| 137.691 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Donald Trump) | Continuous |
| 112.396 | How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 99.697 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 99.543 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 99.374 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 99.247 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 99.247 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 99.222 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 99.139 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 99.121 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 99.088 | Will Cris Ericson win the 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont? | Binary |
| 98.985 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 98.881 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 98.859 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 98.754 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 98.643 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 98.590 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 98.582 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 98.397 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Josh Gottheimer (D)) | Binary |
| 98.263 | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 98.182 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 98.024 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dwayne Johnson) | Binary |
| 97.989 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 97.876 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 97.581 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.576 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 97.490 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2024) | Binary |
| 96.824 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 96.753 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 96.696 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 96.349 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 96.334 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 96.301 | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
| 96.200 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 96.041 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 95.650 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 95.512 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 95.457 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Lt. Governor Tahesha Way (D)) | Binary |
| 95.423 | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
| 95.090 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 94.462 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 94.320 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 93.477 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 93.328 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (State Senate Majority Leader Teresa Ruiz (D)) | Binary |
| 93.248 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 93.156 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 93.015 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 92.668 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 92.565 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 92.541 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 92.488 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 92.298 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 92.288 | Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025? | Binary |
| 92.042 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Vacant) | Binary |
| 91.993 | Will US Attorney General Merrick Garland be impeached before the 2024 federal election? | Binary |
| 91.734 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Donald Norcross (D)) | Binary |
| 91.574 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Frank Pallone (D)) | Binary |
| 90.832 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 90.767 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 89.912 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| 89.745 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 89.641 | Will Linda Yaccarino be the CEO of Twitter on July 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 89.632 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 88.936 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 88.856 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
| 87.747 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Mikie Sherrill (D)) | Binary |
| 87.747 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman (D)) | Binary |
| 87.466 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 87.412 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 86.131 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 85.897 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 85.888 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 84.347 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mark Cuban) | Binary |
| 84.055 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 84.038 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 83.703 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 83.703 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 83.377 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 82.959 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 82.916 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 82.320 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 81.972 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 80.713 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (NJ First Lady Tammy Murphy (D)) | Binary |
| 80.116 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Andy Kim (D)) | Binary |
| 79.201 | What will be India's rating in the Freedom In the World Report for the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 79.051 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 79.009 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 78.974 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 78.925 | What will annual CO2 emissions be in the United States (in tonnes) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 78.904 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 78.696 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 78.634 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 78.449 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 78.070 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 78.070 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 78.025 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 77.381 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 76.153 | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 74.554 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 73.713 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 1) | Binary |
| 73.625 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 73.159 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 72.667 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 72.426 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 72.426 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 72.426 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 72.077 | Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly? | Binary |
| 70.938 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 70.860 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 70.746 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 69.320 | What will the world population be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 69.282 | When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election? (2024) | Binary |
| 69.263 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 68.445 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 68.433 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 68.180 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 68.102 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
| 67.662 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 67.637 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 67.093 | Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 66.376 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 66.144 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 64.789 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
| 64.447 | What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 64.360 | Will the listed AI companies/labs pause any of their models before January 1st, 2025 because they detect dangerous capabilities? (OpenAI) | Binary |
| 64.360 | Will the listed AI companies/labs pause any of their models before January 1st, 2025 because they detect dangerous capabilities? (Google DeepMind) | Binary |
| 64.360 | Will the listed AI companies/labs pause any of their models before January 1st, 2025 because they detect dangerous capabilities? (Anthropic) | Binary |
| 63.775 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 63.428 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 2) | Binary |
| 62.069 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 61.506 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 61.208 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 61.148 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 59.657 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 59.158 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 58.184 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mitt Romney) | Binary |
| 57.482 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 57.231 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 55.568 | What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election? | Continuous |
| 55.512 | Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023? | Binary |
| 55.299 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 53.489 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 51.824 | How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"? | Continuous |
| 51.799 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 51.779 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 51.671 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 51.612 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 51.606 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 51.523 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 51.379 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 51.341 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 50.737 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 50.283 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 50.125 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 50.073 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 49.975 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 49.781 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 49.252 | Will any state hold a caucus instead of a primary for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2024? | Binary |
| 49.210 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
| 49.126 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 49.086 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 48.818 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 48.674 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 48.344 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 47.323 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 44.176 | Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks? | Binary |
| 42.265 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 40.993 | Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025? | Binary |
| 40.755 | Will the Republican Party retain California's 20th District in the 2024 special election? | Binary |
| 40.390 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 39.894 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 39.844 | What will be the Nino 3.4 sea surface temperature (in degrees Celsius) be for May 2024? | Continuous |
| 39.712 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| 39.285 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 39.084 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 38.613 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 36.896 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 36.352 | How many Executive Orders per week will President Biden issue? | Continuous |
| 35.890 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Conservative and Unionist Party) | Continuous |
| 35.719 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 35.713 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 35.690 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 35.589 | Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election? | Binary |
| 34.991 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrats) | Continuous |
| 33.021 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (New Glenn) | Continuous |
| 32.852 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 32.618 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 31.921 | By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty? | Binary |
| 31.544 | 5% Bing Market Share in March 2024? (No) → GOOG Market Cap Below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 31.410 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 31.121 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 30.681 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 30.554 | How many Electoral College votes will the Republican Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 30.299 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 30.090 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 29.908 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 29.897 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 29.332 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 3) | Binary |
| 28.072 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 27.394 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| 26.962 | Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 26.693 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 26.231 | Will the GOP win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) (Yes) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 26.140 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 25.594 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 25.471 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 25.353 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 25.272 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 25.147 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (BJP) | Binary |
| 25.147 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (INC) | Binary |
| 24.606 | Will Russia impose a total ban on Apple products before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 24.441 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 24.247 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
| 24.150 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
| 23.088 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 22.689 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 22.550 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 22.374 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 22.247 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 22.133 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 21.896 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 21.115 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 20.626 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| 20.238 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 18.738 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 18.504 | What will be the average monthly rate of US workforce resignations in 2022? | Continuous |
| 18.332 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| 18.209 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| 18.095 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| 17.452 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| 17.442 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 17.385 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Nikki Haley) | Continuous |
| 17.317 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 16.095 | How many ketamine infusion clinics will there be on January 1, 2025 in the USA? | Continuous |
| 16.085 | When will the order providing for Title 42 expulsions no longer be in effect in the United States? | Continuous |
| 15.511 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| 14.805 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 13.356 | Will Australia hold a Federal Referendum on an "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 13.321 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| 13.002 | When will OpenAI release an AI that significantly improves on GPT-4's factual accuracy? | Continuous |
| 12.797 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 12.718 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 12.671 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 12.351 | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
| 11.970 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 11.715 | Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? (No) → 2024 US election considered fraudulent? | Binary |
| 11.437 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Bankman-Fried) | Binary |
| 10.691 | Will Donald Trump be charged with witness tampering in Georgia before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 9.032 | How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 8.350 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 8.051 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 6.768 | When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective? | Continuous |
| 6.510 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| 6.191 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
| 6.037 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Asa Hutchinson) | Continuous |
| 5.563 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Ron DeSantis) | Continuous |
| 5.266 | What will Google Trends search interest for Donald Trump be in July 2024 as a percentage of in November 2016? | Continuous |
| 4.913 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Alliance) | Continuous |
| 4.201 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (SDLP) | Continuous |
| 4.077 | Will Threads support ActivityPub before 2025? | Binary |
| 3.976 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Continuous |
| 3.832 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Plaid Cymru) | Continuous |
| 3.754 | What will be the minimum arctic sea ice extent in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 3.435 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (DUP) | Continuous |
| 3.115 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Sinn Féin) | Continuous |
| 2.934 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 2.765 | Will the ANC receive more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 South African general election? | Binary |
| 2.622 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Reform UK) | Continuous |
| 2.382 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| 1.946 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| 1.829 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Greens) | Continuous |
| 1.722 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 1.657 | Will GPT-4 input and/or output images? (Input Yes, Output Yes) | Binary |
| 1.472 | How will the World Happiness Report rank the United States in 2020-2022? | Continuous |
| 1.447 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 1.445 | Will GPT-4 input and/or output images? (Input No, Output Yes) | Binary |
| 1.420 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Ariane 6) | Continuous |
| 1.393 | In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election? | Binary |
| 1.366 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| 1.168 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 0.874 | When will OpenAI make the GPT-4 model available for free ChatGPT users? | Continuous |
| 0.679 | Hunter Biden Indicted by Nov 5, 2024? (Yes) → Joe Biden Impeached by House? | Binary |
| 0.668 | Will the US re-implement a ban on funding gain-of-function research in 2022? | Binary |
| 0.667 | Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022? | Binary |
| 0.662 | What will be the total size of Open Philanthropy's 2022 grants in the nuclear risk area? | Continuous |
| 0.637 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 0.622 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Chris Christie) | Continuous |
| 0.395 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.368 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 0.368 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 0.346 | Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025? | Binary |
| - | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Manchin) | Binary |
| -0.370 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| -1.790 | Will GPT-4 input and/or output images? (Input No, Output No) | Binary |
| -3.461 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -3.580 | Will GPT-4 input and/or output images? (Input Yes, Output No) | Binary |
| -4.102 | What will be the maximum arctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -4.314 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| -4.798 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| -5.807 | What will President Joe Biden's net approval rating be on November 1, 2024? | Continuous |
| -6.956 | How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| -7.178 | Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| -8.275 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Green Party of England and Wales) | Continuous |
| -9.220 | When will the next UK general election take place? | Continuous |
| -12.137 | What will be the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) at the end of July of the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| -12.480 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| -13.919 | When will US government 10-year bond yields next exceed 2-year bond yields? | Continuous |
| -16.235 | Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025? | Binary |
| -16.651 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -16.753 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Labour Party) | Continuous |
| -17.036 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| -17.474 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| -18.530 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| -21.363 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| -25.294 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Vulcan Centaur) | Continuous |
| -27.188 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -34.105 | When will the U.S. Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Interagency Technical Working Group on Race and Ethnicity Standards complete revisions to Statistical Policy Directive No. 15 (SPD 15)? | Continuous |
| -34.973 | Will Dianne Feinstein resign from the Senate before the end of her term in early 2025? | Binary |
| -35.032 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -41.657 | Will the US claim that Russia has exceeded New START treaty limits on nuclear weapons before 2025? | Binary |
| -49.719 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| -54.173 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -56.351 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -73.025 | What percentage of the popular vote will the African National Congress get in the 2024 South African general election? | Continuous |
| -82.806 | Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025? | Binary |
| -87.570 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| -92.261 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| -122.998 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -128.074 | What will be the share of people living in countries where same-sex marriage is legal in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -129.144 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -163.328 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -164.484 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| -174.735 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Senator Bob Menendez (D)) | Binary |
| -224.319 | Will the right-wing incumbent BJP win the 2024 national election in India? | Binary |
| -233.124 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |