| 167.654 | What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 99.667 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
California for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 99.085 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 98.973 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 98.773 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 98.773 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 98.633 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 98.504 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 98.160 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 98.091 | When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election? (2024) | Binary |
| 97.981 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.611 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 96.919 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 96.484 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 95.841 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 95.827 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 95.770 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 95.711 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 95.220 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 95.008 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 95.008 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 94.579 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 92.467 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou (Independent)) | Binary |
| 92.074 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 90.727 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 89.312 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 88.757 | Will Adobe acquire Figma by the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 88.054 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 87.412 | Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 86.814 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Ko Wen-je (TPP)) | Binary |
| 86.234 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
| 86.017 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 85.131 | Musk Chairman Of Twitter in 2024? (Yes) → Twitter Public Company in May 2024? | Binary |
| 84.947 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 84.947 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 84.947 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 84.798 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 84.798 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 84.538 | Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly? | Binary |
| 84.499 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 83.375 | Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 83.363 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Florida for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 83.065 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 83.023 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 82.882 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 82.328 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Pennsylvania for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 82.071 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 81.723 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
New York for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 81.057 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Illinois for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 80.671 | Will OpenAI Inc. change its mission statement before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 80.596 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Texas for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 79.339 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 79.214 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 79.088 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Washington for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 79.052 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 78.895 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 78.417 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 78.292 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 78.011 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 78.008 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 77.949 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 77.809 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 77.550 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 77.422 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 76.721 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 76.376 | How many nonstrategic nuclear weapons will be deployed at the end of 2023? | Continuous |
| 75.548 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 75.334 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 74.794 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 74.793 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 73.385 | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 73.067 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
| 72.468 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Colorado for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 72.446 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Massachusetts for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 72.414 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 72.268 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 72.268 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 72.268 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 72.226 | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 72.220 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 71.222 | Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 71.191 | Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025? | Binary |
| 70.711 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 69.935 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| 69.361 | How many additional indictments will have been filed against Donald Trump on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 69.316 | Will Alphabet’s (GOOG) market capitalisation fall below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 67.730 | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| 67.122 | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 66.925 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 66.894 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 66.867 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 65.281 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 65.029 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 65.012 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 64.983 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 64.980 | What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 64.904 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 64.717 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 64.714 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 64.676 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 64.525 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 64.521 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 64.512 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 64.512 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 64.512 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 64.512 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 64.512 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 64.512 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 64.512 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 64.512 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 64.494 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 64.483 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 64.131 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 64.060 | Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025? | Binary |
| 63.994 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 63.991 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 63.979 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 63.869 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 63.722 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| 63.703 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 63.603 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 63.538 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 63.397 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Missouri for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 63.272 | Will a new highly-diamagnetic room-temperature material be found before 2025? | Binary |
| 63.238 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 63.215 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 62.766 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 62.519 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| 62.221 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 62.172 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 62.026 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 62.020 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 62.017 | Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 61.651 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 61.588 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 60.969 | What will be the US labor force participation rate for the May 2024? | Continuous |
| 60.891 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 60.414 | How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 60.311 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 59.665 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 59.635 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 59.542 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Hou Yu-ih (Kuomintang)) | Binary |
| 59.369 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 59.288 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 58.950 | Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 58.828 | Will the stock price of NVIDIA trade below $250 (adjusted to pre-split value) for at least 1 full day before 2025? | Binary |
| 58.696 | Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025? | Binary |
| 58.418 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 58.203 | When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally? | Continuous |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Parham Maghsoodloo) | Binary |
| 58.097 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Leinier Domínguez Pérez) | Binary |
| 58.044 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
| 57.987 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| 57.939 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| 57.772 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| 57.767 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 57.763 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (United States) | Binary |
| 57.743 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| 57.737 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| 57.713 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
| 57.614 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
| 57.575 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
| 57.564 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 57.448 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 56.985 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 56.867 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |
| 56.864 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
| 56.778 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
| 56.716 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 56.542 | Will a cultivated meat company be profitable by April 2023? | Binary |
| 56.459 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 56.364 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Russia) | Binary |
| 56.100 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| 55.819 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 55.706 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| 55.534 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 55.271 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New York Giants) | Binary |
| 55.207 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| 55.055 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| 54.693 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 54.393 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 54.375 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 54.183 | Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 53.846 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 53.638 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 53.530 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Brazil) | Binary |
| 53.486 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 53.482 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 52.642 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 52.303 | What will be the total number of air incursions into the ADIZ between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 51.833 | What will be the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 10, 2024) | Continuous |
| 50.819 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.867 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| 49.577 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| 49.569 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 49.538 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 49.239 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| 48.916 | Will a Chinese firm market an ArFi photolithography machine before 2025? | Binary |
| 48.773 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 48.763 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 48.594 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 48.120 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 47.913 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 47.803 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 47.446 | What will be the total capacity (in GW) for all operational offshore windfarms in the UK on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 47.432 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 46.998 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 46.730 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 46.191 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 46.116 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 46.032 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 45.797 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 27, 2024) | Continuous |
| 45.505 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 45.503 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 45.288 | Will Libya hold a presidential election before 2025? | Binary |
| 45.260 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 45.211 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 44.720 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrats) | Continuous |
| 44.708 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 44.183 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Washington for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 43.578 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 43.418 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| 43.271 | What will be the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 27, 2024) | Continuous |
| 42.277 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 42.018 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 41.839 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| 41.547 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 41.176 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Lai Ching-te (DPP)) | Binary |
| 40.950 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 40.867 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 40.844 | Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 40.233 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 10, 2024) | Continuous |
| 40.181 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
| 39.720 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 38.906 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 38.565 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 38.272 | 5% Bing Market Share in March 2024? (No) → GOOG Market Cap Below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 38.211 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 38.201 | What percentage of the African Union’s budget will be contributed by its member states in the budget for fiscal year 2025? | Continuous |
| 37.376 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 37.354 | How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024? | Continuous |
| 37.170 | What will be the UK's annual inflation rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 37.105 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Conservative and Unionist Party) | Continuous |
| 35.910 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 35.882 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
| 35.673 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 35.670 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 35.470 | What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 35.149 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 34.904 | Will Apple announce Apple Glasses before 2025? | Binary |
| 34.227 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 34.041 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the US on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 33.834 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
| 33.551 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 32.548 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
California for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 32.514 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 32.336 | What will be the total bilateral commitments of Ukraine support (in billions of EUR) on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 32.321 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (April 2024) | Continuous |
| 32.059 | How much oil will Russia produce (in barrels per day) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 31.918 | Will these AI labs launch a mechanism to enable users to understand if content is generated by their AIs before July 1, 2024? (Meta) | Binary |
| 31.074 | Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025? | Binary |
| 31.064 | Will these AI labs launch a mechanism to enable users to understand if content is generated by their AIs before July 1, 2024? (Inflection) | Binary |
| 30.645 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 30.357 | What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election? | Continuous |
| 30.168 | Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates? | Binary |
| 30.141 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 29.947 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| 29.662 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 29.484 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
| 29.103 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 27.910 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
| 27.895 | Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least as capable as original GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 27.862 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
| 26.880 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (BJP) | Binary |
| 26.880 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (INC) | Binary |
| 26.390 | Will Oil Exports account for less than 70% of Saudi Arabian exports in Q1 2024? | Binary |
| 26.313 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| 26.263 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
| 26.044 | What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 25.717 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 25.567 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Bankman-Fried) | Binary |
| 25.139 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| 25.053 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| 24.837 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 24.588 | Will Linda Yaccarino be the CEO of Twitter on July 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 24.525 | UN Troops In Gaza (No) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 23.117 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 22.725 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 22.504 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 22.282 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 22.204 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 21.354 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 21.000 | What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 20.764 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (China) | Binary |
| 20.279 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| 19.798 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 19.404 | What will the UK consumer price inflation rate for April 2024 be? | Continuous |
| 19.084 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Vietnam) | Binary |
| 18.935 | Will Israel and Palestine hold peace talks in 2022? | Binary |
| 18.539 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 17.886 | Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025? | Binary |
| 17.660 | What will be the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 17.557 | Will these AI labs launch a mechanism to enable users to understand if content is generated by their AIs before July 1, 2024? (Anthropic) | Binary |
| 17.456 | Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 16.862 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Donald Trump) | Continuous |
| 16.842 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Thailand) | Binary |
| 16.476 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 15.356 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 15.248 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 13, 2024) | Continuous |
| 14.853 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 14.417 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Green Party of England and Wales) | Continuous |
| 13.690 | What percent of the world population will use the internet in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 13.502 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 13.101 | What will be the wheat price on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 12.859 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| 12.340 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| 12.081 | Will the US claim that Russia has exceeded New START treaty limits on nuclear weapons before 2025? | Binary |
| 12.044 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Colorado for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 11.631 | What will the disclosed global venture capital investment in cultivated meat companies be in 2022 (in millions of USD)? | Continuous |
| 11.260 | What will be the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 13, 2024) | Continuous |
| 11.253 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Florida for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 11.197 | Will Donald Trump be charged with witness tampering in Georgia before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 10.715 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| 10.131 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| 9.729 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 9.370 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 9.359 | Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023? | Binary |
| 9.100 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 8.892 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 8.773 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| 8.041 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |
| 8.031 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Plaid Cymru) | Continuous |
| 7.910 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 7.882 | What will China’s GDP be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 7.675 | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
| 7.317 | What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 7.195 | How many migrants will die in 2022 trying to cross the Mediterranean? | Continuous |
| 7.148 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 7.114 | How much will a pound of fresh beef cost in cents in January 2023? | Continuous |
| 6.826 | How many dollars will it cost per month to store 1 TB on Google Cloud Archive in 2025? | Continuous |
| 6.622 | What will be the British male life expectancy at birth in 2021 according to the UK Office of National Statistics? | Continuous |
| 6.135 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Alliance) | Continuous |
| 6.123 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Texas for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 6.046 | Will any state hold a caucus instead of a primary for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2024? | Binary |
| 5.708 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (SDLP) | Continuous |
| 5.125 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Greens) | Continuous |
| 4.764 | What will the fed funds rate be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 4.534 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Sinn Féin) | Continuous |
| 4.383 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
| 4.262 | What will the unemployment rate be in the eurozone in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 4.227 | What will the price of oil be for December 2022? | Continuous |
| 4.184 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 4.156 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 4.156 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 4.024 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 4.002 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (DUP) | Continuous |
| 3.969 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 3.687 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (European Union) | Binary |
| 3.523 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 3.398 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 3.154 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.739 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Nishad Singh) | Binary |
| 2.413 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.329 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.294 | What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025? | Continuous |
| 2.099 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| 2.061 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan? | Binary |
| 2.047 | Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.694 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 1.632 | Will these AI labs launch a mechanism to enable users to understand if content is generated by their AIs before July 1, 2024? (Google Deep Mind) | Binary |
| 1.623 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 1.504 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Labour Party) | Continuous |
| 1.433 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| 1.409 | Will these AI labs launch a mechanism to enable users to understand if content is generated by their AIs before July 1, 2024? (OpenAI) | Binary |
| 1.240 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.928 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 0.834 | How many deployed nuclear weapons will there be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 0.521 | When will the next UK general election take place? | Continuous |
| 0.520 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 0.520 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 0.520 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 0.520 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 0.520 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 0.520 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 0.516 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 0.516 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 0.429 | Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025? | Binary |
| 0.416 | Will The Kidney Project's implantable bioartificial kidney receive FDA approval before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.321 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Caroline Ellison) | Binary |
| 0.235 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Gary Wang) | Binary |
| 0.222 | How many missile test events will North Korea conduct in 2022 and 2023? | Continuous |
| 0.130 | How many Flex Alerts will be issued in California in 2024? | Continuous |
| 0.108 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| 0.097 | Will the German value-added tax (VAT) of plant-based milks be reduced to be the same as cow's milk by end of 2024? | Binary |
| 0.086 | How many of the AI developers who published safety policies in advance of the UK AI Summit will express an intent to abide by the G7 Code of Conduct before 2025? (1) | Binary |
| 0.086 | How many of the AI developers who published safety policies in advance of the UK AI Summit will express an intent to abide by the G7 Code of Conduct before 2025? (2) | Binary |
| 0.086 | How many of the AI developers who published safety policies in advance of the UK AI Summit will express an intent to abide by the G7 Code of Conduct before 2025? (6) | Binary |
| 0.086 | How many of the AI developers who published safety policies in advance of the UK AI Summit will express an intent to abide by the G7 Code of Conduct before 2025? (3) | Binary |
| 0.086 | How many of the AI developers who published safety policies in advance of the UK AI Summit will express an intent to abide by the G7 Code of Conduct before 2025? (4) | Binary |
| 0.086 | How many of the AI developers who published safety policies in advance of the UK AI Summit will express an intent to abide by the G7 Code of Conduct before 2025? (5) | Binary |
| 0.066 | Will Russia impose a total ban on Apple products before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.062 | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.055 | Will an LLM pass an ARA evaluation before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.054 | Will the listed AI companies/labs practice implementing emergency response plans before January 1st, 2025? (Google DeepMind) | Binary |
| 0.054 | Will the listed AI companies/labs practice implementing emergency response plans before January 1st, 2025? (Anthropic) | Binary |
| 0.054 | Will the listed AI companies/labs practice implementing emergency response plans before January 1st, 2025? (OpenAI) | Binary |
| 0.054 | Will the listed AI companies/labs pause any of their models before January 1st, 2025 because they detect dangerous capabilities? (Anthropic) | Binary |
| 0.054 | Will the listed AI companies/labs pause any of their models before January 1st, 2025 because they detect dangerous capabilities? (OpenAI) | Binary |
| 0.054 | Will the listed AI companies/labs pause any of their models before January 1st, 2025 because they detect dangerous capabilities? (Google DeepMind) | Binary |
| 0.054 | Will the listed AI companies/labs create a board risk committee before January 1st, 2025? (Google DeepMind) | Binary |
| 0.054 | Will the listed AI companies/labs create a board risk committee before January 1st, 2025? (Anthropic) | Binary |
| 0.054 | Will the listed AI companies/labs have merge and assist clauses on January 1st 2025? (Anthropic) | Binary |
| 0.054 | Will the listed AI companies/labs have merge and assist clauses on January 1st 2025? (Google DeepMind) | Binary |
| 0.054 | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.054 | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses autonomously self-replicating LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.053 | Will the listed AI companies/labs have merge and assist clauses on January 1st 2025? (OpenAI) | Binary |
| 0.052 | Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.050 | Will a stock exchange halt trading for >24 hours with a cause widely attributed to AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.050 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.042 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 0.039 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 3) | Binary |
| 0.039 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 2) | Binary |
| 0.039 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 1) | Binary |
| 0.035 | Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.035 | Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 per unit before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.035 | What will be the best accuracy score on the MATH dataset by 2025? | Continuous |
| 0.035 | Which of the listed LLMs will integrate a version of output watermarking before January 1, 2025? (OpenAI GPT-4, not optional) | Binary |
| 0.035 | Which of the listed LLMs will integrate a version of output watermarking before January 1, 2025? (OpenAI GPT-4, optional) | Binary |
| 0.035 | Which of the listed LLMs will integrate a version of output watermarking before January 1, 2025? (Anthropic AI Claude, not optional) | Binary |
| 0.035 | Which of the listed LLMs will integrate a version of output watermarking before January 1, 2025? (Anthropic AI Claude, optional) | Binary |
| 0.035 | Which of the listed LLMs will integrate a version of output watermarking before January 1, 2025? (GitHub Copilot, optional) | Binary |
| 0.034 | Will Hawaiian Electric Company file for bankruptcy before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.029 | Will an act such as the JCPA significantly strengthen US news companies' bargaining position before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.026 | When will Julian Assange be extradited to the US? | Continuous |
| 0.025 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.020 | Will the U.S. phase out per-country caps on employment-based visas before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.004 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.003 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
| 0.003 | Will Gary Gensler be subpoenaed by Congress before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.003 | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
| 0.001 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
| 0.001 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| - | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| - | Will the ANC receive more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 South African general election? | Binary |
| - | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| -0.487 | When will Kwasi Kwarteng no longer hold the office of UK chancellor of the Exchequer? | Continuous |
| -0.777 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| -0.806 | Will Johnathan Davis be re-elected at the 2024 ACT election? | Binary |
| -1.745 | When will OpenAI make the GPT-4 model available for free ChatGPT users? | Continuous |
| -2.294 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -2.830 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| -4.082 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| -4.724 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Reform UK) | Continuous |
| -5.106 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Illinois for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -6.529 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| -6.728 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -6.830 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| -6.873 | Will the US Supreme Court grant a writ of certiorari to the presidential immunity case before February 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -7.811 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -8.443 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Pennsylvania for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -9.426 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| -9.679 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| -10.336 | Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025? | Binary |
| -11.027 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| -12.333 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
| -15.170 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
New York for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -17.255 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| -17.395 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Missouri for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -18.620 | What will the estimated number of people (in millions) in severe food insecurity be in 2022, according to the 2023 FAO “State of food security and nutrition in the world” annual report? | Continuous |
| -19.040 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Massachusetts for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -20.570 | Will Apple Watch feature a blood pressure monitor before 2025? | Binary |
| -21.516 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| -21.548 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -22.442 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -25.577 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| -28.228 | What percentage of the popular vote will the African National Congress get in the 2024 South African general election? | Continuous |
| -30.852 | What will be the US Federal Funds Rate on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| -38.845 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -40.822 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (5: Negotiations initiated) | Continuous |
| -47.713 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| -66.041 | What will the USD price of Bitcoin be on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| -67.017 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (4: Negotiations approved) | Continuous |
| -67.787 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| -74.605 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (3: Negotiations recommended) | Continuous |
| -79.553 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -81.807 | Will an Alphabet company win the general category for protein structure prediction at CASP15 in 2022? | Binary |
| -87.415 | What will be the Shiller P/E ratio of the S&P 500 on January 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| -93.603 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -94.912 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| -100.185 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| -107.908 | Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| -123.771 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| -142.771 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| -152.809 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| -163.628 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -164.712 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -225.985 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| -278.634 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |