| 190.075 | How many additional indictments will have been filed against Donald Trump on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 185.866 | What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 138.252 | How much money will the FTX Foundation distribute in 2023? | Continuous |
| 131.553 | How many active United Nations peacekeeping missions will there be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 126.599 | How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 126.354 | When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally? | Continuous |
| 124.954 | What will be the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 113.433 | What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 107.882 | What will the world population be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 98.813 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 98.689 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 98.409 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 98.271 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 97.768 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.692 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 97.622 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 97.542 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 96.557 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 96.546 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 95.959 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 95.773 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 95.518 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 94.858 | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 94.595 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 94.134 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 92.215 | Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025? | Binary |
| 91.756 | Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 91.263 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 90.985 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 89.663 | Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU? | Binary |
| 89.441 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 89.191 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 87.693 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 87.220 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 86.528 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 86.521 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 86.072 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 85.061 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
| 84.896 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 84.823 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 84.774 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 84.558 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 83.741 | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 82.550 | Meaningful commitments from UK AI Summit? (No) → ChatGPT available in Europe on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 81.175 | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 79.463 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco) | Binary |
| 78.221 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay) | Binary |
| 77.757 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 77.548 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 77.037 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 76.225 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 75.529 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 75.490 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 75.425 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 75.299 | How many total arm sales to Taiwan will the US State Department approve between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 73.225 | What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 72.857 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 72.755 | How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 72.598 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Athletico Madrid) | Binary |
| 72.171 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 72.171 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 72.057 | Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 71.131 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Morocco) | Binary |
| 71.084 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| 70.792 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 70.554 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| 70.414 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
| 69.415 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 69.382 | What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 69.089 | Will the Omicron variant be more lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 68.964 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
| 68.619 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 68.553 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 67.937 | What percent of the world population will use the internet in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 67.934 | What will be the total capacity (in GW) for all operational offshore windfarms in the UK on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 67.592 | When will Omicron become the predominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the U.S.? | Continuous |
| 67.065 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 66.620 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 66.596 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 66.226 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 65.744 | Will the Omicron variant be less lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 65.566 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 65.544 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 65.528 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 65.452 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 65.429 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 65.386 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 65.135 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 64.979 | What will be world per capita primary energy consumption (in kWh) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 64.492 | Will any OpenAI or Anthropic model be in the top-10 model with a non-proprietary license on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 62.386 | What will the UK consumer price inflation rate for April 2024 be? | Continuous |
| 61.516 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (PSV) | Binary |
| 61.347 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 60.957 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Napoli) | Binary |
| 60.957 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Porto) | Binary |
| 60.945 | Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025? | Binary |
| 60.251 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 59.934 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 59.362 | What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 59.339 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 59.261 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 59.211 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 58.776 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| 58.661 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Copenhagen) | Binary |
| 58.096 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
| 58.025 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 57.850 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 57.745 | What will be the Nino 3.4 sea surface temperature (in degrees Celsius) be for May 2024? | Continuous |
| 57.736 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Sociedad) | Binary |
| 57.735 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lazio) | Binary |
| 57.397 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 56.737 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 56.722 | What will be the US labor force participation rate for the May 2024? | Continuous |
| 56.551 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 56.067 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Parham Maghsoodloo) | Binary |
| 55.727 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Leinier Domínguez Pérez) | Binary |
| 55.658 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| 55.658 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
| 55.628 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
| 55.628 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
| 55.596 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| 55.596 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
| 55.596 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
| 55.596 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| 55.596 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
| 55.544 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
| 55.544 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |
| 55.458 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 55.392 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 55.172 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| 54.815 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| 54.815 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| 54.815 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| 54.723 | What will be the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 54.585 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 54.485 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 53.857 | What will the population-weighted average life expectancy at birth be in the G7 countries in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 51.755 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 49.739 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 49.000 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 48.991 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| 48.550 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 44.734 | What will be the US Federal Funds Rate on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 44.176 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 44.020 | What will be the total number of air incursions into the ADIZ between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 42.989 | Will Israel and Palestine hold peace talks in 2022? | Binary |
| 41.906 | How many staff will the Arms Control Association, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, and Ploughshares Fund have at the end of 2023? | Continuous |
| 41.653 | What percentage of US children under 5-years-old will have at least one dose of any COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 40.806 | Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023? | Binary |
| 40.259 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 39.960 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 36.110 | Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025? | Binary |
| 35.476 | What will be the total bilateral commitments of Ukraine support (in billions of EUR) on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 33.337 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 33.336 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 32.423 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 31.792 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 31.391 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 31.289 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| 29.962 | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| 29.901 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 26.808 | What will the the market cap of FAAMG on December 31, 2022 as a percentage of the S&P500? | Continuous |
| 26.242 | What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 25.960 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 25.932 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 25.539 | What will be state-of-the-art accuracy on the Massive Multitask dataset on the following dates? (June 30, 2024) | Continuous |
| 25.208 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 24.347 | What will be the total size of Open Philanthropy's 2022 grants in the nuclear risk area? | Continuous |
| 24.309 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 24.056 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 23.132 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 22.206 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2023? | Binary |
| 21.895 | Will the "Moon Cube" be shown to be non-natural before 2023? | Binary |
| 21.546 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 20.748 | How many migrants will die in 2022 trying to cross the Mediterranean? | Continuous |
| 19.839 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026? | Binary |
| 19.741 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 19.394 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Shakhtar Donetsk) | Binary |
| 19.157 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 19.035 | What will be the best accuracy score on the MATH dataset by 2025? | Continuous |
| 18.932 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 18.932 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Galatasaray) | Binary |
| 18.922 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Braga) | Binary |
| 18.520 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (AC Milan) | Binary |
| 17.683 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 16.874 | What place will the United States get at the 2022 International Mathematical Olympiad? | Continuous |
| 15.368 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 15.368 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 12.970 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Sevilla) | Binary |
| 12.970 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lens) | Binary |
| 12.570 | Will the 2022 Winter Olympics be completed fully and as scheduled? | Binary |
| 12.508 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Crvena Zvezda) | Binary |
| 12.508 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Feyenoord) | Binary |
| 12.508 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Celtic) | Binary |
| 11.524 | How many subscribers will the Youtube channel Rational Animations have on November 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 11.138 | How many OpenAI or Anthropic model versions will be released between December 1, 2023 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 9.208 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| 8.343 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| 7.354 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 6.239 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (European Union) | Binary |
| 5.778 | Will GPT-4 input and/or output images? (Input Yes, Output Yes) | Binary |
| 5.688 | What will be the share of people living in countries where same-sex marriage is legal in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 5.387 | Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 5.365 | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 4.880 | Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022? | Binary |
| 4.561 | Will copyright of at least one of the depictions of Mickey Mouse be extended beyond the current deadline of January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 4.537 | What will the USD price of Bitcoin be on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 4.397 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| 4.071 | Will the US re-implement a ban on funding gain-of-function research in 2022? | Binary |
| 3.192 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Salzburg) | Binary |
| 3.157 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Union Berlin) | Binary |
| 3.157 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| 3.133 | Will GPT-4 input and/or output images? (Input No, Output No) | Binary |
| 2.759 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Antwerp) | Binary |
| 2.731 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Young Boys) | Binary |
| 2.685 | Before 2032, will the US declare a new public health emergency due to an infectious disease outbreak or bioterrorist attack? | Binary |
| 2.493 | Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2022 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
| 1.159 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (2: Candidacy granted) | Continuous |
| 1.151 | When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective? | Continuous |
| 1.099 | What will the number of active volcanos be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.972 | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 0.840 | Will there be a Frontier AI Lab outside the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.103 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (1: Candidacy recommended) | Continuous |
| -0.903 | Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? | Binary |
| -2.078 | Will GPT-4 input and/or output images? (Input No, Output Yes) | Binary |
| -2.348 | What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -3.919 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| -7.928 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| -9.358 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -12.009 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (4: Negotiations approved) | Continuous |
| -12.426 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -17.806 | Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -19.786 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
| -26.193 | Will GPT-4 input and/or output images? (Input Yes, Output No) | Binary |
| -27.140 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (3: Negotiations recommended) | Continuous |
| -27.487 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (5: Negotiations initiated) | Continuous |
| -41.919 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -42.977 | What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -93.578 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| -130.332 | Will an Alphabet company win the general category for protein structure prediction at CASP15 in 2022? | Binary |
| -131.029 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -153.643 | How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024? | Continuous |