Vang

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2022

Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.

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7.727	Weighted Average Score
Score	Question	Question Type
123.566	How many cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure will be conducted by Russian-based hackers between March 1, 2022 and June 1, 2022?	Continuous
110.104	Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022?	Binary
107.554	How many ransomware attacks against U.S. educational institutions will be reported in 2022?	Continuous
101.558	Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022?	Binary
98.144	Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
90.642	Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
88.994	What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022?	Continuous
85.533	Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022?	Binary
81.516	Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?	Binary
75.318	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
73.199	What will total NATO defense spending be in 2022?	Continuous
66.071	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
56.902	Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (David Waihiga Mwaure)	Binary
55.213	Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?	Binary
55.065	How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023?	Continuous
50.169	Will "Counterfeit Diversity: How Strategically Misrepresenting Gender Diversity Dampens Organizations’ Perceived Sincerity and Elevates Women’s Identity Threat Concerns" (JPSP, 2022) replicate?	Continuous
48.854	What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (November 1, 2022)	Continuous
46.619	What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (January 1, 2023)	Continuous
46.246	What will be the approval rating of Vladimir Putin in December 2022?	Continuous
46.003	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
45.420	Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
44.497	Will a DDoS attack of greater than 3.5TPS occur in 2022?	Binary
43.754	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Tila Tequila)	Binary
42.974	Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022?	Binary
38.979	Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
38.898	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Jared Taylor)	Binary
38.049	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
37.191	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
36.617	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Milo Yiannopoulos)	Binary
36.385	Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022?	Binary
36.042	What will be Putin's approval rating value 3 months after the potential invasion of Ukraine?	Continuous
35.835	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022)	Continuous
35.395	What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2022)	Continuous
34.029	[short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (61)	Binary
33.753	Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022?	Binary
33.677	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023?	Binary
33.607	How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022?	Continuous
33.378	What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022?	Continuous
33.132	When will China end Covid Zero?	Continuous
33.097	Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?	Binary
32.005	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Indonesian Rupiah Rp)	Binary
31.732	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022)	Continuous
30.574	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
30.356	How much will China spend on importing diodes and semiconductors in 2022?	Continuous
30.306	Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (William Ruto)	Binary
29.927	Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022?	Binary
29.296	Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?	Binary
29.259	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny))	Binary
28.993	Will Ukraine acknowledge having fired the missile that killed two people in Przewodów, Poland, before 2023?	Binary
28.976	Will a new zero day vulnerability be exploited against and result in the compromise of 100 million Americans’ personal information by June 30, 2022?	Binary
28.911	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 29, 2022)	Continuous
27.999	How far ahead or behind of Labour will the UK's Conservative Party be in the polls on October 6, 2022?	Continuous
27.647	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
27.390	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Yankees)	Binary
27.066	Will 2022 venture capital investment in cybersecurity companies surpass 2021?	Binary
26.721	Will the number of Chinese military aircraft entering Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) exceed 60 on any single day in 2022?	Binary
26.713	Keynesian Groupy Contest: interquartile range (KBCs are the best)	Binary
26.516	How many countries will confirm at least one case of monkeypox by July 31, 2022?	Continuous
26.291	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Thai Baht ฿)	Binary
26.096	How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022?	Continuous
25.287	When will the Apple Watch Series 8 be available for pre-order?	Continuous
25.247	Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023?	Binary
24.778	Will any Fields Medal winner boycott ICM 2022 for political reasons?	Binary
23.324	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Brazillian Real R$)	Binary
23.105	How many civilian casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian War will there be before May 2022?	Continuous
23.044	Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023?	Binary
22.942	Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023?	Binary
22.739	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Alex Jones)	Binary
22.312	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Liz Truss)	Binary
21.988	Will Niger experience a coup before 2023?	Binary
21.866	When will desktop Intel Arc Alchemist GPUs launch?	Continuous
21.765	In 2022, how many people will be charged by US DOJ with seditious conspiracy in connection with the Jan 6 Capitol attack?	Continuous
21.608	What percent of voters will vote in favor of Sioux Falls' 2022 Slaughterhouse ballot question?	Continuous
21.490	Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?	Binary
20.955	Will Seattle's Approval Voting ballot initiative (Initiative 134) pass?	Binary
20.920	Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Korea DPR)	Binary
20.010	Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Bolivia)	Binary
19.899	Will Elizabeth Kim win the Democratic primary for New York's 10th congressional district in 2022?	Binary
19.773	Will the US Government designate Russia a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" by 2023?	Binary
19.621	Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022?	Binary
19.005	What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
18.940	Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023?	Binary
18.782	In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, "Robots/AIs may be harmful to future generations of people."?	Continuous
18.729	What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in California as of December 31, 2022?	Continuous
18.609	What percent of ransomware victims whose data was encrypted will report paying a ransom in 2022?	Continuous
18.520	Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022?	Binary
18.518	Will the British pound trade below $1 before 2023?	Binary
18.232	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Spain)	Binary
18.118	Will Tether collapse before 2023?	Binary
17.791	Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Cambodia)	Binary
17.592	Will PredictIt default on its obligation to allow its users to withdraw funds before 2023?	Binary
17.403	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Rishi Sunak)	Binary
17.314	Will there be a successful cyberattack on the 2022 FIFA World Cup?	Binary
17.289	How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
17.260	Will the New York Times place Wordle (or any currently existing part of Wordle) behind a paywall during 2022?	Binary
17.199	Will Carrick Flynn win the general election for Oregon's 6th congressional district?	Binary
17.171	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 1, 2022)	Continuous
16.999	Will Rafael Nadal make it to the semifinals of every Grand Slam in 2022?	Binary
16.895	If Republicans win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 election, who will be the next Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives? (Rep. Tom Emmer)	Binary
16.818	How many scheduled airline flights within, into, or out of the United States will be canceled on Wednesday, November 23rd (the day before Thanksgiving), as reported by FlightAware?	Continuous
16.743	Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on January 1, 2023?	Binary
16.570	In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, “I support a global ban on the development of sentience in robots/AIs.”?	Continuous
16.370	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Catherine McKenney)	Binary
16.062	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (St. Louis Cardinals)	Binary
16.025	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 16)	Continuous
15.916	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Nigerian Naira ₦)	Binary
15.717	Will CAIDA measure a major disruption of the Ukrainian internet for 24 hours before August 2022?	Binary
15.653	What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 16th, 2022?	Continuous
15.507	Will it become public that the United States launched a cyber attack between Jan 1, 2022 and April 30, 2022 against infrastructure associated with Russian cyber operators or proxies?	Binary
15.440	Will Solana be in the top-10 cryptocurrencies by market cap on December 31, 2022?	Binary
15.437	Will North Korea have internet failures on 4 or more days between March 8, 2022 and August 1, 2022?	Binary
15.321	Will Jaedon Whyte qualify for the USA IMO team before 2023?	Binary
15.269	Will a cyberattack directly cause one or more deaths in 2022?	Binary
15.199	How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022?	Continuous
15.185	Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Tajikistan)	Binary
15.056	Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022?	Binary
14.971	Will China make a successful, major cyberattack on Taiwanese critical infrastructure before December 31, 2022?	Binary
14.910	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 1, 2022)	Continuous
14.852	What percentage of participants who adhere to the diet in the SMTM potato study and start with a BMI > 30 will lose 20 lbs or more over 4 weeks?	Continuous
14.763	Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Zimbabwe)	Binary
14.529	How many seats will Democrats hold in the US Senate after 2022 midterm elections?	Continuous
14.433	Will there be a bilateral ceasefire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2023?	Binary
14.403	What percentage of participants who adhere to the diet in the SMTM potato study and start with a BMI > 25 will lose 20 lbs or more over 4 weeks?	Continuous
14.388	Will a cyberattack target a major system's data integrity before July 1, 2022?	Binary
14.326	Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023?	Binary
14.311	Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
14.107	[Short Fuse] How many attendees will be at the next Metaculus Meetup? (October 2022)	Continuous
13.989	Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024?	Binary
13.684	Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guatemala)	Binary
13.469	Will the US claim that a Russian disinformation campaign attempted to influence the 2022 midterm elections?	Binary
13.369	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (European Union Euro €)	Binary
13.260	Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Pierre Poilievre)	Binary
13.201	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Angels)	Binary
12.971	What will be the 7-day average of % people wearing masks most or all of the time in public in Virginia on April 15th, 2022?	Continuous
12.794	Will the U.S. Congress pass legislation authorizing at least $50 billion to the semiconductor industry before May 1, 2022?	Binary
12.769	Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?	Binary
12.536	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guinea-Bissau)	Binary
12.436	Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Nepal)	Binary
12.423	Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023?	Binary
12.242	Will Sarah Palin be elected as US Representative for Alaska in 2022?	Binary
12.182	Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Nicaragua)	Binary
12.181	If Republicans win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 election, who will be the next Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives? (Rep. Drew Ferguson)	Binary
12.118	Will an impactful penetration of a software supply chain be discovered by a party other than themselves in 2022?	Binary
12.116	Will at least four REvil gang members be in prison on May 15, 2022?	Binary
11.915	Will a popular online identity verification service be breached in 2022?	Binary
11.874	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (England)	Binary
11.785	Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?	Binary
11.769	Will Leondra Kruger be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023?	Binary
11.751	What percent of voters will vote in favor of the Swiss 2022 Bio Suisse Animal Welfare referendum question?	Continuous
11.696	What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 May 2022?	Continuous
11.547	Will Kassym-Jomart Tokayev exit the Presidency of Kazakhstan in 2022?	Binary
11.493	How many acres will burn in wildfires in California in 2022?	Continuous
11.481	Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Roman Baber)	Binary
11.440	Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Jean Charest)	Binary
11.235	Will the US make any new commitment of over $1M for the prevention of biological weapons deployment at the 2022 BWC Review Conference?	Binary
11.200	Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
11.185	Will a cyberattack using the Log4J exploit cause $20 million in damage to a single target before September 1, 2022?	Binary
11.162	Will Rick Caruso be elected Mayor of Los Angeles in 2022?	Binary
11.002	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Los Angeles Dodgers)	Binary
10.895	What will be the total number of fish that Fish Welfare Initiative (FWI) claims to have helped by 2023?	Continuous
10.871	Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Scott Aitchison)	Binary
10.599	[short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (65)	Binary
10.584	Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Honduras)	Binary
10.507	Will Russian or Belarusian troops cross the land border between Belarus and either the Volyn or Rivne oblasts before 2023?	Binary
10.339	Will Brandy Bottone, the pregnant woman pulled over in Texas for an HOV lane violation, be found guilty in court?	Binary
10.336	Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022?	Binary
10.263	Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (India)	Binary
10.099	Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Lao PDR)	Binary
9.940	Will Russia officially declare war on Ukraine or announce its intent to do so by May 9, 2022?	Binary
9.922	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Benin)	Binary
9.910	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Turkish Lira ₺)	Binary
9.850	What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022?	Continuous
9.781	In the next round of FITARA (Federal Information Technology Acquisition Reform Act) scoring, will the median cyber grade for the covered federal departments and agencies come out as a “B-” or higher?	Binary
9.672	Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023?	Binary
9.645	Will a cyber action or series of cyber actions trigger NATO’s Article 5 in 2022?	Binary
9.638	Will Facebook decide to make the weights of the 175B parameter model publicly available before 2023?	Binary
9.631	[short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (64)	Binary
9.573	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
9.546	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cleveland Guardians)	Binary
9.461	Will the Senate Commerce committee reach an agreement on preemption for a federal data security and data privacy law in 2022?	Binary
9.431	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2022)	Binary
9.411	Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (El Salvador)	Binary
9.365	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Seattle Mariners)	Binary
9.309	Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut an undersea internet cable before 2023?	Binary
9.254	Will any single cyberattack in 2022 result in damages over $10 billion?	Binary
9.217	Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022?	Binary
9.159	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
9.156	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (New York Mets)	Binary
9.081	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Russian Ruble ₽)	Binary
9.014	Will the weights of the 175B parameter model be made publicly available via a leak or hack by 2023?	Binary
8.939	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Argentine Peso $)	Binary
8.889	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Egyptian Pound £E)	Binary
8.845	In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults answered “Yes” to the statement, “Do you think it could ever be possible for robots/AIs to be sentient?”	Continuous
8.829	If Republicans win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 election, who will be the next Majority Whip of the U.S. House of Representatives? (Rep. Jim Banks)	Binary
8.811	What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (September 1, 2022)	Continuous
8.756	How many seats will Democrats win in the US House of Representatives in 2022?	Continuous
8.677	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (France)	Binary
8.585	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Tampa Bay Rays)	Binary
8.566	Will Blake Masters win the 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona?	Binary
8.531	Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Papua New Guinea)	Binary
8.518	What percentage of people who sign up for the SMTM potato study will complete all 4 weeks of the diet?	Continuous
8.473	Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut the Kerch Strait Cable before 2023?	Binary
8.408	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Penny Mordaunt)	Binary
8.389	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Boston Red Sox)	Binary
8.382	Will Omicron XE be the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the US before June 19, 2022?	Binary
8.364	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Philadelphia Phillies)	Binary
8.355	What will the GDP of the UK be (in billions GBP), given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest? (2022)	Continuous
8.328	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Mexican Peso $)	Binary
8.304	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
8.275	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Boris Johnson)	Binary
8.273	Will a Republican be elected governor of Maryland in 2022?	Binary
8.249	Before 2023, will the US CDC recommend the general use of the monkeypox vaccine for all men who have sex with men in the US?	Binary
8.216	Who will win the 2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election? (Leslyn Lewis)	Binary
8.144	Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (George Wajackoyah)	Binary
8.056	Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023?	Binary
8.021	What will be the price of 1 ETH on the following dates? (December 31, 2022)	Continuous
7.795	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022)	Continuous
7.775	Will Doug Mastriano be elected Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022?	Binary
7.620	Will Boris Johnson be charged with any criminal offence before 2023?	Binary
7.600	Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Jean-Luc Mélenchon)	Binary
7.573	Will Beto O'Rourke win the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election?	Binary
7.561	[short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (63)	Binary
7.511	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Germany)	Binary
7.427	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Polish złoty ł)	Binary
7.298	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Baltimore Orioles)	Binary
7.196	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
7.083	Will the US executive branch attempt to ban or otherwise further limit ransomware payments in 2022?	Binary
7.037	Will James Charles have more than 25 million Youtube subscribers by January 1, 2023?	Binary
6.980	How many Japanese Encephalitis deaths will there be in Australia before July 2022?	Continuous
6.911	Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022?	Binary
6.907	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022)	Continuous
6.851	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
6.823	Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus?	Binary
6.782	Will Environment and Climate Change Canada register a white Christmas – snow on the ground on December 25th – for Toronto?	Binary
6.660	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
6.646	Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023?	Binary
6.546	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Atlanta Braves)	Binary
6.544	Will UK initiate its rota load shedding plan during 2022-2023 winter?	Binary
6.425	East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Kenya)	Binary
6.392	How many Virginia counties will have their COVID-19 Community Level classified as 'High' as of April 14th update?	Continuous
6.364	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay)	Binary
6.327	Will Sumy be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
6.295	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Francisco Giants)	Binary
6.292	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Côte d'Ivoire)	Binary
6.289	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Wales)	Binary
6.286	Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Gabon)	Binary
6.283	What will the estimated cybersecurity workforce gap for the United States be on October 15, 2022?	Continuous
6.265	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago Cubs)	Binary
6.033	Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda)	Binary
6.019	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
5.972	Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Ding Liren)	Binary
5.963	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Washington Nationals)	Binary
5.963	Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Magnus Carlsen)	Binary
5.944	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 30)	Continuous
5.932	Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Lesotho)	Binary
5.865	Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Wesley So)	Binary
5.834	East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Djibouti)	Binary
5.788	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
5.761	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Houston Astros)	Binary
5.701	Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Charles Leclerc)	Binary
5.678	Will Stacey Abrams be elected Governor of Georgia in 2022?	Binary
5.666	Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022?	Binary
5.662	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (San Diego Padres)	Binary
5.619	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
5.617	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Toronto Blue Jays)	Binary
5.566	Will the European Central Bank raise interest rates in 2022?	Binary
5.514	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Colorado Rockies)	Binary
5.482	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Iranian Rial IRR)	Binary
5.463	Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023?	Binary
5.427	East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Rwanda)	Binary
5.424	Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Eswatini (Swaziland))	Binary
5.414	Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Pakistan)	Binary
5.405	Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Equatorial Guinea)	Binary
5.379	Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Lewis Hamilton)	Binary
5.379	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Cincinnati Reds)	Binary
5.370	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Chicago White Sox)	Binary
5.322	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Kansas City Royals)	Binary
5.322	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022?	Binary
5.230	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Gregory Jreg Guevara)	Binary
5.191	Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Democratic Republic of Congo)	Binary
5.101	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Minnesota Twins)	Binary
5.096	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 16)	Continuous
5.068	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Milwaukee Brewers)	Binary
5.067	Will there be a Tau variant of COVID by Tau Day (June 28, 2022)?	Binary
5.054	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Detroit Tigers)	Binary
5.035	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Togo)	Binary
5.010	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Oakland Athletics)	Binary
4.959	What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Canada as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
4.948	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022?	Binary
4.903	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Texas Rangers)	Binary
4.901	Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Marine Le Pen)	Binary
4.872	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Mexico)	Binary
4.830	Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
4.814	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Arizona Diamondbacks)	Binary
4.781	Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Hikaru Nakamura)	Binary
4.670	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022?	Binary
4.652	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
4.606	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Pittsburgh Pirates)	Binary
4.584	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on March 25, 2022?	Continuous
4.549	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Jeremy Hunt)	Binary
4.546	By December 31, 2022, will at least 10,000 US troops move into Ukraine?	Binary
4.544	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Brazil)	Binary
4.518	Will Twitter's board accept an acquisition offer from someone other than Elon Musk before 2023?	Binary
4.506	Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Ian Nepomniachtchi)	Binary
4.412	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
4.371	Will Éric Zemmour be in the 2nd round of the 2022 French presidential election?	Binary
4.356	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
4.319	[short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (66)	Binary
4.195	[Short fuse]: Will Russia assume responsibility and apologize for the Przewodów strike before December?	Binary
4.172	East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Tanzania)	Binary
4.172	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Switzerland)	Binary
4.166	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Netherlands)	Binary
4.134	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Indian Rupee ₹)	Binary
4.111	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Ben Wallace)	Binary
4.088	What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in California as of August 31, 2022?	Continuous
4.081	Will the DART asteroid mission successfully impact in 2022?	Binary
4.062	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Sierra Leone)	Binary
4.025	Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
4.024	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Denmark)	Binary
4.021	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 16)	Continuous
3.989	Will Wales score a goal against England on Tuesday?	Binary
3.969	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Tom Tugendhat)	Binary
3.965	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Liberia)	Binary
3.896	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
3.858	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Pakistani Rupee ₨)	Binary
3.850	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Bangladeshi Taka ৳)	Binary
3.827	Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Teimour Radjabov)	Binary
3.784	East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Burundi)	Binary
3.761	Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022?	Binary
3.724	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Japan)	Binary
3.693	Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023?	Binary
3.686	Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?	Binary
3.673	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (United States of America)	Binary
3.660	Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022? (Élisabeth Borne)	Binary
3.614	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Guinea)	Binary
3.613	East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Eritrea)	Binary
3.518	Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
3.516	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 25th, 2022?	Continuous
3.456	Will Ontario's Conservative Party (PC) win the a majority in the election on 2022-06-02?	Binary
3.447	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ghana)	Binary
3.442	What percentage of people who try the diet in the SMTM potato study will report an increase in mood?	Continuous
3.376	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Senegal)	Binary
3.345	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Australia)	Binary
3.334	Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022?	Binary
3.327	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Mauritania)	Binary
3.284	Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Fabiano Caruana)	Binary
3.268	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Michael Gove)	Binary
3.262	Will the Buffalo Bills win their NFL football game on Thanksgiving?	Binary
3.250	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Morocco)	Binary
3.208	Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Max Verstappen)	Binary
3.171	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Poland)	Binary
3.146	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Canada)	Binary
3.130	Will Ron DeSantis be re-elected as Governor of Florida in 2022?	Binary
3.125	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Portugal)	Binary
3.093	Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Richárd Rapport)	Binary
3.085	Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Hjörvar Steinn Grétarsson)	Binary
3.035	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Croatia)	Binary
2.982	Will Queen Elizabeth II abdicate in 2022?	Binary
2.974	What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
2.936	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Priti Patel)	Binary
2.919	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Senegal)	Binary
2.918	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Marjorie Taylor Greene)	Binary
2.871	Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov)	Binary
2.861	Will Viktor Orbán win the 2022 Hungarian Parliamentary Election?	Binary
2.841	[Short Fuse] Will Top Gun: Maverick win Favorite Movie at the 2022 People's Choice Awards?	Binary
2.840	Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022?	Binary
2.806	Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?	Binary
2.773	Who will win the 2022 World Series in baseball? (Miami Marlins)	Binary
2.760	Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Matthias Blübaum)	Binary
2.681	West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Morocco)	Binary
2.669	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (South Korea)	Binary
2.655	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
2.624	Central Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Angola)	Binary
2.622	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ecuador)	Binary
2.605	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Belgium)	Binary
2.598	Will the Kenyan Supreme court nullify the results of the 2022 Presidential Election?	Binary
2.568	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Nadhim Zahawi)	Binary
2.361	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Jacob Solomon)	Binary
2.320	Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (George Russell)	Binary
2.290	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Qatar)	Binary
2.284	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Kemi Badenoch)	Binary
2.279	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
2.234	Will Éric Zemmour win the French presidential election in 2022?	Binary
2.183	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Ade Olumide)	Binary
2.143	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Bob Chiarelli)	Binary
2.139	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Serbia)	Binary
2.026	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Costa Rica)	Binary
1.977	Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election? (Raila Odinga)	Binary
1.975	Who will win the FIDE World Fischer Random Chess Championship 2022? (Vladimir Fedoseev)	Binary
1.955	By December 31, 2022, will the US federal government announce an extension of the pause on federal student loan repayments?	Binary
1.944	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy's image appear on the cover of Time's 2022 Person of the Year issue, more prominently than any other person's image?	Binary
1.940	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
1.860	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Saudi Riyal SAR)	Binary
1.800	Will Xi Jinping be re-elected paramount leader in 2022?	Binary
1.790	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Zed Chebib)	Binary
1.741	Will Carrick Flynn win the Democratic primary for Oregon's 6th congressional district?	Binary
1.685	What percentage "yes" will Elon Musk's Twitter poll have for reinstating Trump?	Continuous
1.676	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Brandon Bay)	Binary
1.675	Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Sergio Perez)	Binary
1.657	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 2)	Continuous
1.637	Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Carlos Sainz)	Binary
1.634	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Steve Baker)	Binary
1.583	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Sajid Javid)	Binary
1.573	Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Bangladesh)	Binary
1.565	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Grant Shapps)	Binary
1.550	What will state-of-the-art top-1 accuracy on the APPS Benchmark introductory problems be from 2022 to 2025? (2022)	Continuous
1.474	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
1.469	Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022? (Chinese Yuan Renminbi ¥)	Binary
1.448	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 19)	Continuous
1.441	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 22nd, 2022?	Continuous
1.365	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Tunisia)	Binary
1.334	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Iran)	Binary
1.325	Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Hikaru Nakamura)	Binary
1.298	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Dominic Raab)	Binary
1.258	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
1.127	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 2)	Continuous
1.124	Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Suella Braverman)	Binary
1.120	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Saudi Arabia)	Binary
1.117	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 25th of March, 2022?	Continuous
0.982	Will the Israeli Labor Party run alone?	Binary
0.882	If Russia invades Ukraine, will the United States cut Russian banks off from the SWIFT system by 2023?	Binary
0.878	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Mike Maguire)	Binary
0.831	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Nour Kadri)	Binary
0.829	Before 2023, will FTX.US default or suspend payment to at least one FTX.US user?	Binary
0.809	Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023?	Binary
0.747	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 2)	Continuous
0.713	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Bernard Couchman)	Binary
0.713	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Celine Debassige)	Binary
0.690	Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023?	Binary
0.597	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Graham MacDonald)	Binary
0.597	Will there be a female Fields Medalist in 2022?	Binary
0.583	What will be the US unemployment rate in October 2022?	Continuous
0.561	Will Ron Johnson win the 2022 Wisconsin US Senate election?	Binary
0.524	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
0.501	Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023?	Binary
0.501	Will more than 20,000 people die within 28 days of a positive Covid test in the UK in 2022?	Binary
0.464	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
0.432	If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto?	Binary
0.421	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Cameroon)	Binary
0.379	Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa no longer be the President of Sri Lanka before 2023?	Binary
0.378	How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in 2022?	Continuous
0.346	Will China abandon their zero-covid strategy before June 1, 2022?	Binary
0.339	What will be the percentage of ED visits with COVID-Like Illness (CLI) symptoms in Virginia for the week ending April 2nd, 2022?	Continuous
0.297	[Short Fuse] Will Raphael Warnock defeat Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff on Tuesday?	Binary
0.256	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 2)	Continuous
0.234	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Param Singh)	Binary
0.175	Will Catherine Cortez Masto be re-elected in the 2022 US Senate election in Nevada?	Binary
0.110	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
0.105	Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022?	Binary
0.038	Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Argentina)	Binary
0.037	Will the US sanction Russian oil or gas before 2023?	Binary
0.033	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
0.032	Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by December 31, 2022?	Binary
-0.031	Will David Segal win the RI-2 Democratic primary?	Binary
-0.046	[short-fuse] How many home runs will Aaron Judge score in the 2022 MLB season? (62)	Binary
-0.092	Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Alireza Firouzja)	Binary
-0.099	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-0.117	Will Liverpool win the 2021-2022 Premier League?	Binary
-0.152	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Other)	Binary
-0.567	Will Hans Niemann and Magnus Carlsen play more than 1 move (2 ply) in one or more games against each other in the World Rapid and Blitz Chess Championship 2022?	Binary
-0.606	Will Russia default on its debt in 2022?	Binary
-0.614	Will Mehmet Oz win the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania?	Binary
-0.896	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
-1.074	Will the study “Knowledge about others reduces one’s own sense of anonymity” (Nature, 2022) replicate?	Binary
-1.205	Will Raphael Warnock be re-elected in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia?	Binary
-1.560	Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Ian Nepomniachtchi)	Binary
-1.737	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022)	Continuous
-1.770	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 30)	Continuous
-1.799	Will Pakistan default on its debt in 2022?	Binary
-1.976	How many new Pokemon will Pokemon Scarlet and Violet introduce?	Continuous
-2.102	East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Uganda)	Binary
-2.133	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-2.204	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-2.403	When will Paxlovid be given FDA authorization or approval for patients who are not high-risk?	Continuous
-2.899	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-3.508	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between March 18th, 2022 and June 10th, 2022?	Continuous
-3.855	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 29, 2022)	Continuous
-3.877	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 2)	Continuous
-3.991	How much crude oil will the US hold in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as of December 2022?	Continuous
-4.570	How many smallsat launches will there be in 2022?	Continuous
-4.969	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-5.679	How much crude oil will the US import from Russia in 2022?	Continuous
-6.343	What percentage of monkeypox cases in California will be among cisgender men who are gay/same-gender loving or bisexual?	Continuous
-6.390	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 2)	Continuous
-6.503	What will be the market capitalization of Netflix on December 1, 2022?	Continuous
-6.635	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-7.506	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump)	Binary
-8.156	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
-8.622	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 16)	Continuous
-8.938	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 15h of April, 2022?	Continuous
-9.029	Keynesian Groupy Contest: interquartile range (KBCs are the best)	Binary
-13.246	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-13.982	Who will win the 2022 Ottawa mayoral election? (Mark Sutcliffe)	Binary
-14.091	What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (October 2022)	Continuous
-15.384	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-17.108	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022?	Binary
-17.593	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 16)	Continuous
-18.004	On how many days in 2022 will U.S. hospital admissions (for COVID) exceed the pre-2022 peak?	Continuous
-18.859	What will be Turkey's inflation rate on the following dates? (October 2022)	Continuous
-22.092	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022)	Continuous
-22.959	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-23.623	What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in New York as of August 31, 2022?	Continuous
-25.483	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 16)	Continuous
-25.532	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 30)	Continuous
-25.784	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-27.113	What will the US effective fed funds rate be in the following years? (2022)	Continuous
-28.922	What percent of global organizations will experience a successful email-based phishing attack in 2022?	Continuous
-30.027	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-31.717	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 30)	Continuous
-36.905	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-38.122	What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of December 31, 2022?	Continuous
-38.705	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
-39.356	What will be the maximum price reached for Ethereum by January 1, 2023?	Continuous
-39.685	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
-40.494	How many subscribers will the Effective Altruism subreddit have on January 1, 2023?	Continuous
-42.552	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Laura Loomer)	Binary
-42.922	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
-43.712	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-44.132	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 30)	Continuous
-44.301	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-45.545	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
-48.773	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-49.265	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 30)	Continuous
-53.358	What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in New York as of December 31, 2022?	Continuous
-63.023	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-71.658	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
-72.756	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-87.961	How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022?	Continuous
-98.108	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-152.981	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous

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Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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