IY

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2023

Baseline Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to chance. User scores are determined by summing their Baseline scores for all questions within a time period. This category rewards forecasters who are both accurate and forecast on many questions. Learn more here.

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10.03k	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
157.305	How many airborne objects will be shot down in North American airspace in 2023?	Continuous
154.882	How many birds will be affected by avian influenza in Virginia in 2023?	Continuous
108.630	When will bivalent booster uptake in Virginia's 65+ population exceed 50%?	Continuous
103.383	How many days will the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV metro area experience an Air Quality Index value above 150 in 2023?	Continuous
100.366	When will the next volcanic eruption on the Reykjanes Peninsula in Iceland begin?	Continuous
98.915	Will Western institutions determine Israel was responsible for the attack on the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital in Gaza City before 2024?	Binary
98.515	Will F-22 or F-35 fighter jets be pledged to Ukraine by January 1, 2024?	Binary
98.374	What will be the highest daily Heat Related Illness (HRI) visit count in Virginia in 2023?	Continuous
97.763	Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023?	Binary
97.504	Will there be a US military combat death in the Red Sea before 2024?	Binary
97.443	Who will be the de facto leader of Gabon on September 30, 2023? (President Ali Bongo Ondimba)	Binary
97.425	Will Russia invade Kazakhstan before 2024?	Binary
97.388	Who will be the de facto leader of Gabon on September 30, 2023? (Albert Ondo Ossa)	Binary
97.002	Will a US warship enter the Black Sea before September 25, 2023?	Binary
96.083	Who will be the de facto leader of Gabon on September 30, 2023? (General Brice Oligui Nguema)	Binary
95.770	Will Mohamed Bazoum, Nigerien President, return to power before August 31, 2023?	Binary
95.293	Will the extent of Antarctic sea ice for every day in September 2023 be the lowest in recorded history?	Binary
94.784	Will there be a confirmed case of Marburg virus in Algeria by July 28th?	Binary
94.263	Will France send their military to intervene in the Gabonese coup in 2023?	Binary
93.756	Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before April 15th, 2023?	Binary
93.016	Before 2024, will it be announced that either of the Harvard or MIT presidents will vacate their positions?	Binary
92.961	Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?	Binary
92.819	ECOWAS Intervention Before August 12, 2023? (No) → Mohamed Bazoum in Power By August 31, 2023?	Binary
92.531	Will the U2 concert at The Sphere on September 29, 2023 take place?	Binary
92.344	Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution related to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia before October 1, 2023?	Binary
90.959	What will the highest monthly count of false English language COVID claims in 2023?	Continuous
89.148	Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker until 2024?	Binary
88.913	Will India request that another Canadian diplomat be recalled before 2024?	Binary
88.322	Will there be a military conflict between Serbia and Kosovo before January 1, 2024?	Binary
87.660	Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024?	Binary
87.335	Will the agreement between the Kremlin and the Wagner Group hold through the end of June?	Binary
86.952	Will Donald Trump spend at least one hour confined in a jail cell before January 1, 2024?	Binary
86.196	Will the winner of stage 9 of the 2023 Tour De France also hold the yellow jersey at the end of the stage?	Binary
85.604	Will WHO declare H5N1 a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2024?	Binary
85.373	Will the US Housing Market crash in 2023?	Binary
83.214	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Devlet Bahçeli)	Binary
83.214	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Mustafa Sarıgül)	Binary
83.214	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Tansu Çiller)	Binary
83.214	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Doğu Perinçek)	Binary
83.214	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Süleyman Soylu)	Binary
83.214	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Abdullah Gül)	Binary
83.213	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Fatih Erbakan)	Binary
83.213	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Pervin Buldan)	Binary
83.213	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Temel Karamollaoğlu)	Binary
83.213	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Gültekin Uysal)	Binary
83.213	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ali Babacan)	Binary
83.213	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ahmet Davutoğlu)	Binary
83.212	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ekrem İmamoğlu)	Binary
83.212	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Sinan Oğan)	Binary
83.119	Will NASA re-establish communications with Voyager 1 before 1 Jan 2024?	Binary
82.907	Will a vote on a Republican-introduced resolution to vacate the Speaker of the House be held before October 1, 2023?	Binary
82.288	Will OpenAI report having ≥99% uptime for ChatGPT and the OpenAI API in December 2023?	Binary
81.116	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Cem Uzan)	Binary
80.558	US Government Shutdown Before 2024? (No) → Johnson Speaker until 2024?	Binary
80.288	Will there no longer be any authorized COVID therapeutic in the U.S. in 2023?	Binary
79.950	Will ECOWAS launch a military intervention in Niger before August 12, 2023?	Binary
79.592	Will the ban on imports of Apple watches with blood oxygen sensors take effect before December 27, 2023?	Binary
78.709	Will Abdel Fattah al-Burhan be removed from power in Sudan before June 15, 2023?	Binary
78.514	Will the House Oversight Committee receive access to requested Joe Biden records related to Hunter Biden’s Ukraine dealings before September 1st?	Binary
78.307	Will the Federal Funds Rate be raised before December 18, 2023?	Binary
78.292	Will there be a major conflict involving an external actor in Transnistria before July 1, 2023?	Binary
78.145	Will Reddit announce changes or a delay to its proposed API fee pricing before July 1, 2023?	Binary
78.137	Will FDA approval of mifepristone for abortion no longer be in effect for any period of time before July 1, 2023?	Binary
77.878	Short Fuse: Will the 'Titan' submersible be recovered intact by noon ET on Thursday, June 22?	Binary
77.233	Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2024)	Binary
77.191	Will the oil transfer from the FSO Safer finish in 19 days?	Binary
76.160	Will Donald Trump participate in the first Republican presidential debate?	Binary
75.786	How many refugee arrivals will Virginia have in US fiscal year 2023?	Continuous
75.434	Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023?	Binary
75.208	Will any of the listed alleged co-conspirators of Donald Trump be indicted for a federal felony before August 11, 2023?	Binary
75.124	Will Russia assume the presidency of the UN Security Council on April 1, 2023?	Binary
75.095	Will there be a US financial crisis before July 1, 2023?	Binary
75.031	Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR COVID-like illness (CLI) visits in Virginia during summer 2023 exceed the same peak during the preceding winter 2022-2023?	Binary
74.538	When will the second Starship test flight occur?	Continuous
73.900	Will Ohio Issue 1 pass in the August 2023 election?	Binary
73.711	Will a mandatory evacuation order be issued for any area of Virginia related to any tropical cyclone in 2023?	Binary
72.913	Wagner Group Controls Moscow by July 1, 2023? (No) → Ukraine Controls DNR/LNR on Jan 1, 2024	Binary
72.781	Will Putin attend the G20 summit in India?	Binary
72.391	What will the median % prevalence of EG.5 in the US for the biweekly periods shown below? (August 19)	Continuous
72.350	Will a US spot Ethereum ETF be approved in 2023?	Binary
72.315	Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023?	Binary
71.521	Will the Black Sea grain deal be revived before October 1, 2023?	Binary
71.039	Will General Sergei Surovikin be stripped of his command by July 11th?	Binary
70.608	Will a bill be introduced in the Indian Parliament to change the official name of the country to Bharat before September 23, 2023?	Binary
70.492	How many Palestinian prisoners/detainees will Israel announce that it will release before 2024?	Continuous
69.985	How much money (in US dollars) will GlobalGiving's Morocco Earthquake Relief Fund have raised on September 21, 2023?	Continuous
69.366	How many FDIC banks will fail in 2023?	Continuous
69.048	Before October 1, 2023, will US Senator Bob Menendez announce that he is resigning?	Binary
67.950	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these periods? (December 9, 2023)	Continuous
66.676	Will Yevgeny Prigozhin be the functional leader of the Wagner Group on June 30, 2023?	Binary
66.147	What will the median % prevalence of XBB1.5 in U.S. HHS Region 3 for the biweekly periods shown below? (March 11)	Continuous
65.956	Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Myriam Bregman)	Binary
65.748	Will a majority of voters approve Venezuela's referendum on incorporating Guayana Esequiba into Venezuela?	Binary
65.456	Will the WHO name BA.2.86 as a SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Interest before October 1, 2023?	Binary
64.824	Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Juan Schiaretti)	Binary
64.552	How many ballots will it take to elect the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives to replace Kevin McCarthy?	Continuous
64.214	Will there be there be a resurgence of influenza in Virginia to "High" or "Very High" level at any point during the rest of the 2022-2023 flu season?	Binary
63.996	Will New Delhi experience a "Very Unhealthy" or worse air quality index on at least four of the seven days for the week starting October 29?	Binary
63.932	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these periods? (December 9, 2023)	Continuous
63.314	Will "Epidemiologists" be included on Virginia's next High Demand Occupation List?	Binary
62.679	Will Ukraine regain control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant before January 1, 2024?	Binary
62.306	Will Mr. Pita Limjaroenrat have been confirmed as the 30th prime minister of Thailand before July 1, 2023?	Binary
59.630	Will Donald Trump participate in the 2nd Republican primary debate?	Binary
58.971	Will the US pass the Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAP) Disclosure Act of 2023 before October 1, 2023?	Binary
57.835	Will Stepanakert / Khankendi be under de facto Azerbaijani control on September 30, 2023?	Binary
57.015	Will the Israeli High Court uphold the "reasonableness" law?	Binary
56.705	Will there be more than 10 ministerial resignations in Rishi Sunak’s government before 2024?	Binary
56.073	Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024?	Binary
55.937	What will be the closing price of Crude Oil (in USD per barrel) on December 30, 2023?	Continuous
54.599	Will there be a white Christmas in at least 4 of these 9 large European cities in 2023?	Binary
54.419	Will India's Chandrayaan-3 mission successfully land a rover on the moon?	Binary
53.892	How many tornado segments will be reported in Virginia in 2023?	Continuous
51.423	Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of H5N1 before 2024?	Binary
50.859	Will Luisa González receive the most votes in the first round of the Ecuadorian election?	Binary
50.659	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these periods? (December 9, 2023)	Continuous
50.555	Will Stockholm see more than 500 hours of sun in the summer of 2023?	Binary
50.133	Will the writers' strike be active on May 12th, 2023?	Binary
49.975	Will Crook Manifesto by Colson Whitehead be on the August 13th New York Times Bestseller List?	Binary
48.990	Will ECOWAS intervene militarily in Niger before October 1, 2023?	Binary
48.937	When will New York City’s period of consecutive rainy weekends end?	Continuous
48.343	Trump participates in first debate? (No) → Trump Polling Change Two Weeks After Debate?	Continuous
48.316	[Short Fuse] Who will be the winner of the leadership race for the next First Minister of the Scottish Parliament? (Ash Regan)	Binary
47.152	Will a nationwide UPS strike be underway in the United States on August 4, 2023?	Binary
44.792	Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Patricia Bullrich)	Binary
43.777	Will the United Auto Workers call a strike against any of the Big Three Detroit automakers before September 19, 2023?	Binary
43.571	Will copper prices reach an all-time-high in 2023?	Binary
43.479	What percentage of Virginia adults will be vaccinated against influenza by the week ending December 30, 2023?	Continuous
43.467	What will the the total value of property damage (in US dollars) caused by tornados be in Virginia in 2023?	Continuous
43.353	[Short Fuse] Who will be the winner of the leadership race for the next First Minister of the Scottish Parliament? (Humza Yusaf)	Binary
43.349	What will be the total daily Heat Related Illness (HRI) visit counts in Virginia in 2023?	Continuous
42.812	What will the median % prevalence of EG.5 in the US for the biweekly periods shown below? (September 2)	Continuous
42.481	Which week in late 2023 will have the highest percent of medical visits for Influenza-like Illness in Virginia?	Continuous
42.383	Before 2024, will the US government state that Iran likely helped Hamas plan the October 7 attack on Israel?	Binary
42.342	How many individuals will the New York City Department of Homeless Services report as being "in shelter" on May 22nd, 2023?	Continuous
42.317	Will Yahya Sinwar cease to act as Hamas Chief in the Gaza Strip before 2024?	Binary
41.121	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Illinois for these periods? (December 9, 2023)	Continuous
39.172	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these periods? (December 9, 2023)	Continuous
37.575	How much will Donald Trump's Republican primary polling average change two weeks after the first debate?	Continuous
37.041	What will the total number of confirmed current hospitalizations due to COVID in Virginia for the Saturdays of the weeks shown below? (March 25)	Continuous
36.747	How many level 2 or greater public charging stations will be available for light vehicles in the United States at the beginning of the listed year? (2024)	Continuous
36.137	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Colorado for these periods? (December 9, 2023)	Continuous
35.555	Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024?	Binary
34.877	What will the median % prevalence of XBB1.5 in U.S. HHS Region 3 for the biweekly periods shown below? (Feb 25)	Continuous
34.242	Will the EU Parliament endorse a negotiating mandate for the AI Act before June 16, 2023?	Binary
33.760	What will the total number of confirmed current hospitalizations due to COVID in Virginia for the Saturdays of the weeks shown below? (Feb 25)	Continuous
33.752	How much additional aid for Ukraine will the US Congress approve before October 1, 2023?	Continuous
33.670	What will the price of November 2023 Dutch TTF natural gas futures (in Euros per megawatt-hour) be on September 29, 2023?	Continuous
33.502	Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024?	Binary
32.284	Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Sergio Massa)	Binary
31.618	Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)	Binary
31.128	Will OpenAI open-source GPT-3 before 2024?	Binary
29.164	Will Meta launch a Threads web app before October 1, 2023?	Binary
28.704	Will Russia substantially damage or destroy a Patriot Missile Battery in Ukraine before July, 2023?	Binary
28.182	What will the median % prevalence of XBB1.5 in U.S. HHS Region 3 for the biweekly periods shown below? (March 25)	Continuous
25.596	Will Delhi perform cloud seeding before December 1, 2023?	Binary
23.584	What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season on September 30, 2023?	Continuous
23.264	Will Sarah Bernstein or Chetna Maroo win the 2023 Booker Prize?	Binary
23.048	What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles? (2023)	Continuous
22.774	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)	Binary
21.590	When will the U.S. end the public health emergency for COVID-19?	Continuous
21.441	What percentage of the vote will Javier Milei receive in Argentina's upcoming Presidential Elections’ runoff?	Continuous
21.006	When will the procurement and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines in the U.S. be managed by the commercial marketplace?	Continuous
20.698	What will be the average partisan vote swing from 2020 to 2023 in state-level special elections held in the US before October 1, 2023?	Continuous
20.454	[Short Fuse] Who will be the winner of the leadership race for the next First Minister of the Scottish Parliament? (Kate Forbes)	Binary
19.715	When will the successor to Kevin McCarthy be elected as Speaker of the United States House of Representatives?	Continuous
19.713	Will internationally recognized media outlets report that a significant Ukrainian military counteroffensive has begun before June 21, 2023?	Binary
18.186	Will OpenAI reduce the cost of the GPT-4 API by at least 2/3 (<=$0.01/1k prompt tokens for 8k context) before 2024?	Binary
18.103	Will there be an additional Russian IPO on the MICEX in 2023?	Binary
17.943	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu)	Binary
17.901	Will the second Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff before January 1, 2024?	Binary
17.853	When will the U.S. CDC stop requiring line-level (patient-level) COVID-19 case data from states?	Continuous
17.205	What percentage of wastewater treatment plants in Virginia will be in the higher or highest percentile groups for SARS-CoV-2 for the week ending November 26, 2023?	Continuous
15.789	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these periods? (December 9, 2023)	Continuous
15.267	Will the WHO identify a new SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Concern before 2024?	Binary
13.564	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Massachusetts for these periods? (December 9, 2023)	Continuous
13.015	Will Bitcoin reach $40,000 before January 1, 2024?	Binary
12.602	Will Ukraine receive a modern main battle tank from a NATO country by 2024?	Binary
12.451	What will the total number of confirmed current hospitalizations due to COVID in Virginia for the Saturdays of the weeks shown below? (March 11)	Continuous
12.009	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Missouri for these periods? (December 9, 2023)	Continuous
11.907	Will a non-proprietary LLM be in the top 5 of the chat.lmsys.org leaderboard on September 30, 2023?	Binary
11.238	How many days will any region in Virginia experience coastal flood, high wind, hurricane, or tropical storm in 2023?	Continuous
7.918	How far from the bow of the Titanic will the submersible 'Titan' be located?	Continuous
7.298	When will the U.S. CDC recommend an additional updated COVID-19 vaccine booster dose for adults?	Continuous
6.565	What will the median % prevalence of XBB1.5 in U.S. HHS Region 3 for the biweekly periods shown below? (April 8)	Continuous
6.044	How many people will die in the Sudan conflict in 2023?	Continuous
6.007	Will Virgin Orbit file for bankruptcy protection before 2026?	Binary
5.744	Will Russian troops reach the center of Bakhmut, Ukraine before 0000 hrs local time on January 27th, 2023?	Binary
4.542	Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin be confirmed to be dead before November 2023?	Binary
3.976	Will the 'Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression' Act pass in the US House of Representatives by January 3, 2024?	Binary
3.526	Will countries commit at least 100 US/German-made modern main battle tanks to Ukraine before 2024?	Binary
2.670	Will OpenAI report having ≥99.9% uptime for ChatGPT in June 2023?	Binary
2.582	Will Peter Bone MP be suspended from Parliament in 2023 (without first resigning)?	Binary
2.333	Will Virgin Galactic have a successful commercial flight before July 1, 2023?	Binary
2.155	Will USDC restore its peg before May 1, 2023?	Binary
1.785	Will the German Train Drivers' Union (GDL) go on strike again before January 1, 2024?	Binary
1.741	[Short Fuse] Will Credit Suisse experience any of the following scenarios before May 2023?	Binary
1.482	Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Meral Akşener)	Binary
0.564	What percentage of the possession will the winning team have in the Women's World Cup Final?	Continuous
0.189	Will Kevin McCarthy visit Taiwan in 2023?	Binary
-1.830	Will the Dow Jones close at or above 35,000 before August 1, 2023?	Binary
-2.311	In which epidemiological week will the overall national RSV hospitalization rate per 100,000 first equal or exceed 1.0?	Continuous
-2.461	Will the suspected Chinese surveillance balloon be on the ground before February 11th, 2023?	Binary
-2.557	Will Ed Sheeran be found liable for copyright infringement in 'Let's Get It On' lawsuit?	Binary
-5.325	Will Israel launch a large-scale ground offensive into Gaza before November 1, 2023?	Binary
-6.140	Will any additional Republican candidates for president drop out before 2024?	Binary
-7.250	Will the US Supreme Court issue a decision on hearing the case about presidential immunity before January 1, 2024?	Binary
-11.150	Will an attempted replication of LK-99 superconductivity be published before August 4, 2023?	Binary
-11.669	Will First Republic Bank enter FDIC receivership or be sold "under duress" before January 1, 2024?	Binary
-12.597	Will the November 2023 Israel-Hamas humanitarian pause be extended?	Binary
-12.827	Will an Elon Musk-funded AI lab release an LLM before 2024?	Binary
-13.514	When will the WHO COVID-19 PHEIC expire?	Continuous
-15.428	Will the 2023 Presidential Elections in Sierra Leone proceed to a runoff?	Binary
-18.441	Will a bird flu outbreak among minks on an additional mink farm result in the minks being culled before 2024?	Binary
-18.452	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Israel before 2024?	Binary
-18.570	Will a nearly continuous human chain stretch across the length of the Forth and Clyde Canal on 14 October 2023?	Binary
-20.249	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Washington for these periods? (December 9, 2023)	Continuous
-24.408	Will Chevron reach an agreement with the Offshore Alliance to end or prevent industrial actions before September 25, 2023?	Binary
-26.042	Will the Conservatives hold on to their seat in the Mid Bedfordshire by-election?	Binary
-27.352	What will the median % prevalence of XBB1.5 in U.S. HHS Region 3 for the biweekly periods shown below? (Feb 11)	Continuous
-28.340	What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on June 14, 2023?	Continuous
-32.563	How many ratings will Prince Harry's book Spare have on Amazon on January 20th at 7:00 pm GMT?	Continuous
-33.372	When will Browse with Bing be reintroduced on ChatGPT?	Continuous
-41.016	Which week in late 2023 will influenza intensity levels first be categorized as moderate in at least one of Virginia's regions in the 2023-24 flu season?	Continuous
-41.597	Will the Israeli High Court issue a ruling on the "reasonableness" law before October 1, 2023?	Binary
-45.037	Will Ecuador's state of emergency be extended beyond the initial 60 days?	Binary
-46.900	Will George Weah win re-election in the 2023 Liberian General Election?	Binary
-47.239	What will be the effective number of political parties in the Netherlands parliament following the 2023 election?	Continuous
-53.177	How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years? (2024)	Continuous
-54.216	Will a major shipping company announce that they are resuming shipments through the Red Sea before 2024?	Binary
-75.290	Will the Black Sea grain deal be extended before July 19, 2023?	Binary
-80.523	When will the UVA Biocomplexity Institute indicate at least 13 of Virginia's 35 health districts are in a "surge" trajectory?	Continuous
-90.813	Will the MONUSCO UN peacekeeping mission to the Democratic Republic of the Congo be extended with a military personnel ceiling above 11,000 before January 1, 2024?	Binary
-151.165	What percentage of the vote will presidential candidate candidate Javier Milei receive in Argentina's upcoming Open Primaries Elections?	Continuous
-165.224	Will OpenAI release a finetuning API for GPT-4 before 2024?	Binary

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Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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