| 98.495 | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 98.356 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.915 | Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 92.004 | Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 91.797 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 91.797 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 91.797 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 91.797 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 91.797 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 91.797 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 91.565 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 91.549 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 90.830 | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| 90.047 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 88.609 | Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 88.366 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 87.716 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 85.246 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 84.811 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 84.609 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 83.800 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 81.856 | What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 80.196 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 79.146 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 76.938 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 76.938 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 75.478 | What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 75.280 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou (Independent)) | Binary |
| 74.569 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 74.569 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 72.853 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 72.853 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 72.544 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 71.841 | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 70.901 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 70.891 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 70.891 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 70.891 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 70.891 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 70.891 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 70.539 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 70.100 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 69.994 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 66.874 | Will Alphabet’s (GOOG) market capitalisation fall below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 66.682 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 66.660 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Ko Wen-je (TPP)) | Binary |
| 66.564 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 66.564 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 66.564 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 66.260 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 66.110 | What will the fed funds rate be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 65.519 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 65.371 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 64.643 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 64.165 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 64.165 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 64.029 | Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025? | Binary |
| 63.742 | Will a stock exchange halt trading for >24 hours with a cause widely attributed to AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 60.063 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 60.063 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 60.063 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 60.063 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 60.063 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 60.063 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 60.063 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 59.757 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 59.202 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 58.531 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 57.375 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 56.499 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 55.152 | Will a Chinese firm market an ArFi photolithography machine before 2025? | Binary |
| 54.634 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 54.632 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 54.615 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 54.529 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 52.381 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 50.309 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Hou Yu-ih (Kuomintang)) | Binary |
| 49.351 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 49.351 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 49.351 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 49.112 | Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least as capable as original GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 48.640 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 46.813 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 44.674 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 44.674 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 40.621 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 40.027 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
| 38.782 | Will Oil Exports account for less than 70% of Saudi Arabian exports in Q1 2024? | Binary |
| 37.643 | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| 36.551 | Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 35.289 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Lai Ching-te (DPP)) | Binary |
| 33.732 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 33.371 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 32.562 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 32.373 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan? | Binary |
| 29.784 | What will the USD price of Bitcoin be on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 29.147 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 28.859 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 28.762 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 28.640 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 28.108 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 27.200 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Bankman-Fried) | Binary |
| 26.096 | Will the stock price of NVIDIA trade below $250 (adjusted to pre-split value) for at least 1 full day before 2025? | Binary |
| 25.175 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 24.090 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 21.459 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 21.099 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 20.551 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 17.444 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 16.090 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| 15.104 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 14.583 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 14.525 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 14.216 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
| 13.567 | Will Linda Yaccarino be the CEO of Twitter on July 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.067 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 12.849 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 12.170 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
| 11.353 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 9.327 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| 8.699 | What will China’s GDP be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 8.502 | Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.452 | By 2024, will China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 8.372 | Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 8.372 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 8.303 | By 2024, will a nuclear-armed state other than the US, Russia, or China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 7.678 | Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022? | Binary |
| 7.601 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.599 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 6.241 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 5.354 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| 5.260 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026? | Binary |
| 4.657 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.279 | What will be the maximum CPI inflation measured in 2022? | Continuous |
| 4.275 | What will be the ratio of Biden's to Trump's US Google search volumes in the third quarter of 2022? | Continuous |
| 3.988 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Nishad Singh) | Binary |
| 3.367 | Will Trafalgar Group outperform the 538 polling average in the 2022 congressional and gubernatorial elections? | Binary |
| 2.923 | What will be the British male life expectancy at birth in 2021 according to the UK Office of National Statistics? | Continuous |
| 2.912 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 2.774 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 2.519 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 2.401 | Will Donald Trump be charged with witness tampering in Georgia before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 2.084 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| 2.013 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
| 1.872 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 1.150 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 1.129 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 0.970 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 0.949 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.458 | Will India conduct a military intervention against Pakistan before the 2024 Indian general elections? | Binary |
| 0.433 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.192 | How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks from September 17, 2021 to September 17, 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.182 | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| - | Will Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Garibashvili experience a significant leadership disruption before the next scheduled election? | Binary |
| -1.094 | Will Tesla reveal a prototype of the Tesla Bot before 2023? | Binary |
| -2.656 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| -5.187 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
| -7.829 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| -20.019 | Will the US require and verify reporting of large AI training runs before 2026? | Binary |
| -31.783 | Will an Alphabet company win the general category for protein structure prediction at CASP15 in 2022? | Binary |
| -33.973 | Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022? | Binary |
| -45.359 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -50.233 | Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025? | Binary |
| -56.247 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -64.226 | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| -66.114 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| -75.096 | What will be the UK's annual inflation rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -77.929 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -91.593 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -159.767 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -228.753 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| -502.100 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |