| 98.653 | Room-temp Superconductor Replicated by 2025 (No) → Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025? | Binary |
| 98.084 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 97.557 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 97.042 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 95.375 | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 93.141 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 93.140 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 93.140 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 93.140 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 93.140 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 93.140 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 87.298 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 83.171 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 82.574 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 81.937 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 81.743 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 81.173 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 80.468 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 78.060 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 77.193 | Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 76.724 | Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 75.541 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 74.255 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
| 73.299 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 70.569 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 70.569 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 70.569 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 70.352 | Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? (No) → 2024 US election considered fraudulent? | Binary |
| 68.970 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 68.946 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 68.275 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 65.425 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 64.888 | Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly? | Binary |
| 62.247 | Will the US re-implement a ban on funding gain-of-function research in 2022? | Binary |
| 62.242 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (China) | Binary |
| 62.242 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Vietnam) | Binary |
| 62.182 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 61.909 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 60.621 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 60.621 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 60.621 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 60.621 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 60.621 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 59.669 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 59.579 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 57.022 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 54.738 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 53.848 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 53.349 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 53.349 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 52.676 | Will any state hold a caucus instead of a primary for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2024? | Binary |
| 50.348 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 50.123 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 49.006 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.005 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.005 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.005 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.004 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 48.933 | Will Israel and Palestine hold peace talks in 2022? | Binary |
| 47.485 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 46.415 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 41.402 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 39.875 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 38.716 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 38.014 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 36.273 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 35.396 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 34.941 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 33.996 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 32.038 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 31.893 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
| 31.865 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 30.308 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 28.299 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| 28.010 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 26.312 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 25.588 | Will Russia impose a total ban on Apple products before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 25.578 | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| 25.363 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 24.897 | By 2024, will China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 24.654 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 24.647 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 24.647 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 24.647 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 24.647 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 24.647 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 24.647 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 24.324 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 23.580 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 23.008 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 22.434 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 21.626 | Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 21.469 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| 20.545 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 20.480 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 20.469 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 19.866 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 19.866 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 19.866 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 19.866 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 19.866 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 19.865 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 19.851 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 19.851 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 19.315 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 19.291 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 18.301 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 18.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 18.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 18.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 18.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 18.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 18.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 18.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 18.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 18.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 18.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 18.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 17.818 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 16.735 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 16.382 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2023? | Binary |
| 15.887 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 15.593 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 15.593 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 15.297 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 14.638 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (United States) | Binary |
| 14.501 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 14.055 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 13.843 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 13.577 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 13.523 | Will tirzepatide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.521 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 9.887 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 8.893 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 8.572 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 8.520 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 8.242 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Russia) | Binary |
| 8.204 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 8.041 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 7.796 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.512 | By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 7.470 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 6.772 | By 2024, will a nuclear-armed state other than the US, Russia, or China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 4.358 | Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022? | Binary |
| 2.461 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 2.042 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 2.026 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 1.825 | Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.154 | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 0.796 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.226 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| - | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| - | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| -0.331 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| -0.979 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| -2.431 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| -3.667 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (India) | Binary |
| -4.195 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -7.003 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
| -7.246 | Will the US claim that Russia has exceeded New START treaty limits on nuclear weapons before 2025? | Binary |
| -9.362 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan? | Binary |
| -9.552 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| -13.709 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |
| -13.831 | Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022? | Binary |
| -16.605 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| -18.194 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -20.864 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -23.748 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| -42.785 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| -49.115 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Thailand) | Binary |
| -62.551 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -89.841 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -89.887 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -94.700 | Will these countries approve a cultivated meat product for consumption before April 2023? (Israel) | Binary |
| -111.547 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| -113.522 | What will China’s GDP be in 2023? | Continuous |
| -122.234 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| -205.484 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -299.958 | Will the right-wing incumbent BJP win the 2024 national election in India? | Binary |