81.985 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
81.985 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
78.250 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
78.250 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
78.250 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
72.903 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
72.903 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
71.504 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
71.024 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
70.816 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco) | Binary |
70.682 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
70.151 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
69.024 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
68.365 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
68.171 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
65.566 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
65.566 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
65.453 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
61.216 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
58.968 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
58.968 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
58.828 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
58.545 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
54.621 | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
53.889 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mitt Romney) | Binary |
53.697 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Manchin) | Binary |
51.365 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
50.048 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
49.316 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
48.839 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
46.488 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
46.390 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
46.372 | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
45.427 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Los Angeles Sparks) | Binary |
44.422 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
44.234 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
43.058 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
42.365 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
41.154 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
40.287 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
40.260 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
39.142 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
39.142 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
38.375 | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
38.256 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
37.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
36.253 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
35.027 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Washington Mystics) | Binary |
34.694 | Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election? | Binary |
33.814 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
33.732 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
32.969 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Charlotte Hornets) | Binary |
32.969 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Indiana Fever) | Binary |
32.759 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Dallas Wings) | Binary |
31.610 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
30.861 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
30.468 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Portland Trail Blazers) | Binary |
30.068 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
29.946 | Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
29.905 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Chicago Sky) | Binary |
29.891 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mark Cuban) | Binary |
29.543 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
29.543 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
27.971 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
27.577 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Washington Wizards) | Binary |
27.277 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Detroit Pistons) | Binary |
27.076 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Memphis Grizzlies) | Binary |
26.792 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (San Antonio Spurs) | Binary |
25.586 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
25.586 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
25.586 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
25.586 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
25.586 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
25.586 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
25.586 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
25.586 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
25.586 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
25.586 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
25.586 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
25.579 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
25.579 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
25.579 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
25.579 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
25.437 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
25.437 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
25.334 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
25.144 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
25.144 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
24.866 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
24.759 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Atlanta Dream) | Binary |
23.866 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
23.091 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
20.746 | Will Adobe acquire Figma by the end of 2024? | Binary |
20.490 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
19.618 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dwayne Johnson) | Binary |
19.601 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
19.179 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
19.179 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
19.177 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
17.905 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Phoenix Mercury) | Binary |
17.875 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
17.783 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
17.422 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
16.868 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
16.663 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
16.515 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
15.544 | Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025? | Binary |
15.543 | Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 per unit before 2025? | Binary |
15.543 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
14.414 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
14.247 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
13.146 | Will Libya hold a presidential election before 2025? | Binary |
12.908 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Microsoft) | Binary |
12.233 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
11.585 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
10.946 | Will Apple announce Apple Glasses before 2025? | Binary |
10.819 | Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025? | Binary |
10.535 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
9.936 | Will Alphabet’s (GOOG) market capitalisation fall below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
9.815 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Atlanta Hawks) | Binary |
9.380 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
9.270 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New York Giants) | Binary |
8.330 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Brooklyn Nets) | Binary |
8.280 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
7.965 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou (Independent)) | Binary |
7.869 | Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2023/24 Premier League season? | Binary |
7.350 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Toronto Raptors) | Binary |
7.321 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
7.306 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Indiana Pacers) | Binary |
6.579 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
6.569 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Chicago Bulls) | Binary |
6.409 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
6.223 | Will Cris Ericson win the 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont? | Binary |
6.122 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
5.962 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
5.959 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
5.904 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
5.860 | Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025? | Binary |
5.850 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
5.730 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
5.340 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Senator Bob Menendez (D)) | Binary |
5.216 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Al-Hilal Saudi Football Club) | Binary |
5.209 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Atlético Newell's Old Boys) | Binary |
5.209 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Manchester City Football Club) | Binary |
4.846 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
4.431 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
4.321 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
4.299 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
4.263 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
3.355 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Philadelphia 76ers) | Binary |
3.117 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Boston Celtics) | Binary |
3.009 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
2.772 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
2.487 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
2.482 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
2.308 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
2.256 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Utah Jazz) | Binary |
2.189 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Lakers) | Binary |
1.978 | Will Johnathan Davis be re-elected at the 2024 ACT election? | Binary |
1.952 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Houston Rockets) | Binary |
1.923 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Dallas Mavericks) | Binary |
1.884 | Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered “brokers” by the IRS by 2025? | Binary |
1.836 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
1.836 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
1.835 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
1.710 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Phoenix Suns) | Binary |
1.654 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Las Vegas Aces) | Binary |
1.602 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Minnesota Timberwolves) | Binary |
1.580 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
1.571 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
1.566 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
1.480 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
1.380 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New Orleans Pelicans) | Binary |
1.368 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
1.368 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
1.179 | Which country will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
1.008 | Will the German value-added tax (VAT) of plant-based milks be reduced to be the same as cow's milk by end of 2024? | Binary |
0.916 | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
0.887 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
0.881 | Will Gary Gensler be subpoenaed by Congress before 2025? | Binary |
0.851 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
0.741 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Connecticut Sun) | Binary |
0.700 | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
0.680 | What will be the Shiller P/E ratio of the S&P 500 on January 1, 2025? | Continuous |
0.669 | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
0.666 | Will US Attorney General Merrick Garland be impeached before the 2024 federal election? | Binary |
0.598 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Minnesota Lynx) | Binary |
0.591 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Cleveland Cavaliers) | Binary |
0.546 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
0.534 | Will Apple Watch feature a blood pressure monitor before 2025? | Binary |
0.527 | Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025? | Binary |
0.509 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
0.474 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
0.472 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 2) | Binary |
0.472 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 1) | Binary |
0.471 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Seattle Storm) | Binary |
0.466 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 3) | Binary |
0.463 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
0.447 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
0.440 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
0.396 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (New York Liberty) | Binary |
0.390 | Will the U.S. phase out per-country caps on employment-based visas before 2025? | Binary |
0.388 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Miami Heat) | Binary |
0.312 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
0.226 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
0.000 | Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
- | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
-3.193 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Donald Trump) | Continuous |
-55.648 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
-57.760 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
-60.444 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |