In 2023 will a cultured meat product be available in at least one US store or restaurant for less than $30? | Binary |
| 20.455 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| 20.411 | What will be state-of-the-art accuracy on the Massive Multitask dataset on the following dates? (June 30, 2023) | Continuous |
| 20.359 | How many papers published in 2023 will discuss metagenomic sequencing? | Continuous |
| 19.680 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 19.196 | In 2023 will OpenAI release GPT-4? | Binary |
| 18.644 | Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning? | Binary |
| 18.548 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2024? | Binary |
| 18.424 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
| 18.021 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 17.993 | Will a member of the Chinese Politburo be expelled or arrested in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 17.748 | Will Israel impose sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 17.532 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 17.422 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| 16.893 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| 16.677 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
| 16.564 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
| 16.066 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 15.992 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 15.489 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 15.285 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 15.160 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 15.051 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 14.805 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| 14.730 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| 14.513 | When will Boris Johnson no longer hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? | Continuous |
| 13.953 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 13.254 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| 13.254 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| 11.517 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2052 questions) | Continuous |
| 11.176 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 10.735 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| 10.447 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 9.824 | Will US CPI inflation for 2023 average above 4%? | Binary |
| 9.564 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 9.105 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2122 questions) | Continuous |
| 7.212 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| 6.854 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 6.351 | What will be state-of-the-art performance on the MATH dataset on the following dates? (June 30, 2023) | Continuous |
| 6.253 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| 5.633 | In 2023 will Google, Meta, Amazon, or Apple release an AR headset? | Binary |
| 5.068 | When will OpenAI next update its approach to alignment research? | Continuous |
| 2.621 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
| 2.099 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 1.701 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
| 0.802 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
| 0.799 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
| 0.799 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Theresa May) | Binary |
| 0.799 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Grant Shapps) | Binary |
| 0.796 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
| 0.641 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Penny Mourdant) | Binary |
| 0.333 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
| 0.067 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
| 0.003 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| 0.003 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| -0.292 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Chelsea) | Continuous |
| -0.608 | Will Bitcoin end 2023 above $30,000? | Binary |
| -2.429 | In 2023 will Donald Trump make at least one tweet? | Binary |
| -3.887 | How many people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -4.260 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| -4.281 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -4.376 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2023 questions) | Continuous |
| -6.479 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| -8.226 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| -12.193 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| -14.173 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| -16.308 | In 2023 will AI win a programming competition? | Binary |
| -16.339 | What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (March 1, 2023) | Continuous |
| -17.334 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
| -20.206 | Will Twitter's average monetizable daily users be higher in 2023 than in 2022? | Binary |
| -21.554 | How many politically motivated criminal offenses will be reported in Germany for 2022? | Continuous |
| -22.257 | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2023? | Binary |
| -23.178 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| -24.522 | In 2023 will Donald Trump get indicted on criminal charges? | Binary |
| -24.658 | Will Twitter's net income be higher in 2023 than in 2022? | Binary |
| -24.837 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| -48.565 | Will the Shanghai index of Chinese stocks go up over 2023? | Binary |
| -59.881 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| -66.690 | In 2023, will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit? | Binary |
| -75.056 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| -76.423 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (New York Giants) | Binary |
| -103.529 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| -104.301 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2032 questions) | Continuous |
| -118.928 | In 2023, will an image model win Scott Alexander’s bet on compositionality, to Edwin Chen’s satisfaction? | Binary |
| -157.430 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2025 questions) | Continuous |