205.900 | How many airborne objects will be shot down in North American airspace in 2023? | Continuous |
189.440 | How many countries will have approved the R21/Matrix-M malaria vaccine on June 30, 2023? | Continuous |
184.432 | How many birds will be affected by avian influenza in Virginia in 2023? | Continuous |
171.645 | How many mpox cases will Virginia report in the second quarter of 2023? | Continuous |
163.310 | How many days will the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV metro area experience an Air Quality Index value above 150 in 2023? | Continuous |
161.065 | Which week in late 2023 will have the highest percent of medical visits for Influenza-like Illness in Virginia? | Continuous |
155.880 | What will the highest monthly count of false English language COVID claims in 2023? | Continuous |
153.393 | How many YouTube views will Center - Day 30 - Return by Yoga With Adriene have at the following dates? (February 14) | Continuous |
144.584 | How many YouTube views will Center - Day 30 - Return by Yoga With Adriene have at the following dates? (February 7) | Continuous |
139.480 | How many YouTube views will Center - Day 30 - Return by Yoga With Adriene have at the following dates? (February 1) | Continuous |
139.260 | When will bivalent booster uptake in Virginia's 65+ population exceed 50%? | Continuous |
133.801 | When will Tunisia restore overnight public access to water? | Continuous |
119.927 | What will the total number of new COVID-19 associated hospital admissions in Virginia for the weeks shown below (starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday)? (July 15) | Continuous |
117.869 | What will the total number of new COVID-19 associated hospital admissions in Virginia for the weeks shown below (starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday)? (July 1) | Continuous |
116.492 | What will the the total value of property damage (in US dollars) caused by tornados be in Virginia in 2023? | Continuous |
115.165 | What will the total number of new COVID-19 associated hospital admissions in Virginia for the weeks shown below (starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday)? (June 17) | Continuous |
112.908 | What will the total number of new COVID-19 associated hospital admissions in Virginia for the weeks shown below (starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday)? (July 29) | Continuous |
112.800 | What will the total number of new COVID-19 associated hospital admissions in Virginia for the weeks shown below (starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday)? (May 6) | Continuous |
109.874 | What will the total number of new COVID-19 associated hospital admissions in Virginia for the weeks shown below (starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday)? (May 20) | Continuous |
107.639 | What will the total number of confirmed current hospitalizations due to COVID in Virginia for the Saturdays of the weeks shown below? (Feb 25) | Continuous |
107.287 | What will the total number of new COVID-19 associated hospital admissions in Virginia for the weeks shown below (starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday)? (June 3) | Continuous |
104.958 | What percentage of Virginia adults will be vaccinated against influenza by the week ending December 30, 2023? | Continuous |
101.008 | What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in January 2023? | Continuous |
97.963 | What will the total number of confirmed current hospitalizations due to COVID in Virginia for the Saturdays of the weeks shown below? (March 25) | Continuous |
97.897 | Will there be a US financial crisis before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
97.646 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
97.246 | Will Russia invade Kazakhstan before 2024? | Binary |
96.978 | Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023? | Binary |
96.000 | What will the total number of confirmed current hospitalizations due to COVID in Virginia for the Saturdays of the weeks shown below? (Feb 11) | Continuous |
95.996 | Will a US warship enter the Black Sea before September 25, 2023? | Binary |
95.954 | Will Western institutions determine Israel was responsible for the attack on the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital in Gaza City before 2024? | Binary |
95.823 | Will Ukraine control Armiansk before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
94.420 | How many tornado segments will be reported in Virginia in 2023? | Continuous |
94.004 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before 2024? | Binary |
93.309 | Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR COVID-like illness (CLI) visits in Virginia during summer 2023 exceed the same peak during the preceding winter 2022-2023? | Binary |
93.143 | Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024? | Binary |
93.053 | Will FDA approval of mifepristone for abortion no longer be in effect for any period of time before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
92.926 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023? | Binary |
92.796 | Will Donald Trump spend at least one hour confined in a jail cell before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
92.015 | Will there be there be a resurgence of influenza in Virginia to "High" or "Very High" level at any point during the rest of the 2022-2023 flu season? | Binary |
91.731 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu) | Binary |
91.026 | Will the Black Sea grain deal be revived before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
90.941 | Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
90.271 | Will Google Bard be available to the public on March 5th, 2023? | Binary |
89.972 | Before July 1, 2023, will an agentized-LLM system improve itself? | Binary |
89.889 | Will Russia assume the presidency of the UN Security Council on April 1, 2023? | Binary |
88.582 | Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Florida Panthers) | Binary |
88.206 | Will Stepanakert / Khankendi be under de facto Azerbaijani control on September 30, 2023? | Binary |
87.377 | Will Mohamed Bazoum, Nigerien President, return to power before August 31, 2023? | Binary |
87.275 | Will a nationwide UPS strike be underway in the United States on August 4, 2023? | Binary |
87.248 | Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution related to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
87.167 | What will be the highest daily Heat Related Illness (HRI) visit count in Virginia in 2023? | Continuous |
86.845 | What will the total number of new COVID-19 associated hospital admissions in Virginia for the weeks shown below (starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday)? (April 22) | Continuous |
86.764 | Will there no longer be any authorized COVID therapeutic in the U.S. in 2023? | Binary |
86.619 | Will a vote on a Republican-introduced resolution to vacate the Speaker of the House be held before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
85.943 | Will there be a confirmed case of Marburg virus in Algeria by July 28th? | Binary |
84.079 | Will Deutsche Bank collapse (or be rescued) before June 2023? | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Cem Uzan) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Muharrem İnce) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Sinan Oğan) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ahmet Davutoğlu) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ali Babacan) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Gültekin Uysal) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Temel Karamollaoğlu) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Pervin Buldan) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Fatih Erbakan) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Abdullah Gül) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Süleyman Soylu) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Doğu Perinçek) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Tansu Çiller) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Mustafa Sarıgül) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Devlet Bahçeli) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ekrem İmamoğlu) | Binary |
83.782 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Mansur Yavaş) | Binary |
83.752 | What will the median % prevalence of XBB1.5 in U.S. HHS Region 3 for the biweekly periods shown below? (March 11) | Continuous |
83.389 | [Short Fuse] How many attendees will be at the next Metaculus Meetup? (January 2023) | Continuous |
83.304 | Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (All Other Teams Not Listed) | Binary |
82.110 | Will the agreement between the Kremlin and the Wagner Group hold through the end of June? | Binary |
81.281 | How many ratings will Prince Harry's book Spare have on Amazon on January 20th at 7:00 pm GMT? | Continuous |
81.217 | Will a country other than the United States shoot down a high-altitude object before the end of February, 2023? | Binary |
80.368 | Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024? | Binary |
80.008 | Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
78.879 | Will a bill be introduced in the Indian Parliament to change the official name of the country to Bharat before September 23, 2023? | Binary |
78.723 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Meral Akşener) | Binary |
78.564 | What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season on September 30, 2023? | Continuous |
78.469 | Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before April 15th, 2023? | Binary |
78.405 | At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments? (Sundar Pichai) | Binary |
78.405 | At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments? (Mark Zuckerberg) | Binary |
78.405 | At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
77.787 | Will the WHO name BA.2.86 as a SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Interest before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
77.254 | Will Abdel Fattah al-Burhan be removed from power in Sudan before June 15, 2023? | Binary |
76.830 | What will the total number of confirmed current hospitalizations due to COVID in Virginia for the Saturdays of the weeks shown below? (March 11) | Continuous |
76.757 | How many U.S. jurisdictions will experience "high" or "very high" influenza activity for the week ending January 21, 2023? | Continuous |
76.696 | Will the WHO identify a new SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Concern before 2024? | Binary |
76.604 | Will "All Quiet on the Western Front" win Best Picture - Non-English Language at the 2023 Golden Globe Awards? | Binary |
75.666 | How many additional H5N1 infections will be reported in wild birds across the United States by the end of March 2023? | Continuous |
75.203 | How much money (in US dollars) will GlobalGiving's Morocco Earthquake Relief Fund have raised on September 21, 2023? | Continuous |
74.841 | What will the Geopolitical Risk index be for 2023? | Continuous |
74.803 | What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election? (Greens+CDU) | Binary |
74.803 | What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election? (SPD+Greens) | Binary |
74.493 | At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments? (Demis Hassabis) | Binary |
74.480 | Will there be a major conflict involving an external actor in Transnistria before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
73.895 | Will General Sergei Surovikin be stripped of his command by July 11th? | Binary |
73.177 | Will "Epidemiologists" be included on Virginia's next High Demand Occupation List? | Binary |
72.723 | Will year-on-year core inflation in the United States exceed 6% for the year ending in December 2022? | Binary |
71.724 | Will Donald Trump participate in the first Republican presidential debate? | Binary |
71.063 | What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election? (CDU+Greens+FDP) | Binary |
70.931 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2024? | Binary |
70.901 | Will Russian troops reach the center of Bakhmut, Ukraine before 0000 hrs local time on January 27th, 2023? | Binary |
70.706 | ECOWAS Intervention Before August 12, 2023? (No) → Mohamed Bazoum in Power By August 31, 2023? | Binary |
70.002 | At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments? (Dario Amodei) | Binary |
69.896 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023? | Binary |
69.267 | Will ECOWAS launch a military intervention in Niger before August 12, 2023? | Binary |
69.008 | Trump participates in first debate? (No) → Trump Polling Change Two Weeks After Debate? | Continuous |
68.939 | In 2023, will a non-European team win the FIFA Club World Cup for the first time since 2012? | Binary |
68.775 | What will the annual real GDP growth rate be in the eurozone in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
68.501 | What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election? (CDU+SPD+Greens) | Binary |
68.501 | What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election? (SPD+FDP+Greens) | Binary |
67.796 | Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2023? | Binary |
66.641 | Will an accredited US college or university have taught a course on prompt-engineering for credit before 2024? | Binary |
65.629 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan) | Binary |
64.517 | Who will win the 2023 Nigerian Presidential Election? (Rabiu Kwankwaso) | Binary |
64.491 | Will Crook Manifesto by Colson Whitehead be on the August 13th New York Times Bestseller List? | Binary |
64.040 | What will the median % prevalence of XBB1.5 in U.S. HHS Region 3 for the biweekly periods shown below? (Feb 25) | Continuous |
63.777 | Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner present herself as a candidate for an elective office in the 2023 Argentine national elections? | Binary |
63.203 | What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election? (CDU+SPD+FDP) | Binary |
62.571 | What will be the total daily Heat Related Illness (HRI) visit counts in Virginia in 2023? | Continuous |
62.381 | Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Dallas Stars) | Binary |
62.114 | Will the oil transfer from the FSO Safer finish in 19 days? | Binary |
60.093 | Will Yevgeny Prigozhin be the functional leader of the Wagner Group on June 30, 2023? | Binary |
59.646 | Will a majority of voters approve Venezuela's referendum on incorporating Guayana Esequiba into Venezuela? | Binary |
59.023 | Short Fuse: Will the 'Titan' submersible be recovered intact by noon ET on Thursday, June 22? | Binary |
58.619 | Will any of the listed alleged co-conspirators of Donald Trump be indicted for a federal felony before August 11, 2023? | Binary |
58.100 | How many refugee arrivals will Virginia have in US fiscal year 2023? | Continuous |
57.374 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the winner of the leadership race for the next First Minister of the Scottish Parliament? (Ash Regan) | Binary |
57.238 | What will the median % prevalence of EG.5 in the US for the biweekly periods shown below? (September 2) | Continuous |
56.732 | Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Juan Schiaretti) | Binary |
56.732 | Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Myriam Bregman) | Binary |
56.555 | Will Reddit announce changes or a delay to its proposed API fee pricing before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
56.027 | What will the median % prevalence of EG.5 in the US for the biweekly periods shown below? (August 19) | Continuous |
54.822 | What discretionary funding level will President Biden request for NASA in his 2024 budget? | Continuous |
53.237 | What will the annual return rate (in USD) of the S&P MERVAL be during 2023? | Continuous |
53.095 | Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Carolina Hurricanes) | Binary |
52.539 | Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Los Angeles Lakers) | Binary |
51.111 | Will GPT-4 be updated to include training data no more than 1 year old by June 30, 2023? | Binary |
50.557 | Will OpenAI release a "product" after ChatGPT before 2024? | Binary |
50.161 | What will the total number of new COVID-19 associated hospital admissions in Virginia for the weeks shown below (starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday)? (Aug 12) | Continuous |
49.761 | Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (All other teams) | Binary |
48.838 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
48.540 | Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight? | Binary |
47.730 | Will there be more Antarctic sea ice on March 7, 2023 than there was on March 7, 2022? | Binary |
47.402 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Byron Donalds (R)) | Binary |
47.347 | Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (New York Knicks) | Binary |
47.110 | Will Apple announce a Mixed Reality headset at WWDC in 2023? | Binary |
44.663 | Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Phoenix Suns) | Binary |
44.387 | Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (New Jersey Devils) | Binary |
44.000 | Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Boston Celtics) | Binary |
43.562 | Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Patricia Bullrich) | Binary |
43.547 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (March 25) | Continuous |
43.239 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (March 25) | Continuous |
43.155 | Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Philadelphia 76ers) | Binary |
42.977 | Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Edmonton Oilers) | Binary |
41.565 | Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Toronto Maple Leafs) | Binary |
41.298 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Jim Banks (R)) | Binary |
41.296 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Patrick McHenry (R)) | Binary |
41.286 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Andy Biggs (R)) | Binary |
40.772 | Will Putin attend the G20 summit in India? | Binary |
40.642 | When will the U.S. CDC stop requiring line-level (patient-level) COVID-19 case data from states? | Continuous |
40.068 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Jim Jordan (R)) | Binary |
40.047 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Elise Stefanik (R)) | Binary |
40.045 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Hakeem Jeffries (D)) | Binary |
40.041 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Don Bacon (R)) | Binary |
39.946 | When will the U.S. end the public health emergency for COVID-19? | Continuous |
39.636 | Who will win the 2023 Nigerian Presidential Election? (Peter Obi) | Binary |
39.159 | Will Luisa González receive the most votes in the first round of the Ecuadorian election? | Binary |
38.592 | Will an additional country ban ChatGPT before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
38.397 | What will the median % prevalence of XBB1.5 in U.S. HHS Region 3 for the biweekly periods shown below? (Feb 11) | Continuous |
37.769 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Kevin Hern (R)) | Binary |
35.246 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Fred Upton (R)) | Binary |
35.136 | Will the statutory debt limit be increased or suspended for at least 30 days in the United States before 2024? | Binary |
34.810 | Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Golden State Warriors) | Binary |
32.027 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the winner of the leadership race for the next First Minister of the Scottish Parliament? (Kate Forbes) | Binary |
31.171 | Will the US Supreme Court declare the Indian Child Welfare Act unconstitutional? | Binary |
31.111 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (March 25) | Continuous |
30.428 | Who will win the 2023 Nigerian Presidential Election? (Atiku Abubakar) | Binary |
30.235 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Steve Scalise (R)) | Binary |
30.140 | Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Sacramento Kings) | Binary |
30.106 | Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (NY Rangers) | Binary |
28.535 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (March 11) | Continuous |
28.490 | Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (LA Kings) | Binary |
28.360 | How many beginners will be in the top 20 of the Point Rankings for Questions Opened in the Last 30 Days on February 28? | Continuous |
28.350 | Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Tampa Bay Lightning) | Binary |
27.723 | Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Memphis Grizzlies) | Binary |
27.130 | Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Minnesota Wild) | Binary |
26.977 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (March 25) | Continuous |
26.407 | Will Meta launch a Threads web app before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
26.259 | Will Mr. Pita Limjaroenrat have been confirmed as the 30th prime minister of Thailand before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
25.738 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (March 11) | Continuous |
25.069 | Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Los Angeles Clippers) | Binary |
25.062 | Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Cleveland Cavaliers) | Binary |
24.251 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (March 11) | Continuous |
23.816 | Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Colorado Avalanche) | Binary |
23.683 | 2023 World Chess Championship tiebreaks? (Yes) → Ding Liren 2023 World Chess Champion? | Binary |
23.499 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (March 11) | Continuous |
23.428 | Will the 2023 Presidential Elections in Sierra Leone proceed to a runoff? | Binary |
22.987 | How many countries will be less happy in 2022 as compared to 2019 according to the World Happiness Report? | Continuous |
21.904 | Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Milwaukee Bucks) | Binary |
21.379 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (February 25) | Continuous |
21.248 | "Limit, Save, Grow Act" Passes before May? (Yes) → U.S. Debt Default Before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
20.609 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (March 25) | Continuous |
20.118 | How many total seats will the Pheu Thai and Move Forward parties win in the Thailand election? | Continuous |
18.451 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (March 11) | Continuous |
18.360 | Will the maiden flight of the H3 Launch Vehicle carrying ALOS-3 launch successfully and on time? | Binary |
17.900 | Will a vote on a Republican-introduced resolution to vacate the Speaker of the House be held before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
17.697 | Will Russia substantially damage or destroy a Patriot Missile Battery in Ukraine before July, 2023? | Binary |
17.211 | What will be the search engine market share of Bing in December of 2023? | Continuous |
16.348 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (February 25) | Continuous |
15.716 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (February 25) | Continuous |
14.996 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (February 25) | Continuous |
13.361 | Will Stockholm see more than 500 hours of sun in the summer of 2023? | Binary |
13.232 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (February 25) | Continuous |
13.099 | Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Boston Bruins) | Binary |
11.766 | Will Starship achieve liftoff before Monday, May 1st, 2023? | Binary |
11.262 | Will Trump lose in the E. Jean Carroll sexual assault case? | Binary |
9.313 | Will ChatGPT have multiple tiers of capability before 2024? | Binary |
8.708 | Will the U2 concert at The Sphere on September 29, 2023 take place? | Binary |
8.656 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (February 25) | Continuous |
8.601 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (March 11) | Continuous |
6.329 | How many days will any region in Virginia experience coastal flood, high wind, hurricane, or tropical storm in 2023? | Continuous |
5.220 | When will the procurement and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines in the U.S. be managed by the commercial marketplace? | Continuous |
2.811 | When will the WHO COVID-19 PHEIC expire? | Continuous |
1.723 | In which epidemiological week will the overall national RSV hospitalization rate per 100,000 first equal or exceed 1.0? | Continuous |
-0.345 | What percentage of the vote will presidential candidate candidate Javier Milei receive in Argentina's upcoming Open Primaries Elections? | Continuous |
-0.520 | When will Joe Biden issue his third veto? | Continuous |
-1.173 | Will Xi Jinping speak with Volodymyr Zelensky before April 1, 2023? | Binary |
-1.282 | Will copper prices reach an all-time-high in 2023? | Binary |
-1.294 | What percentage of the possession will the winning team have in the Women's World Cup Final? | Continuous |
-1.643 | How many NCAA Division I schools will have both their men’s and women’s basketball teams make the 2023 NCAA Division I Basketball Tournament? | Continuous |
-2.307 | Will the suspected Chinese surveillance balloon be on the ground before February 11th, 2023? | Binary |
-2.558 | How far from the bow of the Titanic will the submersible 'Titan' be located? | Continuous |
-2.708 | Will Kevin McCarthy visit Taiwan in 2023? | Binary |
-3.281 | Will Ed Sheeran be found liable for copyright infringement in 'Let's Get It On' lawsuit? | Binary |
-3.732 | What will the price of November 2023 Dutch TTF natural gas futures (in Euros per megawatt-hour) be on September 29, 2023? | Continuous |
-4.407 | Will the "Limit, Save, Grow Act" pass the US House of Representatives before May 2023? | Binary |
-4.672 | Will the Dow Jones close at or above 35,000 before August 1, 2023? | Binary |
-9.535 | Will the S&P 500 increase or decrease by more than 2% when the Federal Open Market Committee meets on March 21-22, 2023? | Binary |
-10.813 | Will the EU Parliament endorse a negotiating mandate for the AI Act before June 16, 2023? | Binary |
-12.057 | Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Sergio Massa) | Binary |
-12.279 | What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election? (SPD+Greens+Left) | Binary |
-12.861 | Who will win the 2023 Nigerian Presidential Election? (Bola Tinubu) | Binary |
-12.861 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the winner of the leadership race for the next First Minister of the Scottish Parliament? (Humza Yusaf) | Binary |
-16.105 | [Short Fuse] How many ballots will it take to elect the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? | Continuous |
-16.798 | Will an attempted replication of LK-99 superconductivity be published before August 4, 2023? | Binary |
-19.143 | What will be the worldwide 7-day rolling average of confirmed mpox cases for June 30, 2023? | Continuous |
-20.069 | What will the median % prevalence of XBB1.5 in U.S. HHS Region 3 for the biweekly periods shown below? (March 25) | Continuous |
-23.366 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (March 25) | Continuous |
-28.482 | Which week in late 2023 will influenza intensity levels first be categorized as moderate in at least one of Virginia's regions in the 2023-24 flu season? | Continuous |
-29.398 | When will the U.S. CDC recommend an additional updated COVID-19 vaccine booster dose for adults? | Continuous |
-30.858 | When will Browse with Bing be reintroduced on ChatGPT? | Continuous |
-31.615 | What will the median % prevalence of XBB1.5 in U.S. HHS Region 3 for the biweekly periods shown below? (April 8) | Continuous |
-32.109 | Will Sweden's Loreen win the Eurovision Song Contest 2023? | Binary |
-32.190 | Will the Nigerian Presidential Election on February 25th go to a run-off vote? | Binary |
-32.453 | Will OpenAI report having ≥99.9% uptime for ChatGPT in June 2023? | Binary |
-33.085 | Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei) | Binary |
-38.521 | Will the extent of Antarctic sea ice for every day in September 2023 be the lowest in recorded history? | Binary |
-41.686 | Will the Black Sea grain deal be extended before July 19, 2023? | Binary |
-46.818 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Kevin McCarthy (R)) | Binary |
-47.376 | What percentage of wastewater treatment plants in Virginia will be in the higher or highest percentile groups for SARS-CoV-2 for the week ending November 26, 2023? | Continuous |
-50.026 | Will the US FDA authorize a new vaccine targeting COVID-19 in 2023? | Binary |
-57.076 | [Short Fuse] How many attendees will be at the next Metaculus Meetup? (February 2023) | Continuous |
-60.659 | When will the UVA Biocomplexity Institute indicate at least 13 of Virginia's 35 health districts are in a "surge" trajectory? | Continuous |
-68.504 | Will SpaceX receive a launch license for Starship from the FAA before April 15th, 2023? | Binary |
-73.645 | Will the Federal Funds Rate be raised before December 18, 2023? | Binary |
-82.748 | What percentage of the vote will Javier Milei receive in Argentina's upcoming Presidential Elections’ runoff? | Continuous |
-102.924 | What will the total number of new COVID-19 associated hospital admissions in Virginia for the weeks shown below (starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday)? (Aug 26) | Continuous |
-120.265 | Will voting in Twitter polls require verification on April 16, 2023? | Binary |
-121.616 | Will New York City break its record by going more than 332 days without measurable snow? | Binary |
-140.991 | Which team will win the 2022-23 NBA Championship? (Denver Nuggets) | Binary |
-168.713 | Will Kevin McCarthy be Speaker of the House on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
-176.185 | Will US sovereign debt be downgraded in 2023? | Binary |
-268.348 | What coalition will govern Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election? (SPD+CDU) | Binary |
-279.566 | Which NHL team will win the 2022-23 Stanley Cup? (Vegas Golden Knights) | Binary |