| 212.997 | What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 165.563 | How many additional indictments will have been filed against Donald Trump on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 132.669 | How many total arm sales to Taiwan will the US State Department approve between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 132.241 | How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 114.020 | What will be the total capacity (in GW) for all operational offshore windfarms in the UK on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 106.453 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 105.976 | What will be the maximum CPI inflation measured in 2022? | Continuous |
| 98.772 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 98.762 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 98.751 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 98.724 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 98.724 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 98.724 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 98.724 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 98.687 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 98.584 | Room-temp Superconductor Replicated by 2025 (No) → Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025? | Binary |
| 98.419 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 98.389 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 98.389 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 98.389 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 98.389 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 98.219 | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 97.958 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.899 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 97.820 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.718 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2024) | Binary |
| 97.445 | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.105 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.046 | Will an LLM pass an ARA evaluation before 2025? | Binary |
| 96.712 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 96.350 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 96.229 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 96.154 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 95.908 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 95.269 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 95.269 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Sam Altman against OpenAI) | Binary |
| 95.117 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 94.935 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 94.872 | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
| 94.818 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 94.760 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 94.755 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 94.524 | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
| 94.292 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 93.814 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 93.764 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
| 93.740 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 93.705 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 93.463 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 93.447 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 93.407 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 93.274 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 93.045 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 92.799 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 92.732 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 92.499 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 92.179 | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
| 92.162 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 92.075 | Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU? | Binary |
| 91.972 | Will Cris Ericson win the 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont? | Binary |
| 91.902 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 91.790 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 91.615 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
| 91.615 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
| 91.615 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
| 91.582 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
| 91.176 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 91.175 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay) | Binary |
| 91.090 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 90.868 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Government antitrust against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 90.511 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 90.237 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 90.229 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 90.229 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
| 90.229 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
| 90.229 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| 89.723 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 89.528 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
| 89.528 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
| 89.528 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ID) | Binary |
| 88.878 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 88.862 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
| 88.861 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| 88.861 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| 88.411 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 87.855 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 87.488 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| 87.488 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
| 87.488 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
| 86.827 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 86.675 | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 86.293 | Meaningful commitments from UK AI Summit? (No) → ChatGPT available in Europe on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 86.084 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| 86.083 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| 86.083 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
| 86.041 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
| 85.495 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ECR) | Binary |
| 85.115 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 84.873 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 84.170 | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 84.123 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Renew) | Binary |
| 84.052 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 83.956 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 83.712 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 83.434 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 83.252 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco) | Binary |
| 83.222 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
| 82.961 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the US on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 82.468 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 82.412 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 82.297 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 82.251 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 81.743 | What will be the percentage of the population vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on January 21st, 2022? | Continuous |
| 81.736 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
| 81.597 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 81.559 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 81.430 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 81.364 | When will 100M doses of Moderna's Omicron-specific booster candidate or multi-valent booster candidates be distributed? | Continuous |
| 81.186 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 81.033 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 80.923 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 80.869 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 80.566 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 80.364 | Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 79.198 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 78.736 | Will any OpenAI or Anthropic model be in the top-10 model with a non-proprietary license on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 78.357 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
| 78.356 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ID) | Binary |
| 78.016 | What will be the total box office gross in the US & Canada in 2022? | Continuous |
| 77.079 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
| 76.398 | Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 76.223 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 76.056 | What will the UK consumer price inflation rate for April 2024 be? | Continuous |
| 75.724 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 74.875 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 74.533 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 74.426 | How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered in the US by Dec 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 73.571 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 73.174 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Athletico Madrid) | Binary |
| 73.159 | What will the the market cap of FAAMG on December 31, 2022 as a percentage of the S&P500? | Continuous |
| 72.495 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 72.305 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 72.269 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 72.265 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 72.144 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 71.459 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 71.185 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Renew) | Binary |
| 71.185 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ECR) | Binary |
| 70.848 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| 70.650 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 70.187 | Will Apple announce Apple Glasses before 2025? | Binary |
| 69.670 | How many commercial flights will be in operation globally on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
| 68.936 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 68.917 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 68.502 | Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025? | Binary |
| 68.154 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 67.028 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| 66.539 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI investors against OpenAI board) | Binary |
| 66.035 | Will a stock exchange halt trading for >24 hours with a cause widely attributed to AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 66.031 | What will be the total bilateral commitments of Ukraine support (in billions of EUR) on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 64.899 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
| 64.889 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 64.692 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Morocco) | Binary |
| 64.500 | Which country will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 63.343 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 62.779 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 62.463 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 62.421 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 62.076 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 61.928 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 61.685 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 61.662 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| 61.509 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 61.252 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 61.042 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 60.242 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 59.754 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| 59.681 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (PSV) | Binary |
| 59.668 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 59.443 | What will be the US labor force participation rate for the May 2024? | Continuous |
| 58.984 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 57.792 | Will Israel and Palestine hold peace talks in 2022? | Binary |
| 57.681 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (S&D) | Binary |
| 57.676 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 57.357 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 57.355 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Porto) | Binary |
| 57.023 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| 56.826 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Copenhagen) | Binary |
| 56.363 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
| 56.059 | What will be the maximum 7 day weekly average of COVID cases in the US between January 1, 2022 to April 1, 2022? | Continuous |
| 56.009 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 55.900 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Sociedad) | Binary |
| 55.900 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lazio) | Binary |
| 55.636 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 55.561 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 55.552 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Napoli) | Binary |
| 55.001 | What will be the UK natural gas futures price (GBp/thm) for May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 54.309 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 54.266 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
| 54.238 | How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 54.219 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 54.202 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| 54.176 | Will India conduct a military intervention against Pakistan before the 2024 Indian general elections? | Binary |
| 53.906 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 53.326 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 53.165 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 52.880 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 52.879 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 52.210 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| 51.611 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 51.366 | What will be the percentage of the 5-11 year olds vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on January 21st, 2022? | Continuous |
| 51.297 | Will the Omicron variant be less lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 50.941 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 50.888 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 50.576 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 50.430 | Will the US re-implement a ban on funding gain-of-function research in 2022? | Binary |
| 49.988 | Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered “brokers” by the IRS by 2025? | Binary |
| 48.554 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (EPP) | Binary |
| 48.550 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 48.462 | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| 48.186 | What will be the Nino 3.4 sea surface temperature (in degrees Celsius) be for May 2024? | Continuous |
| 47.962 | How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 47.838 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 47.601 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 46.924 | What will be the UK's annual inflation rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 46.671 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 46.511 | What will Great Britain's maximum solar power capacity (MW) be for October 2024? | Continuous |
| 46.501 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 44.832 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 44.216 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
| 43.515 | What will be the US Consumer Sentiment for May 2024? | Continuous |
| 42.753 | When will Omicron become the predominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the U.S.? | Continuous |
| 42.112 | What will Lebanon's Fragile States Index score be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 41.845 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 40.649 | Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025? | Binary |
| 40.461 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 39.961 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 39.948 | What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 39.785 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 39.659 | What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on January 21st, 2022? | Continuous |
| 39.069 | What will be the US Federal Funds Rate on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 39.067 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases globally on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 38.672 | Will the Omicron variant be more lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 38.426 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 37.845 | Will Oil Exports account for less than 70% of Saudi Arabian exports in Q1 2024? | Binary |
| 37.706 | Will Linda Yaccarino be the CEO of Twitter on July 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 36.389 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 35.587 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 34.386 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (EPP) | Binary |
| 34.386 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (S&D) | Binary |
| 33.771 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 31.930 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 31.750 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 31.573 | Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023? | Binary |
| 31.469 | Will a new highly-diamagnetic room-temperature material be found before 2025? | Binary |
| 30.052 | What will be the total number of air incursions into the ADIZ between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 29.975 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| 29.935 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 29.853 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 29.446 | When will a song have been streamed 4 billion times on Spotify? | Continuous |
| 29.243 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 29.134 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 29.037 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 29.022 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 28.892 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 28.733 | Will the Georgia Power Co Vogtle nuclear power plant Unit 4 be operational in May, 2024? | Binary |
| 28.642 | Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 28.430 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Bankman-Fried) | Binary |
| 28.292 | Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs before 2025? | Binary |
| 28.161 | Will the 2022 Winter Olympics be completed fully and as scheduled? | Binary |
| 27.582 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 27.577 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 27.372 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (European Union) | Binary |
| 27.164 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 27.036 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
| 26.951 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 25.672 | When will Neuralink first implant a brain-machine interface device in a living human? | Continuous |
| 25.385 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 24.631 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| 24.607 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 24.536 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 24.440 | Will a new US Supreme Court justice be confirmed before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 24.105 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| 23.640 | What will the price of oil be for December 2022? | Continuous |
| 23.575 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 23.189 | What will China’s GDP be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 22.612 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| 22.606 | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| 21.749 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| 21.571 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 21.433 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 21.203 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
| 20.986 | How many confirmed deaths from COVID-19 will be reported in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| 20.954 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 20.182 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 20.083 | Will there be a US-Iran war by 2024? | Binary |
| 19.890 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
| 19.336 | Will the U.S. CDC classify Omicron as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 19.074 | Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023? | Binary |
| 17.788 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 17.682 | Will Bongbong Marcos win the 2022 Philippine Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 17.601 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
| 17.559 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Shakhtar Donetsk) | Binary |
| 17.508 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 17.106 | Will a federal tax on unrealized capital gains in the United States be passed before February 1st 2023? | Binary |
| 17.086 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Braga) | Binary |
| 16.842 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Galatasaray) | Binary |
| 16.498 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 16.498 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (AC Milan) | Binary |
| 16.326 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 16.151 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 15.977 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 15.747 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| 15.674 | What will be the maximum 7 day weekly average of COVID deaths in the US before 2022 April 1? | Continuous |
| 14.794 | When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective? | Continuous |
| 13.696 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 13.635 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 12.799 | When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between December 24th, 2021 and March 18th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 11.672 | Will tirzepatide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.584 | Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023? | Binary |
| 11.535 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| 11.448 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 11.286 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.135 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lens) | Binary |
| 10.969 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Sevilla) | Binary |
| 10.672 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Celtic) | Binary |
| 10.663 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 10.642 | When will the next UK general election take place? | Continuous |
| 10.610 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 10.550 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
| 10.514 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Crvena Zvezda) | Binary |
| 10.513 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Feyenoord) | Binary |
| 9.461 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 8.899 | Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least as capable as original GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.703 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
| 8.301 | Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 8.288 | When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO? | Continuous |
| 8.011 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 7.570 | Will there be a Frontier AI Lab outside the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 7.421 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
| 7.416 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Andrej Karpathy) | Binary |
| 7.397 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| 7.397 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Eric Schmidt) | Binary |
| 7.393 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 7.377 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Ilya Sutskever) | Binary |
| 7.293 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Mira Murati) | Binary |
| 7.224 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| 6.877 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 6.384 | Will a cultivated meat company be profitable by April 2023? | Binary |
| 6.078 | Will a meat or dairy consumption tax go into effect in the US or any EU member state by 2023? | Binary |
| 6.054 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Emmett Shear) | Binary |
| 5.875 | How many Japanese Air Force responses to Chinese military threats there will be by 2024? | Continuous |
| 5.873 | When will FromSoftware release Elden Ring? | Continuous |
| 5.752 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 5.593 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 5.487 | What will Bitcoin's hash rate be in November 2022? | Continuous |
| 5.358 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 5.345 | Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 5.292 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Manchester City Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.233 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Al-Hilal Saudi Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.207 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Futbol Club Barcelona) | Binary |
| 5.202 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
| 5.200 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Atlético Newell's Old Boys) | Binary |
| 5.030 | When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 100? | Continuous |
| 4.823 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami) | Binary |
| 4.794 | Will at least one fire produce smoke plumes that reach into the stratosphere, before 2023? | Binary |
| 4.702 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 4.074 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in a non-Democracy before 2026? | Binary |
| 4.043 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Nishad Singh) | Binary |
| 3.747 | What will the total worldwide box office gross be for Avatar 2? | Continuous |
| 3.286 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| 3.168 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.858 | Will the Duke or Duchess of Sussex file for divorce before Mar 8, 2022? | Binary |
| 2.376 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.290 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 2.216 | What will be the USA’s peak 7-day moving average of COVID hospital admissions for the winter of 2021-2022? | Continuous |
| 1.721 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 1.357 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Salzburg) | Binary |
| 1.321 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Union Berlin) | Binary |
| 1.282 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| 1.217 | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 1.180 | What will be the R0 of the Omicron variant according to the mean estimate of the first relevant systematic review? | Continuous |
| 0.971 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Caroline Ellison) | Binary |
| 0.924 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Antwerp) | Binary |
| 0.883 | What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between December 24th, 2021 and March 18th, 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.882 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Young Boys) | Binary |
| 0.718 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.659 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.550 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.399 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based meats be in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.343 | Hunter Biden Indicted by Nov 5, 2024? (Yes) → Joe Biden Impeached by House? | Binary |
| 0.270 | What place will the United States get at the 2022 International Mathematical Olympiad? | Continuous |
| 0.265 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| 0.189 | When will Oleksii Reznikov cease to hold the office of the Minister of Defence of Ukraine? | Continuous |
| 0.102 | How many confirmed deaths from COVID-19 will be reported globally in 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.023 | Will Dianne Feinstein resign from the Senate before the end of her term in early 2025? | Binary |
| 0.010 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| - | 5% Bing Market Share in March 2024? (No) → GOOG Market Cap Below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| -0.002 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
| -0.061 | What will the total deal value be of all the US PE deals in billions of US$, in 2021? | Continuous |
| -0.566 | What will the total deal value be of all the US PE deals in billions of US$, in 2022? | Continuous |
| -1.265 | How many OpenAI or Anthropic model versions will be released between December 1, 2023 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| -2.036 | Will Gary Gensler be subpoenaed by Congress before 2025? | Binary |
| -2.369 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
| -3.253 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| -3.274 | What will annual CO2 emissions be in the United States (in tonnes) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -4.378 | What will be the annual inflation in Latvia in 2022? | Continuous |
| -10.504 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
| -10.733 | Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? | Binary |
| -10.956 | Will FTX default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022? | Binary |
| -11.231 | What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -11.780 | Will Tesla reveal a prototype of the Tesla Bot before 2023? | Binary |
| -14.317 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| -14.406 | How many Chinese institutions of higher education will get approved for an artificial intelligence undergraduate program in 2023? | Continuous |
| -17.123 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -17.382 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -17.476 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -17.577 | Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2022 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
| -22.268 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -24.425 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -26.137 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| -26.626 | Will Hawaiian Electric Company file for bankruptcy before 2025? | Binary |
| -29.757 | What will the USD price of Bitcoin be on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| -32.151 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| -41.289 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Ukraine) | Binary |
| -42.982 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
| -58.103 | Will Apple Watch feature a blood pressure monitor before 2025? | Binary |
| -62.806 | Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022? | Binary |
| -68.169 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| -73.579 | How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| -77.666 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| -93.863 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| -127.675 | Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections? | Binary |
| -129.646 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| -170.943 | Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| -191.224 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |
| -241.970 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |