83.020 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
81.412 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Scott Aitchison) | Binary |
81.412 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Roman Baber) | Binary |
81.412 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Leslyn Lewis) | Binary |
77.781 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (David Waihiga Mwaure) | Binary |
77.780 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (George Wajackoyah) | Binary |
77.043 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Jean Charest) | Binary |
75.365 | Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Pierre Poilievre) | Binary |
71.358 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Philadelphia Phillies) | Binary |
69.759 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
69.759 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Nadhim Zahawi) | Binary |
69.759 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Steve Baker) | Binary |
69.759 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Dominic Raab) | Binary |
69.759 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
69.759 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Kemi Badenoch) | Binary |
69.759 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Grant Shapps) | Binary |
69.759 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Sajid Javid) | Binary |
68.488 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
65.511 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cleveland Guardians) | Binary |
64.870 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Diego Padres) | Binary |
62.970 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Seattle Mariners) | Binary |
58.193 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (St. Louis Cardinals) | Binary |
57.557 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Tampa Bay Rays) | Binary |
56.578 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Kansas City Royals) | Binary |
56.573 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Detroit Tigers) | Binary |
56.572 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Colorado Rockies) | Binary |
56.569 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Miami Marlins) | Binary |
56.569 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Pittsburgh Pirates) | Binary |
56.569 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Oakland Athletics) | Binary |
56.569 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago Cubs) | Binary |
56.569 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Texas Rangers) | Binary |
56.568 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cincinnati Reds) | Binary |
56.568 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Angels) | Binary |
56.568 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Baltimore Orioles) | Binary |
56.568 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Washington Nationals) | Binary |
56.568 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Arizona Diamondbacks) | Binary |
56.060 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Boston Red Sox) | Binary |
56.000 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Atlanta Braves) | Binary |
55.727 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Minnesota Twins) | Binary |
55.657 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Francisco Giants) | Binary |
55.472 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago White Sox) | Binary |
54.952 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Toronto Blue Jays) | Binary |
53.484 | Will Elizabeth Kim win the Democratic primary for New York's 10th congressional district in 2022? | Binary |
53.161 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Milwaukee Brewers) | Binary |
52.021 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Michael Gove) | Binary |
52.021 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
52.021 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Priti Patel) | Binary |
52.021 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
52.021 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Tom Tugendhat) | Binary |
52.020 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Penny Mordaunt) | Binary |
51.518 | Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
50.019 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Mets) | Binary |
49.751 | Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
49.398 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in New York as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
47.330 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Yankees) | Binary |
46.082 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023? | Binary |
44.996 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Dodgers) | Binary |
37.865 | What will be the market capitalization of Netflix on December 1, 2022? | Continuous |
34.351 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
34.095 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Liz Truss) | Binary |
33.066 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023? | Binary |
32.903 | Will the British pound trade below $1 before 2023? | Binary |
30.069 | Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022? | Binary |
29.446 | Will Twitter's board accept an acquisition offer from someone other than Elon Musk before 2023? | Binary |
25.252 | Will Mehmet Oz win the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? | Binary |
24.232 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
24.136 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (Raila Odinga) | Binary |
21.719 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
20.446 | What percentage of participants who adhere to the diet in the SMTM potato study and start with a BMI > 25 will lose 20 lbs or more over 4 weeks? | Continuous |
18.778 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Canada as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
18.521 | Flu Hospitalizations for VT (July 2) | Continuous |
17.977 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
17.772 | Will CAIDA measure a major disruption of the Ukrainian internet for 24 hours before August 2022? | Binary |
17.609 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
17.052 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
16.792 | Will David Segal win the RI-2 Democratic primary? | Binary |
15.816 | What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
14.908 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
14.124 | Will Omicron XE be the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the US before June 19, 2022? | Binary |
13.314 | How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
12.703 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Laura Loomer) | Binary |
12.143 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
11.948 | What will the estimated cybersecurity workforce gap for the United States be on October 15, 2022? | Continuous |
10.595 | What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in California as of August 31, 2022? | Continuous |
10.478 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Morocco) | Binary |
9.860 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Croatia) | Binary |
8.921 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
8.767 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Hjörvar Steinn Grétarsson) | Binary |
8.765 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Matthias Blübaum) | Binary |
8.656 | What percentage of people who sign up for the SMTM potato study will complete all 4 weeks of the diet? | Continuous |
8.472 | Will a Republican be elected governor of Maryland in 2022? | Binary |
8.022 | Will Beto O'Rourke win the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election? | Binary |
7.934 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Portugal) | Binary |
7.921 | Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022? | Binary |
7.763 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Netherlands) | Binary |
7.688 | Will Doug Mastriano be elected Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022? | Binary |
7.475 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
7.433 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (England) | Binary |
7.325 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (France) | Binary |
7.072 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
6.980 | Will any Fields Medal winner boycott ICM 2022 for political reasons? | Binary |
6.941 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Switzerland) | Binary |
6.937 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Wesley So) | Binary |
6.824 | How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
6.803 | Will Stacey Abrams be elected Governor of Georgia in 2022? | Binary |
6.478 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (South Korea) | Binary |
6.454 | Will a new zero day vulnerability be exploited against and result in the compromise of 100 million Americans’ personal information by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
6.413 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Japan) | Binary |
6.080 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Spain) | Binary |
6.061 | Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
6.011 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Senegal) | Binary |
5.952 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Poland) | Binary |
5.860 | Will Ron DeSantis be re-elected as Governor of Florida in 2022? | Binary |
5.724 | How many new Pokemon will Pokemon Scarlet and Violet introduce? | Continuous |
5.596 | Flu Hospitalizations for WY (July 2) | Continuous |
5.554 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Australia) | Binary |
5.478 | Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022? | Binary |
5.466 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (United States of America) | Binary |
5.154 | What will be the US unemployment rate in October 2022? | Continuous |
5.109 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Binary |
5.099 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Cameroon) | Binary |
5.099 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Serbia) | Binary |
5.084 | Will the DART asteroid mission successfully impact in 2022? | Binary |
5.066 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
5.026 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ghana) | Binary |
5.000 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Brazil) | Binary |
4.958 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay) | Binary |
4.849 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (October 2022) | Continuous |
4.625 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Costa Rica) | Binary |
4.554 | How many seats will Democrats hold in the US Senate after 2022 midterm elections? | Continuous |
4.521 | Will Carrick Flynn win the general election for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
4.410 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
4.360 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Belgium) | Binary |
4.354 | Will Rick Caruso be elected Mayor of Los Angeles in 2022? | Binary |
4.076 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
4.076 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Mexico) | Binary |
4.075 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Tunisia) | Binary |
4.058 | Flu Hospitalizations for NY (July 2) | Continuous |
3.980 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Germany) | Binary |
3.954 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Denmark) | Binary |
3.919 | How many seats will Democrats win in the US House of Representatives in 2022? | Continuous |
3.698 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ecuador) | Binary |
3.698 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Iran) | Binary |
3.698 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Wales) | Binary |
3.416 | Flu Hospitalizations for OK (July 2) | Continuous |
3.035 | Will Sarah Palin be elected as US Representative for Alaska in 2022? | Binary |
2.932 | What percent of voters will vote in favor of Sioux Falls' 2022 Slaughterhouse ballot question? | Continuous |
2.811 | Will Blake Masters win the 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona? | Binary |
2.762 | Will Raphael Warnock be re-elected in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia? | Binary |
2.722 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Canada) | Binary |
2.657 | Will the Kenyan Supreme court nullify the results of the 2022 Presidential Election? | Binary |
2.505 | Will Ron Johnson win the 2022 Wisconsin US Senate election? | Binary |
2.478 | Will there be a Tau variant of COVID by Tau Day (June 28, 2022)? | Binary |
2.393 | What percentage of people who try the diet in the SMTM potato study will report an increase in mood? | Continuous |
1.738 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Qatar) | Binary |
1.719 | What percent of voters will vote in favor of the Swiss 2022 Bio Suisse Animal Welfare referendum question? | Continuous |
0.524 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Alex Jones) | Binary |
0.377 | Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023? | Binary |
- | Will Seattle's Approval Voting ballot initiative (Initiative 134) pass? | Binary |
-0.000 | How many countries will confirm at least one case of monkeypox by July 31, 2022? | Continuous |
-0.157 | Flu Hospitalizations for FL (July 2) | Continuous |
-5.590 | Will Catherine Cortez Masto be re-elected in the 2022 US Senate election in Nevada? | Binary |
-22.000 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Argentina) | Binary |
-29.547 | Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (William Ruto) | Binary |
-33.008 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Jared Taylor) | Binary |
-33.008 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Tila Tequila) | Binary |
-33.008 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)) | Binary |
-33.008 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Milo Yiannopoulos) | Binary |
-52.168 | What percentage of participants who adhere to the diet in the SMTM potato study and start with a BMI > 30 will lose 20 lbs or more over 4 weeks? | Continuous |
-52.280 | Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
-57.793 | How far ahead or behind of Labour will the UK's Conservative Party be in the polls on October 6, 2022? | Continuous |
-123.365 | Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Houston Astros) | Binary |