| 101.330 | When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally? | Continuous |
| 96.267 | Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025? | Binary |
| 96.263 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| 96.263 | Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 per unit before 2025? | Binary |
| 90.613 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 89.053 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 86.762 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 85.742 | Will Meta's Horizon Worlds report more than 500,000 active users for any month of 2023? | Binary |
| 82.656 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 81.286 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 76.161 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 69.030 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
| 68.558 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 68.558 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 68.558 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 68.478 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 68.380 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 67.415 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 67.236 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 66.571 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 65.608 | Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 64.858 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 64.858 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 63.883 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 63.781 | Will a stock exchange halt trading for >24 hours with a cause widely attributed to AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 62.354 | What will the fed funds rate be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 57.442 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 56.260 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 55.521 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 54.656 | Will the stock price of NVIDIA trade below $250 (adjusted to pre-split value) for at least 1 full day before 2025? | Binary |
| 52.902 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 52.526 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 48.081 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 47.094 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 46.942 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 46.478 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 46.446 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 46.370 | What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months? (Jan-24) | Continuous |
| 46.366 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 46.366 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 46.286 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 46.286 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 46.258 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 46.141 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 45.956 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 45.516 | How many nonstrategic nuclear weapons will be deployed at the end of 2023? | Continuous |
| 44.668 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 44.195 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
| 44.053 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 43.055 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 41.725 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 41.602 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 41.410 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 40.045 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 39.463 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 36.983 | Will Oil Exports account for less than 70% of Saudi Arabian exports in Q1 2024? | Binary |
| 36.882 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 36.596 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 36.193 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 35.727 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 35.727 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 35.727 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 35.727 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 35.727 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 35.445 | Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025? | Binary |
| 35.144 | What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months? (Dec-23) | Continuous |
| 35.028 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 34.887 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 34.823 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 34.742 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 34.402 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 33.380 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 33.148 | Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 32.996 | Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025? | Binary |
| 32.908 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 32.879 | When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO? | Continuous |
| 32.841 | By 2024, will China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 31.458 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 30.781 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 30.781 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 30.324 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 30.093 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 28.971 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 28.853 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 28.665 | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| 28.441 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 28.298 | Will France place in the Top 5 at the 2024 Paris Olympics? | Binary |
| 27.869 | How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 26.920 | Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 26.437 | How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024? | Continuous |
| 26.395 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 25.986 | When will a song have been streamed 4 billion times on Spotify? | Continuous |
| 25.908 | 5% Bing Market Share in March 2024? (No) → GOOG Market Cap Below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 25.582 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 25.564 | Will Russia impose a total ban on Apple products before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 24.957 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 23.487 | Will Hawaiian Electric Company file for bankruptcy before 2025? | Binary |
| 23.477 | How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered globally by December 31, 2022? | Continuous |
| 22.705 | Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates? | Binary |
| 21.887 | How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"? | Continuous |
| 21.098 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 20.932 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Bankman-Fried) | Binary |
| 20.357 | Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 20.214 | Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 19.851 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco) | Binary |
| 19.851 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Morocco) | Binary |
| 19.851 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 19.851 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 19.743 | Will Alphabet’s (GOOG) market capitalisation fall below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 19.407 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 18.963 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 18.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 18.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 18.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 18.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 18.956 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 18.936 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 18.846 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 18.633 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 18.633 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 18.633 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 18.259 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 18.149 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 17.987 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 17.851 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 17.725 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 17.713 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 17.648 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 17.568 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 17.526 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 17.438 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 17.418 | What will Great Britain's maximum solar power capacity (MW) be for October 2024? | Continuous |
| 17.392 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 17.265 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 17.253 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 17.156 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 17.098 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 17.083 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 17.078 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 17.057 | Will Australia hold a Federal Referendum on an "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 16.889 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 16.743 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 16.663 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 16.639 | What will be the ratio of Biden's to Trump's US Google search volumes in the third quarter of 2022? | Continuous |
| 16.488 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 16.239 | How many subscribers will the Youtube channel Rational Animations have on November 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 16.174 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 16.164 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 16.021 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 15.718 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 15.624 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
| 15.408 | What will be the average monthly rate of US workforce resignations in 2022? | Continuous |
| 15.263 | Will US Attorney General Merrick Garland be impeached before the 2024 federal election? | Binary |
| 14.609 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 14.554 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| 14.541 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 14.409 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 14.158 | What will be the Shiller P/E ratio of the S&P 500 on January 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| 14.040 | Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? (No) → 2024 US election considered fraudulent? | Binary |
| 13.968 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 13.790 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.773 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 13.759 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Minnesota Lynx) | Binary |
| 12.775 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Connecticut Sun) | Binary |
| 12.647 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026? | Binary |
| 12.345 | How many commercial flights will be in operation globally on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
| 11.957 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.866 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 11.777 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
| 11.702 | Will a university other than Oxford or Cambridge be ranked first in the Times & Sunday Times Good University Guide 2023 again? | Binary |
| 11.685 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| 11.572 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Phoenix Mercury) | Binary |
| 11.480 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Atlanta Dream) | Binary |
| 11.421 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Indiana Fever) | Binary |
| 10.770 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Los Angeles Sparks) | Binary |
| 10.770 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Washington Mystics) | Binary |
| 10.725 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Seattle Storm) | Binary |
| 10.702 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Chicago Sky) | Binary |
| 10.702 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Dallas Wings) | Binary |
| 10.382 | Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 10.269 | Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025? | Binary |
| 9.728 | What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters? (2024 Q1) | Continuous |
| 9.637 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Sep-24) | Continuous |
| 9.556 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.944 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 8.941 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 8.900 | Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 8.837 | What will be the British male life expectancy at birth in 2021 according to the UK Office of National Statistics? | Continuous |
| 8.788 | Will copyright of at least one of the depictions of Mickey Mouse be extended beyond the current deadline of January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 8.248 | When will OpenAI release an AI that significantly improves on GPT-4's factual accuracy? | Continuous |
| 8.214 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.152 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (New Glenn) | Continuous |
| 8.128 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 7.956 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Las Vegas Aces) | Binary |
| 7.717 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 7.549 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 6.947 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.831 | Will tirzepatide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA before 2025? | Binary |
| 6.760 | Will Johnathan Davis be re-elected at the 2024 ACT election? | Binary |
| 6.290 | What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election? | Continuous |
| 6.263 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| 6.137 | Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks? | Binary |
| 5.879 | Will someone agree to participate in a Rootclaim challenge before 2025? | Binary |
| 5.646 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 5.551 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 5.509 | Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs before 2025? | Binary |
| 5.410 | How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks from September 17, 2021 to September 17, 2022? | Continuous |
| 5.387 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 5.209 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 5.180 | Will there be a Frontier AI Lab outside the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 5.164 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Atlético Newell's Old Boys) | Binary |
| 5.162 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Manchester City Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.153 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Al-Hilal Saudi Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.151 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Futbol Club Barcelona) | Binary |
| 5.066 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| 4.859 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami) | Binary |
| 4.657 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dwayne Johnson) | Binary |
| 4.657 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mitt Romney) | Binary |
| 4.657 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Manchin) | Binary |
| 4.643 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mark Cuban) | Binary |
| 4.561 | Will at least one fire produce smoke plumes that reach into the stratosphere, before 2023? | Binary |
| 4.430 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 4.400 | Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023? | Binary |
| 3.571 | Before 2032, will the US declare a new public health emergency due to an infectious disease outbreak or bioterrorist attack? | Binary |
| 3.543 | How many Electoral College votes will the Republican Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 3.521 | Will the GOP win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) (Yes) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 3.489 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Aug-24) | Continuous |
| 3.452 | Will Trevor Milton be convicted on federal fraud charges related to Nikola before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.347 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| 3.215 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 3.109 | How many gold medals will the United States win at the 2022 International Math Olympiad? | Continuous |
| 2.760 | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Aug-24) | Continuous |
| 2.470 | What place will the United States get at the 2022 International Mathematical Olympiad? | Continuous |
| 2.219 | What will President Joe Biden's net approval rating be on November 1, 2024? | Continuous |
| 1.902 | What will be Turkey's inflation rate on the following dates? (August 2024) | Continuous |
| 1.885 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 1.882 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 1.547 | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Sep-24) | Continuous |
| 1.503 | How many dollars will it cost per month to store 1 TB on Google Cloud Archive in 2025? | Continuous |
| 1.329 | Will average NAEP reading and math scores across 4th and 8th grades decline in 2024 compared to 2022? | Binary |
| 0.830 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| 0.427 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Nishad Singh) | Binary |
| 0.252 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| 0.160 | What will be the total size of Open Philanthropy's 2022 grants in the nuclear risk area? | Continuous |
| 0.133 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 0.068 | How will the World Happiness Report rank the United States in 2020-2022? | Continuous |
| -0.713 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| -0.847 | When will Neuralink first implant a brain-machine interface device in a living human? | Continuous |
| -0.875 | Will there be any further delay to the Libor cessation in 2023? | Binary |
| -1.415 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| -2.161 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| -2.280 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
| -2.632 | Will Linda Yaccarino be the CEO of Twitter on July 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -3.623 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -4.979 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (New York Liberty) | Binary |
| -5.743 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| -6.348 | Will the US require and verify reporting of large AI training runs before 2026? | Binary |
| -6.394 | What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters? (2024 Q2) | Continuous |
| -7.301 | What will the total worldwide box office gross be for Avatar 2? | Continuous |
| -8.539 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| -9.091 | Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission before November 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -9.969 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -11.545 | Before 2025, will the US FDA authorize use of an at-home over-the-counter rapid test for influenza? | Binary |
| -16.148 | Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025? | Binary |
| -21.988 | Will Dianne Feinstein resign from the Senate before the end of her term in early 2025? | Binary |
| -22.202 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| -22.875 | Will Tesla reveal a prototype of the Tesla Bot before 2023? | Binary |
| -23.906 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| -25.869 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| -29.489 | Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022? | Binary |
| -33.659 | When will US government 10-year bond yields next exceed 2-year bond yields? | Continuous |
| -41.144 | Will an Alphabet company win the general category for protein structure prediction at CASP15 in 2022? | Binary |
| -43.394 | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| -44.740 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| -46.139 | BTC Worth Over 100k USD by 2025? (Yes) → Federal Funds Target Range Upper Limit (December 31, 2024) | Continuous |
| -51.886 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| -52.726 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| -53.711 | What will the Womens winning 100m time in the 2024 Olympic Final be? | Continuous |
| -55.189 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
| -58.633 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -89.632 | When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective? | Continuous |
| -192.646 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -215.645 | How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| -296.884 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |