134.650 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
131.853 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Flu) | Continuous |
115.989 | Respiratory "Tripledemic" (4 Weeks) 2023-24? (Yes) → Peak Respiratory Magnitudes 2023-2024? (Combined) | Continuous |
115.650 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Flu) | Continuous |
114.122 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Combined) | Continuous |
105.588 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Combined) | Continuous |
102.884 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
97.300 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (RSV) | Continuous |
95.690 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
94.411 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
88.040 | COVID VOC or Worse Before March 1, 2024? (No) → Peak Respiratory Magnitudes 2023-2024? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
85.635 | Which country will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
83.768 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
78.430 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
78.430 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
78.312 | Will the maximum weekly rate of hospitalizations per 100,000 in the US occur within four weeks of the combined peak for each of COVID, influenza, and RSV in the 2023-24 season? | Binary |
76.805 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
76.689 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
75.767 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
75.464 | What percent of US adults will report having received an updated COVID booster vaccine for the 2023-2024 season on the following dates? (March 30, 2024) | Continuous |
70.084 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
70.084 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
70.084 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
68.316 | What percent of children under 8 months of age will surveyed parents report having received nirsevimab on the following dates? (March 30, 2024) | Continuous |
63.220 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
61.118 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
61.118 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
61.118 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
61.118 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
61.118 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
57.540 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
56.676 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
56.079 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 27, 2024) | Continuous |
55.714 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
54.672 | What will be the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 27, 2024) | Continuous |
53.292 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
50.725 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New Orleans Pelicans) | Binary |
48.447 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
48.436 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
48.436 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
48.366 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
48.258 | What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 27, 2024) | Continuous |
47.918 | What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 10, 2024) | Continuous |
47.339 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
46.688 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Chicago Bulls) | Binary |
46.188 | What will be the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 10, 2024) | Continuous |
45.934 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Atlanta Hawks) | Binary |
44.941 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
43.755 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
43.702 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
43.702 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
43.634 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
42.062 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Brooklyn Nets) | Binary |
42.061 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Houston Rockets) | Binary |
41.436 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
39.861 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New York Knicks) | Binary |
38.531 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
37.897 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Indiana Pacers) | Binary |
37.504 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Toronto Raptors) | Binary |
37.504 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Utah Jazz) | Binary |
36.419 | What will be the weekly rate of RSV-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 people for the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 10, 2024) | Continuous |
35.900 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Charlotte Hornets) | Binary |
35.854 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
35.854 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
35.854 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
35.854 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
35.854 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
35.854 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
35.854 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
35.425 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
35.081 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Memphis Grizzlies) | Binary |
34.208 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Orlando Magic) | Binary |
33.853 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 10, 2024) | Continuous |
33.399 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Portland Trail Blazers) | Binary |
32.495 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
31.867 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
31.860 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
30.507 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Washington Wizards) | Binary |
30.207 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Detroit Pistons) | Binary |
29.989 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
29.722 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (San Antonio Spurs) | Binary |
28.585 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Minnesota Timberwolves) | Binary |
26.965 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
25.424 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 13, 2024) | Continuous |
23.949 | What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 13, 2024) | Continuous |
23.766 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Oklahoma City Thunder) | Binary |
23.570 | What will be the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 13, 2024) | Continuous |
22.676 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Sacremento Kings) | Binary |
22.540 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Cleveland Cavaliers) | Binary |
21.889 | What will be the weekly rate of RSV-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 people for the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 27, 2024) | Continuous |
20.437 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
20.437 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
20.436 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
20.436 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
20.260 | How many weeks will influenza-like illness (ILI) activity levels be at "high" or above in at least five states during the 2023-2024 season? | Continuous |
19.594 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
19.389 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
18.736 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
18.681 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
17.639 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
16.933 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Miami Heat) | Binary |
13.898 | What will be the weekly rate of RSV-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 people for the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 13, 2024) | Continuous |
13.232 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
13.161 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
12.228 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
12.069 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
11.355 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
11.229 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
9.333 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
9.333 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
9.240 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
9.235 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
9.228 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
8.752 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
7.658 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
6.535 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
6.535 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
6.535 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
6.535 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
6.535 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
6.535 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
6.535 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
6.535 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
6.535 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
6.535 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
6.384 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
5.809 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Golden State Warriors) | Binary |
4.545 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
4.443 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
4.443 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
4.351 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
2.302 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
2.064 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
1.513 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
1.429 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Lakers) | Binary |
1.030 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
0.958 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Phoenix Suns) | Binary |
0.559 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
0.559 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
0.558 | Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates? | Binary |
0.558 | Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023? | Binary |
0.263 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New York Giants) | Binary |
0.178 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
-0.152 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
-3.974 | Will the weekly rate of hospitalizations per 100,000 in the US for each of COVID, influenza, and RSV equal or exceed 3.0 in the same week in the 2023-24 season? | Binary |
-6.662 | When will the RSV monoclonal antibody nirsevimab (Beyfortus) no longer be in shortage in the US? | Continuous |
-8.619 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (RSV) | Continuous |
-9.433 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Denver Nuggets) | Binary |
-15.251 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
-15.664 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
-20.718 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
-26.495 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
-32.925 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
-32.925 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
-44.165 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
-56.424 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
-85.981 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
-88.508 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
-102.454 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
-102.454 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
-124.199 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
-330.196 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
-361.572 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |