99.634 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
99.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
99.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
99.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
99.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
99.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
99.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
99.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
99.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
99.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
99.623 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
98.974 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
98.761 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
98.464 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
98.464 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
98.267 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
98.089 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
97.108 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
95.924 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
95.877 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
92.845 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
91.153 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
90.545 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
88.938 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
88.938 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
88.229 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
86.138 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
85.660 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
85.660 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
84.436 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
83.658 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
83.214 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
83.003 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
82.582 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay) | Binary |
82.033 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
80.021 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
79.669 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
78.385 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
78.247 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
77.048 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
76.032 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
75.925 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
75.772 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco) | Binary |
75.187 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Morocco) | Binary |
72.160 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
72.160 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
72.160 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
71.267 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
71.267 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
71.267 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
70.734 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
70.525 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
70.141 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
67.294 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
67.294 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
67.294 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
67.294 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
66.987 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
66.371 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
66.058 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
65.930 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
65.171 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
65.001 | Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election? | Binary |
64.943 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
64.850 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
63.811 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
63.789 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
63.208 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
60.294 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Renew) | Binary |
60.294 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ECR) | Binary |
60.294 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
60.294 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ID) | Binary |
60.294 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
59.030 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
57.715 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
57.715 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ID) | Binary |
57.715 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ECR) | Binary |
57.460 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
56.998 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
56.920 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
56.112 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
55.538 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Renew) | Binary |
55.479 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
52.877 | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
52.081 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
51.684 | How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"? | Continuous |
50.962 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
50.962 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
50.962 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
50.962 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
50.962 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
50.887 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
50.430 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
50.402 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
50.339 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
49.957 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
49.310 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
48.064 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
48.059 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
47.465 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
47.465 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
46.597 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Athletico Madrid) | Binary |
45.288 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (S&D) | Binary |
45.267 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
43.153 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
42.135 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (EPP) | Binary |
41.073 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
39.142 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
38.965 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
37.742 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
36.539 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
35.321 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (S&D) | Binary |
34.738 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (EPP) | Binary |
34.581 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
33.486 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (PSV) | Binary |
32.919 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Porto) | Binary |
32.589 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
32.489 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Napoli) | Binary |
31.886 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
30.593 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Copenhagen) | Binary |
30.446 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
30.446 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
30.446 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
30.124 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
29.655 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Sociedad) | Binary |
29.655 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lazio) | Binary |
28.880 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
28.139 | Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections? | Binary |
27.334 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
27.312 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
27.312 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
27.312 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
27.312 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
27.312 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
27.312 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
27.276 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
27.245 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
26.925 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
25.725 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
24.529 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
24.529 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
24.124 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |
23.510 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
23.493 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
23.287 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (4: Negotiations approved) | Continuous |
21.764 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
20.164 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
18.915 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
18.849 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
18.640 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
18.526 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
18.311 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
16.549 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
15.658 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (3: Negotiations recommended) | Continuous |
15.122 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan? | Binary |
14.916 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
12.334 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (5: Negotiations initiated) | Continuous |
11.954 | Will Biden's 538 approval rating be above the following values on the following days? (2024 Jan 31st, ≥ 40%) | Binary |
11.286 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
10.856 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
9.027 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
8.809 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
7.708 | How many Electoral College votes will the Republican Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
7.257 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
6.253 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
5.443 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
5.370 | Which country will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
5.152 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
4.913 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Futbol Club Barcelona) | Binary |
4.913 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami) | Binary |
4.913 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Al-Hilal Saudi Football Club) | Binary |
4.913 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Manchester City Football Club) | Binary |
4.913 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Atlético Newell's Old Boys) | Binary |
2.556 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
1.800 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
1.680 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
1.314 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
0.836 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
0.357 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
0.293 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
0.226 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
0.195 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
0.108 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Lai Ching-te (DPP)) | Binary |
0.108 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Hou Yu-ih (Kuomintang)) | Binary |
0.108 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Ko Wen-je (TPP)) | Binary |
0.054 | Will a Navy ship be captured, scuttled, sunk, or critically damaged in the Black Sea before 2025? | Binary |
0.015 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
-1.689 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
-4.238 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
-4.676 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
-9.269 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
-9.709 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
-11.166 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
-11.404 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
-16.220 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
-24.879 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
-29.271 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
-45.480 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
-65.510 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
-115.651 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
-155.145 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
-189.841 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
-222.049 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
-303.324 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |