| 103.767 | How much money will the FTX Foundation distribute in 2023? | Continuous |
| 98.356 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 98.303 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 98.169 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Sam Altman against OpenAI) | Binary |
| 98.072 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 98.038 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 97.986 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Government antitrust against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 96.962 | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
| 96.931 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 95.854 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 95.431 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 95.291 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dwayne Johnson) | Binary |
| 94.673 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 94.393 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 94.288 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 93.454 | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 92.349 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
| 91.850 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI investors against OpenAI board) | Binary |
| 91.619 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 90.666 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
| 90.658 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
| 90.623 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman (D)) | Binary |
| 90.575 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
| 90.573 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
| 90.534 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
| 90.477 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
| 90.283 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 90.024 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Josh Gottheimer (D)) | Binary |
| 89.962 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| 89.815 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| 89.511 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 89.462 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Frank Pallone (D)) | Binary |
| 89.429 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 89.390 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mark Cuban) | Binary |
| 89.390 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mitt Romney) | Binary |
| 89.350 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
| 89.215 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Dallas Mavericks) | Binary |
| 89.092 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 88.789 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 88.655 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 88.425 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 88.319 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 88.309 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 88.248 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
| 88.057 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 88.025 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| 88.025 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| 87.955 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 87.955 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 87.730 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| 87.716 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 87.475 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 87.475 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 87.348 | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
| 87.231 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 86.984 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 86.984 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 86.811 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 86.734 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 86.582 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (NJ First Lady Tammy Murphy (D)) | Binary |
| 86.526 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
| 86.413 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Donald Norcross (D)) | Binary |
| 86.306 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
| 86.265 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| 85.620 | Will the listed AI companies/labs pause any of their models before January 1st, 2025 because they detect dangerous capabilities? (OpenAI) | Binary |
| 85.620 | Will the listed AI companies/labs pause any of their models before January 1st, 2025 because they detect dangerous capabilities? (Google DeepMind) | Binary |
| 85.544 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Lt. Governor Tahesha Way (D)) | Binary |
| 85.511 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 85.453 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
| 85.443 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
| 85.194 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
| 84.662 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (State Senate Majority Leader Teresa Ruiz (D)) | Binary |
| 84.337 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 84.040 | Will the listed AI companies/labs pause any of their models before January 1st, 2025 because they detect dangerous capabilities? (Anthropic) | Binary |
| 83.532 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Vacant) | Binary |
| 83.400 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 83.400 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 83.187 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 82.679 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 82.650 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Mikie Sherrill (D)) | Binary |
| 82.559 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Minnesota Timberwolves) | Binary |
| 82.347 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 81.784 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 81.692 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
| 80.533 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Indiana Pacers) | Binary |
| 80.361 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| 80.018 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| 79.637 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 79.091 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 78.715 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 78.702 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 78.486 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Oklahoma City Thunder) | Binary |
| 78.425 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 78.351 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 78.100 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 77.921 | Will OpenAI Inc. change its mission statement before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 77.822 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 77.709 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Andy Kim (D)) | Binary |
| 77.240 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Cleveland Cavaliers) | Binary |
| 77.152 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 77.122 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New York Knicks) | Binary |
| 76.919 | Musk Chairman Of Twitter in 2024? (Yes) → Twitter Public Company in May 2024? | Binary |
| 76.846 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 76.465 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 76.007 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 75.859 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 75.641 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 75.470 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 75.470 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 75.359 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 74.532 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 74.353 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 74.013 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 73.812 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 73.403 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 72.852 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Orlando Magic) | Binary |
| 72.375 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 72.184 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 71.261 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco) | Binary |
| 71.215 | Will Russia impose a total ban on Apple products before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 71.182 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 70.944 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 70.912 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| 70.820 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Parham Maghsoodloo) | Binary |
| 70.435 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 70.365 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New Orleans Pelicans) | Binary |
| 70.246 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 69.985 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 69.451 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 69.436 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 69.436 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 69.436 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 69.045 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Leinier Domínguez Pérez) | Binary |
| 68.949 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Philadelphia 76ers) | Binary |
| 68.899 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Athletico Madrid) | Binary |
| 68.884 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| 68.570 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
| 68.225 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Clippers) | Binary |
| 67.482 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Chicago Bulls) | Binary |
| 66.991 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Sacremento Kings) | Binary |
| 66.780 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 66.737 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Atlanta Hawks) | Binary |
| 66.197 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Lakers) | Binary |
| 65.947 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
| 65.891 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 65.755 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Miami Heat) | Binary |
| 65.644 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (RSV) | Continuous |
| 64.842 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 62.916 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Brooklyn Nets) | Binary |
| 62.915 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Houston Rockets) | Binary |
| 62.258 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 61.223 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 60.666 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 60.222 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou (Independent)) | Binary |
| 59.964 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Phoenix Suns) | Binary |
| 59.253 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Golden State Warriors) | Binary |
| 58.585 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay) | Binary |
| 58.513 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Morocco) | Binary |
| 58.418 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Toronto Raptors) | Binary |
| 58.418 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Utah Jazz) | Binary |
| 57.874 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 57.796 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (PSV) | Binary |
| 56.950 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Porto) | Binary |
| 56.834 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Charlotte Hornets) | Binary |
| 56.601 | What will the fed funds rate be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 55.964 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 55.823 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Denver Nuggets) | Binary |
| 55.494 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Memphis Grizzlies) | Binary |
| 55.333 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| 54.686 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Copenhagen) | Binary |
| 54.366 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Portland Trail Blazers) | Binary |
| 54.268 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lazio) | Binary |
| 54.237 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Ko Wen-je (TPP)) | Binary |
| 54.089 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 54.089 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 54.089 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 54.088 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 54.088 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 53.964 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
| 53.842 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Napoli) | Binary |
| 53.760 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Sociedad) | Binary |
| 52.546 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| 52.527 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 52.481 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 51.513 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Washington Wizards) | Binary |
| 51.216 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Detroit Pistons) | Binary |
| 50.763 | Meaningful commitments from UK AI Summit? (No) → ChatGPT available in Europe on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 50.205 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (San Antonio Spurs) | Binary |
| 50.172 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Milwaukee Bucks) | Binary |
| 49.946 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| 49.642 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 49.642 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 49.044 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| 48.690 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| 47.751 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 47.151 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 46.794 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 46.653 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 44.830 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
| 43.345 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 43.139 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Flu) | Continuous |
| 41.461 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New York Giants) | Binary |
| 41.214 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 40.815 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| 40.435 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Hou Yu-ih (Kuomintang)) | Binary |
| 40.063 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| 39.361 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| 38.827 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 38.079 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
| 37.869 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 37.063 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 36.829 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| 36.532 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 36.260 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 36.092 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 35.847 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| 35.744 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| 34.765 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 34.618 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 34.123 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| 33.908 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 33.180 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 32.840 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 32.822 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 32.738 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 32.714 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 32.682 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 32.657 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 32.349 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 32.218 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 31.934 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 31.883 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 31.843 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 31.769 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 31.748 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 30.205 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 29.086 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 28.760 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 28.610 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 28.101 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Lai Ching-te (DPP)) | Binary |
| 28.079 | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| 27.820 | Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models? | Binary |
| 27.361 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 26.667 | What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 24.851 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 24.467 | What will the USD price of Bitcoin be on December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 24.033 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 23.728 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Senator Bob Menendez (D)) | Binary |
| 22.916 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| 21.892 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 21.820 | How many Annex 2 states will ratify the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty by 2024? | Continuous |
| 21.297 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 21.297 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 20.715 | Will Meta's Horizon Worlds report more than 500,000 active users for any month of 2023? | Binary |
| 20.379 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Bankman-Fried) | Binary |
| 19.621 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
| 18.318 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 18.080 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 17.679 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
| 16.982 | What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 16.754 | How many subscribers will the Youtube channel Rational Animations have on November 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 16.627 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 16.290 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 16.177 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Shakhtar Donetsk) | Binary |
| 16.049 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| 15.680 | Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023? | Binary |
| 15.464 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 15.202 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Braga) | Binary |
| 15.018 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (AC Milan) | Binary |
| 14.956 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Galatasaray) | Binary |
| 14.752 | Will Elon Musk face US federal criminal charges or an SEC civil complaint before 2026? | Binary |
| 14.363 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 14.304 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 14.229 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |
| 13.176 | How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 12.989 | How many nonstrategic nuclear weapons will be deployed at the end of 2023? | Continuous |
| 12.472 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 12.005 | How many deployed nuclear weapons will there be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 10.983 | What will be the total size of MacArthur's 2022 and 2023 Nuclear Challenges grants? | Continuous |
| 10.450 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 10.384 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 10.087 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Crvena Zvezda) | Binary |
| 9.997 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
| 9.817 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Sevilla) | Binary |
| 9.543 | Will any state hold a caucus instead of a primary for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2024? | Binary |
| 9.532 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 9.508 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 9.467 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 9.456 | What will the release date of the first song to be streamed 4 billion times on Spotify be? | Continuous |
| 9.452 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lens) | Binary |
| 9.437 | When will a song have been streamed 4 billion times on Spotify? | Continuous |
| 9.278 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 9.237 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Feyenoord) | Binary |
| 9.237 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Celtic) | Binary |
| 9.207 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| 9.016 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 8.968 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 8.688 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 8.636 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 8.636 | Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 8.631 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.626 | How many staff will the Arms Control Association, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, and Ploughshares Fund have at the end of 2023? | Continuous |
| 8.617 | Will Oil Exports account for less than 70% of Saudi Arabian exports in Q1 2024? | Binary |
| 8.467 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 8.460 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Eric Schmidt) | Binary |
| 8.415 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
| 8.400 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 8.378 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Andrej Karpathy) | Binary |
| 8.306 | By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 8.253 | By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty? | Binary |
| 8.252 | By 2024, will China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 8.224 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Ilya Sutskever) | Binary |
| 8.145 | Will the US officially state the intention to re-ratify the INF Treaty by 2024? | Binary |
| 8.087 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 8.064 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.972 | What will be the UK's annual inflation rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 7.870 | By 2024, will a nuclear-armed state other than the US, Russia, or China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 7.838 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 7.606 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Mira Murati) | Binary |
| 7.582 | Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates? | Binary |
| 7.538 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 7.521 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 7.471 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 7.466 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 7.448 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.448 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.400 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 7.399 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.329 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 7.281 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 6.879 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.694 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.656 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.262 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 6.144 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Emmett Shear) | Binary |
| 6.047 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| 5.703 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
| 5.689 | When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO? | Continuous |
| 5.615 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 4.726 | How many Japanese Air Force responses to Chinese military threats there will be by 2024? | Continuous |
| 4.573 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| 4.025 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| 3.813 | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
| 3.668 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 3.392 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 3.062 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.736 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 2.231 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 1.984 | Will copyright of at least one of the depictions of Mickey Mouse be extended beyond the current deadline of January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 1.654 | How many ketamine infusion clinics will there be on January 1, 2025 in the USA? | Continuous |
| 1.551 | Will Google block third-party cookies on Chrome before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.198 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Salzburg) | Binary |
| 1.169 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Union Berlin) | Binary |
| 1.169 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| 1.149 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| 1.065 | What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025? | Continuous |
| 0.975 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.896 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Antwerp) | Binary |
| 0.870 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Young Boys) | Binary |
| 0.838 | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 0.378 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Nishad Singh) | Binary |
| 0.144 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| -5.261 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -5.346 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| -7.279 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -7.494 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| -9.147 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| -10.617 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| -11.916 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| -15.041 | Will these AI labs launch a mechanism to enable users to understand if content is generated by their AIs before July 1, 2024? (Meta) | Binary |
| -15.062 | How many Chinese institutions of higher education will get approved for an artificial intelligence undergraduate program in 2023? | Continuous |
| -20.438 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| -21.008 | What will China’s GDP be in 2023? | Continuous |
| -24.916 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| -24.916 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -32.212 | Will these AI labs launch a mechanism to enable users to understand if content is generated by their AIs before July 1, 2024? (Google Deep Mind) | Binary |
| -43.959 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -49.566 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -61.939 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| -71.560 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| -77.762 | Will these AI labs launch a mechanism to enable users to understand if content is generated by their AIs before July 1, 2024? (Anthropic) | Binary |
| -95.281 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Boston Celtics) | Binary |
| -101.813 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -103.321 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| -107.178 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| -110.852 | Will these AI labs launch a mechanism to enable users to understand if content is generated by their AIs before July 1, 2024? (OpenAI) | Binary |
| -118.672 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| -158.721 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| -165.375 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| -232.842 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| -535.503 | Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025? | Binary |