98.622 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
98.479 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dwayne Johnson) | Binary |
98.479 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mark Cuban) | Binary |
98.479 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mitt Romney) | Binary |
98.403 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
98.335 | Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? (No) → 2024 US election considered fraudulent? | Binary |
98.296 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
95.487 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
93.706 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
92.961 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
92.779 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
92.528 | Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly? | Binary |
91.532 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
88.895 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
88.730 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
88.730 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
88.441 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
87.608 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
86.699 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
86.478 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
86.454 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
86.439 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
85.962 | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
85.219 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
85.099 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
84.527 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
84.214 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
83.613 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
81.789 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
80.893 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
80.530 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
80.249 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
79.995 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
79.995 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
79.995 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
79.995 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
79.995 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
79.995 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
79.995 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
79.995 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
79.995 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
79.995 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
79.995 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
79.993 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
79.954 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
79.951 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
79.523 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
79.440 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
79.257 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
78.605 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
78.366 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
77.426 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
76.993 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Manchin) | Binary |
76.438 | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
76.199 | Will Russia impose a total ban on Apple products before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
76.096 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
75.869 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Mikie Sherrill (D)) | Binary |
75.339 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
74.658 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
74.583 | Will Libya hold a presidential election before 2025? | Binary |
72.735 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
72.391 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
72.177 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou (Independent)) | Binary |
71.558 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
71.558 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
71.462 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
70.795 | Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025? | Binary |
70.794 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
69.170 | Will Cris Ericson win the 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont? | Binary |
68.316 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
67.931 | Will the GOP win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) (Yes) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
65.595 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
65.452 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
64.624 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
64.340 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
64.256 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
63.528 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
62.925 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
62.296 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
62.286 | Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
60.971 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
60.528 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
60.395 | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
58.874 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
58.621 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
56.191 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Hou Yu-ih (Kuomintang)) | Binary |
56.129 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
55.259 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
55.229 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
55.229 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
54.469 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
54.469 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
53.978 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
53.257 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
53.051 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
52.827 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
52.827 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
52.570 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
51.604 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ID) | Binary |
50.754 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ECR) | Binary |
50.133 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ID) | Binary |
49.971 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 1) | Binary |
49.678 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
49.357 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ECR) | Binary |
49.228 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 2) | Binary |
48.974 | Will India conduct a military intervention against Pakistan before the 2024 Indian general elections? | Binary |
48.771 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Renew) | Binary |
47.392 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Ko Wen-je (TPP)) | Binary |
47.193 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
47.038 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Renew) | Binary |
46.866 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
45.813 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
45.098 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrats) | Continuous |
44.456 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
44.420 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
44.416 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
44.281 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
43.998 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
43.998 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
43.998 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
43.998 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
43.998 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
43.388 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
42.341 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
41.985 | Will the Republican Party retain California's 20th District in the 2024 special election? | Binary |
41.900 | Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
41.874 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Green Party of England and Wales) | Continuous |
41.828 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (S&D) | Binary |
41.795 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
41.645 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
40.828 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Andy Kim (D)) | Binary |
40.744 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (S&D) | Binary |
39.446 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
39.432 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Conservative and Unionist Party) | Continuous |
38.647 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
38.525 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
38.296 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
37.171 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
36.658 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
36.328 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
34.840 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
34.649 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
33.967 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
33.089 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
32.013 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
31.160 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (BJP) | Binary |
31.160 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (INC) | Binary |
30.371 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
27.210 | Will Elon Musk face US federal criminal charges or an SEC civil complaint before 2026? | Binary |
26.945 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
26.932 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
26.932 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
26.932 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
26.932 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
26.932 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
26.932 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
26.932 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
26.932 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
26.911 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Senator Bob Menendez (D)) | Binary |
26.742 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
26.036 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
25.505 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
25.278 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Asa Hutchinson) | Continuous |
24.800 | Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections? | Binary |
24.553 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Lai Ching-te (DPP)) | Binary |
23.874 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
23.762 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
23.583 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
23.366 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
23.302 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
23.302 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
23.270 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
23.016 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
22.903 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
22.524 | Will the ANC receive more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 South African general election? | Binary |
22.465 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
22.436 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
22.312 | Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models? | Binary |
22.054 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
21.930 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
21.344 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
21.240 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
21.166 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
21.061 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
20.989 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
20.540 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (EPP) | Binary |
20.075 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (EPP) | Binary |
19.542 | Will France place in the Top 5 at the 2024 Paris Olympics? | Binary |
19.238 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
18.809 | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
18.697 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
18.551 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
18.059 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 3) | Binary |
17.810 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
17.650 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
16.922 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
16.626 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
16.455 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
16.349 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
15.554 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
15.240 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
12.497 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
12.329 | What will be India's rating in the Freedom In the World Report for the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
12.176 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
10.357 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan? | Binary |
8.462 | Will copyright of at least one of the depictions of Mickey Mouse be extended beyond the current deadline of January 1, 2024? | Binary |
7.955 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
7.384 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
6.831 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
6.788 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
6.418 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Greens) | Continuous |
6.222 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Nikki Haley) | Continuous |
5.638 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
5.022 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
4.569 | In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election? | Binary |
4.257 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
4.021 | Which country will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
3.560 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
2.758 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Chris Christie) | Continuous |
2.592 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Ron DeSantis) | Continuous |
0.495 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
0.390 | When will the next UK general election take place? | Continuous |
0.276 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
-1.662 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
-2.212 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
-3.546 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
-3.857 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
-5.735 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
-7.497 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
-7.504 | Will the US Supreme Court grant a writ of certiorari to the presidential immunity case before February 1, 2024? | Binary |
-7.810 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
-8.401 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
-8.964 | Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
-13.219 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
-13.579 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Continuous |
-14.071 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
-14.382 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
-14.783 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Labour Party) | Continuous |
-16.954 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
-18.889 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
-20.843 | Will the US claim that Russia has exceeded New START treaty limits on nuclear weapons before 2025? | Binary |
-27.233 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
-33.623 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
-35.142 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Reform UK) | Continuous |
-37.233 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
-39.556 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |
-41.582 | How many Electoral College votes will the Republican Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
-45.267 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
-52.306 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
-62.360 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
-86.598 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
-88.897 | Will a major political party leave the I.N.D.I.A. alliance before the next Indian general election? | Binary |
-103.461 | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Donald Trump) | Continuous |
-118.009 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
-123.645 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
-133.901 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
-148.624 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
-155.618 | Will Donald Trump be charged with witness tampering in Georgia before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
-236.437 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
-478.735 | Will the right-wing incumbent BJP win the 2024 national election in India? | Binary |