| 98.466 | When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election? (2024) | Binary |
| 98.306 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 97.866 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 97.603 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 97.366 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 97.346 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 97.329 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 96.349 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 96.101 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 95.786 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 95.592 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 95.582 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 95.572 | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
| 95.505 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 1) | Binary |
| 95.477 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 94.737 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 94.644 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 94.616 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 94.560 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 94.210 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 93.970 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 92.915 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 91.513 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 90.695 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 87.961 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 86.782 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 86.019 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 84.139 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| 83.753 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 83.753 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 82.732 | What will be the maximum CPI inflation measured in 2022? | Continuous |
| 82.014 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 2) | Binary |
| 80.482 | How many gold medals will the United States win at the 2022 International Math Olympiad? | Continuous |
| 79.126 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 76.697 | Will US Attorney General Merrick Garland be impeached before the 2024 federal election? | Binary |
| 76.013 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
| 75.657 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 73.406 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 73.097 | Will the U.S. CDC classify Omicron as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 73.054 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 70.981 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 70.981 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 70.929 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 69.699 | Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023? | Binary |
| 68.842 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 68.780 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 68.768 | What percentage of US children under 5-years-old will have at least one dose of any COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 68.453 | How many Electoral College votes will the Republican Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 66.915 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 66.915 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 66.769 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 66.676 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 65.458 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 65.400 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 65.342 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 64.822 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 64.721 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 64.712 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 63.984 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 63.576 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 63.469 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 61.568 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 61.471 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 60.434 | Will the Fed decrease the size of its accumulated asset portfolio below $8 trillion by 2023? | Binary |
| 60.079 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 58.828 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 58.348 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 58.260 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 54.895 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 53.230 | How many ketamine infusion clinics will there be on January 1, 2025 in the USA? | Continuous |
| 50.992 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.832 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 48.690 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 45.494 | When will Neuralink first implant a brain-machine interface device in a living human? | Continuous |
| 45.153 | What will be the UK's annual inflation rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 44.275 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 42.409 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 42.038 | What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024? | Continuous |
| 40.936 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 40.702 | How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in 2022? | Continuous |
| 40.611 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 40.319 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 39.948 | Will the Omicron variant be less lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 39.823 | When will be the USA’s peak 7-day moving average of COVID hospital admissions for the winter of 2021-2022? | Continuous |
| 38.791 | What will Rivian's market cap be at the close of trading on 20 April 2022? | Continuous |
| 38.637 | Will the Omicron variant be more lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 38.627 | Will the 2022 Winter Olympics be completed fully and as scheduled? | Binary |
| 38.054 | Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025? | Binary |
| 37.168 | How many Executive Orders per week will President Biden issue? | Continuous |
| 35.865 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 35.544 | What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 35.083 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
| 34.960 | Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 33.362 | What will be the price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana in 2025? | Continuous |
| 33.121 | When will Julian Assange be extradited to the US? | Continuous |
| 32.773 | What will be the ratio of Biden's to Trump's US Google search volumes in the third quarter of 2022? | Continuous |
| 32.639 | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| 32.134 | What will Lebanon's Fragile States Index score be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 32.067 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
| 31.736 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
| 30.331 | Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023? | Binary |
| 29.174 | Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 28.292 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
| 27.374 | What will be the UK’s peak 7-day moving average of COVID hospital admissions for the winter of 2021-2022? | Continuous |
| 25.798 | Will a new US Supreme Court justice be confirmed before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 25.724 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 25.379 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 24.029 | When will Uber become cheaper in the Bay Area? | Continuous |
| 23.661 | When will Omicron become the predominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the U.S.? | Continuous |
| 22.847 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 22.702 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 19.997 | Will the U.S. CDC classify a SARS-CoV-2 variant as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) by 1 March 2022? | Binary |
| 19.932 | What will be the USA’s peak 7-day moving average of COVID hospital admissions for the winter of 2021-2022? | Continuous |
| 18.926 | Will Trafalgar Group outperform the 538 polling average in the 2022 congressional and gubernatorial elections? | Binary |
| 18.812 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 18.718 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 18.624 | Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022? | Binary |
| 18.450 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 3) | Binary |
| 17.429 | What will be the best non-human SAT-style score on the hard subset of the QuALITY dataset by January 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.403 | What will be the R0 of the Omicron variant according to the mean estimate of the first relevant systematic review? | Continuous |
| 17.081 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 16.537 | What will President Joe Biden's net approval rating be on November 1, 2024? | Continuous |
| 16.497 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| 14.325 | Will Substack cancel anyone before 2023? | Binary |
| 13.447 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 13.091 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 13.054 | Will a federal tax on unrealized capital gains in the United States be passed before February 1st 2023? | Binary |
| 12.546 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 11.813 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 11.811 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 11.811 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 11.811 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 11.811 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 10.599 | Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2022 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
| 10.404 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 9.150 | When will US office workplace occupancy reach >50% of pre-pandemic levels? | Continuous |
| 8.832 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| 8.832 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| 8.716 | Will a NATO nuclear-sharing country sign the TPNW by the end of 2022? | Binary |
| 7.776 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 7.154 | What will Bitcoin's hash rate be in November 2022? | Continuous |
| 6.763 | Will an anti-5G attack take a life in 2021 or 2022? | Binary |
| 6.493 | What will be the number of conflicts with critical impacts on U.S. interests by 2023? | Continuous |
| 6.409 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 5.482 | What will be the number of conflicts with significant impacts on U.S. interests by 2023? | Continuous |
| 4.457 | [Short Fuse] Will OSHA's Emergency Temporary Standard vaccine mandate be blocked or struck down by the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 4.425 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| 3.957 | Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 3.374 | When will New Zealand reopen for quarantine-free international travel? | Continuous |
| 3.109 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| 2.773 | When will Skyroot Aerospace successfully launch their first satellite into space? | Continuous |
| 2.685 | Will the 117th United States Senate change the filibuster rules during its session? | Binary |
| 2.579 | How many deaths from terrorism in 2020? | Continuous |
| 2.349 | What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 2.037 | Will the Duke or Duchess of Sussex file for divorce before Mar 8, 2022? | Binary |
| 1.277 | Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered “brokers” by the IRS by 2025? | Binary |
| 0.137 | Will the gray wolf be relisted as Threatened or Endangered by the US before 2030? | Binary |
| 0.060 | Will the "Moon Cube" be shown to be non-natural before 2023? | Binary |
| 0.008 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
| -2.053 | When will Open-Assistant be available for public use via a web interface? | Continuous |
| -3.663 | When will be the UK’s peak 7-day moving average of COVID hospital admissions for the winter of 2021-2022? | Continuous |
| -10.453 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -12.482 | When will used/pre-owned RTX30 series Nvidia GPUs suitable for deep learning sell below retail price? | Continuous |
| -14.928 | Will Tesla reveal a prototype of the Tesla Bot before 2023? | Binary |
| -19.620 | What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025? | Continuous |
| -19.963 | Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022? | Binary |
| -28.679 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
| -30.106 | How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks from September 17, 2021 to September 17, 2022? | Continuous |
| -34.696 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -37.051 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -38.879 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
| -43.858 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -45.433 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -95.922 | Will an Alphabet company win the general category for protein structure prediction at CASP15 in 2022? | Binary |
| -109.045 | Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025? | Binary |
| -135.379 | Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| -231.517 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |