| 116.081 | What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 99.710 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 99.039 | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 98.912 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dwayne Johnson) | Binary |
| 98.502 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 97.916 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 96.963 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 96.445 | Will Cris Ericson win the 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont? | Binary |
| 95.950 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mitt Romney) | Binary |
| 95.229 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 95.200 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 95.184 | Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025? | Binary |
| 95.183 | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
| 94.614 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 94.494 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 93.942 | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
| 93.826 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Manchin) | Binary |
| 90.086 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 89.752 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 88.812 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 87.419 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 87.345 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 87.101 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 86.621 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 86.120 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 85.781 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 85.764 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 83.970 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 78.915 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 76.757 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| 75.147 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 73.250 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 73.117 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 71.719 | Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly? | Binary |
| 71.568 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 70.442 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 66.968 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 65.538 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 65.058 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 61.858 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 61.580 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 61.580 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 61.580 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 61.384 | Which country will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 60.736 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 60.736 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 60.736 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 60.479 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 60.392 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 60.392 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 59.424 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 59.001 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 58.967 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 57.804 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 57.474 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 57.158 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 57.139 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 57.130 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 56.797 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 56.650 | What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 56.159 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 55.594 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 55.212 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 55.212 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 54.239 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 54.239 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 54.239 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 54.239 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 54.239 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 53.835 | Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 53.696 | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 51.909 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 50.539 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 50.222 | How many total arm sales to Taiwan will the US State Department approve between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 49.460 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 47.132 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 45.246 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 43.246 | Will Israel and Palestine hold peace talks in 2022? | Binary |
| 43.066 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 42.630 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 42.621 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 42.565 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 42.512 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 42.365 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 42.050 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 42.016 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 41.939 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 41.452 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 41.284 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 39.955 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 39.794 | What will be the US labor force participation rate for the May 2024? | Continuous |
| 38.038 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |
| 37.607 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 37.237 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| 36.984 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 36.836 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 36.583 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 35.267 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 34.509 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 33.797 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 33.648 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 33.622 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 33.139 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 32.478 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 30.652 | What will be the total number of air incursions into the ADIZ between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 29.326 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 27.781 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| 26.386 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 23.601 | What will be the US Consumer Sentiment for May 2024? | Continuous |
| 21.501 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 20.592 | When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO? | Continuous |
| 18.898 | What will be the total bilateral commitments of Ukraine support (in billions of EUR) on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 15.523 | What will be the US Federal Funds Rate on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 13.368 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mark Cuban) | Binary |
| 12.869 | Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022? | Binary |
| 12.357 | Will the US re-implement a ban on funding gain-of-function research in 2022? | Binary |
| 12.042 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| 10.432 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 10.416 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 9.885 | Will the Georgia Power Co Vogtle nuclear power plant Unit 4 be operational in May, 2024? | Binary |
| 9.657 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 8.326 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 7.986 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 7.094 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 6.770 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
| 6.175 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 5.780 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2023? | Binary |
| 5.625 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Mira Murati) | Binary |
| 5.625 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Ilya Sutskever) | Binary |
| 5.625 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Eric Schmidt) | Binary |
| 5.625 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
| 5.625 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Andrej Karpathy) | Binary |
| 5.605 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Emmett Shear) | Binary |
| 5.228 | What will be the wheat price on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 5.156 | Will India conduct a military intervention against Pakistan before the 2024 Indian general elections? | Binary |
| 5.002 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Futbol Club Barcelona) | Binary |
| 5.002 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Al-Hilal Saudi Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.002 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Manchester City Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.002 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Atlético Newell's Old Boys) | Binary |
| 4.937 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami) | Binary |
| 4.089 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 3.548 | Will Australia hold a Federal Referendum on an "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 2.478 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 2.264 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 2.137 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 1.777 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 1.393 | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 0.992 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| 0.920 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.751 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 0.661 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 0.291 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| 0.245 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 0.245 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 0.237 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.178 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| 0.075 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -0.622 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -5.862 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| -9.104 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -15.141 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan? | Binary |
| -15.810 | Will Dianne Feinstein resign from the Senate before the end of her term in early 2025? | Binary |
| -16.451 | What will China’s GDP be in 2023? | Continuous |
| -16.487 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| -17.071 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| -20.963 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -24.276 | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| -33.581 | Will an Alphabet company win the general category for protein structure prediction at CASP15 in 2022? | Binary |
| -37.448 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| -52.069 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -102.428 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| -116.374 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -142.669 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -158.105 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -207.810 | Will the right-wing incumbent BJP win the 2024 national election in India? | Binary |
| -329.014 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |