| 97.559 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 94.559 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 1) | Binary |
| 91.600 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 90.253 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| 89.845 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 89.814 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 89.323 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 88.789 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 88.789 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 88.789 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 88.571 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 88.209 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 87.612 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 87.612 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 87.293 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 87.086 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 86.850 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 86.222 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 86.010 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 84.623 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 84.408 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 2) | Binary |
| 83.800 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 83.177 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 83.177 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 82.881 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 82.701 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 82.114 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 81.293 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 81.104 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 80.325 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 78.924 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 75.577 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 74.986 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (NJ First Lady Tammy Murphy (D)) | Binary |
| 73.574 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 72.350 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 71.651 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 71.592 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 70.544 | Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU? | Binary |
| 70.434 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 69.342 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 67.409 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 67.409 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 67.325 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 67.264 | Will any state hold a caucus instead of a primary for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2024? | Binary |
| 67.157 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 67.157 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 67.157 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 66.692 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 65.685 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 65.514 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 65.237 | Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election? | Binary |
| 63.857 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 63.320 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 3) | Binary |
| 62.598 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 62.494 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 62.113 | Will Israel and Palestine hold peace talks in 2022? | Binary |
| 61.806 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 61.392 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 61.084 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 60.746 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 60.626 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 60.590 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 59.890 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 59.873 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 59.872 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 59.847 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 59.734 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 59.734 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 59.734 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 59.113 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 59.113 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 58.832 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 58.590 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 58.061 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 58.061 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 57.631 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 57.482 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
| 57.000 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 56.987 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 56.553 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 55.819 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 55.427 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 54.977 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 54.748 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 53.625 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 52.616 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 52.057 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 51.476 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 49.839 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 49.791 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 49.478 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 49.414 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Donald Norcross (D)) | Binary |
| 49.414 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Josh Gottheimer (D)) | Binary |
| 49.414 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Frank Pallone (D)) | Binary |
| 49.414 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman (D)) | Binary |
| 49.414 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (State Senate Majority Leader Teresa Ruiz (D)) | Binary |
| 49.414 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Lt. Governor Tahesha Way (D)) | Binary |
| 49.282 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 48.005 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Senator Bob Menendez (D)) | Binary |
| 47.775 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 47.507 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 47.188 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Mikie Sherrill (D)) | Binary |
| 47.188 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Andy Kim (D)) | Binary |
| 46.842 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 46.430 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Vacant) | Binary |
| 45.354 | What will the the market cap of FAAMG on December 31, 2022 as a percentage of the S&P500? | Continuous |
| 45.307 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 45.234 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 42.802 | Will Trafalgar Group outperform the 538 polling average in the 2022 congressional and gubernatorial elections? | Binary |
| 42.127 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 41.496 | Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 40.528 | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
| 39.039 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 36.107 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 34.570 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
| 29.976 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 28.302 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 28.099 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
| 27.099 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 25.717 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 25.666 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 25.623 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 25.580 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 25.490 | Will the U.S. CDC classify Omicron as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 24.901 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 24.864 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 23.988 | Will Bongbong Marcos win the 2022 Philippine Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 23.268 | Will the US re-implement a ban on funding gain-of-function research in 2022? | Binary |
| 19.787 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 18.851 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
| 18.423 | Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023? | Binary |
| 17.444 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 17.214 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 16.221 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 15.825 | Will Google block third-party cookies on Chrome before 2024? | Binary |
| 13.831 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 13.550 | Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023? | Binary |
| 11.875 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| 10.990 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 10.951 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| 10.236 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 7.690 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 6.989 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 6.743 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 4.143 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 3.693 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 2.902 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 2.696 | What will be the ratio of Biden's to Trump's US Google search volumes in the third quarter of 2022? | Continuous |
| 2.587 | Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022? | Binary |
| 2.383 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.204 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
| 0.633 | What will be the British male life expectancy at birth in 2021 according to the UK Office of National Statistics? | Continuous |
| 0.132 | Will Substack cancel anyone before 2023? | Binary |
| 0.013 | How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks from September 17, 2021 to September 17, 2022? | Continuous |
| -2.229 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
| -4.437 | Will the US Supreme Court grant a writ of certiorari to the presidential immunity case before February 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -4.486 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| -4.587 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| -5.803 | Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022? | Binary |
| -7.139 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| -9.816 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
| -10.203 | Before 2025, will the US FDA authorize use of an at-home over-the-counter rapid test for influenza? | Binary |
| -11.598 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| -12.038 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| -12.038 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| -12.395 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| -13.449 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
| -14.790 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| -18.519 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| -19.372 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -20.644 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| -21.253 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -25.495 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -32.574 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -35.864 | Will an Alphabet company win the general category for protein structure prediction at CASP15 in 2022? | Binary |
| -77.279 | What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -83.782 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| -92.647 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -92.790 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -187.484 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -200.999 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |