| 189.888 | How many additional indictments will have been filed against Donald Trump on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 171.050 | What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 106.093 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Florida for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 101.310 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Colorado for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 98.913 | Will Cris Ericson win the 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont? | Binary |
| 98.632 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.813 | LLM passes ARA before 2025? (No) → LLM training paused for dangerous capability? (OpenAI) | Binary |
| 96.804 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
New York for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 95.913 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
California for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 95.465 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 94.501 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 94.402 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
| 93.524 | India Acts in Pakistan by 2024 Election? (No) → Fatality due to Nuclear Detonation by 2025? | Binary |
| 92.419 | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 92.307 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 92.189 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 91.761 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Massachusetts for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 91.749 | Musk Chairman Of Twitter in 2024? (Yes) → Twitter Public Company in May 2024? | Binary |
| 91.447 | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
| 89.986 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 89.213 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 88.674 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 88.650 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 88.132 | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 88.105 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 87.830 | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 87.794 | Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 87.195 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 86.837 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Texas) | Continuous |
| 86.755 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Pennsylvania for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 84.583 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Illinois for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 82.214 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 81.368 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Washington for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 81.238 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 80.495 | Meaningful commitments from UK AI Summit? (No) → ChatGPT available in Europe on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 80.015 | Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 79.042 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Illinois) | Continuous |
| 77.568 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Colorado) | Continuous |
| 77.200 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (California) | Continuous |
| 76.794 | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| 76.326 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Athletico Madrid) | Binary |
| 76.278 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Pennsylvania) | Continuous |
| 76.146 | Will the stock price of NVIDIA trade below $250 (adjusted to pre-split value) for at least 1 full day before 2025? | Binary |
| 75.836 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 75.192 | Will a stock exchange halt trading for >24 hours with a cause widely attributed to AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 75.135 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| 74.839 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 74.677 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Massachusetts) | Continuous |
| 74.368 | What will annual CO2 emissions be in the United States (in tonnes) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 74.128 | Will Linda Yaccarino be the CEO of Twitter on July 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 73.920 | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
| 73.824 | Will Russia impose a total ban on Apple products before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 73.695 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
| 73.061 | What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 72.128 | Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 71.940 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (New York) | Continuous |
| 70.786 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 70.458 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 69.978 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| 67.784 | Will India conduct a military intervention against Pakistan before the 2024 Indian general elections? | Binary |
| 67.602 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 66.947 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Washington) | Continuous |
| 65.804 | Will any OpenAI or Anthropic model be in the top-10 model with a non-proprietary license on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 64.003 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 63.096 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Texas for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 63.056 | What will the UK consumer price inflation rate for April 2024 be? | Continuous |
| 61.862 | How many level 2 or greater public charging stations will be available for light vehicles in the United States at the beginning of the listed year? (2025) | Continuous |
| 61.807 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 61.539 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Missouri for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 61.335 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 61.293 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Porto) | Binary |
| 60.816 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| 60.751 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (PSV) | Binary |
| 60.234 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Florida) | Continuous |
| 59.809 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Napoli) | Binary |
| 59.060 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Copenhagen) | Binary |
| 58.196 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Sociedad) | Binary |
| 57.736 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
| 57.434 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lazio) | Binary |
| 56.387 | Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election? | Binary |
| 56.375 | Will the Georgia Power Co Vogtle nuclear power plant Unit 4 be operational in May, 2024? | Binary |
| 55.629 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 53.839 | What will be the Nino 3.4 sea surface temperature (in degrees Celsius) be for May 2024? | Continuous |
| 53.622 | What will the fed funds rate be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 49.296 | Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2023/24 Premier League season? | Binary |
| 44.586 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 43.892 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Washington for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 43.528 | What will be the total capacity (in GW) for all operational offshore windfarms in the UK on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 43.300 | Will a New or Joint "Worst 82-Game Regular Season Record" in NBA History be set in 2024? | Binary |
| 41.753 | Will the EPA grant a waiver for the entirety of California's proposed Advanced Clean Cars II before January 21, 2025? | Binary |
| 41.235 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 41.222 | BTC Worth Over 100k USD by 2025? (Yes) → Federal Funds Target Range Upper Limit (December 31, 2024) | Continuous |
| 40.677 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 40.145 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 40.105 | What will be the US labor force participation rate for the May 2024? | Continuous |
| 40.072 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
| 39.225 | Will Hawaiian Electric Company file for bankruptcy before 2025? | Binary |
| 37.454 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 37.077 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 37.061 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 36.706 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 34.055 | What will be the total number of air incursions into the ADIZ between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 33.705 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 32.545 | Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 32.066 | What will be the US Federal Funds Rate on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 29.766 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| 29.262 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 28.779 | What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 27.401 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Colorado for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 26.842 | What will be the US Consumer Sentiment for May 2024? | Continuous |
| 26.477 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 26.049 | Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025? | Binary |
| 24.942 | What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020? (2024) | Continuous |
| 24.442 | Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025? | Binary |
| 23.575 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |
| 23.548 | What will be the UK natural gas futures price (GBp/thm) for May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 22.571 | Will Libya hold a presidential election before 2025? | Binary |
| 21.729 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
California for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 20.855 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 20.100 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| 19.343 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Shakhtar Donetsk) | Binary |
| 19.066 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (AC Milan) | Binary |
| 18.999 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 18.907 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 18.759 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Braga) | Binary |
| 18.723 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 18.661 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 18.592 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Galatasaray) | Binary |
| 17.833 | When will the U.S. Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Interagency Technical Working Group on Race and Ethnicity Standards complete revisions to Statistical Policy Directive No. 15 (SPD 15)? | Continuous |
| 16.293 | What will the USD price of Bitcoin be on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 16.169 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Texas for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 13.936 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
| 12.763 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lens) | Binary |
| 12.413 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Sevilla) | Binary |
| 12.366 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Crvena Zvezda) | Binary |
| 12.360 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Celtic) | Binary |
| 12.207 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Feyenoord) | Binary |
| 12.069 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Florida for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 11.660 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| 11.275 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 10.638 | How many OpenAI or Anthropic model versions will be released between December 1, 2023 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 9.518 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| 7.646 | What will be the wheat price on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 7.032 | Will someone agree to participate in a Rootclaim challenge before 2025? | Binary |
| 6.729 | Will a cultivated meat company be profitable by April 2023? | Binary |
| 6.402 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 6.174 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 6.087 | When will an LLM replace GPT-4 at the top of the chat.lmsys.org leaderboard? | Continuous |
| 5.943 | Will Elon Musk face US federal criminal charges or an SEC civil complaint before 2026? | Binary |
| 5.295 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Manchester City Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.292 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Atlético Newell's Old Boys) | Binary |
| 4.941 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Al-Hilal Saudi Football Club) | Binary |
| 4.512 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Futbol Club Barcelona) | Binary |
| 4.159 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami) | Binary |
| 3.301 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.899 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.894 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Union Berlin) | Binary |
| 2.849 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Salzburg) | Binary |
| 2.814 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| 2.488 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Antwerp) | Binary |
| 2.459 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Young Boys) | Binary |
| 2.239 | What will the price of oil be for December 2022? | Continuous |
| 1.087 | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 0.805 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| 0.736 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.425 | Will a Navy ship be captured, scuttled, sunk, or critically damaged in the Black Sea before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.004 | When will Kwasi Kwarteng no longer hold the office of UK chancellor of the Exchequer? | Continuous |
| -2.666 | Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025? | Binary |
| -2.895 | UN Troops In Gaza (No) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -4.175 | Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? | Binary |
| -5.495 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Pennsylvania for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -8.634 | How many cases of vaccine-derived poliovirus will there be between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024 in the Democratic Republic of Congo? | Continuous |
| -15.556 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -18.947 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Missouri for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -22.525 | Will the ANC receive more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 South African general election? | Binary |
| -22.633 | What percentage of the popular vote will the African National Congress get in the 2024 South African general election? | Continuous |
| -25.367 | Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -27.349 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Illinois for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -29.228 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
New York for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -37.772 | Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025? | Binary |
| -38.743 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| -39.571 | Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission before November 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -39.872 | How many weeks will influenza-like illness (ILI) activity levels be at "high" or above in at least five states during the 2023-2024 season? | Continuous |
| -52.245 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| -55.752 | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Missouri) | Continuous |
| -59.061 | What will be the total bilateral commitments of Ukraine support (in billions of EUR) on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| -72.089 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Massachusetts for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -77.923 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| -106.130 | Will Apple Watch feature a blood pressure monitor before 2025? | Binary |
| -146.112 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| -213.012 | How many total arm sales to Taiwan will the US State Department approve between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |