| 101.251 | How many additional indictments will have been filed against Donald Trump on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 94.440 | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
| 93.214 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 93.214 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 92.629 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 92.629 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 92.629 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 91.246 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 91.060 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 90.990 | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
| 89.175 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 89.002 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 89.002 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 86.982 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 86.850 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 86.827 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 85.567 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 81.465 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| 79.683 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 75.652 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 74.263 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 71.295 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 71.295 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 71.295 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 71.295 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 71.295 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 67.062 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 66.633 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 66.445 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 66.263 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 66.263 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 66.263 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 66.263 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 66.263 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 66.263 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 66.263 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 66.263 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 66.260 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 60.218 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 58.900 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 58.226 | Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly? | Binary |
| 55.892 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 53.467 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 49.725 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 48.994 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 48.992 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 48.992 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 48.989 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 48.988 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 48.158 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 47.800 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 41.867 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 41.867 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 41.867 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 40.919 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 40.853 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 40.853 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 40.853 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 40.853 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 40.853 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 40.853 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 40.853 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 40.853 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 40.063 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 37.919 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 37.919 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI investors against OpenAI board) | Binary |
| 37.919 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 37.919 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Government antitrust against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 37.919 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Sam Altman against OpenAI) | Binary |
| 37.813 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 34.808 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 33.750 | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 33.385 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dwayne Johnson) | Binary |
| 33.385 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mark Cuban) | Binary |
| 33.385 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mitt Romney) | Binary |
| 33.385 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Manchin) | Binary |
| 32.836 | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
| 31.240 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| 30.073 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 30.073 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 28.480 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 28.403 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| 28.185 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 27.539 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 27.539 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 27.331 | Will Donald Trump be charged with witness tampering in Georgia before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 26.965 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 26.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 26.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 26.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 26.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 26.121 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 26.121 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 26.121 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 26.044 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 25.809 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 25.774 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 24.213 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 24.048 | What will be the US labor force participation rate for the May 2024? | Continuous |
| 23.581 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 22.741 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 21.755 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 21.722 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 20.231 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 18.956 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 18.949 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 18.949 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 18.822 | What will be the US Federal Funds Rate on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 18.819 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 18.819 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 18.401 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 18.173 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 17.920 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 17.665 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 17.665 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 17.665 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 16.957 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 16.756 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 15.946 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 15.459 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 15.459 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 15.320 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 15.095 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 14.366 | How many nonstrategic nuclear weapons will be deployed at the end of 2023? | Continuous |
| 12.771 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 12.481 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 11.194 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 11.129 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 11.053 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 10.776 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 10.383 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 10.041 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 9.546 | When will Julian Assange be extradited to the US? | Continuous |
| 9.424 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| 9.310 | Will India conduct a military intervention against Pakistan before the 2024 Indian general elections? | Binary |
| 9.294 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 7.243 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 7.243 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 7.243 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 7.241 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Ilya Sutskever) | Binary |
| 7.241 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Eric Schmidt) | Binary |
| 7.241 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
| 7.241 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Andrej Karpathy) | Binary |
| 6.804 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Mira Murati) | Binary |
| 6.804 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 6.704 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 6.175 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 5.856 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 5.362 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 4.627 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| 3.247 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 2.847 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 2.612 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.476 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 2.476 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 2.277 | Will Google block third-party cookies on Chrome before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.213 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.860 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 1.854 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.515 | What will Google Trends search interest for Donald Trump be in July 2024 as a percentage of in November 2016? | Continuous |
| 1.385 | Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least as capable as original GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.185 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan? | Binary |
| 1.183 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.284 | What percentage of the popular vote will the African National Congress get in the 2024 South African general election? | Continuous |
| 0.270 | Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election? | Binary |
| 0.231 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| 0.231 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
| 0.125 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.100 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (INC) | Binary |
| 0.098 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (BJP) | Binary |
| - | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| - | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| - | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| -3.538 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Donald Trump) | Continuous |
| -7.453 | Will the ANC receive more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 South African general election? | Binary |
| -10.932 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -18.613 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -19.477 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| -19.477 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| -20.565 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -26.427 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| -26.427 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -77.505 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -83.771 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -110.552 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -199.741 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| -201.666 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| -224.269 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |